Silver Dollar - The Official NBA Betting Thread!

HomeRunBaker

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SoSH Member
Jan 15, 2004
32,124
Has mpj bottomed out? Is it time to jump on some of his props?
No i don't think so. I went Under last two games on him and see nothing to feel he will suddenly understand this series and stage. He was a complete mental no-show in each game of this series and is losing most of his minutes.
 

HomeRunBaker

bet squelcher
SoSH Member
Jan 15, 2004
32,124
Guy in my poker game has convinced the entire table that tonight's game opened Denver a 9.5 pt favorite. Of all nights to forget my ear buds.
 

HomeRunBaker

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SoSH Member
Jan 15, 2004
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Likely taking a full pass on tonight. Very real chance that Denver's two-man game continues to demoralize every aspect of Miami's game, on both ends of the floor.

Spo really has his work cut out for him in figuring out a way to create chaos in this area defensively and that's where it would have to begin for Miami to find any success tonight. They have done it earlier in the series but that was before the Nuggets got their read.

Gun to head, the same story continue....Murray/Jokic two-man games them apart while Miami shoots poorly in not showing much energy leading to everyone screaming how they are "gassed" which isn't the case. 108-91 Final. A worse final wouldn't shock me. The Heat doing Heat things would a little unless they find an answer defensively to help their offense.
 

Red Averages

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Apr 20, 2003
9,637
Good start. This Nuggets defense has been so prepared and effective in this series. Pretty much taken Playoff Jimmy out of the picture and he is the key to that offense.
Helps when he misses 2 free throws out of a tv timeout too….
Miami isn’t getting those clean look 3s they had in Game 2.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Jan 15, 2004
32,124
Helps when he misses 2 free throws out of a tv timeout too….
Miami isn’t getting those clean look 3s they had in Game 2.
What I mean is that they aren't allowing him to create those rhythm 3's that has been Miami's calling all playoffs.
 

Red Averages

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Apr 20, 2003
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Going to miss having NBA/NFL to bet on for the next several months. Thanks for another great year, HRB. I think we’ve all learned a lot from your approach and lessons over the years. Hopefully others have had similar success in translating those into profitable betting.
 

HomeRunBaker

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SoSH Member
Jan 15, 2004
32,124
Going to miss having NBA/NFL to bet on for the next several months. Thanks for another great year, HRB. I think we’ve all learned a lot from your approach and lessons over the years. Hopefully others have had similar success in translating those into profitable betting.
I appreciate it and I hope so as that is what makes taking the time in this thread rewarding to me.

I do want to correct you on one thing however....Summer League begins in 3 weeks and books will be hanging numbers. Just sayin ;)
 

zak1013

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 14, 2005
269
Hear hear! Such a fun season. Thanks HRB and everyone else for the discussion and insight. Bring on Vegas league!
 

TrapperAB

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Nov 25, 2002
3,822
West Hartford, CT
After getting a generous and deeply appreciated education from HRB and some of you other brilliant degenerates this season, I’m going to start betting NBA games (small stakes!) in ’23-‘24.

This is one hell of a thread.
 

TripleOT

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Jul 4, 2007
8,429
As an observer, I’d like to know how profitable NBA betting had been this season, if anyone is willing to share their experience.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Jan 15, 2004
32,124
Throwing it out there. Is anyone interested in an all-purpose betting thread/discussion? Are mods ok with a non-NBA thread in the Cellar? From my perspective the majority of my originating is UFC and some Bellator as well as regionals. I do exchange w cappers from other sports so tennis and soccer would also be included just not from my own personal opinions. UFC is my most profitable league but that's only bc NBA playoffs is a smaller window. Tons of value I can share if there is interest and mods ok w it being here.
 

Mloaf71

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 13, 2005
648
Throwing it out there. Is anyone interested in an all-purpose betting thread/discussion? Are mods ok with a non-NBA thread in the Cellar? From my perspective the majority of my originating is UFC and some Bellator as well as regionals. I do exchange w cappers from other sports so tennis and soccer would also be included just not from my own personal opinions. UFC is my most profitable league but that's only bc NBA playoffs is a smaller window. Tons of value I can share if there is interest and mods ok w it being here.
I'm in.

Also need to say thanks. Picked up a lot this playoff run and even have a new 77 inch TV that I affectionately refer to as HRB due to the winnings!
 

Light-Tower-Power

ask me about My Pillow
SoSH Member
Jun 14, 2013
16,567
Nashua, NH
Throwing it out there. Is anyone interested in an all-purpose betting thread/discussion? Are mods ok with a non-NBA thread in the Cellar? From my perspective the majority of my originating is UFC and some Bellator as well as regionals. I do exchange w cappers from other sports so tennis and soccer would also be included just not from my own personal opinions. UFC is my most profitable league but that's only bc NBA playoffs is a smaller window. Tons of value I can share if there is interest and mods ok w it being here.
Yes please, and thanks as always for another great season.
 

zak1013

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 14, 2005
269
Yes please, and thanks as always for another great season.
Agree. Tennis is a super interesting one for me. Learning from the NBA discussion here, I have actually found a lot of value on live betting in tennis in situations where it seems the books have over-corrected after a slow start, e.g.
 

HomeRunBaker

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SoSH Member
Jan 15, 2004
32,124
I can't speak for any other Dope but I'm all for it.

Of course, if I saw it any other way, HRB would be surprised.
Sounds awesome! Reason for it being here is that we've tried similar in General Sports and Fiskful in years past prior to fizzling as they tend to get lost. LFG!!
 

BigSoxFan

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SoSH Member
May 31, 2007
49,122
Anyone use MGM? I’ve been getting 2 $25 free bets per week for like the past 3-4 weeks. Before that, they gave me a couple $50 ones. It’s been great. DK never does free bet promos anymore. They do the backstop ones, which is nice, but less exciting.
 

Auger34

used to be tbb
SoSH Member
Apr 23, 2010
11,919
Throwing it out there. Is anyone interested in an all-purpose betting thread/discussion? Are mods ok with a non-NBA thread in the Cellar? From my perspective the majority of my originating is UFC and some Bellator as well as regionals. I do exchange w cappers from other sports so tennis and soccer would also be included just not from my own personal opinions. UFC is my most profitable league but that's only bc NBA playoffs is a smaller window. Tons of value I can share if there is interest and mods ok w it being here.
I am definitely in favor of this
 

HomeRunBaker

bet squelcher
SoSH Member
Jan 15, 2004
32,124
Anyone use MGM? I’ve been getting 2 $25 free bets per week for like the past 3-4 weeks. Before that, they gave me a couple $50 ones. It’s been great. DK never does free bet promos anymore. They do the backstop ones, which is nice, but less exciting.
I'm in a non-legal state but travel quite a bit. I should begin opening these accounts for when I am in a legal state which is at least monthly. Do these frequent bonuses have restrictions on them in regards to underdog wagering, plus props, etc?
 

BigSoxFan

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May 31, 2007
49,122
I'm in a non-legal state but travel quite a bit. I should begin opening these accounts for when I am in a legal state which is at least monthly. Do these frequent bonuses have restrictions on them in regards to underdog wagering, plus props, etc?
Zero restrictions from what I can tell. I wasted a decent amount of them on pie-in-the-sky prop bets but have salted some away on futures bets, like my Heat positions, which I was able to partially hedge.

MGM also does these “bet and get” promotions where you place a bet (with easy odds) and get a free bet.

My buddy in MA is only getting $5 bets so I think the size of the free bets is based on your account level or activity. I keep a few thousand in there, money I’ve built up over a few years. Don’t carry as much in DK since they’re big on odds boosts and “risk free” bets but short on offering free bets.

I’ve probably netted around $400-500 in free bets from MGM last month by doing absolutely nothing.
 

Leon Trotsky

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Jul 18, 2005
2,947
Boston, MA
I got a few of the $25 free bets as well, and also wasted them on Heat-centric SGPs. I have lots to learn in this thread still! (and overall done pretty good with NBA, thanks mostly to HRB and RA!)
 

BigSoxFan

Member
SoSH Member
May 31, 2007
49,122
I got a few of the $25 free bets as well, and also wasted them on Heat-centric SGPs. I have lots to learn in this thread still! (and overall done pretty good with NBA, thanks mostly to HRB and RA!)
Yeah, these past few months have been my best stretch ever. That’s not a coincidence…
 

HomeRunBaker

bet squelcher
SoSH Member
Jan 15, 2004
32,124
I got a few of the $25 free bets as well, and also wasted them on Heat-centric SGPs. I have lots to learn in this thread still! (and overall done pretty good with NBA, thanks mostly to HRB and RA!)
The reason I asked my earlier question on free bets to BSF was that I'll generally have several live props of 8-1 or greater on each UFC card. I'll post it all in the new thread by Friday if not sooner.
 

Red Averages

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Apr 20, 2003
9,637
Did the new thread get moved? I’m no longer seeing it.
Yes. It’s in another forum, without discussion or any comment from whomever moved it. You have a thriving, growing community forming within a singular thread currently living in one of the Hub cities of SoSH and you move it to Worcester to hang out with Laddie’s fake betting journal? Who is so impacted by this growth that it needs to move?
 

zak1013

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 14, 2005
269
Yes. It’s in another forum, without discussion or any comment from whomever moved it. You have a thriving, growing community forming within a singular thread currently living in one of the Hub cities of SoSH and you move it to Worcester to hang out with Laddie’s fake betting journal? Who is so impacted by this growth that it needs to move?
I’m assuming this is some other restricted forum that isn’t visible to some of us? It’s a little bizarre to have the discussion moved without any warning or clear explanation as to how we can access it (as you say). Totally agree, not sure what the issue was with having it live here in the Cellar!
 

Red Averages

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Apr 20, 2003
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Yes. Ideally we hear from the moderators who has such a large problem with this that you’d threaten such a good thread.
 

Red Averages

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Apr 20, 2003
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Would be great to hear which moderator had taken it upon themselves to move the thread, the reasons for doing so, and notification of who was so offended by it that movement was needed.

Perhaps a reminder is in order that moderators exist to solve problems, not cause them. The community here exists to build each other up, create a dialogue and forum for individual and collective growth. Moving a thread to a dead area of the board (that has zero purpose and should be deleted) is the opposite of this. Doing so unilaterally, without explanation is a breach of trust that exists between community members and those “in power”. By the way, should I not post here again for a few days, you’ll know those “in power” have decided to further breach that trust in pursuit of a goal that is not clear.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Jan 15, 2004
32,124
Fiskful is where threads go to die. It always have been and I feel Laddie's thread should be here with all the other basketball-related stuff. I've wanted to follow his journey and once a month I remember it exists and I check it out.

The only reason I began the other thread was for Cellar dwellers to have EASY access for time-sensitive material, it simply would not work in a different forum which is why I asked upthread and I thought, approved...not to have to click around and if it wasn't on their mind at that very moment they miss out due to it being time sensitive (the total I posted earlier this morning is already long gone). I was willing to put in extra work to help others make money but if that isn't going to be allowed then it was a short thread. I'm here for the people. Don't quite understand the resistance to people here making extra money but like a bad beat, we move on. This just seems like a solution in search of a problem so now it's gone.
 
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HomeRunBaker

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Jan 15, 2004
32,124
No, we do not move on.
Well not with this apparently lol. I rarely ever post MMA on Twitter due to character limits and my desire to explain (sometimes poorly) my thought process, numbers, etc. Maybe I'll do more over there but I really don't like to.
 

zak1013

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 14, 2005
269
I just want to add that even if this thread has gotten moved, it’s not clear to me how I would access it or what the rules are for getting access. The lack of transparency / information is pretty frustrating.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Jan 15, 2004
32,124
Yes. Ideally we hear from the moderators who has such a large problem with this that you’d threaten such a good thread.
Anyone? Bueller?

I thought increasing engagement was the objective? The thread began bc the people wanted it (including a mod who gave it the go ahead) so not sure how eliminating what the people want generates engagement? It effectively creates the exact opposite.
 

Leon Trotsky

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Jul 18, 2005
2,947
Boston, MA
I am all for the new thread staying here. Seems like it fits in well as a sub-thread to the main (Adam) Silver Dollar thread, particularly for the offseason.

HRB, any thoughts on golf? I like to watch it a million times more if there are some small stakes on it, so would be good to hear what good plays might be.
 

Light-Tower-Power

ask me about My Pillow
SoSH Member
Jun 14, 2013
16,567
Nashua, NH
Maybe starting a thread in Backwash would help? I'm all for it remaining here. Seems like the Port Cellar is the de facto SoSH sports betting forum anyway.
 

Red Averages

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Apr 20, 2003
9,637
I’m not sure what is going on with the moderation but clearly a dope has taken the power to their head by injecting their own views above and beyond that of the community, including other moderators. How anyone thinks they can delete and move threads without any commentary is beyond me.

do we have “senior” moderators at SoSH that are allowed to operate unchecked in this manner? I’ve been here for 20 years without any problems, always offering insights into my area of expertise and can’t remember ever seeing this action without commentary. Is this how we treat long-standing members acting in good faith?
 
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HomeRunBaker

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SoSH Member
Jan 15, 2004
32,124
I am all for the new thread staying here. Seems like it fits in well as a sub-thread to the main (Adam) Silver Dollar thread, particularly for the offseason.

HRB, any thoughts on golf? I like to watch it a million times more if there are some small stakes on it, so would be good to hear what good plays might be.
I used to tail a golf guy but stopped two years ago. I was having too much credit absorbed on the weekends much of the year when football and basketball is in play between H2H, Top 5/10/20 props, and outrights. He was profitable for me but it created more of a headache for me personally. Funny you mention this today as he had a +7500 outright in Nick Taylor last week.
 
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HomeRunBaker

bet squelcher
SoSH Member
Jan 15, 2004
32,124
Anyone? Bueller?

I thought increasing engagement was the objective? The thread began bc the people wanted it (including a mod who gave it the go ahead) so not sure how eliminating what the people want generates engagement? It effectively creates the exact opposite.
No? Nothing? I don't care about me as this actually takes work off my plate even if I want to contribute or else I wouldn't have asked....but can whoever did override the mod approval please respond to the posters asking why? It's pretty disrespectful to those who responded that they wanted this to simply dictate without a logical reason.

This whole thing makes no sense. If there’s demand and it doesn’t disrupt the flow, why not? Why don't you want engagement that helps the forums members?
 

jon abbey

Shanghai Warrior
Moderator
SoSH Member
Jul 15, 2005
74,434
No? Nothing? I don't care about me as this actually takes work off my plate even if I want to contribute or else I wouldn't have asked....but can whoever did override the mod approval please respond to the posters asking why? It's pretty disrespectful to those who responded that they wanted this to simply dictate without a logical reason.

This whole thing makes no sense. If there’s demand and it doesn’t disrupt the flow, why not? Why don't you want engagement that helps the forums members?
I answered Red in the other forum but will repost it here:

"FWIW, I had nothing to do with locking or moving any threads here, but also it was not just one moderator, there was a discussion in the mod forum about it in which many mods chimed in and agreed that gambling threads should be in the dedicated forum set up for that. If you want to debate that, I recommend starting a Backwash thread."
 

djbayko

Member
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Jul 18, 2005
27,056
Los Angeles, CA
Fiskful is where threads go to die. It always have been and I feel Laddie's thread should be here with all the other basketball-related stuff. I've wanted to follow his journey and once a month I remember it exists and I check it out.

The only reason I began the other thread was for Cellar dwellers to have EASY access for time-sensitive material, it simply would not work in a different forum which is why I asked upthread and I thought, approved...not to have to click around and if it wasn't on their mind at that very moment they miss out due to it being time sensitive (the total I posted earlier this morning is already long gone). I was willing to put in extra work to help others make money but if that isn't going to be allowed then it was a short thread. I'm here for the people. Don't quite understand the resistance to people here making extra money but like a bad beat, we move on. This just seems like a solution in search of a problem so now it's gone.
To be clear: I have no issue with the thread being in Port Cellar...

But why is the bolded necessarily so? I understand that if you post something new there, it's not going to get any traction because there are no eyeballs. But in this case, we're moving an allegedly popular thread. Can't people simply be directed to go there now for this information they seemingly really want?

The lack of communication is a valid complaint.
 

HomeRunBaker

bet squelcher
SoSH Member
Jan 15, 2004
32,124
I answered Red in the other forum but will repost it here:

"FWIW, I had nothing to do with locking or moving any threads here, but also it was not just one moderator, there was a discussion in the mod forum about it in which many mods chimed in and agreed that gambling threads should be in the dedicated forum set up for that. If you want to debate that, I recommend starting a Backwash thread."
Thanks jon.