I’ll be flying up north tomorrow so wanted to post my early thoughts on the weekend if I don’t get around to posting (yeah, right lol).
Friday: Played Chicago and OKC, the two road dogs who showed fight in the first game. Basically fading the two teams that seem to have internal issues, lack of motivation, inability to close out games.
Saturday: Was telling a friend how this very well could be my largest volume day ever. Two MMA cards (Cage Warriors & UFC) with no shortage of big plays, 4 NBA playoff games, many live betting spots, a host of other sports action where I tail sharps, and I’ll be at a live casino with kiosks 7 feet from my seat. Uh, yeah…wish me positive variance please.
Best:
Celtics -9
Under 214.5 NY/Cleve
Knicks +6
Under 239 GS/Sac
Harden Under 20.5 Pts
If you have sites with ability to open a parlay or have a G2 price posted I see value in a Bos G1 ML/Bos G2 ML that will be priced around -185 whereas I have fair value closer to -230.
I don’t expect Grant to have much of a role in this series. If you can find player props I’d fire Under across the board on him. There is a real chance he gets a DNP-CD so check your books rules on whether the player must play in the game or only be active. Some have funky prop rules.
I’m waiting on playing NY to see what Randle’s status is. If he’s out I don’t want to be locked into 6 when I can get 9.5/10 which is what I’m hoping for with the Cavs dropping their guard.