Dustin Pedroia: 29 years old putting up a 130 OPS+ and a WAR for 4.0 playing 2B. Not sure what else I could ask for out of my franchise's first pick. FWAR: 3.5
Jered Weaver: Not performing as close to the level I would have liked out of my second round pick. His H/9 rate is 1.7 more than career average, his K/9 rate is almost a full point below his career average, and his ERA+ is 26 points below his career average. Additionaly his F-Strike% rate is down 8% from his career numbers. In hindsight I probably should have gone for a second bat here instead of reaching for a pitcher knowing there were nearly 60 picks between the Weaver selection and my next pick. FWAR: 0.9
B.J. Upton: Whiskey Tango Foxtrot is all the Wibis can think about Upton right now. We are just glad we arent stuck paying his contract this year. The Wibi's still believe that Upton can turn things around as his June numbers were tracking towards the more favorable. Hiswalk rate was a robust 16.5%, his strikeout rate dropped to 24.3%, and he ended up with an .812 OPS backed by four homers and four steals. FWAR: -0.1
Mike Moustakas: Like Upton, Moustakas has struggled mightily in 2013 and like Upton he showed signs that he might be turning things around in June. The major thing that the Wibi's like about Moustakas is that his LD rate in June was 21.7% even though he hasnt hit a HR since early May. FWAR: -0.4
Wilin Rosario: Rosario is performing exactly as hoped for a 23 year old, 5th round pick. He strikes out more and walks less than the Wibi's would like but given this is only his 3 year in the MLB and each year has shown improvements in the K and BB rate the Wibi's arent too concerned. FWAR: 1.3
Zack Cozart: Cozart is in his second full year at the MLB level and is performing adequately. He's 27 years old which makes him unlikely to show dramatic improvements but he's got good pop and is an acceptable fielder. Probably a reach for the Wibi's in the 6th round but we dont regret selecting Cozart. FWAR: 0.8
Marco Estrada: Estrada hasnt had the breakout year that was expected for this 7th round pick. Estrada's GB% is increasing but so is his HR/9 rate. Estrade has an ERA nearly 1.5 points higher than his xERA and the Wibi's expect him to turn it around during the second half of 2013 and into the future. FWAR: 0.0
Jason Hammel: Hammel supposedly added a sinker to his repiroire but it hasnt been effective in 2013 as his GB% is down nearly 10 points from his 2012 season. Hammel hasnt sucked but he hasnt been the 8th round value the Wibi's were expecting given where he was taken in this draft. FWAR: 0.4
Wily Peralta: Peralta isnt getting people to chase his pitches in 2013 like he did in 2012 and its hurting his ability to get outs. His LOB% is down nearly 20 points and his xERA is up nearly a full point compared to 2012. His 2013 release point is all over the map and the reports of him having a hamstring issue are probably true. Not the 2013 the Wibi's were hoping for but Peralta is only 23 and the furture is still bright for him. FWAR: 0.3
Coco Crisp: Crisp has shown to be a great value for his 10th round selection. His BABIP is down but his BB% is up and his K% is down which points to Crisp being very smart at the plate. The Wibi's could have not asked for a better 10th round value than what Crisp has provided. FWAR: 1.7
Drew Stubbs: Stubbs has been a plesant surprise in 2013 but has not performed near enought to his 2010 and 2011 levels for the Wibi's to have the value we were hoping for. The major change in 2013 is that Stubbs hasnt been stealing bases at nearly the rate he did in 2010 and 2011 and as a result his RS are down. FWAR: 1.4
Jake Arrieta: Arrieta was recently traded to the Cubs and the Wibi's are hoping that the change of league treats him well. His K/9 rate is the same it was in 2012 but his BB/9 rate has tripled while his GB% is down a 10 points. He's only 26 so the Wibi's arent ready to give up on his long term success just yet. FWAR: 0.2
Chris Iannetta: His defense has dropped off a bit but otherwise Iannetta is doing exactly what the Wibi's expected him to. FWAR: 0.9
Justin Smoak: When healthy Smoak has been tearing the cover off the ball in a stadium where thats harder than average todo. Smoak is another player that the Wibi's believe still has a breakout in him and are willing to give him time to see how well he performs.FWAR: 0.6
Alex Presley: Presley was optioned to AAA in late June after struggling since his early June callup. Not much to see here currently. FWAR: -0.1
Tyler Clippard: Clippard is lucky to not be being used more often as all his advanced metrics show him as not the pitcher he was in 2011 or 2012. Clippard would be closing for the Wibi's but he might also have been demoted to setup similar to his current situation in Washington. FWAR: 0.2
Robbie Ross: Ross has provided great value for the Wibi's given his 17th round selection. His strand rate is higher than normal and his GB% is lower but everything else he has done has been great. FWAR: 0.9
Roger Bernadina: Bernadina was drafted to be a bench player and that frankly is all he is worth right now. He's BB% is down and his K% is up. The only thing to like is that his BABIP is abnormally low which means some upward movement is expected. FWAR: 0.0
Tim Federowicz: Given he was the 3rd catcher the Wibi's selected he wasnt needed to perform in 2013; And thats a good thing since he hasnt done squat with his bat in 2013. He was never drafted to hit but drafted to be an above average defensive catcher and all signs point to that still being very likely to happen. FWAR: -0.1
Sergio Santos: Santos should have been thrown off the mound by July 1 but there have been no reports of how he is healing after having his elbow cleaned out in mid-May. FWAR: ---
Adam Ottavino: Ottavino has been an above average bullpen arm. Cant ask for much more than that from this 21st round pick. FWAR: 0.5
Jeremy Guthrie: Started the season strong but by mid-May was back to his old ways. Back of the rotation guy is the best that could be hoped for and thats probably all Guhtrie will ever be worth. FWAR: -0.5
Jose Tabata: Made the MLB rosters out of spring training which was not fully expected given the OF logjam in PIT. Tabata is only 24 years old even though he has been playing professional baseball since 2006. Not much else to see or say at this point. FWAR: 0.1
Yamaico Navarro: Meh. Needs to actually spend a season or two at AAA to get some stability but he is currently 25 and probably will only end up being a career AAAA player. Took a flyer in the 24th round and it hasnt paid off. FWAR: -0.1
Cristhian Martinez: Been dealing with shoulder issues for most of 2013 and has only pitched in 5 games total. Another late round flyer who hasnt paid off yet. FWAR: ---
Overall thoughts:
Hitters: Could be better and could be worse. I've got a semi-solid lineup that is young enough that the core players will be together for a few years. I didnt draft the hitters to be great this year but to build towards the 2014/2015 season and they are performing as such.
Pitching: Shoot me now then shoot my pitchers please. My best SP has an FWAR of 0.9 ... and my BP isnt much better ...
Jered Weaver: Not performing as close to the level I would have liked out of my second round pick. His H/9 rate is 1.7 more than career average, his K/9 rate is almost a full point below his career average, and his ERA+ is 26 points below his career average. Additionaly his F-Strike% rate is down 8% from his career numbers. In hindsight I probably should have gone for a second bat here instead of reaching for a pitcher knowing there were nearly 60 picks between the Weaver selection and my next pick. FWAR: 0.9
B.J. Upton: Whiskey Tango Foxtrot is all the Wibis can think about Upton right now. We are just glad we arent stuck paying his contract this year. The Wibi's still believe that Upton can turn things around as his June numbers were tracking towards the more favorable. Hiswalk rate was a robust 16.5%, his strikeout rate dropped to 24.3%, and he ended up with an .812 OPS backed by four homers and four steals. FWAR: -0.1
Mike Moustakas: Like Upton, Moustakas has struggled mightily in 2013 and like Upton he showed signs that he might be turning things around in June. The major thing that the Wibi's like about Moustakas is that his LD rate in June was 21.7% even though he hasnt hit a HR since early May. FWAR: -0.4
Wilin Rosario: Rosario is performing exactly as hoped for a 23 year old, 5th round pick. He strikes out more and walks less than the Wibi's would like but given this is only his 3 year in the MLB and each year has shown improvements in the K and BB rate the Wibi's arent too concerned. FWAR: 1.3
Zack Cozart: Cozart is in his second full year at the MLB level and is performing adequately. He's 27 years old which makes him unlikely to show dramatic improvements but he's got good pop and is an acceptable fielder. Probably a reach for the Wibi's in the 6th round but we dont regret selecting Cozart. FWAR: 0.8
Marco Estrada: Estrada hasnt had the breakout year that was expected for this 7th round pick. Estrada's GB% is increasing but so is his HR/9 rate. Estrade has an ERA nearly 1.5 points higher than his xERA and the Wibi's expect him to turn it around during the second half of 2013 and into the future. FWAR: 0.0
Jason Hammel: Hammel supposedly added a sinker to his repiroire but it hasnt been effective in 2013 as his GB% is down nearly 10 points from his 2012 season. Hammel hasnt sucked but he hasnt been the 8th round value the Wibi's were expecting given where he was taken in this draft. FWAR: 0.4
Wily Peralta: Peralta isnt getting people to chase his pitches in 2013 like he did in 2012 and its hurting his ability to get outs. His LOB% is down nearly 20 points and his xERA is up nearly a full point compared to 2012. His 2013 release point is all over the map and the reports of him having a hamstring issue are probably true. Not the 2013 the Wibi's were hoping for but Peralta is only 23 and the furture is still bright for him. FWAR: 0.3
Coco Crisp: Crisp has shown to be a great value for his 10th round selection. His BABIP is down but his BB% is up and his K% is down which points to Crisp being very smart at the plate. The Wibi's could have not asked for a better 10th round value than what Crisp has provided. FWAR: 1.7
Drew Stubbs: Stubbs has been a plesant surprise in 2013 but has not performed near enought to his 2010 and 2011 levels for the Wibi's to have the value we were hoping for. The major change in 2013 is that Stubbs hasnt been stealing bases at nearly the rate he did in 2010 and 2011 and as a result his RS are down. FWAR: 1.4
Jake Arrieta: Arrieta was recently traded to the Cubs and the Wibi's are hoping that the change of league treats him well. His K/9 rate is the same it was in 2012 but his BB/9 rate has tripled while his GB% is down a 10 points. He's only 26 so the Wibi's arent ready to give up on his long term success just yet. FWAR: 0.2
Chris Iannetta: His defense has dropped off a bit but otherwise Iannetta is doing exactly what the Wibi's expected him to. FWAR: 0.9
Justin Smoak: When healthy Smoak has been tearing the cover off the ball in a stadium where thats harder than average todo. Smoak is another player that the Wibi's believe still has a breakout in him and are willing to give him time to see how well he performs.FWAR: 0.6
Alex Presley: Presley was optioned to AAA in late June after struggling since his early June callup. Not much to see here currently. FWAR: -0.1
Tyler Clippard: Clippard is lucky to not be being used more often as all his advanced metrics show him as not the pitcher he was in 2011 or 2012. Clippard would be closing for the Wibi's but he might also have been demoted to setup similar to his current situation in Washington. FWAR: 0.2
Robbie Ross: Ross has provided great value for the Wibi's given his 17th round selection. His strand rate is higher than normal and his GB% is lower but everything else he has done has been great. FWAR: 0.9
Roger Bernadina: Bernadina was drafted to be a bench player and that frankly is all he is worth right now. He's BB% is down and his K% is up. The only thing to like is that his BABIP is abnormally low which means some upward movement is expected. FWAR: 0.0
Tim Federowicz: Given he was the 3rd catcher the Wibi's selected he wasnt needed to perform in 2013; And thats a good thing since he hasnt done squat with his bat in 2013. He was never drafted to hit but drafted to be an above average defensive catcher and all signs point to that still being very likely to happen. FWAR: -0.1
Sergio Santos: Santos should have been thrown off the mound by July 1 but there have been no reports of how he is healing after having his elbow cleaned out in mid-May. FWAR: ---
Adam Ottavino: Ottavino has been an above average bullpen arm. Cant ask for much more than that from this 21st round pick. FWAR: 0.5
Jeremy Guthrie: Started the season strong but by mid-May was back to his old ways. Back of the rotation guy is the best that could be hoped for and thats probably all Guhtrie will ever be worth. FWAR: -0.5
Jose Tabata: Made the MLB rosters out of spring training which was not fully expected given the OF logjam in PIT. Tabata is only 24 years old even though he has been playing professional baseball since 2006. Not much else to see or say at this point. FWAR: 0.1
Yamaico Navarro: Meh. Needs to actually spend a season or two at AAA to get some stability but he is currently 25 and probably will only end up being a career AAAA player. Took a flyer in the 24th round and it hasnt paid off. FWAR: -0.1
Cristhian Martinez: Been dealing with shoulder issues for most of 2013 and has only pitched in 5 games total. Another late round flyer who hasnt paid off yet. FWAR: ---
Overall thoughts:
Hitters: Could be better and could be worse. I've got a semi-solid lineup that is young enough that the core players will be together for a few years. I didnt draft the hitters to be great this year but to build towards the 2014/2015 season and they are performing as such.
Pitching: Shoot me now then shoot my pitchers please. My best SP has an FWAR of 0.9 ... and my BP isnt much better ...