Let's Predict the 2023 Red Sox Season

How Many Games Will the Red Sox Win?


  • Total voters
    365
  • Poll closed .

simplicio

Member
SoSH Member
Apr 11, 2012
5,884
One of my hopes for this year is that they can identify how they missed on Kluber and never do that again.
 

Sin Duda

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 16, 2005
903
(B)Austin Texas
Not including today...

Arroyo 62
Valdez 33
Reyes 24
Hernandez 22
Urias 17
Turner 10
Chang 4
Wong 3
Hamilton 2
Dalbec 1
Story 0
Mondesi 0

Am I missing anyone? Probably.
Am I the only one who (correctly) picked "no one" because I figured no one would play a "majority" (82 games)?
 

Rovin Romine

Johnny Rico
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Jul 14, 2005
25,691
Miami (oh, Miami!)
The Sox are 70-66, with 26 games left, they have improbable ceiling of 96 wins and an equally improbable floor of 70 wins. A .500 campaign for the remainder puts them somewhere close to 83 wins. Hot-seat predictors:

@LogansDad 95
***
@Merkle's Boner 70
Lose Remerswaal's Foolish Cousin 68
phineas gage 0
Green Monster 0
WV Sox Fan 0

strek1 0
 

JM3

often quoted
SoSH Member
Dec 14, 2019
16,724
Am I the only one who (correctly) picked "no one" because I figured no one would play a "majority" (82 games)?
Naw.

#8 Player who plays the majority of 2B games this season?
Christian Arroyo 42
Trevor Story 13
Adalberto Mondesi 7
Enmanuel Valdez 3
Kiké Hernandez 2
Bobby Dalbec 1

Several people, including me, said no one would play the majority, but then went on to make a choice. I just wrote the answers as if the question is looking for who plays the "most" games. I can change those answers to "none" if it will be scored as the player actually having to play 82 games at 2B.

@Rovin Romine
 

Rovin Romine

Johnny Rico
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Jul 14, 2005
25,691
Miami (oh, Miami!)
Weekend update:

After a dismal 3-7 stretch, the Sox are 72-69, now 6 games out of the WC.

With 21 games left, they have improbable ceiling of 93 wins and an equally improbable floor of 72 wins.

A .500 campaign for the remainder puts them somewhere close to 82-3 wins.


LogansDad 95
manny 94
Blizzard of 1978 94

koufax32 93
PrometheusWakefield 93
Rovin Romine 92
Apisith 92
chrisfont9 91
Bob Montgomerys Helmet Hat 91
Huck Masterson 91
joe dokes 91
rockchalkredsox 91
brs3 90
pk1627 90
deythur 89
Minneapolis Millers 89
PhabPhour20 89
Sin Duda 89
azsoxpatsfan 89
Daniel_Son 88
nvalvo 88
Amos Otis regrets 88
Heating up in the bullpen 88
BaseballJones 88
The Gray Eagle 88
Lowe Carbo 88
Ale Xander 87
KDAWG 87
YTF 87
thestardawg 87
OCD SS 87
The_Dali 86
gryoung 86
Lose Remerswaal 86
zougwa 86
budcrew08 86
Petagine in a Bottle 86
Cassvt2023 86
JM3 85
simplicio 85
snowmanny 85
FlexFlexerson 85
Sox in the sticks 85
CarolinaBeerGuy 85
Max Power 85
BringBackMo 85
iddoc 85
pinkhatfan 85
Sandy Leon Trotsky 84
Skiponzo 84
jwbasham84 84
Yaz4Ever 83
Yelling At Clouds 83
Saints Rest 82
Harry Hooper 82
derekson 81
teds_head 81
moretsyndrome 81
DeadlySplitter 80
Cantor44 80
Mugsy's Jock 80
streeter88 79
Coachster 79
jteders1 79
Curtis Pride 79
Big Papi's Mango Salsa 79
GB5 79
patinorange 78
John Marzano Olympic Hero 77
Yankeessuck4ever 77
Traut 77
tims4wins 76
gibreel 76
Papo The Snow Tiger 74
BravesField 73
Salem's Lot 72
Merkle's Boner 70
Lose Remerswaal's Foolish Cousin 68

phineas gage 0
Green Monster 0
WV Sox Fan 0

strek1 0
 

8slim

has trust issues
SoSH Member
Nov 6, 2001
25,602
Unreal America
Sox would only be 3 games out in the AL Central, and would be tied for third in the NL Central!
Meh. They’d be a different franchise if they were in those divisions, with different resources and a different approach to team building.

Until they just line up the AL 1 to 15, balance the schedule and let it rip, these comparisons don’t hold water.
 

Rovin Romine

Johnny Rico
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Jul 14, 2005
25,691
Miami (oh, Miami!)
Because I have a moment, post double-header:

The Sox are 73-72, 7 games out of the WC, with an elimination number of 11.

With 17 games left, they have improbable ceiling of 90 wins and an equally improbable floor of 73 wins.

A .500 campaign for the remainder puts them somewhere close to 82 wins. Current favorites are in green.


LogansDad 95
manny 94
Blizzard of 1978 94
koufax32 93
PrometheusWakefield 93
Rovin Romine 92

Apisith 92
chrisfont9 91
Bob Montgomerys Helmet Hat 91
Huck Masterson 91
joe dokes 91

rockchalkredsox 91
brs3 90
pk1627 90
deythur 89
Minneapolis Millers 89
PhabPhour20 89
Sin Duda 89
azsoxpatsfan 89
Daniel_Son 88
nvalvo 88
Amos Otis regrets 88
Heating up in the bullpen 88
BaseballJones 88
The Gray Eagle 88
Lowe Carbo 88
Ale Xander 87
KDAWG 87
YTF 87
thestardawg 87
OCD SS 87
The_Dali 86
gryoung 86
Lose Remerswaal 86
zougwa 86
budcrew08 86
Petagine in a Bottle 86
Cassvt2023 86
JM3 85
simplicio 85
snowmanny 85
FlexFlexerson 85
Sox in the sticks 85
CarolinaBeerGuy 85
Max Power 85
BringBackMo 85
iddoc 85
pinkhatfan 85
Sandy Leon Trotsky 84
Skiponzo 84
jwbasham84 84
Yaz4Ever 83
Yelling At Clouds 83
Saints Rest 82
Harry Hooper 82
derekson 81
teds_head 81
moretsyndrome 81

DeadlySplitter 80
Cantor44 80
Mugsy's Jock 80
streeter88 79
Coachster 79
jteders1 79
Curtis Pride 79
Big Papi's Mango Salsa 79
GB5 79
patinorange 78
John Marzano Olympic Hero 77
Yankeessuck4ever 77
Traut 77
tims4wins 76
gibreel 76
Papo The Snow Tiger 74
BravesField 73
Salem's Lot 72
Merkle's Boner 70
Lose Remerswaal's Foolish Cousin 68

phineas gage 0
Green Monster 0
WV Sox Fan 0

strek1 0
 
Last edited:

Rovin Romine

Johnny Rico
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Jul 14, 2005
25,691
Miami (oh, Miami!)
Because I have a moment, post double-header:

The Sox are 74-73, 7.5 games out of the WC, with an elimination number of 9.

With 15 games left, they have improbable ceiling of 89 wins and an equally improbable floor of 74 wins.

A .500 campaign for the remainder puts them somewhere close to 81 wins. Current favorites are in green.


LogansDad 95
manny 94
Blizzard of 1978 94
koufax32 93
PrometheusWakefield 93
Rovin Romine 92

Apisith 92
chrisfont9 91
Bob Montgomerys Helmet Hat 91
Huck Masterson 91
joe dokes 91

rockchalkredsox 91
brs3 90
pk1627 90

deythur 89
Minneapolis Millers 89
PhabPhour20 89
Sin Duda 89
azsoxpatsfan 89
Daniel_Son 88
nvalvo 88
Amos Otis regrets 88
Heating up in the bullpen 88
BaseballJones 88
The Gray Eagle 88
Lowe Carbo 88
Ale Xander 87
KDAWG 87
YTF 87
thestardawg 87
OCD SS 87
The_Dali 86
gryoung 86
Lose Remerswaal 86
zougwa 86
budcrew08 86
Petagine in a Bottle 86
Cassvt2023 86
JM3 85
simplicio 85
snowmanny 85
FlexFlexerson 85
Sox in the sticks 85
CarolinaBeerGuy 85
Max Power 85
BringBackMo 85
iddoc 85
pinkhatfan 85
Sandy Leon Trotsky 84
Skiponzo 84
jwbasham84 84
Yaz4Ever 83
Yelling At Clouds 83
Saints Rest 82
Harry Hooper 82
derekson 81
teds_head 81
moretsyndrome 81
DeadlySplitter 80
Cantor44 80
Mugsy's Jock 80

streeter88 79
Coachster 79
jteders1 79
Curtis Pride 79
Big Papi's Mango Salsa 79
GB5 79
patinorange 78
John Marzano Olympic Hero 77
Yankeessuck4ever 77
Traut 77
tims4wins 76
gibreel 76
Papo The Snow Tiger 74
BravesField 73
Salem's Lot 72
Merkle's Boner 70
Lose Remerswaal's Foolish Cousin 68

phineas gage 0
Green Monster 0
WV Sox Fan 0

strek1 0
 
Last edited:

DeadlySplitter

Member
SoSH Member
Oct 20, 2015
34,128
I can see a garbage road trip here, and only 5 home games left (albeit 3 vs the tire fire White Sox). Orioles might need to try in the last series of the season, they are only one game up on the Rays now.

79-83 would be a 5-10 finish from here. It's definitely in play.
 

Rovin Romine

Johnny Rico
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Jul 14, 2005
25,691
Miami (oh, Miami!)
I can see a garbage road trip here, and only 5 home games left (albeit 3 vs the tire fire White Sox). Orioles might need to try in the last series of the season, they are only one game up on the Rays now.

79-83 would be a 5-10 finish from here. It's definitely in play.
Well, there's the whole issue of resting/shutting players down for both us and other teams, so that can make the final games pretty swingy. But that depends on (for example) what's going on with Baltimore for the last 4 games of the year.

While the Sox don't have a lot of arms, I don't know if there's any reason to sit Bello, Houck, Sale, or Pivetta in the next weeks. If there is, the team will crash and burn.

I'd guess 3-12 is about the worst they'd do, and 9-6 the best.

So 77 to 83 wins?
 

Red(s)HawksFan

Member
SoSH Member
Jan 23, 2009
21,264
Maine
My point was the Sox are regressing to a losing season.
They've done that a few times this year and bounced back each time to bring it back to/over .500.

In fact it's been pretty remarkable how consistent they've been month to month. 13 or 15 wins each month.

Mar/April 15-14
May 13-13
June 13-15
July 15-8
August 13-15
September 5-8

8-7 or 10-5 the rest of the way would fit the pattern.
 

tims4wins

PN23's replacement
SoSH Member
Jul 15, 2005
38,793
Hingham, MA
They've done that a few times this year and bounced back each time to bring it back to/over .500.

In fact it's been pretty remarkable how consistent they've been month to month. 13 or 15 wins each month.

Mar/April 15-14
May 13-13
June 13-15
July 15-8
August 13-15
September 5-8

8-7 or 10-5 the rest of the way would fit the pattern.
Things get weird the last 2 weeks of the year. Yeah they might go 8-7 or 10-5. They might also go 3-12. All outcomes possible.
 

Rovin Romine

Johnny Rico
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Jul 14, 2005
25,691
Miami (oh, Miami!)
Back to 500; 5-9 in September so far, with very few easy wins left. Maybe CWS?
May as well do the update then.


The Sox are 74-74, 7.5 games out of the WC, with an elimination number of 8.

With 14 games left, they have improbable ceiling of 88 wins and an equally improbable floor of 74 wins.

A .500ish campaign for the remainder puts them somewhere close to 81 wins. Current favorites for that are in green.


LogansDad 95
manny 94
Blizzard of 1978 94
koufax32 93
PrometheusWakefield 93
Rovin Romine 92

Apisith 92
chrisfont9 91
Bob Montgomerys Helmet Hat 91
Huck Masterson 91
joe dokes 91

rockchalkredsox 91
brs3 90
pk1627 90
deythur 89

Minneapolis Millers 89
PhabPhour20 89
Sin Duda 89

azsoxpatsfan 89
Daniel_Son 88
nvalvo 88
Amos Otis regrets 88
Heating up in the bullpen 88
BaseballJones 88
The Gray Eagle 88
Lowe Carbo 88
Ale Xander 87
KDAWG 87
YTF 87
thestardawg 87
OCD SS 87
The_Dali 86
gryoung 86
Lose Remerswaal 86
zougwa 86
budcrew08 86
Petagine in a Bottle 86
Cassvt2023 86
JM3 85
simplicio 85
snowmanny 85
FlexFlexerson 85
Sox in the sticks 85
CarolinaBeerGuy 85
Max Power 85
BringBackMo 85
iddoc 85
pinkhatfan 85
Sandy Leon Trotsky 84
Skiponzo 84
jwbasham84 84
Yaz4Ever 83
Yelling At Clouds 83
Saints Rest 82
Harry Hooper 82
derekson 81
teds_head 81
moretsyndrome 81
DeadlySplitter 80
Cantor44 80
Mugsy's Jock 80

streeter88 79
Coachster 79
jteders1 79
Curtis Pride 79
Big Papi's Mango Salsa 79
GB5 79
patinorange 78
John Marzano Olympic Hero 77
Yankeessuck4ever 77
Traut 77
tims4wins 76
gibreel 76
Papo The Snow Tiger 74
BravesField 73
Salem's Lot 72
Merkle's Boner 70
Lose Remerswaal's Foolish Cousin 68

phineas gage 0
Green Monster 0
WV Sox Fan 0

strek1 0
 
Last edited:

jbupstate

Member
SoSH Member
Dec 1, 2022
629
New York, USA
How many teams can potentially pass the Sox over the next few weeks?

Asking for the poor Sox fans that wasted the last 4 years following a mediocre team that should have tanked harder.
 

Petagine in a Bottle

Member
SoSH Member
Jan 13, 2021
12,926
How many teams can potentially pass the Sox over the next few weeks?

Asking for the poor Sox fans that wasted the last 4 years following a mediocre team that should have tanked harder.
Most likely, none. They are four games ahead of Cleveland and San Diego, five up on Pittsburgh. Looks like they will be no worse than the 18th best record.
 

Red(s)HawksFan

Member
SoSH Member
Jan 23, 2009
21,264
Maine
How many teams can potentially pass the Sox over the next few weeks?

Asking for the poor Sox fans that wasted the last 4 years following a mediocre team that should have tanked harder.
Inconsequential at this point. With the draft lottery, the difference between being the 14th worst team and the 11th worst team isn't enough to guarantee anything. They could tank the last two weeks and still end up with the same draft position they'd have if they played it straight.
 

Rovin Romine

Johnny Rico
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Jul 14, 2005
25,691
Miami (oh, Miami!)
How many teams can potentially pass the Sox over the next few weeks?

Asking for the poor Sox fans that wasted the last 4 years following a mediocre team that should have tanked harder.
The 2024 Draft is a lottery so nothing is fixed: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Major_League_Baseball_draft

Tankathon has a good page for the standings. https://www.tankathon.com/mlb

Maybe we go lower than Cleveland or San Diego. . .but the next team down is Washington, and there's a 9 game gap. Right now we're looking at (most likely) the #13 pick. If we tanked hard. . .we might get the #12 pick, but could end up with #13 still.
 

Red(s)HawksFan

Member
SoSH Member
Jan 23, 2009
21,264
Maine
Only the first six picks are a lottery, right? That has no impact on the Sox.
Yes, the lottery is for the first six picks, but the Sox are eligible for that lottery if they miss the playoffs. Tanking won't significantly impact their odds of getting a top 6 pick. And there's not a whole lot of difference between picking 12th and picking 15th in terms of player quality or bonus money allocations.
 

Rovin Romine

Johnny Rico
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Jul 14, 2005
25,691
Miami (oh, Miami!)
End of the Jays series in which they were swept.

The Sox are 74-76, 8.5 games out of the WC, with an elimination number of 5.

With 12 games left, they have improbable ceiling of 86 wins and an equally improbable floor of 74 wins.

A .500ish campaign for the remainder puts them somewhere close to 80 wins. Current favorites for that are in green.


LogansDad 95
manny 94
Blizzard of 1978 94
koufax32 93
PrometheusWakefield 93
Rovin Romine 92
Apisith 92
chrisfont9 91
Bob Montgomerys Helmet Hat 91
Huck Masterson 91
joe dokes 91
rockchalkredsox 91
brs3 90
pk1627 90
deythur 89
Minneapolis Millers 89
PhabPhour20 89
Sin Duda 89
azsoxpatsfan 89
Daniel_Son 88
nvalvo 88
Amos Otis regrets 88
Heating up in the bullpen 88
BaseballJones 88
The Gray Eagle 88
Lowe Carbo 88
Ale Xander 87
KDAWG 87
YTF 87
thestardawg 87

OCD SS 87
The_Dali 86
gryoung 86
Lose Remerswaal 86
zougwa 86
budcrew08 86
Petagine in a Bottle 86
Cassvt2023 86
JM3 85
simplicio 85
snowmanny 85
FlexFlexerson 85
Sox in the sticks 85
CarolinaBeerGuy 85
Max Power 85
BringBackMo 85
iddoc 85
pinkhatfan 85
Sandy Leon Trotsky 84
Skiponzo 84
jwbasham84 84
Yaz4Ever 83
Yelling At Clouds 83
Saints Rest 82
Harry Hooper 82
derekson 81
teds_head 81
moretsyndrome 81
DeadlySplitter 80
Cantor44 80
Mugsy's Jock 80
streeter88 79
Coachster 79
jteders1 79
Curtis Pride 79
Big Papi's Mango Salsa 79

GB5 79
patinorange 78
John Marzano Olympic Hero 77
Yankeessuck4ever 77
Traut 77
tims4wins 76
gibreel 76
Papo The Snow Tiger 74
BravesField 73
Salem's Lot 72
Merkle's Boner 70
Lose Remerswaal's Foolish Cousin 68
phineas gage 0
Green Monster 0
WV Sox Fan 0

strek1 0
 

YTF

Member
SoSH Member
End of the Jays series in which they were swept.

The Sox are 74-76, 8.5 games out of the WC, with an elimination number of 5.

With 12 games left, they have improbable ceiling of 86 wins and an equally improbable floor of 74 wins.

A .500ish campaign for the remainder puts them somewhere close to 80 wins. Current favorites for that are in green.


LogansDad 95
manny 94
Blizzard of 1978 94
koufax32 93
PrometheusWakefield 93
Rovin Romine 92
Apisith 92
chrisfont9 91
Bob Montgomerys Helmet Hat 91
Huck Masterson 91
joe dokes 91
rockchalkredsox 91
brs3 90
pk1627 90
deythur 89
Minneapolis Millers 89
PhabPhour20 89
Sin Duda 89
azsoxpatsfan 89
Daniel_Son 88
nvalvo 88
Amos Otis regrets 88
Heating up in the bullpen 88
BaseballJones 88
The Gray Eagle 88
Lowe Carbo 88
Ale Xander 87
KDAWG 87
YTF 87
thestardawg 87

OCD SS 87
The_Dali 86
gryoung 86
Lose Remerswaal 86
zougwa 86
budcrew08 86
Petagine in a Bottle 86
Cassvt2023 86
JM3 85
simplicio 85
snowmanny 85
FlexFlexerson 85
Sox in the sticks 85
CarolinaBeerGuy 85
Max Power 85
BringBackMo 85
iddoc 85
pinkhatfan 85
Sandy Leon Trotsky 84
Skiponzo 84
jwbasham84 84
Yaz4Ever 83
Yelling At Clouds 83
Saints Rest 82
Harry Hooper 82
derekson 81
teds_head 81
moretsyndrome 81
DeadlySplitter 80
Cantor44 80
Mugsy's Jock 80
streeter88 79
Coachster 79
jteders1 79
Curtis Pride 79
Big Papi's Mango Salsa 79

GB5 79
patinorange 78
John Marzano Olympic Hero 77
Yankeessuck4ever 77
Traut 77
tims4wins 76
gibreel 76
Papo The Snow Tiger 74
BravesField 73
Salem's Lot 72
Merkle's Boner 70
Lose Remerswaal's Foolish Cousin 68
phineas gage 0
Green Monster 0
WV Sox Fan 0

strek1 0
Damn, I had hopes of them starting a streak today and winning out the rest of the way. :rolleyes: It's been a frustrating season for sure, but some definite pluses to look forward to.
 

Yelling At Clouds

Post-darwinian
SoSH Member
Jul 19, 2005
3,526
I think even if they do match my 83-win prediction I’d lose because I also predicted “good vibes,” and we seem pretty far from that at the moment