2022-2023 General Celtics thread

lovegtm

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From Zach Lowe's Power Rankings at The Athletic:

1st Q: +11.4 net rating (previous: +18.6) | Ranked 2nd (previous: 1st)
2nd Q: +4.9 net rating (previous: +5.9) | Ranked 8th (previous: 7th)
3rd Q: +5.4 net rating (previous: +8.1) | Ranked 5th (previous: 4th)
4th Q: +4.2 net rating (previous: +1.7) | Ranked 6th (previous: 12th)
Clutch: +13.7 net rating (previous: +8.0) | Ranked 3rd (previous: 12th) | 26 games (18-8) (Previous: 11 games, 8-3)
Takeaway: Maybe the Celtics should be the top team in the Power Rankings, but considering the injuries, it felt fine to knock them all the way down to third. It’s crazy how this team just doesn’t have a bad quarter throughout the game. Almost the best first quarter team, a top-eight second quarter team, top-five in the third, and then they don’t even let you win garbage time against them. If you are fortunate enough to get to a clutch situation, they’re running that too. Feels like Jayson Tatum gets pushed out of these MVP conversations too easily right now, when he could be leading it.


Nice to see how well they've done in "clutch" time, 3rd best in the league, 18-8 in close games. I feel like that translates well to playoff basketball.

https://theathletic.com/4188841/2023/02/20/nba-power-rankings-week-19/
My main takeaway there is that the eye test is right: they don't consistently have let-ups at any point in the game, which is indicative of player buy-in and execution...the most important job of an NBA coach.

It also looks very well-paced for the NBA regular season: they come out hard with the starters, keep things solid but not redlining, and then buckle down in crunch time. The relative drop in 2nd/4th quarter is also maybe due to Tatum's rest patterns, which is fine.
 

TripleOT

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From Zach Lowe's Power Rankings at The Athletic:

1st Q: +11.4 net rating (previous: +18.6) | Ranked 2nd (previous: 1st)
2nd Q: +4.9 net rating (previous: +5.9) | Ranked 8th (previous: 7th)
3rd Q: +5.4 net rating (previous: +8.1) | Ranked 5th (previous: 4th)
4th Q: +4.2 net rating (previous: +1.7) | Ranked 6th (previous: 12th)
Clutch: +13.7 net rating (previous: +8.0) | Ranked 3rd (previous: 12th) | 26 games (18-8) (Previous: 11 games, 8-3)
Takeaway: Maybe the Celtics should be the top team in the Power Rankings, but considering the injuries, it felt fine to knock them all the way down to third. It’s crazy how this team just doesn’t have a bad quarter throughout the game. Almost the best first quarter team, a top-eight second quarter team, top-five in the third, and then they don’t even let you win garbage time against them. If you are fortunate enough to get to a clutch situation, they’re running that too. Feels like Jayson Tatum gets pushed out of these MVP conversations too easily right now, when he could be leading it.


Nice to see how well they've done in "clutch" time, 3rd best in the league, 18-8 in close games. I feel like that translates well to playoff basketball.

https://theathletic.com/4188841/2023/02/20/nba-power-rankings-week-19/
Their preferred starting line up has started together in one game only, and they are the best team in the league, two thirds through the season. Time to get healthy and go on a 18-5 run to close the season
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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Thats interesting. A number of years ago, coaching high school AAU basketball, I tried to implement some of Spain’s tika-taka style. I wanted the offense to have lots of movement and rapid passing. I wanted to get away from standard AAU offenses that revolve around individual one on one play.

Obviously it looked different in basketball than in soccer (plus the players were obviously less skilled), but it did work in some ways. It didn’t work in others of course. It was so different than what the players were used to but on the occasions when it clicked, defenses were pretty helpless because they, too, had never seen anything like it.
That's cool. Here's an article that talked about how the FSG's Serie A team came to visit and the two coaches talked about cross-concepts (though it doesn't go into details): https://www.bostonglobe.com/2022/11/29/sports/celtics-put-their-heads-together-with-an-italian-soccer-club-see-how-they-can-mutually-benefit/

One thing I think I remembering hearing is that JMazz emphasizes creating triangles on offense like a team might in attacking on the soccer pitch. But as I said earlier, I wish someone broke down how the Cs do this.

You might be interested in this video breakdown, which doesn't really address the soccer concept issue but uses a lot of off-ball screens and other movement to create open space and mismatches. The one thing that really strikes me when I watch the Cs is how they use off-ball screens - and secondard screens off the initial screen - to free up open shooters like Hauser and JT and JB.

https://www.celticsblog.com/2022/11/18/23465953/off-ball-screening-is-the-boston-celtics-biggest-weapon
 

MyDaughterLovesTomGordon

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What do we collectively think about Tatum pretty clearly desperately wanting the All-Star MVP and Joe coaching him to get it?

For me, him putting up 55 and doing the mimicry of LeBron with the alleyoop to himself on the very next play was some alpha assertion shit that I think is very good for Tatum. It felt a little bit like, "yeah, I could do what Luka does and hog the ball and score a fuckton every night, but I'm trying to win games. Tonight, I'm just showing off." And then him going out and demanding to be thought of as the best in the league.

That run of threes he went on was next level Curry shit. Lights out. Amazing to watch.

I can't wait for the season to start back up!
 

jmcc5400

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What do we collectively think about Tatum pretty clearly desperately wanting the All-Star MVP and Joe coaching him to get it?

For me, him putting up 55 and doing the mimicry of LeBron with the alleyoop to himself on the very next play was some alpha assertion shit that I think is very good for Tatum. It felt a little bit like, "yeah, I could do what Luka does and hog the ball and score a fuckton every night, but I'm trying to win games. Tonight, I'm just showing off." And then him going out and demanding to be thought of as the best in the league.

That run of threes he went on was next level Curry shit. Lights out. Amazing to watch.

I can't wait for the season to start back up!
I think the All Star game was mostly interesting for these kind of insights - how the players perceive themselves and how they are received by their peers. JT pretty clearly is accepted as an inner circle guy and JB being selected 2nd by LeBron suggests to me that he is closer to being held in that esteem than I thought.
 

Red Right Ankle

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That's cool. Here's an article that talked about how the FSG's Serie A team came to visit and the two coaches talked about cross-concepts (though it doesn't go into details): https://www.bostonglobe.com/2022/11/29/sports/celtics-put-their-heads-together-with-an-italian-soccer-club-see-how-they-can-mutually-benefit/

One thing I think I remembering hearing is that JMazz emphasizes creating triangles on offense like a team might in attacking on the soccer pitch. But as I said earlier, I wish someone broke down how the Cs do this.

You might be interested in this video breakdown, which doesn't really address the soccer concept issue but uses a lot of off-ball screens and other movement to create open space and mismatches. The one thing that really strikes me when I watch the Cs is how they use off-ball screens - and secondard screens off the initial screen - to free up open shooters like Hauser and JT and JB.

https://www.celticsblog.com/2022/11/18/23465953/off-ball-screening-is-the-boston-celtics-biggest-weapon
Wonder if they have talked to Monty then. Hockey is all about triangles and it's a more comparably sized playing surface and game speed.
 

lovegtm

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What do we collectively think about Tatum pretty clearly desperately wanting the All-Star MVP and Joe coaching him to get it?

For me, him putting up 55 and doing the mimicry of LeBron with the alleyoop to himself on the very next play was some alpha assertion shit that I think is very good for Tatum. It felt a little bit like, "yeah, I could do what Luka does and hog the ball and score a fuckton every night, but I'm trying to win games. Tonight, I'm just showing off." And then him going out and demanding to be thought of as the best in the league.

That run of threes he went on was next level Curry shit. Lights out. Amazing to watch.

I can't wait for the season to start back up!
It's an interesting motivational tactic from his coach, with very low downside and some possible upside. Hopefully it triggers a 2020 style post-ASB Tatum explosion.
 

TripleOT

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What do we collectively think about Tatum pretty clearly desperately wanting the All-Star MVP and Joe coaching him to get it?

For me, him putting up 55 and doing the mimicry of LeBron with the alleyoop to himself on the very next play was some alpha assertion shit that I think is very good for Tatum. It felt a little bit like, "yeah, I could do what Luka does and hog the ball and score a fuckton every night, but I'm trying to win games. Tonight, I'm just showing off." And then him going out and demanding to be thought of as the best in the league.
Tatum is fulfilling his destiny, a path he started on as a young teen who was trained from age 13 to be an NBA player, with NBA players. We Celtics fans are incredibly lucky to have witnessed his ascent from skinny teenager who willed his depleted team to a couple of buckets away from the Finals, to MVP candidate as an all around superstar who can from 50 points on any given night.

Take a look at JT’s early IG posts. He put himself on a superstar trajectory through hard work and competitiveness. Tatum has always been one of the top players in every level of his journey. It’s no surprise to me that he’s among the best at the highest level.
 

DGreenwood

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I think the marketing value for his new shoe was part of his desire to show out in this particular all star game. I believe he wore four different colorways throughout the game and he talked about it a lot this weekend.
 

Jimbodandy

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I think the All Star game was mostly interesting for these kind of insights - how the players perceive themselves and how they are received by their peers. JT pretty clearly is accepted as an inner circle guy and JB being selected 2nd by LeBron suggests to me that he is closer to being held in that esteem than I thought.
Yes. It seems that the players' opinions of themselves and each other matches the analytics more than the opinions of the general public do. That's not that shocking but nice to see.

When Ja said that he was worried about the Celtics most of all, parts of the basketball twitterverse exploded. But we've always known that the hoop twitterati are mostly shitheads, haven't we?
 

BaseballJones

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What do we collectively think about Tatum pretty clearly desperately wanting the All-Star MVP and Joe coaching him to get it?
I don't think anything of it. If he wants to be considered the best player in the NBA, then lead the Celtics to a championship. I know he was worn down last year, but that's part of the deal if you're the superduperstar. You play heavy duty minutes and carry the burden of the team. That's the deal. That's what you sign up for if you are demanding to be THE MAN.

Last year Tatum averaged 35.9 minutes a night and played 76 games, averaging 26.9 points on .453 shooting. In the first three rounds of the playoffs he averaged 41.0 minutes a game and averaged 27.0 points on .446 shooting. Then in the finals, he averaged 40.7 minutes a game and averaged 21.5 points on .367 shooting.

In 1991 Jordan averaged 37.0 minutes a night and played all 82 games, averaging 31.5 points on .539 shooting. In the first three rounds of the playoffs he averaged 39.1 minutes a game and averaged 31.1 points on .510 shooting. Then in the finals, he averaged 44.0 minutes a game, averaging 31.2 points on .558 shooting.

And in 1998 as a 34-year old, Jordan averaged 38.8 minutes a night and played all 82 games, averaging 28.7 points on .465 shooting. In the first three rounds of the playoffs he averaged 41.5 minutes a game, scoring 31.9 points on .478 shooting. Then in the finals, he averaged 41.6 minutes a game (reduced a ton by playing only 32 minutes in game 3, a 42-point Bulls victory; otherwise he played 45:36, 40:14, 43:10, 44:43, and 43:41 minutes), scoring 33.5 points on .427 shooting.

And that guy completely worked it on both ends of the court. Didn't take a break on defense.

Now that's Michael Jordan. Tatum is no Michael Jordan. But still....

Kobe Bryant...2009. Averaged 36.1 minutes a game and played all 82 games, averaging 26.8 points on .467 shooting. In the first three rounds of the playoffs he averaged 40.0 minutes a game, scoring 29.6 points on .466 shooting. In the finals he averaged 43.8 minutes a game, scoring 32.4 points on .430 shooting.


Anyway, the point I'm trying to make here is that the answer to the question, "What do we think of....(Tatum's all star game performance)?" Nothing. If he wants to be the best player in the game, win the NBA championship.
 

BaseballJones

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That's cool. Here's an article that talked about how the FSG's Serie A team came to visit and the two coaches talked about cross-concepts (though it doesn't go into details): https://www.bostonglobe.com/2022/11/29/sports/celtics-put-their-heads-together-with-an-italian-soccer-club-see-how-they-can-mutually-benefit/

One thing I think I remembering hearing is that JMazz emphasizes creating triangles on offense like a team might in attacking on the soccer pitch. But as I said earlier, I wish someone broke down how the Cs do this.

You might be interested in this video breakdown, which doesn't really address the soccer concept issue but uses a lot of off-ball screens and other movement to create open space and mismatches. The one thing that really strikes me when I watch the Cs is how they use off-ball screens - and secondard screens off the initial screen - to free up open shooters like Hauser and JT and JB.

https://www.celticsblog.com/2022/11/18/23465953/off-ball-screening-is-the-boston-celtics-biggest-weapon
Yeah, triangles (not the old Tex Winters triangle offense) are what makes that style work. It's super interesting stuff to me.
 

lovegtm

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Their preferred starting line up has started together in one game only, and they are the best team in the league, two thirds through the season. Time to get healthy and go on a 18-5 run to close the season
This doesn't get brought up enough imo. I don't mean in the sense of excuses, either. I mean that the Celtics were able to ROLL people last year only when that starting 5 was together. When TL went down, there was a tough adjustment period, and they never rolled people again during the playoffs, although they did steal the Nets' souls and gut through some tough series.

They're not 1996 Bulls'ing people this year, but they've figured out how to win more games than anyone without the benefit of falling back on a prior formula.

I think that Mazzulla and the players deserve significantly more credit for this than they've gotten. People seem to assume the Cs are just continuing last regular season's Ime trajectory when in fact it's been something quite different (stylistically and personnel-wise).
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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Wonder if they have talked to Monty then. Hockey is all about triangles and it's a more comparably sized playing surface and game speed.
Didn't know that about hockey as I stopped watching it a long time ago. I don't see anything about JMazz (or any other basketball coach) incorporating hockey concepts but it would be fascinating to see it done since hockey is all about constant movement too.

JMazz was a standout high school soccer player so apparently he's obsessed with soccer so that's why he taps that well but someone should get the two coaching staffs together!
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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Yeah, triangles (not the old Tex Winters triangle offense) are what makes that style work. It's super interesting stuff to me.
Well even Tex Winters saw the parallels. From that 2008 article:

“Soccer is a lot like basketball,” Winter said. “It’s a game of geometry. Spacing, distances, direct lines they operate on these angles and reverse sides of the court with the ball, just as we would in the triangle. Not being a soccer coach, I can’t really address it with intelligence, but a lot of the concepts are similar.”
 

BaseballJones

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Well even Tex Winters saw the parallels. From that 2008 article:

“Soccer is a lot like basketball,” Winter said. “It’s a game of geometry. Spacing, distances, direct lines they operate on these angles and reverse sides of the court with the ball, just as we would in the triangle. Not being a soccer coach, I can’t really address it with intelligence, but a lot of the concepts are similar.”
He's not wrong!
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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This explains a lot….being that there are no timeouts called by the coaches in soccer.
Yeah, that was mentioned in a BSJ article about timeouts: https://www.bostonsportsjournal.com/2023/01/13/nba-notebook-why-joe-mazzulla-avoids-calling-timeouts-for-celtics.

I don't have a sub but from the free blurb portion, the article says: "His preferred game flow stems from soccer as a former high school standout who watches the sport frequently and loves its lack of stoppages and flow between defense and offense. Celtics games fly by due in large part to their coach's propensity to play on, and the opposing head coach often ends up calling for stoppages Boston might need."
 

MyDaughterLovesTomGordon

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I don't think anything of it. If he wants to be considered the best player in the NBA, then lead the Celtics to a championship. I know he was worn down last year, but that's part of the deal if you're the superduperstar. You play heavy duty minutes and carry the burden of the team. That's the deal. That's what you sign up for if you are demanding to be THE MAN.

Last year Tatum averaged 35.9 minutes a night and played 76 games, averaging 26.9 points on .453 shooting. In the first three rounds of the playoffs he averaged 41.0 minutes a game and averaged 27.0 points on .446 shooting. Then in the finals, he averaged 40.7 minutes a game and averaged 21.5 points on .367 shooting.

In 1991 Jordan averaged 37.0 minutes a night and played all 82 games, averaging 31.5 points on .539 shooting. In the first three rounds of the playoffs he averaged 39.1 minutes a game and averaged 31.1 points on .510 shooting. Then in the finals, he averaged 44.0 minutes a game, averaging 31.2 points on .558 shooting.

And in 1998 as a 34-year old, Jordan averaged 38.8 minutes a night and played all 82 games, averaging 28.7 points on .465 shooting. In the first three rounds of the playoffs he averaged 41.5 minutes a game, scoring 31.9 points on .478 shooting. Then in the finals, he averaged 41.6 minutes a game (reduced a ton by playing only 32 minutes in game 3, a 42-point Bulls victory; otherwise he played 45:36, 40:14, 43:10, 44:43, and 43:41 minutes), scoring 33.5 points on .427 shooting.

And that guy completely worked it on both ends of the court. Didn't take a break on defense.

Now that's Michael Jordan. Tatum is no Michael Jordan. But still....

Kobe Bryant...2009. Averaged 36.1 minutes a game and played all 82 games, averaging 26.8 points on .467 shooting. In the first three rounds of the playoffs he averaged 40.0 minutes a game, scoring 29.6 points on .466 shooting. In the finals he averaged 43.8 minutes a game, scoring 32.4 points on .430 shooting.


Anyway, the point I'm trying to make here is that the answer to the question, "What do we think of....(Tatum's all star game performance)?" Nothing. If he wants to be the best player in the game, win the NBA championship.
Yeah, i'm not worried about the workload really. I agree with others that Tatum is a specimen and likely works harder on his "off days" than he does on game days.

More I mean the desire and Joe being a part of it. I like the fulfilling of the destiny talk. Tatum sees himself as the rightful heir, but he also knows that you don't get to be royalty unless you've got the ring. I don't think he thinks it's enough just to have a great all star game and have his own shoe, etc. To be "Lebron" or anyone else of that elite caliber, he needs the title.

And I think Kyrie is the perfect example. How much less shit would he get away with, how different would his stature be, if he didn't get that early ring? And it's definitely why Paul George, for example, is not in that circle. He's just not.

I also thought the Tatum-Brown stuff was genuine and neither of them seemed to get even a little bit salty. It was great, great stuff.
 

benhogan

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Tatum is fulfilling his destiny, a path he started on as a young teen who was trained from age 13 to be an NBA player, with NBA players. We Celtics fans are incredibly lucky to have witnessed his ascent from skinny teenager who willed his depleted team to a couple of buckets away from the Finals, to MVP candidate as an all around superstar who can from 50 points on any given night.

Take a look at JT’s early IG posts. He put himself on a superstar trajectory through hard work and competitiveness. Tatum has always been one of the top players in every level of his journey. It’s no surprise to me that he’s among the best at the highest level.
Yep, Tatum's infrastructure, Mom/Hanlan/Deuce, is a big part of the JT package. They eliminate all the 'Off-Court distractions" that can hurt young superstars.

Everything about the All-Star weekend worked in the Celtics' favor:
1. Tatum MVP + signature shoe release. Nike tosses aside Kyrie and gives Tatum his own edition. Tatum won't be winning the regular season MVP award, Joker has that locked up. This can pave the way for JT to focus on being rested/healthy for the playoffs.
2. Coach Joe unapologetically refuses to take Tatum off the floor and removes Mitchell. JT should appreciate that attention.
3. Most importantly, Brown is Bron's #2 pick. JB's 35 pointz potentially give him some prestige when it comes to All-NBA voting: no Zach Lavine and nothing special from Lauri, DeRozan, Siakam, PG, JJJ. While it shouldn't matter/count, the national media probably can't help but be influenced by masked Brown.
 

Eddie Jurak

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What do we collectively think about Tatum pretty clearly desperately wanting the All-Star MVP and Joe coaching him to get it?

For me, him putting up 55 and doing the mimicry of LeBron with the alleyoop to himself on the very next play was some alpha assertion shit that I think is very good for Tatum. It felt a little bit like, "yeah, I could do what Luka does and hog the ball and score a fuckton every night, but I'm trying to win games. Tonight, I'm just showing off." And then him going out and demanding to be thought of as the best in the league.

That run of threes he went on was next level Curry shit. Lights out. Amazing to watch.

I can't wait for the season to start back up!
I think it was obviously right for Joe to support Tatum yesterday. It is just the par for the course thing to do in today's star driven NBA. The point of it, from Mazzulla/Celtics perspective, was to (in effect) say to Tatum, "you're our guy and we are with you/have your back on this."

What was really fascinating was the response of the players. There's no way the rest of the guys on the floor with Tatum (his All Star teammates moreso than his opponents) are letting him get to 55 and the MVP if they think he's an overrated asshole. This was a "Welcome to the club of current NBA greats" kind of moment for Tatum. (And it was a similar though lesser moment for Brown).
With apologies to Ella Fitzgerald

it don't mean a thing if you don't get the ring

doo-wah

doo-wah

doo-wah
This is true. If the Celtics don't win this year/Tatum struggles in playoffs, the fanbase will give him some flack over this. Even though one thing has nothing to do with the other, it could be viewed as sort of "talking the talk before walking the walk."
 

snowmanny

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Eh. Tatum is about to turn 25. Jordan didn't win a title or, obviously, even make a Finals until he was 28; I don't recall a ton of humility.
 

lexrageorge

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Just a too early recap of where the Celtics stand with tiebreakers, possible first round opponents, etc.

1: Boston: 42-17 w/ 23 remaining. (25-12 record against EC, 8-1 against division). Strength of remaining schedule is ranked #10 as per tankathon, with 10 home and 13 road games remaining. The team has one remaining long road trip out west, but other than Portland and possibly Sacramento it's not a difficult one.

2: Bucks: 0.5 game behind w/ 24 games remaining. (23-13 conf). H2H: 1-1 with 1 remaining on 3/30 in Milwaukee, which will break any ties. #11 in remaining SoS, 12 H, 12 away. Clearly the biggest block to the Celtics clinching the #1 seed.

3: 76'ers: 3 GB w/ 25 remaining. . (22-13 conf, 7-5 division). H2H: Celtics lead 2-0 with 2 remaining (2/25 & 4/4, both in Philly). #1 in remaining SoS, with 10 H and 15 away. Two difficult road trips remain, so they will have their work cut out for them to get a top 2 seed, and that divisional record pretty much puts them behind Boston in any tiebreaker scenario.

4: Cavs: 5 GB w/ 21 remaining. (22-11 conf). H2H: Celtics trail 0-2 with 2 remaining. Remaing schedule is ranked #27 with 10 H and 11 away. They are definitely not going away, and have played the Bucks even (2-2 this season), but their 13-17 road record is a killer. Could be a difficult second round opponent.

5: Nets: 7.5 GB w/ 24 remaining. (16-13 conf, 6-7 division). H2H: Boston clinched at 3-0 with 1 remaining. #7 in remaining SoS with 12H, 12A. Equally close to the playin and a top 4 seed, but obvious roster changes probably eliminate the latter. They do own the H2H tiebreaker against the Heat.

6: Knicks: 9.5 GB w/ 22 remaining. (23-16 conf, 5-8 div). H2H: 1-1 w/ 2 remaining. #8 in SoS w/ 10 H, 12 A, with one difficult west coast trip remaining that includes Portland and the 2 LA teams. Nets roster changes are probably the best news the Knicks had when it comes to avoiding the playin.

7: Heat: 10 GB w/ 23 remaining. (15-17 conf). H2H: 2-2. #9 in SoS w/ 12H, 11A. They have 3 pivotal games remaining against the Knicks to avoid the playin. May want to pull for Miami in those just to remove the possibility of a Celtics first round matchup against the Heat. Good news for Boston is that Miami's weak divisional opponents give them a slight edge in a tiebreaker scenario against NY.

8: Hawks: 13 GB w/ 23 remaining (17-19 conf). H2H: Celtics lead 1-0 w/ 2 remaining. #3 in SoS remaining, but a favorable split w/ 14 home, 9 away. However, an odd scheduling quirk has them playing 4 consecutive road games against the Heat and Wizards that will probably end up deciding their slot in the playin.

9: Wizards: 13.5 GB w/ 24 remaining (15-17 conf). H2H: Celtics lead 2-0 w/ 1 remaining. #18 in SoS w/ 15 H, 9 away. Their favorable home/road split probably means they can pencil in a playin spot at least.

10: Raptors: 14 GB w/ 23 remaining (17-19 conf, 4-9 div). H2H: Celtics lead 2-0 w/ 2 remaining. #5 in SoS w/ 10H, 12 A. Not a good road team so they are in danger of slipping out of the playin entirely. They follow two consecutive road games against the Wizards with a trip to LA and Denver.

11: Bulls: 16 GB w/ 23 remaining (20-20 conf). H2H: 2-2. #19 in SoS w/ 12 H, 11 A. This is one of those situations where I don't agree w/ tankathon, given that the Bulls do have 4 pivotal games against Toronto, Atlanta, Washington, and Indy. But also have to deal with a trip to Portland and both LA teams, a trip to Denver, and another to Milwaukee and Dallas. And 2 remaining against the Sixers. They really are in a desperate situation to reach the playin.

12: Pacers: 16.5 GB w/ 22 remaining (18-17 conf). H2H: Celtics trail 0-1 w/ 2 remaining. #23 in SoS w/ 9 H, 13 A (8-20 road record). Their unfavorable home/road split should give the Bulls and Raptors comfort.

13: Magic: 18 GB w/ 23 remaining (12-25 conf). H2H: Orlando won 3-1. #17 in SoS w/ 13 H, 10 A. They could sneak into the playin with a favorable remaining schedule (albeit with one tough western trip to Phoenix and LA looming). But their conference record will hurt them in any tiebreakers. Just hoping Boston avoids a first round matchup with them.

Hornets and Pistons are in tank mode w/ Spurs and Rockets.
 

Jimbodandy

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More I mean the desire and Joe being a part of it. I like the fulfilling of the destiny talk. Tatum sees himself as the rightful heir, but he also knows that you don't get to be royalty unless you've got the ring. I don't think he thinks it's enough just to have a great all star game and have his own shoe, etc. To be "Lebron" or anyone else of that elite caliber, he needs the title.

And I think Kyrie is the perfect example. How much less shit would he get away with, how different would his stature be, if he didn't get that early ring? And it's definitely why Paul George, for example, is not in that circle. He's just not.
Everything about the All-Star weekend worked in the Celtics' favor:

3. Most importantly, Brown is Bron's #2 pick. JB's 35 pointz potentially give him some prestige when it comes to All-NBA voting: no Zach Lavine and nothing special from Lauri, DeRozan, Siakam, PG, JJJ. While it shouldn't matter/count, the national media probably can't help but be influenced by masked Brown.
I agree with both of these posts (snipped regardless). But the bolded really jump out. Yes, RINGZ matter and bestow credibility of course. But you both are noting the BRANDING part of things. Kyrie has never been a better player than Paul George, not for any length of time really. They're in the same ballpark, but in general George has been better throughout his career. And yes, Kyrie has a ring, while George doesn't. Both have a weak playoff record otherwise, really similar. George has a lot more playoff games and has flamed out less frequently. Yet, we had a conversation about how Kyrie is a once-in-a-generation player because handle and wow, what a finisher he is. I maintain that most of that shit is marketing. Kyrie is a branding genius, up until the point that he decided to expose his own antisemitism at least. The good news is that Tatum and Brown seem to be getting the recognition that they deserve among their peers and now fans without having to star in a movie and TV commercials. I'm still rooting for both to stay here forever, so I hope that the increased exposure helps Jaylen land a deal here that he can't refuse.

edit: I realize that I'm probably going to get a few replies about how I'm selling Kyrie short with a Paul George comparison because of branding.
 
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Euclis20

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I agree with both of these posts (snipped regardless). But the bolded really jump out. Yes, RINGZ matter and bestow credibility of course. But you both are noting the BRANDING part of things. Kyrie has never been a better player than Paul George, not for any length of time really. They're in the same ballpark, but in general George has been better throughout his career. And yes, Kyrie has a ring, while George doesn't. Both have a weak playoff record otherwise, really similar. George has a lot more playoff games and has flamed out less frequently. Yet, we had a conversation about how Kyrie is a once-in-a-generation player because handle and wow, what a finisher he is. I maintain that most of that shit is marketing. Kyrie is a branding genius, up until the point that he decided to expose his own antisemitism at least. The good news is that Tatum and Brown seem to be getting the recognition that they deserve among their peers and now fans without having to star in a movie and TV commercials. I'm still rooting for both to stay here forever, so I hope that the increased exposure helps Jaylen land a deal here that he can't refuse.

edit: I realize that I'm probably going to get a few replies about how I'm selling Kyrie short with a Paul George comparison because of branding.
I don't disagree that George has been a far better player than Kyrie, but I think your selling Pandemic P short here. He has a long and glorious history of flaming out in the playoffs, particularly since leaving Indy (although he had some brutal elimination game performances there as well). In 2018, he scored just 5 points on 2-16 shooting in an elimination game against the Jazz. In 2019, he played superbly in an elimination game against the Blazers, but was embarrassed by Dame with the series ending buzzer beater ("that's a bad shot"). In the bubble, he was a big part of the 3-1 blown lead vs the Nuggets and was just 4-16 with 10 points (including at least one 3 off the side of the backboard) in the game 7 loss. He has underwhelmed often enough that people were legitimately surprised when he played well in the 2021 playoffs, much of those games without Kawhi.
 

Jimbodandy

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I don't disagree that George has been a far better player than Kyrie, but I think your selling Pandemic P short here. He has a long and glorious history of flaming out in the playoffs, particularly since leaving Indy (although he had some brutal elimination game performances there as well). In 2018, he scored just 5 points on 2-16 shooting in an elimination game against the Jazz. In 2019, he played superbly in an elimination game against the Blazers, but was embarrassed by Dame with the series ending buzzer beater ("that's a bad shot"). In the bubble, he was a big part of the 3-1 blown lead vs the Nuggets and was just 4-16 with 10 points (including at least one 3 off the side of the backboard) in the game 7 loss. He has underwhelmed often enough that people were legitimately surprised when he played well in the 2021 playoffs, much of those games without Kawhi.
George has been terrible, agreed. Everyone seems to know that.

My point is that Kyrie has also been bad. Best evidence that I can give is that he has played 22 playoff games since he left Cleveland. Played. 74 playoff games played total in 11 years, and that includes a finals win.

I suppose that failing to make the playoffs or sitting them out is perhaps less damaging to a player's image than playing poorly in them, but nobody has an opinion of Kyrie in the playoffs because for the last five years he's never there.
 

lovegtm

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Just a too early recap of where the Celtics stand with tiebreakers, possible first round opponents, etc.

1: Boston: 42-17 w/ 23 remaining. (25-12 record against EC, 8-1 against division). Strength of remaining schedule is ranked #10 as per tankathon, with 10 home and 13 road games remaining. The team has one remaining long road trip out west, but other than Portland and possibly Sacramento it's not a difficult one.

2: Bucks: 0.5 game behind w/ 24 games remaining. (23-13 conf). H2H: 1-1 with 1 remaining on 3/30 in Milwaukee, which will break any ties. #11 in remaining SoS, 12 H, 12 away. Clearly the biggest block to the Celtics clinching the #1 seed.

3: 76'ers: 3 GB w/ 25 remaining. . (22-13 conf, 7-5 division). H2H: Celtics lead 2-0 with 2 remaining (2/25 & 4/4, both in Philly). #1 in remaining SoS, with 10 H and 15 away. Two difficult road trips remain, so they will have their work cut out for them to get a top 2 seed, and that divisional record pretty much puts them behind Boston in any tiebreaker scenario.

4: Cavs: 5 GB w/ 21 remaining. (22-11 conf). H2H: Celtics trail 0-2 with 2 remaining. Remaing schedule is ranked #27 with 10 H and 11 away. They are definitely not going away, and have played the Bucks even (2-2 this season), but their 13-17 road record is a killer. Could be a difficult second round opponent.

5: Nets: 7.5 GB w/ 24 remaining. (16-13 conf, 6-7 division). H2H: Boston clinched at 3-0 with 1 remaining. #7 in remaining SoS with 12H, 12A. Equally close to the playin and a top 4 seed, but obvious roster changes probably eliminate the latter. They do own the H2H tiebreaker against the Heat.

6: Knicks: 9.5 GB w/ 22 remaining. (23-16 conf, 5-8 div). H2H: 1-1 w/ 2 remaining. #8 in SoS w/ 10 H, 12 A, with one difficult west coast trip remaining that includes Portland and the 2 LA teams. Nets roster changes are probably the best news the Knicks had when it comes to avoiding the playin.

7: Heat: 10 GB w/ 23 remaining. (15-17 conf). H2H: 2-2. #9 in SoS w/ 12H, 11A. They have 3 pivotal games remaining against the Knicks to avoid the playin. May want to pull for Miami in those just to remove the possibility of a Celtics first round matchup against the Heat. Good news for Boston is that Miami's weak divisional opponents give them a slight edge in a tiebreaker scenario against NY.

8: Hawks: 13 GB w/ 23 remaining (17-19 conf). H2H: Celtics lead 1-0 w/ 2 remaining. #3 in SoS remaining, but a favorable split w/ 14 home, 9 away. However, an odd scheduling quirk has them playing 4 consecutive road games against the Heat and Wizards that will probably end up deciding their slot in the playin.

9: Wizards: 13.5 GB w/ 24 remaining (15-17 conf). H2H: Celtics lead 2-0 w/ 1 remaining. #18 in SoS w/ 15 H, 9 away. Their favorable home/road split probably means they can pencil in a playin spot at least.

10: Raptors: 14 GB w/ 23 remaining (17-19 conf, 4-9 div). H2H: Celtics lead 2-0 w/ 2 remaining. #5 in SoS w/ 10H, 12 A. Not a good road team so they are in danger of slipping out of the playin entirely. They follow two consecutive road games against the Wizards with a trip to LA and Denver.

11: Bulls: 16 GB w/ 23 remaining (20-20 conf). H2H: 2-2. #19 in SoS w/ 12 H, 11 A. This is one of those situations where I don't agree w/ tankathon, given that the Bulls do have 4 pivotal games against Toronto, Atlanta, Washington, and Indy. But also have to deal with a trip to Portland and both LA teams, a trip to Denver, and another to Milwaukee and Dallas. And 2 remaining against the Sixers. They really are in a desperate situation to reach the playin.

12: Pacers: 16.5 GB w/ 22 remaining (18-17 conf). H2H: Celtics trail 0-1 w/ 2 remaining. #23 in SoS w/ 9 H, 13 A (8-20 road record). Their unfavorable home/road split should give the Bulls and Raptors comfort.

13: Magic: 18 GB w/ 23 remaining (12-25 conf). H2H: Orlando won 3-1. #17 in SoS w/ 13 H, 10 A. They could sneak into the playin with a favorable remaining schedule (albeit with one tough western trip to Phoenix and LA looming). But their conference record will hurt them in any tiebreakers. Just hoping Boston avoids a first round matchup with them.

Hornets and Pistons are in tank mode w/ Spurs and Rockets.
Thanks for the detailed summary!

Unfortunately, and this is probably about structural issues with the NBA more than anything.....who here is really concerned about where the seeding shakes out, as opposed to how health shakes out?

If healthy, the Bucks and Celtics are a clear notch above everyone, and probably not scared to play any of the other teams. I don't think either the Bucks or Celtics is worried about playing on the other's home floor in a game 7.

I'm not sold on Philly: they don't have decision-makers/attackers on the perimeter to capitalize on extra attention to Embiid. Harden is a great player, but his value drops a lot off-ball. Harris is a record-scratch god.

Aside from maintaining good habits and getting healthy, I'm not seeing a ton of drama over the rest of the regular season in the East.
 

Euclis20

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George has been terrible, agreed. Everyone seems to know that.

My point is that Kyrie has also been bad. Best evidence that I can give is that he has played 22 playoff games since he left Cleveland. Played. 74 playoff games played total in 11 years, and that includes a finals win.

I suppose that failing to make the playoffs or sitting them out is perhaps less damaging to a player's image than playing poorly in them, but nobody has an opinion of Kyrie in the playoffs because for the last five years he's never there.
All fair. I do wonder what Kyrie's career narrative is if he doesn't make that shot. He was excellent in that series overall (27/4/4 with good efficiency), but if Cleveland hadn't completed their comeback, it would be lost to history (he averaged 29/4/4 on even better efficiency in the following year against GS, but nobody cares because Cleveland lost). As you note he's been a complete non-factor in the playoffs since leaving Cleveland, kind of remarkable considering the teammates he's had.
 

Fishy1

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Nov 10, 2006
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I love it when someone comes in here and writes an eight paragraph screed about how "it doesn't matter if you don't win a ring!!"

Like, yeah... we all know. But Tatum has lots of time. Lebron didn't win a ring till he was 27. Jordan around the same age.
 

bsj

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Are the Celtics blowing it? Just taking the temp...

They entered the deadline as the title favorite, and when every other team would go all in, we've done very little on the trade front and haven't gone after any of the top buyout guys out there. Usually the teams most likely to win fortify that.

Feels like others have closed the gap some. If you are the Celtics, I gotta ask, If not now then when?
 

Cellar-Door

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Are the Celtics blowing it? Just taking the temp...

They entered the deadline as the title favorite, and when every other team would go all in, we've done very little on the trade front and haven't gone after any of the top buyout guys out there. Usually the teams most likely to win fortify that.

Feels like others have closed the gap some. If you are the Celtics, I gotta ask, If not now then when?
They got one of the few guys who might crack their playoff rotation in trade, and nobody on the buyout market would.

The Celtics didn't make major moves at the deadline because they were already the best top 8 in the league, same reason DEN and MIL didn't do much major, when you have your stars, you have your top 8 or so... there aren't a ton of moves to make.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Are the Celtics blowing it? Just taking the temp...

They entered the deadline as the title favorite, and when every other team would go all in, we've done very little on the trade front and haven't gone after any of the top buyout guys out there. Usually the teams most likely to win fortify that.

Feels like others have closed the gap some. If you are the Celtics, I gotta ask, If not now then when?
Who closed the gap at the deadline? We added the rotational big we needed for frontcourt depth and took a free flier on Snell as wing depth if needed/if he can still play. Those were the two “needs” which as others have noted previously was still a stretch as to how much of a need it even was. Short of trading for Poeltl what else did you want Brad to do?
 

lovegtm

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Who closed the gap at the deadline? We added the rotational big we needed for frontcourt depth and took a free flier on Snell as wing depth if needed/if he can still play. Those were the two “needs” which as others have noted previously was still a stretch as to how much of a need it even was. Short of trading for Poeltl what else did you want Brad to do?
Brad did a great job of buying assets at off times or at slightly lower prices, as opposed to paying the panic price or for name value at the deadline.

He moved on from Kemba and to get Horford before the draft.

White was just one 1st because people
didn't see how well he'd fit after adjusting.

Brogdon had injury concerns that lower minutes and intensity seem to help.

He extended Smart on a bargain deal.

An ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure. If you aggressively pounce on good deals, while not being too precious with 1st rounders, there just aren't many possible moves to make.

Poeltl was really the only one out there, and Brad's earned some benefit of the doubt if he decided to not try and get in on that.
 

benhogan

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Nov 2, 2007
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Are the Celtics blowing it? Just taking the temp...

They entered the deadline as the title favorite, and when every other team would go all in, we've done very little on the trade front and haven't gone after any of the top buyout guys out there. Usually the teams most likely to win fortify that.

Feels like others have closed the gap some. If you are the Celtics, I gotta ask, If not now then when?
The temperature is balmy.

1. Best TOP8 in the NBA
2. Added TL/AL Insurance in Muscala (5-wide optionality)
3. 10, 11, 12 & 13 are Hauser, Pritchard, Blake & Kornet who have been capable

There hasn't been a buyout player that would really replace anybody listed above.

Poeltl was the get but Toronto paid the price.
If we really want to nitpick, Vanderbilt was the only guy I'd pine for that was easily gettable. He would have been a nice WING defender for the next 2 seasons. Not sure what Austin is doing if he can't get the old man to trade him here instead of the Lakers.

Brad has a collection of nice contracts at his disposal to combine and make deals this summer if necessary.
 

lexrageorge

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Jul 31, 2007
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Thanks for the detailed summary!

Unfortunately, and this is probably about structural issues with the NBA more than anything.....who here is really concerned about where the seeding shakes out, as opposed to how health shakes out?

If healthy, the Bucks and Celtics are a clear notch above everyone, and probably not scared to play any of the other teams. I don't think either the Bucks or Celtics is worried about playing on the other's home floor in a game 7.

I'm not sold on Philly: they don't have decision-makers/attackers on the perimeter to capitalize on extra attention to Embiid. Harden is a great player, but his value drops a lot off-ball. Harris is a record-scratch god.

Aside from maintaining good habits and getting healthy, I'm not seeing a ton of drama over the rest of the regular season in the East.
Priorities for the Celtics:

#1: Health.

#2: Finish with one of the top 2 seeds in the East. It would be annoying to have to go on the road for a tough matchup in the 2nd round.

#2A: Get some games with their top 8 players to establish chemistry and good rotational habits.

#3 (distant): Hope that Heat get the 6th seed.

NBA is happy, though. 3 teams are jostling for the remaining 2 mini-byes, while 6 are fighting for the 3 remaining playin spots. Much better for the league than having 8 or 9 teams tanking.

Are the Celtics blowing it? Just taking the temp...

They entered the deadline as the title favorite, and when every other team would go all in, we've done very little on the trade front and haven't gone after any of the top buyout guys out there. Usually the teams most likely to win fortify that.

Feels like others have closed the gap some. If you are the Celtics, I gotta ask, If not now then when?
Bucks brought in Jae Crowder, who would at best be 9th in the Celtics rotation. Jalen McDaniels is not a bad get for the 76'ers but he really doesn't move the needle that much. Unclear that Danny Green would see any minutes in Boston. The West is still a big scrum; Bryant was a nice pickup for the Nuggets, but the Celtics didn't need him. Suns were the only other team that truly bumped the needle.
 

Eddie Jurak

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Are the Celtics blowing it? Just taking the temp...

They entered the deadline as the title favorite, and when every other team would go all in, we've done very little on the trade front and haven't gone after any of the top buyout guys out there. Usually the teams most likely to win fortify that.

Feels like others have closed the gap some. If you are the Celtics, I gotta ask, If not now then when?
Whose minutes on the current team are you looking to upgrade?
 

MyDaughterLovesTomGordon

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I think the need was TimeLord insurance because it’s hard to just ink him in for the full playoff run.

But Grant guards Embiid/Giannis better than maybe 90% of the centers in the league and this team has zero need for offense out of the 5.

Tatum-Jaylen-Al-Smart-White is so switchable and athletic and technically sound (Jaylen is the weakest defender and he’s still pretty good!) I think it’s pretty hard to find a player in the league who upgrades that unit.

You get into, “well, Jokic upgrades the 5,” kind of stuff.

Then you’ve got Brogdon, who starts for half the league, and Grant’s defense.

Muscala as an 8th makes the Cs a title favorite WITHOUT TimeLord.

People worried about what Hauser/Luke/pritch, blah, blah are going to do in the playoffs are crazy. Those guys are going to be learning cheers and making sure their butts don’t fall asleep.
 

TripleOT

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The Bucks upgraded their wing depth with Crowder. Boston upgraded their bigs depth with Muscala, who can add three point punch from a big when AL is injured or load managed. Boston has enough depth without another buyout addition.
 

InstaFace

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Who closed the gap at the deadline? We added the rotational big we needed for frontcourt depth and took a free flier on Snell as wing depth if needed/if he can still play. Those were the two “needs” which as others have noted previously was still a stretch as to how much of a need it even was. Short of trading for Poeltl what else did you want Brad to do?
Brad did a great job of buying assets at off times or at slightly lower prices, as opposed to paying the panic price or for name value at the deadline.
...
Poeltl was really the only one out there, and Brad's earned some benefit of the doubt if he decided to not try and get in on that.
Poeltl was the get but Toronto paid the price.
Yeah I agree here that Poeltl would've been great but don't particularly fault Brad for not making that move. And that's because we need to remember what the Poeltl-to-Toronto deal was for:

- Khem Birch, for salary matching and replacing SAS's need for a defense-first center
- 2024 TOR 1st-rounder (protected 1-6 for 3 rollover years, converts to 2x 2nd-rounders thereafter)
- 2023 TOR 2nd-rounder
- 2025 TOR 2nd-rounder (they'd already traded their 2024 2nd)

Toronto looks like a mid-lottery team this year, so the 2023 2nd will be good and the 2024 1st looks to be both likely to convey but also likely to have plenty of value.

How are we going to beat that? We'd have needed to send probably two 1sts, among other assets. Here we were, talking about "well maybe we send two seconds..." and Toronto shipped two better seconds, plus a first. We were never going to beat that offer, we'd have had to absolutely empty the cupboard to beat it - and then faced the likelihood that Poeltl walks in free agency anyway. I'm sure Popovich fumbled the pen in his rush to sign the deal before Ujiri changed his mind. I don't blame Brad for a second not trying to top that deal. Which means I'm happy with what he did - as are the 3 people I've quoted above, from what I can tell.
 

Jimbodandy

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You can make a legit case that Muscala is not only a better team fit for what we need now but a better player overall, nevermind acquisition cost and rental.
 

Deathofthebambino

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I think one of the takeaways I took from the ASG that's gotten no attention around here is that Jaylen seems to be comfortable shooting/playing in the mask. At this point, we have no idea how long he's going to have to wear it, and we didn't see him do much on the defensive end, but I was certainly happy to not see him tossing airballs or dribbling off his feet while getting used to it.
 

DeJesus Built My Hotrod

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You can make a legit case that Muscala is not only a better team fit for what we need now but a better player overall, nevermind acquisition cost and rental.
This. Trading assets for a Poeltl rental would have been a poor use of resources given that they don't have a lot of minutes available. If they so choose they also get Muscala at reasonable cost for next year.

Muscala isn't going to move the needle much but its a nifty little move that gives them a bunch of flexibility now and going forward.
 

the moops

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The Bucks upgraded their wing depth with Crowder. Boston upgraded their bigs depth with Muscala, who can add three point punch from a big when AL is injured or load managed. Boston has enough depth without another buyout addition.
I am unsure if we can even consider Crowder a wing anymore. Defensively he needs to play the 4 almost exclusively
 

Jimbodandy

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I am unsure if we can even consider Crowder a wing anymore. Defensively he needs to play the 4 almost exclusively
The DARKO and LEBRON numbers on him are very strange. Basically "has never been better" on defense and "has never really been worse" on offense.

edit: BPM basically agrees
 

benhogan

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Which means I'm happy with what he did - as are the 3 people I've quoted above, from what I can tell.
Yea I don't think we've seen the Cellar in more agreement on how the Celtics/Brad have proceeded recently & over the last 18mths. Getting 1.5 seasons of Muscala for two 2nds at his salary ($3.5M/yr) is the proverbial no-brainer.

I listened to OKC's Locked-On podcast after the trade to try to understand why a team fighting for the play-in game would deal a veteran Center that can shoot 3s at 40%.

Why? OKC adds to their pick trove. They love Jaylin Williams (ARK) at Center and have Jeremiah Robinson-Earl back soon. They have Poku at some point, plus Chet Holmgren next season. OKC replaced MM with Saric to play the veteran Center role.
OKC/Presti pride themselves on being transparent, they wanted to hook up Muscala. Sounds like Mike wanted to play for Boston/contender. Win, win, win.

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TAuM8euvD2U


View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Loj5B9tnQiI