The Championship Outlook: 2015 and beyond

NortheasternPJ

Member
SoSH Member
Nov 16, 2004
19,439
amarshal2 said:
I don't understand. The Patriots haven't exactly been $25-35M under the cap at any point which is approx.what they would have to average to only be at 83% of the cap. And how did the packers spend over 110%? Why are they using the word cash like it has a different meaning than salary or bonus or something? So confused.
Doesn't this go back to the 90s Broncos* and deferred payments but also making sure teams aren't messing with NLTBE or LTBE to meet the cap floor and not actually,paying it out in real dollars to players?
 

Stitch01

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 15, 2005
18,155
Boston
amarshal2 said:
I don't understand. The Patriots haven't exactly been $25-35M under the cap at any point which is approx.what they would have to average to only be at 83% of the cap. And how did the packers spend over 110%? Why are they using the word cash like it has a different meaning than salary or bonus or something? So confused.
Brady's 30 million signing bonus contributed a lot against the cap the last three years but zero for that minimum cash calculation. The Hernandez dead money too.
 

Super Nomario

Member
SoSH Member
Nov 5, 2000
14,024
Mansfield MA
Stitch01 said:
Brady's 30 million signing bonus contributed a lot against the cap the last three years but zero for that minimum cash calculation. The Hernandez dead money too.
Wasn't that extension signed in 2013?
 
The big extensions for Mankins, Gronkowski, Hernandez, Mayo, and Wilfork were all pre-2013, so the bonuses from those deals wouldn't count in these cash calculations. It seems like it will be pretty easy to get over on the other side with extensions for guys like Revis, McCourty, Hightower, and Chandler Jones.
 

Stitch01

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 15, 2005
18,155
Boston
Thought it was signed in Feb 2013 but still in the 2012 league year so the bulk wouldn't go towards 2013/2014/2015 three year window it maybe I'm not interpreting the number right.
 

amarshal2

Member
SoSH Member
Oct 25, 2005
4,913
Super Nomario said:
Wasn't that extension signed in 2013?
 
The big extensions for Mankins, Gronkowski, Hernandez, Mayo, and Wilfork were all pre-2013, so the bonuses from those deals wouldn't count in these cash calculations. It seems like it will be pretty easy to get over on the other side with extensions for guys like Revis, McCourty, Hightower, and Chandler Jones.
I'm not sure. They're basically policing how the contracts will be structured this year. Considering their 83% rate over a three year period and existing dead money, the Pats will have to spend well more than 100% of the cap in cash this year which means lots of signing bonuses (or one big one). If they tag McCourty and extend Revis on one of his high AAV low guarantee contracts similar to the one he had with NYJ/TB, then they're in a situation where they have to go find other guys to give signing bonuses to in order to comply.
 

amarshal2

Member
SoSH Member
Oct 25, 2005
4,913
amarshal2 said:
I'm not sure. They're basically policing how the contracts will be structured this year. Considering their 83% rate over a three year period and existing dead money, the Pats will have to spend well more than 100% of the cap in cash this year which means lots of signing bonuses (or one big one). If they tag McCourty and extend Revis on one of his high AAV low guarantee contracts similar to the one he had with NYJ/TB, then they're in a situation where they have to go find other guys to give signing bonuses to in order to comply.
Sorry, actually doing the math they will have to spend about 100% of the cap to get to 89% not counting for size of salary cap and dead money. They will definitely have to find guys to give signing bonuses to but this shouldn't be that hard.
 

Super Nomario

Member
SoSH Member
Nov 5, 2000
14,024
Mansfield MA
amarshal2 said:
Sorry, actually doing the math they will have to spend about 100% of the cap to get to 89% not counting for size of salary cap and dead money. They will definitely have to find guys to give signing bonuses to but this shouldn't be that hard.
Yeah, the period runs through 2016, so in addition to Revis and McCourty there's Solder, Hightower, and Chandler Jones. And they can always throw some money Brady's way and extend him out another couple years.
 

Super Nomario

Member
SoSH Member
Nov 5, 2000
14,024
Mansfield MA
I think a budget re-signing of Casillas makes a lot of sense. From Week 9 when he joined the team Casillas led the Patriots in special teams snaps, and he has significant experience on both defense and special teams. He's not stout enough to be a full-time linebacker, but he can provide useful depth and big-time special teams value and figures to cost less than retaining Mayo or even re-signing Ayers.
 

dynomite

Member
SoSH Member
Super Nomario said:
I think a budget re-signing of Casillas makes a lot of sense. From Week 9 when he joined the team Casillas led the Patriots in special teams snaps, and he has significant experience on both defense and special teams. He's not stout enough to be a full-time linebacker, but he can provide useful depth and big-time special teams value and figures to cost less than retaining Mayo or even re-signing Ayers.
Completely agreed. Seemed like he picked up the system incredibly quickly and was valuable depth for the rest of the season. Can't imagine the market for his services will be fierce, either.
 

Ed Hillel

Wants to be startin somethin
SoSH Member
Dec 12, 2007
44,293
Here
Has nobody addressed the elephant in the room yet? Tyler Gaffney "accidentally" tears his lateral meniscus and next thing you know he ends up on the Patriots?
 

dcmissle

Deflatigator
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Aug 4, 2005
28,269
... but not as hold-your-nose bad as the linebackers?

Mayock yesterday was priceless. He whacked the piñata so fairly, not even the sunshine crowd at the NFLN could object.
 

Super Nomario

Member
SoSH Member
Nov 5, 2000
14,024
Mansfield MA
BannedbyNYYFans.com said:
Tyler Gaffney would have ranked 3rd among 2015 RBs in the 40, first in 3-cone, 8th in vert, 10th in short shuttle, 5th in 60-yard shuttle.
https://twitter.com/DougKyedNESN/status/569695383695310848
 
 
theapportioner said:
So, I guess Kyed is implying that this year's RB draft class isn't so hot?
In fact among the 2014 class, Gaffney finished 9th in the 40, 2nd in 3-cone, 10th in vert, 7th in 20-yard shuttle, 1st in 60-yard shuttle. That's not a big difference. The dude had a really good Combine (which of course isn't to say that he's a good football player or that he's going to have his athleticism post-injury).
 
M

MentalDisabldLst

Guest
I just looked around, and searched the forum, and I couldn't find any threads talking about Tyler Gaffney.  Did we just not discuss that move?  I had to google it to figure out what you guys were talking about.
 

dynomite

Member
SoSH Member
Yes, Gaffney's story flew under the radar.

http://m.espn.go.com/general/story?storyId=11277873&city=boston&src=desktop

To put the story here for reference: essentially the Patriots claimed him off waivers in training camp and stashed him on IR after the Panthers tried to sneak him through waivers and then IR him instead of keeping him on the 90-man roster so they could add another camp body. (Gaffney was their 6th round pick and tore his lateral meniscus in his left knee on the first play of a "Fan Fest")

It was another infringement of the silly "unwritten rules" of the NFL, and the Panthers seemed pretty upset (like the Giants when BB did the same thing with Jake Ballard in 2012).
 
M

MentalDisabldLst

Guest
So basically, we were willing to commit a 90-man training camp roster spot to him, even though he was injured, but the Panthers weren't?  Because he obviously ended up on IR either way.  But if so, then that's very different from how, say, MLB works its disabled-list system, where anyone added to the DL doesn't occupy a roster spot until re-activated.  Strange that the Panthers would have to commit a spot to him despite him needing to go on IR.
 

Super Nomario

Member
SoSH Member
Nov 5, 2000
14,024
Mansfield MA
MentalDisabldLst said:
So basically, we were willing to commit a 90-man training camp roster spot to him, even though he was injured, but the Panthers weren't?  Because he obviously ended up on IR either way.  But if so, then that's very different from how, say, MLB works its disabled-list system, where anyone added to the DL doesn't occupy a roster spot until re-activated.  Strange that the Panthers would have to commit a spot to him despite him needing to go on IR.
When the offseason rosters are at 90, players have to clear waivers before being put on IR. My educated guess is that this is to keep teams from hoarding players and redshirting them with minor injuries.
 

theapportioner

Member
SoSH Member
Jun 9, 2006
5,075
Once they got him, why didn't the Patriots have to put him on waivers before putting him in IR, too? Is this a loophole in the rules?
 

Over Guapo Grande

panty merchant
SoSH Member
Nov 29, 2005
4,520
Worcester
theapportioner said:
Once they got him, why didn't the Patriots have to put him on waivers before putting him in IR, too? Is this a loophole in the rules?
 
It was the timing of it.  The Panthers wanted to put him on IR early in the camp (when rosters were at 90), which would require passing through waivers.  The Patriots were willing to burn a spot on the training camp 90, and wait until closer to the final cutdowns to IR him, which did not require waivers. 
 
Reading through DrewDawg's refresher brought this up...awesome: 
 
https://twitter.com/PatriotsHaven/status/494145983614164993
 
 
 
A little trickery from the offense in 11-on-11. Mallett throws a lateral pass to Edelman, who throws a bomb to Amendola. Save that for Nov.
 

BigJimEd

Member
SoSH Member
Jan 4, 2002
4,461
I was just looking at the thread and that tweet jumped out at me. That is great.


I think a lot of people, myself included, liked Gaffney in the middle/late rounds. Excellent pickup for nothing.
 
M

MentalDisabldLst

Guest
Yeah that thread is great nostalgia.
 
Tims4wins: "SF is gonna crash this year. Mark it down."
 
And this link, which should probably go in the basking-in-victory thread.
 

tims4wins

PN23's replacement
SoSH Member
Jul 15, 2005
37,761
Hingham, MA
MentalDisabldLst said:
Yeah that thread is great nostalgia.
 
Tims4wins: "SF is gonna crash this year. Mark it down."
 
And this link, which should probably go in the basking-in-victory thread.
 
Broken clocks, etc.
 
I must have a better prediction % than Cafardo though.
 

tims4wins

PN23's replacement
SoSH Member
Jul 15, 2005
37,761
Hingham, MA
Hey this one was pretty good too:
 


This is probably totally wishcasting, but is it possible that given the other talent in the secondary - Revis, Browner, Ryan, McCourty - that Chung's skills are better put to use than they were back in 2009-2012? If he doesn't have to worry about defending the deep part of the field, maybe that plays to his strengths?
 
Yeah, I'm a total homer. And I've always wanted Chung to be awesome, from the moment they drafted him.
 
http://sonsofsamhorn.net/topic/84469-2014-training-camp-thread/?p=5588236
 

TheoShmeo

Skrub's sympathy case
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Jul 19, 2005
12,890
Boston, NY
The only thing better, Tims, would have been if you had thrown Butler in there.  But nice work.
 
Now can please predict that the Pats will re-sign Revis?
 

tims4wins

PN23's replacement
SoSH Member
Jul 15, 2005
37,761
Hingham, MA
TheoShmeo said:
The only thing better, Tims, would have been if you had thrown Butler in there.  But nice work.
 
Now can please predict that the Pats will re-sign Revis?
 
Before the playoffs started I wrote something along the lines of I would trade Revis leaving in free agency for a title. I quickly edited / erased the post. But I posted it. Awful judgment.
 
You've been warned.
 

tims4wins

PN23's replacement
SoSH Member
Jul 15, 2005
37,761
Hingham, MA
Tony C (and others) actually nailed the Butler one
 


Butler just seems like a real pain in the ass. May be a case where that sort of effort won't pay off when the real games start and everyone is just as jacked up, but he sure as hell does seem like a tough cut at this point.
 
Another nice one here from KFP
 


Stork returning to practice is the best news from this offense the last few weeks. I have high hopes for him.
 

Mugsy's Jock

Eli apologist
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Dec 28, 2000
15,128
UWS, NYC
Devin McCourty said today he'd be fine if he wound up getting stuck with the franchise tag.
 
http://www.csnne.com/blog/patriots-talk/mccourty-franchise-tag-worst-case-not-so-bad
 
 
"I've kind of broken it down as the worst-case scenario would be that I get franchised and come back to play for another year here," McCourty said. "To me that's no reason to stress. I love it here. The franchise tag is player-friendly now. It's a good number. There's no reason really for me to be stressed. If I hit free agency, I hope there's some teams that want me to play there. Hopefully that goes over well. It's still exciting."
 
So here's my dumb question -- could the Pats then offer McCourty a fully-guaranteed one-year $9MM deal for 2015 with the understanding he'd agree to take it, and save the franchise tag in case they need it for somebody else (say, Gostkowski)?
 
Takes some trust, I guess, but would that be permissible?
 

Leather

given himself a skunk spot
SoSH Member
Jul 18, 2005
28,451
Mugsys Jock said:
Devin McCourty said today he'd be fine if he wound up getting stuck with the franchise tag.
 
http://www.csnne.com/blog/patriots-talk/mccourty-franchise-tag-worst-case-not-so-bad
 
 
So here's my dumb question -- could the Pats then offer McCourty a fully-guaranteed one-year $9MM deal for 2015 with the understanding he'd agree to take it, and save the franchise tag in case they need it for somebody else (say, Gostkowski)?
 
Takes some trust, I guess, but would that be permissible?
 
I would say he wouldn't take it, because that would A) not prevent them from using the FT next year; and B) it would reduce his fellow players' leverage in negotiations. 
 
Whether it's technically permitted is moot, but I don't see why not.  
 

NortheasternPJ

Member
SoSH Member
Nov 16, 2004
19,439
Mugsys Jock said:
Devin McCourty said today he'd be fine if he wound up getting stuck with the franchise tag.
 
http://www.csnne.com/blog/patriots-talk/mccourty-franchise-tag-worst-case-not-so-bad
 
 
So here's my dumb question -- could the Pats then offer McCourty a fully-guaranteed one-year $9MM deal for 2015 with the understanding he'd agree to take it, and save the franchise tag in case they need it for somebody else (say, Gostkowski)?
 
Takes some trust, I guess, but would that be permissible?
Why on earth would he do that? If they gave him a couple extra million on top then maybe but outside of screwing himself or his teammate who would get tagged what's the motivation? Love the hoodie?
 

ElcaballitoMVP

Member
SoSH Member
Nov 19, 2008
3,955
Mugsys Jock said:
Devin McCourty said today he'd be fine if he wound up getting stuck with the franchise tag.
 
http://www.csnne.com/blog/patriots-talk/mccourty-franchise-tag-worst-case-not-so-bad
 
 
So here's my dumb question -- could the Pats then offer McCourty a fully-guaranteed one-year $9MM deal for 2015 with the understanding he'd agree to take it, and save the franchise tag in case they need it for somebody else (say, Gostkowski)?
 
Takes some trust, I guess, but would that be permissible?
Sure, the Pats could offer it and he could take it, but why on earth would he?  If the Pats franchise him, he doesn't have a choice in the matter and he appears to be taking the high road. If they don't franchise him, he's going to take the most guaranteed money he can get his hands on. He'd be signing a 1 yr, $9MM deal to bypass what, $20-25MM guaranteed in free agency? No way. The injury risk alone makes that an easy decision.