Bill James released his
2022 projections for the Red Sox. Couple of thoughts:
- Christian Arroyo playing only half a season is... not ideal, but probably a pretty safe bet. I'm hoping his luck turns around, he's been impressive in his limited time on the field.
- Pretty crappy numbers from JBJ. I think he's going to have a better campaign than that - he was abysmal last year, but I'd imagine he lands somewhere between his 2020 and 2018 numbers.
- Big power from Bobby. I think he builds on his 2nd half of last year and ends up with better average/OBP numbers.
- Downs plays almost a full season? Not sure where that's coming from, he was pretty bad in AAA and 72 at-bats in the AFL isn't enough to convince me he's ready.
- Duran's got the worst numbers on the team. I really really hope he plays better than that. Maybe it's time to sell high on him?
- Great numbers from JD - if he matches those, I'd be ecstatic.
Christian Arroyo: .252 batting average, .312 on-base percentage, .412 slugging percentage, .724 OPS, 10 homers, 21 doubles, 1 triple, 45 RBIs, 41 runs, 21 walks, 83 strikeouts, two stolen bases, 40 runs created, 4.2 runs created per 27 outs, 91 games, 330 at-bats.
Xander Bogaerts: .285 batting average, .364 on-base percentage, .480 slugging percentage, .844 OPS, 23 homers, 41 doubles, 2 triples, 92 RBIs, 98 runs, 67 walks, 123 strikeouts, 6 stolen bases, 102 runs created, 6.3 runs created per 27 outs, 154 games, 585 at-bats.
Jackie Bradley Jr.: .210 batting average, .294 on-base percentage, .348 slugging percentage, .642 OPS, 7 homers, 13 doubles, 2 triples, 29 RBIs, 36 runs, 27 walks, 88 strikeouts, 5 stolen bases, 27 runs created, 3.2 runs created per 27 outs, 103 games, 276 at-bats.
Bobby Dalbec: .227 batting average, .308 on-base percentage, .459 slugging percentage, .767 OPS, 27 homers, 21 doubles, 3 triples, 84 RBIs, 60 runs, 44 walks, 180 strikeouts, 2 stolen bases, 63 runs created, 4.6 runs created per 27 outs, 137 games, 466 at-bats.
Rafael Devers: .276 batting average, .344 on-base percentage, .521 slugging percentage, .865 OPS, 36 homers, 42 doubles, 2 triples, 116 RBIs, 106 runs, 59 walks, 151 strikeouts, 5 stolen bases, 110 runs created, 6.2 runs created per 27 outs, 158 games, 630 at-bats.
Jeter Downs: .268 batting average, .341 on-base percentage, .427 slugging percentage, .768 OPS, 17 homers, 20 doubles, 1 triple, 68 RBIs, 72 runs, 44 walks, 100 strikeouts, 7 stolen bases, 66 runs created, 5.0 runs created per 27 outs, 135 games, 459 at-bats.
Jarren Duran: .210 batting average, .256 on-base percentage, .305 slugging percentage, .561 OPS, 7 homers, 18 doubles, 5 triples, 40 RBIs, 70 runs, 29 walks, 167 strikeouts, 15 stolen bases, 41 runs created, 2.6 runs created per 27 outs, 143 games, 515 at-bats.
Kiké Hernández: .253 batting average, .338 on-base percentage, .444 slugging percentage, .782 OPS, 17 homers, 28 doubles, 2 triples, 58 RBIs, 68 runs, 50 walks, 99 strikeouts, 1 stolen base, 64 runs created, 5.1 runs created per 27 outs, 135 games, 435 at-bats.
J.D. Martinez: .280 batting average, .353 on-base percentage, .511 slugging percentage, .864 OPS, 24 homers, 32 doubles, 2 triples, 82 RBIs, 75 runs, 50 walks, 127 strikeouts, 1 stolen base, 84 runs created, 6.5 runs created per 27 outs, 133 games, 468 at-bats.
Kevin Plawecki: .257 batting average, .330 on-base percentage, .383 slugging percentage, .713 OPS, 4 homers, 9 doubles, 0 triples, 21 RBIs, 17 runs, 14 walks, 31 strikeouts, 0 stolen bases, 20 runs created, 4.2 runs created per 27 outs, 68 games, 167 at-bats.
Christian Vázquez: .260 batting average, .314 on-base percentage, .383 slugging percentage, .696 OPS, 10 homers, 26 doubles, 1 triple, 53 RBIs, 57 runs, 34 walks, 96 strikeouts, 7 stolen bases, 56 runs created, 4.1 runs created per 27 outs, 135 games, 473 at-bats.
Alex Verdugo: .284 batting average, .349 on-base percentage, .432 slugging percentage, .781 OPS, 14 homers, 35 doubles, 2 triples, 64 RBIs, 78 runs, 51 walks, 98 strikeouts, 6 stolen bases, 82 runs created, 5.4 runs created per 27 outs, 148 games, 549 at-bats.