Minor league thread 2022

Cesar Crespo

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Rafaela left the game after he was hit by a pitch. Hopefully nothing. He was 1/1 with a double, hbp.
 

Saints Rest

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I haven't been able to watch him play, but do you think Bleis might be a candidate to move up thanks to his markedly improved K rate over the last 3 weeks? Or do you think they wait until next year? Obviously he'd be way young for the league, but he's clearly a very talented player, too.
This is pretty high praise about Bleis.
Bleis article
 

LoLsapien

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Holy crow, Valdez must be having a lousy couple weeks. I think I checked his bref a couple weeks ago and he was OPSing over 1.0 in woostah. And now he's down to like 0.661. yeah yeah yeah sss but I was banging the DFA JD drum and now I suppose we'll have to wait before bringing the kid up. Not that he actually was going to get called up. but, you know, it's nice to have dreams. Sigh.
 

Cesar Crespo

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Sox Blue have a no hitter going in the top of the 9th. They are up 7-1. It's win or go home I believe. If they do go on to win, they advance to the finals.
Sierra is 3/3 with a HR, BB. I normally don't care for people repeating the DSL but he's still 18 and he's putting up some power numbers.
Ayubi is 1/4 with a HR.

Yesterday's games
Wong stayed hot, going 3/5. Now slashing .283/.344/.463 for the year in 337 PA. 25bb/74k, 31xbh/12 HR. August: .365/.400/.789, 2bb/15k. 10xbh/6HR
Valdez was 1/4 with a BB, K. He's in a bit of a slump.
Casas was 0/2 with 3bb, k. Since returning from injury: 151 PA, .302/.411/.516, 23bb/31k, 18xbh/4HR.
Ronaldo was 0/2 with 3bb, k.
First 75 PA: 0bb/24k.
Next 53 PA: 6bb/10k
Next 152 PA: 1bb/19k (He went the first 71 PA and last 78 PA without a BB. One of those stretches is longer by 2 PA)
Next 27 PA: 3bb/7k
Last 70 PA: 9bb/14k.

Paulino went 1/3 with HR #10, BB, K. He has finally reached an .800 OPS for the season. .260/.353/.448. 17bb/18k in 97 PA this month. Since May: 420 PA, .273/.370/.462, .321 BAbip. 43 XBH/9 HR. 53bb/76k, 24/28 SB.
Meidroth went 2/4 with 2 doubles. I'll be watching him closely next year. He'll probably start the year off in Greenville and if things go right, earn a promotion to AA before his 22nd birthday. Slashing .334/.460/.564 with 7bb/5k, 5xbh/2HR in 50 PA at A ball.
Luis Perales went 3.0 ip, 2 hits, 1r/1er, 4bb/5k. He faced 12 batters.

Lugo went 2/5.
Hickey went 0/2 with 2bb, k.
Jordan was 1/3 with a BB, k.


And while I was making this post, the Sox gave up a hit with 1 out in the 9th. They did go on to win, 7-1.

edit: Sierra is now slashing .325/.410/.497 in 222 PA. 21xbh/6 HR, 26bb/22k.
 
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Cesar Crespo

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Also just noticed Bleis jumped to 5th on sp. I love this kid. The Ks worry me but he's average to plus everywhere else.

My updated list: (I don't rank college players until they've played some and Winckowski graduated)
1. Mayer: The Ks are mildly concerning and he's had some issues staying on the field but I don't know what's not to like.
2. Casas: I think he's ready for the show. He has a huge weakness against lefties but that's not going to resolve itself anytime soon. Keep him down long enough to keep him a rookie in 2023.
3. Bello: I love his potential but he needs a little more seasoning. I think he can stick at SP but I'm a huge fan boy.
4. Bleis: Already noted, the K% worries me but everything else is there. He will be a month older than Nick Yorke and 3 months younger than Marcelo Mayer were at the A level next year.
5. Yorke: He's struggled a lot this year. I know some of it is injury but a .231/.302/.353 season is ugly, especially when he tore the same league up last year in his first 96 PA. He did go 3/5 with a HR yesterday. Maybe he'll finish the year strong.
6. Rafaela: He's still holding his own in Portland and has a really high floor due to his defensive versatility, speed and plus arm. Looks like the power is legit too. He is a free swinger which leads to a bunch of weak contact. That could be a problem, considering his very low BB%. He's going to have to hit for average.
7. Walter: Hasn't pitched in a while but I really like his stuff out of the pen.
8. Mata: Like him out of the pen too. The uptick in Ks is nice to see. Hopefully he can maintain the K% and lower the BB% some.
9. Paulino: Probably like him more than most. I think he's overlooked because the team has sexier, younger guys at the same level but he's holding his own.
10. Murphy: He's really improved against lefties this year, which was the one thing holding him back.
11. Enmanuel Valdez: Covered
12: Matthew Lugo: He's struggled of late but is still hitting for power.
13. Hickey: Raking the ball and could stick at C.
14. Jordan: Showing surprising plate discipline, but the lack of power is concerning. Is it due to the weight loss?
15. Wikelman: Great arm, not so great results. He's far behind the development curve.
16. Thaddeus Ward: Looks fully recovered. 5 pitch mix, 2 potential plus, 2 average.
17. Luis Perales: Covered
18. Brainer Bonaci: Great eye. Only thing really holding him back is a lack of power.
19. Hunter Dobbins: Probably have him higher than anyone else but I love his stuff.
20. Wilyer Abreu: Needs to cut back on the Ks but if he does, could develop into something useful.
After seeing some of the draftees, I'd slot Romero 9th and Anthony 15th. There are some other small tweaks too. Outside of Chris Murphy, it's nothing major.
1. Mayer
2. Casas
3. Bello
4. Bleis
5. Rafaela:
6. Yorke: Currently sporting another sub .700 OPS month in August. Only 1 month was north of .700, it was .724.
7. Mata: I loved Mata in 2016 and 17. I soured on him in 18 and even more in 2019. The guy we are seeing now, I really like. His command/control will come and go though, so he needs to work on that.
8. Walter:
9. Mikey Romero: Showing good pitch recognition and hitting for some power. Having a sneaky good debut.
10. Paulino
11. Valdez
12. Lugo
13. Hickey
14. Jordan
15. Roman Anthony: showing a decent approach at the plate. Hasn't hit for much power yet.
16. Chris Murphy: Big drop in 20 days but he's looked awful in AAA. 48.0 ip, 29bb/33k.
17. Wikelman: Up to A+
18. Ward
19. Perales: Now in A.
20. Bonaci

If this were 2019, Paulino and Lugo would be top 5 prospects in the system.

https://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/article/55021/2020-prospects-boston-red-sox-top-10-prospects/
 

Chainsaw318

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  • After seeing some of the draftees, I'd slot Romero 9th and Anthony 15th. There are some other small tweaks too. Outside of Chris Murphy, it's nothing major.
    1. Mayer
    2. Casas
    3. Bello
    4. Bleis
    5. Rafaela:
    6. Yorke: Currently sporting another sub .700 OPS month in August. Only 1 month was north of .700, it was .724.
    7. Mata: I loved Mata in 2016 and 17. I soured on him in 18 and even more in 2019. The guy we are seeing now, I really like. His command/control will come and go though, so he needs to work on that.
    8. Walter:
    9. Mikey Romero: Showing good pitch recognition and hitting for some power. Having a sneaky good debut.
    10. Paulino
    11. Valdez
    12. Lugo
    13. Hickey
    14. Jordan
    15. Roman Anthony: showing a decent approach at the plate. Hasn't hit for much power yet.
    16. Chris Murphy: Big drop in 20 days but he's looked awful in AAA. 48.0 ip, 29bb/33k.
    17. Wikelman: Up to A+
    18. Ward
    19. Perales: Now in A.
    20. Bonaci

    If this were 2019, Paulino and Lugo would be top 5 prospects in the system.

    https://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/article/55021/2020-prospects-boston-red-sox-top-10-prospects/
    For real - the difference in the depth of the system is so dramatic, and is likely in a continued upswing (depending on who they may trade in a bigger deal the off-season). I think that goes unnoticed when we remark the farm has been a bit weak lately, exactly how weak it was, and the reason to be hopeful recently.

    For reference, the April 2019 SoxProspects rankings.

    54739

    Chavis and Hernandez as 1-2 is not so hot, much less the lack of meaningful depth on the top 10-12- Chatham was at best a 2nd division regular and Feltman always a potential reliever.
    Most of the rest of these guys have moved on, and the mix of potential (Jordan,Romero, Anthony) and possible help in the near future (Ward, Mata, Valdez, Murphy) is a sea change compared to how the rest of the 2019 list reads.


 

MuzzyField

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  • For real - the difference in the depth of the system is so dramatic, and is likely in a continued upswing (depending on who they may trade in a bigger deal the off-season). I think that goes unnoticed when we remark the farm has been a bit weak lately, exactly how weak it was, and the reason to be hopeful recently.

    For reference, the April 2019 SoxProspects rankings.

    View attachment 54739

    Chavis and Hernandez as 1-2 is not so hot, much less the lack of meaningful depth on the top 10-12- Chatham was at best a 2nd division regular and Feltman always a potential reliever.
    Most of the rest of these guys have moved on, and the mix of potential (Jordan,Romero, Anthony) and possible help in the near future (Ward, Mata, Valdez, Murphy) is a sea change compared to how the rest of the 2019 list reads.

What a depressing list that has largely come home to quietly and ineffectively roost. Bring on the next batch!
 

Cesar Crespo

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Brainer Bonaci is 2/5 with 2 more HRs. That's 6 for the year. Has a K too.
Paulino was 1/5 with a double, K.

Wong is on a tear. Currently 3/3 with a double, HR.
Casas is 1/1 with a double, 2bb.

Yorke is currently 0/2 with a BB, 2k
Mayer is 1/2 with a HR, BB, K.
Lugo is 1/2
Jordan is 1/2, BB

Game 2 Kavadas is 0/2 with a K.
Ward is at 4.1 ip, 3 hits, 1r/1er, 1bb/8k.

Edit: Ward 5.0 ip, 3 hits, 1r/1er, 1bb/10k.
 
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Cesar Crespo

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Valdez is 2/4 with a HR and 2k. Hopefully the slump is over.
Casas is 2/4 with the HR.
Wong is 0/4.
Game is in the top 7th

Kavadas is 1/4 with 3k.
Abreu hits his first HR for Portland.
 

Jed Zeppelin

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Hickey with his 13th HR of the year, 6th in Greenville. K% is a little high as a college bat in A ball but he walks about as much as he strikes out and overall he has put together a nice season and is one to watch when he makes the jump to Portland.

.269/.428/.520 in 228 AB between A and A+, the aforementioned 13 bombs, 65k/61bb, half his hits are XBH.

No idea about his defense but his CS% is sub-15%, so…that’s not great.
 

Cesar Crespo

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AAA
Wong was 1/3 with HR #14. Hitting .359/.406/.813 with 8 HR over 69 PA in the month of August. He has 2 more HRs in August than he did the rest of the year.
Casas was 1/3, k. Last 165 PA: .309/.424/.537, 5 HRs, 26bb/33k. He's been a slow starter/hot finisher for his career.
Valdez went 1/4.
Mata went 3.0 ip, 2 hits, 1r/1er, 4bb/1k.

A+
Yorke was 1/3, BB
Mayer was 0/4, 2k.
Lugo was 1/3, BB, K. Up to .284/.337/.507 for the year. He has 1 more PA this year than last and has 23 more XBH, 14 of those HRs. Last 47 PA: .455/.489/.841, 7xbh/5 HR.
Jordan was 1/4 with 2k.
Hickey was 0/4 with 3k. 2nd hand, I've heard he's not the best receiving but his bat may play at 1b and 3b. They'll still keep him at C hoping for improvement. His August: .250/.446/.625 on a .227 BAbip.

A
Paulino went 1/5, K.
Bonaci went 0/2, 3bb. Last 127 PA: .275/.409/.520, .286 BAbip. 23bb/20k. 11 xbh/6 HR.
Meidroth was 0/4
Romero was 0/5
Anthony was 1/3, BB.
Dobbins struggles continue: 2.2 ip, 8 hits, 6r/6er, 2bb/3k, 2 HRA.

AA
Kavadas was 1/4 with a BB
Rafaela hasn't played since leaving a game a few days ago after being HBP.


Looking more into Matthew Lugo
Pre Mayer: 391 PA, .262/.313/.465, .296 BAbip. 24bb/73k. 40 xbh/12 HR.
Post Mayer: 79 PA, .394/.456/.718, .431 BAbip. 7bb/14k. 11 xbh/6 HR.

Of course, On July 1st, Lugo was slashing .285/.335/.520 on a .317 BAbip. Could just be a bad July followed by a great August but I wonder if Mayer motivated him some.
 

RoDaddy

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Wong had an insane August last year as well if I recall, as did Ronaldo Hernandez.

I've been excited about Mata since he joined the system but at some point he has to get a handle on his control/command.
 

Jed Zeppelin

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Seabold with a dominant outing tonight, 7ip 7k/0bb 3h 0r.

Bit of an awkward year for him starting the season on the shelf then some outings with the big club that didn’t go great, but the numbers have remained strong. He’s 26 already but there’s still room for him to have an impact in Boston. Maybe as a starter, maybe as another talented multi-inning reliever.
 

Cesar Crespo

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Lugo was 3/5.

Paulino was 2/5 with HR #11 and a K.
Romero was 2/5.
Bonaci was 2/3, BB, K.
Meidroth was 2/4.
Anthony was 0/3, BB, K.
Castro was 0/4.

Kavadas was 0/3, 2bb, 2k.
Hamilton stole 2 more bases, giving him 60 for the year.

Duran was 1/5, 2k.
Valdez was 2/4, BB, K.
Wong went 2/4, HR, K.
Casas was 2/5.

Salem is so stacked with FCL being over.
 

EricFeczko

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Seabold with a dominant outing tonight, 7ip 7k/0bb 3h 0r.

Bit of an awkward year for him starting the season on the shelf then some outings with the big club that didn’t go great, but the numbers have remained strong. He’s 26 already but there’s still room for him to have an impact in Boston. Maybe as a starter, maybe as another talented multi-inning reliever.
Frankly, I hope we trade him and sell high on his recent minor league success -- with lots of cheap years of control, we can probably sucker in a team to give up something of value -- he's a below-average velocity three pitch pitcher who may need pinpoint control to simply succeed in the majors (note: in his 4 MLB starts 2021-2022 he has not had pinpoint control; with 7 walks in 14 innings to go along with 5 homeruns); apart from being a warm body or a potential snag for an RP or young prospects, I fail to see how he'll contribute meaningfully.
 

Cesar Crespo

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Casas was 1/3 with HR #11, K.
Valdez was 0/4 with 2k.

Kavadas is currently 1/3 with HR #2, BB, 2k.

Romero is currently 2/4, 2b, 3b.
Anthony is 0/3, bb
Meidroth is 3/3 with HR #3, BB.
Castro is 0/3, 2k.
Perales went 2.2 ip, 1 hit, 1r/0er, 5bb/3k.

Mayer is 1/2, 2bb
Lugo is 1/2, 2bb
Hickey is 0/4, 2k.
Liu probably had his best game as a pro. 5.0 ip, 3 hits, 1bb/10k.

Still no Rafaela since being hit on the wrist a week ago.
 
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Cesar Crespo

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After reaching safely in all 5 PA, Meidroth is now slashing .346/.478/.577 with 11bb/5k, 6xbh/3HR in 67 PA at Salem. Twice as many BB as Ks, sub 10% K rate. Can't wait to follow him next year.
 

Cesar Crespo

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Meidroth with a 2 run double in the 1st. He has now reached base 8 consecutive times and has 6 straight hits.
 

Cesar Crespo

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All 6 hits are on line drives, including a HR and a double. Hope he plays in the fall league. Almost like a laser show. The similarities are crazy, right down to height, weight, being from California and very young juniors. Even the stats, though Pedroia was in A+.
 

Cesar Crespo

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Ward went 5.0 ip, 5 hits, 2r/1er, 1bb/10k. 1 HRA. 9 swinging strike outs.
Last game: 5.0 ip, 3 hits, 1r/1er, 1bb/10k. 7 swinging strike outs.
Combined 10 ip, 8 hits, 3r/2er, 2bb/20k, 1 HRA. 16 swinging strike outs. 39 batters faced.

Murphy continues to suck. 3.2 ip, 7 hits, 7r/7er, 4bb/4k, 1 HRA.
Nathaniel Cruz is struggling in Salem in the early going. 2.1 ip, 4 hits, 3r/3er, 2bb/2k, 3 straight HRs.

The 3 are done for the night.

Duran is currently 1/2 with HR #7, BB.
Valdez is 2/3, 2b.
Casas is 1/2.

Yorke is 2/3, K.
Mayer is 1/2, BB, K.
Jordan is 0/3, k
Hickey is 2/3 with HR #7, K.

Paulino is currently 1/1, HR, 3 runs, 4 rbi, 2bb, 2sb.
Romero is 2/2, 2b, BB
Meidroth is 1/3, 2b. 2 fly outs.

edit: apparently Ward is going out for the 6th. He was at 88 pitches. Got an out on the first pitch and then was immediately replaced.
 
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Cesar Crespo

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Some big nights, starting with Paulino and Hickey. Rafaela also PH in the 9th, first time playing in a week plus.

Yorke finished 2/4, BB, K, SB 7, CS 4.
Mayer was 2/4 with a BB, K
Jordan was 0/5 with 2k.
Hickey was 4/5 with 2 HRs, K. 15 HRs for the year.
Guerrero went 1.1 ip, 2k.

Paulino went 2/3, 2 HRs, 2BB, 2sb. 4 runs, 7 rbi.
Castro was 0/1
Romero was 3/5, 2b, BB.
Meidroth was 1/4, 2b, BB.
---

Kavadas is 0/2, 2bb, K.
Rafaela is 0/1.

Duran is 2/4, HR, BB, K.
Valdez is 3/5, 2 2b.
Casas is 1/5, K.

Portland game is tied 3-3 in the bottom of the 9th. Worcester is down 10-8 in the bottom of the 9th.
 

Jason Bae

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Hickey's batting .271/.425/.534 between A and A+. He's hitting .271/.419/.573 so far in Greenville.
 

Cesar Crespo

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Paulino's last 35 games: 167 PA, .329/.419/.566, .370 BAbip. 18xbh/7HR. 22bb/29k, 10/12 sb.
Since May 1st: 444 PA, .279/.375/.473, .323 BAbip. 48 xbh/12 HR. 56bb/80k, 26/31 sb.
Year: 526 PA, .266/.358/.469, .314 BAbip. 56 xbh/13 HR. 62bb/103k. 27/32 sb.

He's on a bunch of top 10 lists so I can't say he's super underrated, but he's been having a really good year. He's also been playing CF and there's reason to believe he can stick there. He could end up with the same type of positional versatility as Rafaela, though he won't be as good a defender. Finding a place for him shouldn't be hard (any IF or OF spot). This is his age 19 season.

Lugo is now up to .290/.345/.507 for the year. Over his last 14: .464/.516/.768, 7xbh/5HR, 4bb/6k. He was hitting .264 prior to the 14 game stretch.

Hickey is now OPSing over 1.000 in Greenville. .277/.419/.594. For the year, he's at .274/.424/.544, 61bb/72, 33 xbh/16 HR in 311 PA.

Romero is slashing .286/.375/.464 in 64 PA. 7xbh/1HR. 8bb/8k (1k/4bb in A, .350/.381/.550 in 21 PA).

Romeo Anthony is slashing .327/.404/.367 in 57 PA. 2 xbh, 7bb/6k. (3bb/2k in A. .071/.235/.071 in 17 PA).
 

Cesar Crespo

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FWIW
Salem and Greenville's season ends 9/11.
Portland on 9/18.
Worcester on 9/28.

Portland is currently in 1st place by 3 games and the 2nd place team was the 1st half winner. They're pretty much a lock for the playoffs.

Maybe Lugo and Hickey get promoted to AA on 9/12, because they should both start in AA next year and are performing well.

edit: And in his 2 At bat/PA, Rafaela hit a triple. Half way there. Didn't he do that early this year in Greenville?
 

Cesar Crespo

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Guessing Mata is done for the day at 92 pitches. 5.0 ip, 4 hits, 2r/2er, 3bb/5k in his 2nd AAA game... And as I type this, he goes back out for the 6th.
5 pitch FO
1 pitch GO
2 pitch PO
6.0 ip, 4 hits, 2r/2er, 3bb/5k. 100 pitches. 6 ground outs. 1 fly out.

Duran is currently 0/3, 2k
Valdez is 1/2, 2b, sb.
 

Cesar Crespo

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Valdez just homered in the 8th. Probably not getting up again. 3/4, double, triple, HR.

Slump gone.
 

Jed Zeppelin

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Rafaela squeaks onto the MLB Pipeline Top 100, joining Mayer, Casas, and Bello. Although I believe he had already made BA’s list this summer.

 

amfox1

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Ham steals his 63rd base of the season for Portland (in 110 games). Franchise record for a season is 64. All-time franchise record is 71 (over two seasons). Portland has 10 regular-season games remaining after tonight.
 

amfox1

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Ham steals his 63rd base of the season for Portland (in 110 games). Franchise record for a season is 64. All-time franchise record is 71 (over two seasons). Portland has 10 regular-season games remaining after tonight.
Ham steals a second base in the game and has tied the franchise single-season record (64).
 

Cesar Crespo

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Brainer's first 264 PA/217 AB: .244/.371/.304, .308 BAbip, 10xbh/0 HR. 44bb/47k. 10/13 SB. 16.7% BB%/17.8% K%. 1 xbh/21.7 AB, .060 ISO.
Brainer's last 226 PA/176 AB: .284/.429/.480, .333 BAbip, 21xbh/6 HR. 45bb/41k. 18/21 SB. 19.9% BB%/18.1% K%. 1 xbh/8.4 AB, .196 ISO.

I think Thad Ward is starting tonight. Over his last 2 games: 10.0 ip, 8 hits, 3r/2er, 2bb/20k. 1 HRA. 40 Batters Faced. 50% K%, 5% BB%
 

Ferm Sheller

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Saw this article about Rafaela with some notes about other Sox prospects and thought I'd share it. Has a few videos of Rafaela making great defensive plays.
 

Cesar Crespo

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Salem and Greenville's season ends tomorrow.


Mayer's 1st 4 games in A+: 19 PA, .056/.105/.056, .083 BAbip 1bb/6k, 0 xbh.
Since: 92 PA, .290/.413/.513, .360 BAbip, 15bb/22k. 8xbh/4HR.
Overall: 111 PA, .245/.360/.426, .307 BAbip, 16bb/28k, 8xbh/4 HR.

Those first 4 games are masking how good he has been since. Granted, SSS.

Jordan's the reverse
First 12 games: 53 PA, .386/.491/.614, .467 BAbip, 8bb/11k, 4xbh/3 HR
Since: 49 PA, .200/.265/.200, .290 BAbip, 3bb/14k, 0 xbh.
Overall: 102 PA, .292/.382/.405, .377 BAbip, 11bb/25k. 4xbh/3HR.

Hasn't hit for any power at all, considering he had 2 HR his first game.

Meidroth hit HR #4 yesterday. Now at 85 PA, .309/.424/.559, .298 BAbip, 12bb/9k, 7xbh/4HR. Higher batting average than BAbip, impressive.

Romero has an 8 game hitting streak in Salem, he's only played 9 games. In those 8 games, he's slashing .395/.410/.658 with 7 xbh in 39 PA. It comes with a .500 BAbip and 1bb/8k.

Kavadas in AA: 71 PA, .196/.366/.357, .310 BAbip. 13bb/25k. 5xbh/2HR. In his 71 PA, he has put the ball in play 29 times.
 

Sandy Leon Trotsky

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Salem and Greenville's season ends tomorrow.


Mayer's 1st 4 games in A+: 19 PA, .056/.105/.056, .083 BAbip 1bb/6k, 0 xbh.
Since: 92 PA, .290/.413/.513, .360 BAbip, 15bb/22k. 8xbh/4HR.
Overall: 111 PA, .245/.360/.426, .307 BAbip, 16bb/28k, 8xbh/4 HR.

Those first 4 games are masking how good he has been since. Granted, SSS.

Jordan's the reverse
First 12 games: 53 PA, .386/.491/.614, .467 BAbip, 8bb/11k, 4xbh/3 HR
Since: 49 PA, .200/.265/.200, .290 BAbip, 3bb/14k, 0 xbh.
Overall: 102 PA, .292/.382/.405, .377 BAbip, 11bb/25k. 4xbh/3HR.

Hasn't hit for any power at all, considering he had 2 HR his first game.

Meidroth hit HR #4 yesterday. Now at 85 PA, .309/.424/.559, .298 BAbip, 12bb/9k, 7xbh/4HR. Higher batting average than BAbip, impressive.

Romero has an 8 game hitting streak in Salem, he's only played 9 games. In those 8 games, he's slashing .395/.410/.658 with 7 xbh in 39 PA. It comes with a .500 BAbip and 1bb/8k.

Kavadas in AA: 71 PA, .196/.366/.357, .310 BAbip. 13bb/25k. 5xbh/2HR. In his 71 PA, he has put the ball in play 29 times.
Weird that in 71 PA’s he’s almost out the ball in play almost half the time but his BABIP is normal and his BA is atrocious
 

Cesar Crespo

79
SoSH Member
Dec 22, 2002
21,588
Weird that in 71 PA’s he’s almost out the ball in play almost half the time but his BABIP is normal and his BA is atrocious
He's put the ball in play 40.8% of the time over all his PA, not almost 50. Hard to have much success striking out 35% of the time.

To be hitting .300 (.304), he would need to be 15/29 (.517 BAbip), instead he's 9/29 (.310). To be hitting .250, he'd need to be 12/29 (.414 BAbip).

Some of the BAbip requirements will be lowered because he only has 2 HR in 56 AB. I'd guess that's normally closer to 3.5, which is 1.5 hits.

1.5 HRs lowers the BAbip required to 13.5/27.5 (.491) for .300 and 10.5/27.5 (.382) for .250. Still needs to strike out considerably less. Or hit more than 35 HR/560 AB.
 
Last edited:

mikcou

Member
SoSH Member
May 13, 2007
743
Boston
Salem and Greenville's season ends tomorrow.


Mayer's 1st 4 games in A+: 19 PA, .056/.105/.056, .083 BAbip 1bb/6k, 0 xbh.
Since: 92 PA, .290/.413/.513, .360 BAbip, 15bb/22k. 8xbh/4HR.
Overall: 111 PA, .245/.360/.426, .307 BAbip, 16bb/28k, 8xbh/4 HR.

Those first 4 games are masking how good he has been since. Granted, SSS.

Jordan's the reverse
First 12 games: 53 PA, .386/.491/.614, .467 BAbip, 8bb/11k, 4xbh/3 HR
Since: 49 PA, .200/.265/.200, .290 BAbip, 3bb/14k, 0 xbh.
Overall: 102 PA, .292/.382/.405, .377 BAbip, 11bb/25k. 4xbh/3HR.

Hasn't hit for any power at all, considering he had 2 HR his first game.

Meidroth hit HR #4 yesterday. Now at 85 PA, .309/.424/.559, .298 BAbip, 12bb/9k, 7xbh/4HR. Higher batting average than BAbip, impressive.

Romero has an 8 game hitting streak in Salem, he's only played 9 games. In those 8 games, he's slashing .395/.410/.658 with 7 xbh in 39 PA. It comes with a .500 BAbip and 1bb/8k.

Kavadas in AA: 71 PA, .196/.366/.357, .310 BAbip. 13bb/25k. 5xbh/2HR. In his 71 PA, he has put the ball in play 29 times.
100 PA samples are small enough to not be particularly meaningful; splitting them even further makes streaks even more prominent. I have no idea if Jordan can hit for power or not; but 50 PA doesnt really say anything - thats less than two weeks of games. Devers was awful for 3 weeks recently - what does that mean? Probably nothing.

These late season promotions arent about how guys do at the higher level - its all about setting them up to hit the ground running at that level next year,.