Blake Snell 5% — If he's offering a discount, he's presumably offering it to Seattle.
Jordan Montgomery — 50%. This one makes a ton of sense for both sides if Texas can't make a competitive offer.
Clayton Kershaw 0% — he'd likely retire before pitching for anyone other than LAD or TX, right?
Mike Clevinger 10% – I'd hate it, because he seems like a repeat-offender off-field issue/clubhouse problem dude, but he was "cleared" by the league of his worst alleged malfeasance, whatever that means.
HJ Ryu 5% — He's extremely old, but he's been okay in the AL East. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Michael Lorenzen 5% — Doesn't add much beyond depth and durability: he's like an older Pivetta with less upside.
Ryne Stanek 50% — This seems medium likely to me; dude is a darling of the new pitching intelligentsia. Presumably in that case we are trading one of our expensive relievers.
Cody Bellinger 5% — I suggested he was a plausible pillow contract offer in another thread, but the Cubs remain the most likely landing spot by far.
Jorge Soler 10% — Not the worst idea.
Justin Turner 20% — Makes some sense for both sides, but he is quite old.
JD Martinez 5% — I would imagine he wants more money than we want to spend, and Arizona seems like a better fit to me.
Adam Duvall 20% — Could be a fit for basically all the same reasons he was last season.
Matt Chapman 0% — We probably should give this some thought, but I can't see moving Devers so young.
Brandon Belt 5% — If we shook things up to such an extent that we suddenly needed to be *more* left-handed, he'd be a great LH DH/1B/OF6: tremendous on base skills and good pop that was hidden by his home park for a long time.
Tommy Pham 20% — Quietly an excellent fit for a RH DH/OF5 role. The un-Soler: not a ton of power, but a quality at bat. They don't hand out .350 career OBPs. Has a kind of competitiveness and intensity about him that seems good for the young guys to be around.
If we sign, say, Montgomery and one of the RHH (Pham, Turner, Soler or Duvall), I think I'd give this offseason really good marks.
Rotation: Montgomery, Bello, Giolito, Pivetta, Crawford – good, not great, but there's a good mixture of ceiling and floor. Winckowski, Fitts, and Walter stretched out in AAA as SP 6/7/8.
Bullpen: Jansen; Martin; Houck; Whitlock; Bernardino, Slaten, Mata, Schreiber. That's flat out good, even if you swap Jansen for Stanek or something. And there are all sorts of interesting guys behind them: Campbell, Weissert, Criswell, Troye, Murphy, Guerrero...
C: Wong, McGuire. Not broken. Roberto Perez in AAA.
IF: Devers, Story, Grissom, Casas. Potentially elite, if Story bounces back and Casas and Grissom progress. Less impressive otherwise.
OF: Yoshida, Duran, O'Neill. OK.
Bench/DH: [RHH DH/1B/LF signee], Rafaela IF/OF, Reyes IF/OF, Refsnyder 1B/OF. Abreu, Dalbec, Valdez, Hamilton, Yorke as MLB depth in AAA
