@Deadspin: Reports: LeSean McCoy is "not happy" about going to Buffalo, could hold out: http://t.co/F223lFBA5Z
McCoy looked like a shell of his once-dominant self for a sizable portion of last season. He got better as the 2014 season went on, but his conventional numbers were a lot more in line with his injury-marred 2012 campaign than his superhuman 2013 — and that’s to say nothing of his advanced metrics in 2014.
This past season, Football Outsiders’ DVOA rated McCoy as below-average — the 24th-most efficient back in the NFL — and play-by-play grades from Pro Football Focus were even harsher. Among the 57 halfbacks qualified for PFF’s overall leaderboard, McCoy ranked 55th, the product of ranking 36th in rushing, 34th in blocking and dead last (by no small margin, either) in the passing game. To say it wasn’t Shady’s best season would be a major understatement.
Then there’s the matter of his age. McCoy will be 27 next season, which sounds relatively young to you and me (well, maybe to me at least), but the peak age for a RB is 26, after which it’s all downhill for the average ballcarrier. The average runner comparable to McCoy in terms of Approximate Value (AV) through age 26 ended up producing 40 more AV over the rest of his career. At McCoy’s career rate of AV per year, that’s about four more decent years at most before he would ostensibly hang up his cleats forever.
And don’t discount the value of good teammates, either. Pro Football Focus graded the Eagles’ offensive line as the best run-blocking unit in football last year. Guess who ranked last?
Yep — Buffalo.
For his part, Alonso may have missed all of 2014 with an injury, but he’ll only be 25 next season. When healthy, he ranked as the 9th-best inside linebacker of 2013, per Pro Football Focus. One more thing: the deal freed up a ton of cap space for Philadelphia.
Corsi said:
I'd be interested in the Patriots signing Galette if he became a FA.John Middlekauff @JohnMiddlekauff 36m36 minutes ago
According to @RapSheet the #Saints are shopping LB Curtis Lofton, I've been told DE/OLB Junior Galette is also on the block
http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2010/11/04/the-saints-almost-traded-pierre-thomas-to-the-patriots/November 4, 2010
Longtime Saints beat writer Brian Allee Walsh, now of NewOrleans.com, reports that the Saints and Patriots were close to making a deal a few weeks back that would have sent injured running back Pierre Thomas to the Patriots in exchange for a cornerback. Thomas would seemingly be a great fit in New England because of his versatility, but the deal hit a snag when the Patriots also wanted a pick in the deal.
Morgan's Magic Snowplow said:Eh, I'd probably rather have Amendola.
The QB situation in Houston hasn't helped Johnson but 34-year-old WRs are generally terrible bets and his numbers show a significant decline, especially in the ability to make big plays (long passes and TDs). If we're looking at a possession receiver, then I want a guy like Amendola who definitely knows the system and is on the same page as Brady or a younger FA with room to grow. A guy like Johnson who is being asked to learn a new offense and set of reads and route trees at the point in his career when he's declining in other ways has huge Ochocinco potential.
This is my argument for Vereen, too: he played more of a role against the better pass defenses. With Amendola, his contributions are inflated by the Edelman pass that essentially required no skill on his part. Take that away, and Amendola was fine, nothing special.There is no Rev said:
I think Amendola's value has to be looked at in the context of his post-season contribution. Sure, it's a small sample, but it's also the sample that matters for assessing the guy who is basically the fourth option after Gronk & Edelman with Vereen as the standard short outlet.
There's been a lot of talk of late of how to assess QBs as they play against better defenses in the post-season. Well, this should be a big consideration of how we assess lesser receiving options too, as the team faces better defenses that force the QB to other receivers. This is especially critical for a team like the Patriots that expects to make the playoffs.
During the regular season, Amendola had 27 receptions on 42 targets (PFR) for 200 yards and 1 TD. In the postseason, he had 11 receptions on 16 targets for 137 yards and three touchdowns. As per the above lens, note that it was against the superior defenses that he got most of his production there: 5 of 6 for 81 yards and 2 TDs v. BAL and 5 of 7 for 48 and 1 TD v. SEA.
When the defenses got stiffer, the guy stepped up. He gave exactly what you want from a non-primary option receiver.
There is no Rev said:
I think Amendola's value has to be looked at in the context of his post-season contribution. Sure, it's a small sample, but it's also the sample that matters for assessing the guy who is basically the fourth option after Gronk & Edelman with Vereen as the standard short outlet.
There's been a lot of talk of late of how to assess QBs as they play against better defenses in the post-season. Well, this should be a big consideration of how we assess lesser receiving options too, as the team faces better defenses that force the QB to other receivers. This is especially critical for a team like the Patriots that expects to make the playoffs.
During the regular season, Amendola had 27 receptions on 42 targets (PFR) for 200 yards and 1 TD. In the postseason, he had 11 receptions on 16 targets for 137 yards and three touchdowns. As per the above lens, note that it was against the superior defenses that he got most of his production there: 5 of 6 for 81 yards and 2 TDs v. BAL and 5 of 7 for 48 and 1 TD v. SEA.
When the defenses got stiffer, the guy stepped up. He gave exactly what you want from a non-primary option receiver.
They save $4.5 MM by cutting him this offseason if they designate him a post-6/1 cut. His cap figure is $5.7 MM; I have a hard time believing he'll stay at that number.Morgan's Magic Snowplow said:
I agree with this logic. I don't think Amendola is ideal and if he was a FA, then I'd be more willing to move on from him. But the reality is that he's under contract, we don't gain much by cutting him, and he does a pretty decent job providing what the offense needs out of his role, which is to play about 1/3 of the snaps in certain personnel packages, provide backup cover for both inside and outside receivers, and know the offense cold enough that if McDaniels comes up with specific game plans against tough defenses (especially in the playoffs, as you mention) that rest on exploiting that 4th option, he's going to be able to step up and make plays.
All that said, I think there's a decent chance that he's cut next year, when the calculus on him really shifts (cap savings go from $1.6M to $4.2M).
Super Nomario said:This is my argument for Vereen, too: he played more of a role against the better pass defenses. With Amendola, his contributions are inflated by the Edelman pass that essentially required no skill on his part. Take that away, and Amendola was fine, nothing special.
I don't see Johnson as a realistic option, but ideally they'd find someone better or at least cheaper than Amendola.
Super Nomario said:They save $4.5 MM by cutting him this offseason if they designate him a post-6/1 cut. His cap figure is $5.7 MM; I have a hard time believing he'll stay at that number.
Dead money is dead money - the $3.6 MM is a sunk cost, and they can spread it over one, two, or three years depending on what they do. But they don't have to pay Amendola his $4 MM salary and $500K roster bonus. Is Amendola a $4.5 MM player? I think they can use that money better.Morgan's Magic Snowplow said:
They save 4.5M against the cap for 2015 if they do that, but they kick the other 2.4M forward onto 2016. I can see them approaching him about a restructure but eating 3.6M in dead money isn't an ideal situation either, especially given the cost and uncertainty involved in replacing him.
Fair enough. He's definitely overpaid. There have been some bargains in the WR market in recent years (Sanders, LaFell) so I can see at least shopping for alternatives. I would not underestimate the importance of fit and comfort with Brady though. Given the number of cheap veteran WRs that have come to NE and never really made an impact or clicked with Brady, there is a bird in hand element at play.Super Nomario said:Dead money is dead money - the $3.6 MM is a sunk cost, and they can spread it over one, two, or three years depending on what they do. But they don't have to pay Amendola his $4 MM salary and $500K roster bonus. Is Amendola a $4.5 MM player? I think they can use that money better.
https://twitter.com/jeffphowe/status/573492396312424448Vereen is now eying $3.5M per year. Pats have shown no willingness to touch that, per source
Corsi said:https://twitter.com/jeffphowe/status/573492396312424448
http://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/football/bears/chi-brandon-marshall-trade-talks-20150305-story.htmlThe Chicago Bears declined to commit to Brandon Marshall when asked about the veteran wide receiver last month and now the team is exploring trade options five days before the open of the new league year.
One NFL source said the Bears are shopping Marshall with the idea of moving him. Another source said his belief is the team is taking calls in regard to Marshall. Either way, trades cannot be finalized until 3 p.m. Tuesday.
The key date to keep in mind with Marshall is Thursday, March 12. That is when his base salary of $7.5 million for 2015 becomes fully guaranteed.
One source said the Bears potentially could move him for a mid-round pick. It’s unknown if the team would consider releasing Marshall instead of locking into the contract for the coming season.
http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2015/03/05/report-chiefs-expected-to-cut-dwayne-bowe-if-they-cant-trade/According to Ian Rapoport of the NFL Network, the Chiefs are expected to cut wide receiver Dwayne Bowe unless they can trade him.
Bowe just finished the second year of a five-year, $56 million deal, and is scheduled to make $11 million this year.
Because he forfeited his guarantees with his one-game suspension for violating the league’s drug policy, it’s much easier for the Chiefs to move on if they want to.
And it sounds like they do, unless they’re able to squeeze him into a last-minute pay cut.
soxhop411 said:
Brad Biggs @BradBiggs 2m2 minutes ago
Sources: #Bears are exploring trade options for WR Brandon Marshall. http://trib.in/1DYNtAl
With Josh McDaniels as OC? Seems unlikely.Phragle said:
I don't want to trade for him under his current contract but if he's released and the the price is right, or he wants a ring, I'd love to have him. I don't think he has fallen off much. He's certainly better than Andre Johnson.
So Kansas City is somewhere over Dwayne Bowe?Corsi said:
I'm not sure fit and comfort with Brady is a point in Amendola's favor, given how unproductive he was on a per-snap basis. Maybe he wasn't physically right until the end of the season or something, but he was almost completely useless most of the year. Upthread some are suggesting that Vereen - a fair more productive receiver in 2014, and at a position where such receiving capability is fairly rare - is overpaid at $3.5 MM per year. I have trouble justifying $4.5 MM for Amendola.Morgan's Magic Snowplow said:Fair enough. He's definitely overpaid. There have been some bargains in the WR market in recent years (Sanders, LaFell) so I can see at least shopping for alternatives. I would not underestimate the importance of fit and comfort with Brady though. Given the number of cheap veteran WRs that have come to NE and never really made an impact or clicked with Brady, there is a bird in hand element at play.
If the reports are true and the Patriots are interested in Hartline, what's the possibility of Hartline coming in under that $4.5MM price tag of Amendola? It would make cutting DA much easier.Super Nomario said:I'm not sure fit and comfort with Brady is a point in Amendola's favor, given how unproductive he was on a per-snap basis. Maybe he wasn't physically right until the end of the season or something, but he was almost completely useless most of the year. Upthread some are suggesting that Vereen - a fair more productive receiver in 2014, and at a position where such receiving capability is fairly rare - is overpaid at $3.5 MM per year. I have trouble justifying $4.5 MM for Amendola.
pappymojo said:With Josh McDaniels as OC? Seems unlikely.
Super Nomario said:I'm not sure fit and comfort with Brady is a point in Amendola's favor, given how unproductive he was on a per-snap basis. Maybe he wasn't physically right until the end of the season or something, but he was almost completely useless most of the year. Upthread some are suggesting that Vereen - a fair more productive receiver in 2014, and at a position where such receiving capability is fairly rare - is overpaid at $3.5 MM per year. I have trouble justifying $4.5 MM for Amendola.
RedOctober3829 said:If the reports are true and the Patriots are interested in Hartline, what's the possibility of Hartline coming in under that $4.5MM price tag of Amendola? It would make cutting DA much easier.
Hartline, the Canton, Ohio native, is still seriously considering the Browns even though he also has strong interest and possibly even solid offers from the Texans, Bears and Patriots, a source told Northeast Ohio Media Group. The Colts might also have him on their radar, a source said.
He might even make up his mind by later today, a source said. At this point, he's looking not only for the most playing time, but also the most lucrative deal.
http://www.cleveland.com/browns/index.ssf/2015/03/brian_hartline_new_england_pat.htmlHartline's decision will be based, in part, on the salary versus the quarterback he'll be playing with.
Not surprising to hear Hartline wants the most money. More than a few whispers out of Miami said his ego completely changed once he got paid by the Dolphins.Corsi said:
RedOctober3829 said:Not surprising to hear Hartline wants the most money. More than a few whispers out of Miami said his ego completely changed once he got paid by the Dolphins.
Morgan's Magic Snowplow said:
The guy got paid but he's only made around $14-15M in his career. I'm not crying poverty for him but that's only like 7-8M after taxes, which is a nice chunk of change but not exactly "I've set up my family for life" territory, especially given that he has probably blown a good bit on stupid shit, like most football players. This might be his last shot at a decent sized deal given that he'll be 29 in the fall, so maximizing dollars seems pretty reasonable.
Mary Kay Cabot @MaryKayCabot 51s52 seconds ago
Hartline will take less $ to play w/ a QB such as #Patriots Brady, will require more $$ to play w/ a #Browns McCown or #Texans Mallet
jsinger121 said:
sonofgodcf said:If the Pats lose out on Revis, is there any chance they make a run on Suh? Obviously he wants to get paid, but as others have said, the Pats are willing to do so for truly elite talent. If we can't have an elite secondary, a consistent pass rush would be a nice consolation. Jones, Easley, Suh and Nink would be a pretty formidable d line.
They don't have nearly the amount of cap space to sign Suh plus address other needs. There is talk of $17 million per year and over $60 million guaranteed. The track record of team success after signing a player to that kind of contract is not good.ivanvamp said:And though I really don't like Suh and think he's a very dirty player, he'd then be *our* dirty player and he'd give the entire defense a huge edge of nastiness that would probably be beneficial. Him and Browner on the same defense would have some real attitude.
Please be true.dcmissle said:FWIW, pretty reliable beat guy down here last night mentioned Pats interest in Roy Helu of the Snyders.