2015 Jets: Back on Track

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Mystic Merlin

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Given what I saw from him at FSU and early in his career at BUF, I don't think anybody was "developing" EJ Manuel.  I wouldn't hold that against him because I don't think EJ Manuel has the tools required of an NFL QB.  He isn't an accurate passer, doesn't have great athleticism and didn't demonstrate that he was anything but a one read passer.
 
Mystic Merlin said:
Given what I saw from him at FSU and early in his career at BUF, I don't think anybody was "developing" EJ Manuel.  I wouldn't hold that against him because I don't think EJ Manuel has the tools required of an NFL QB.  He isn't an accurate passer, doesn't have great athleticism and didn't demonstrate that he was anything but a one read passer.
 
So you're saying he'll have a smooth transition working with Geno.  
 

JimD

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Mystic Merlin said:
Given what I saw from him at FSU and early in his career at BUF, I don't think anybody was "developing" EJ Manuel.  I wouldn't hold that against him because I don't think EJ Manuel has the tools required of an NFL QB.  He isn't an accurate passer, doesn't have great athleticism and didn't demonstrate that he was anything but a one read passer.
 
Remember, Marrone had input on the decision when the Bills drafted Manuel.  Had EJ been forced on him, we would have heard about it by now.
 

Van Everyman

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Mystic Merlin said:
Given what I saw from him at FSU and early in his career at BUF, I don't think anybody was "developing" EJ Manuel.  I wouldn't hold that against him because I don't think EJ Manuel has the tools required of an NFL QB.  He isn't an accurate passer, doesn't have great athleticism and didn't demonstrate that he was anything but a one read passer.
Somewhat off topic I know. And I get that it's a hard job. But how is it possible so many teams dedicate high round draft picks for guys who lack the skill set required of a modern NFL QB? Is it a case of the Moneyball scouts who are blown away by physical skills and million dollar smiles? Or is it just that you can't really know how a guy will perform until they're actually in the NFL?
 

DJnVa

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Van Everyman said:
 Is it a case of the Moneyball scouts who are blown away by physical skills and million dollar smiles?
 
Wouldn't Moneyball scouts NOT care about million dollar smiles, physical skills and if they QB has a ugly girlfriend?
 

Dogman

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DrewDawg said:
 
Wouldn't Moneyball scouts NOT care about million dollar smiles, physical skills and if they QB has a ugly girlfriend?
 
No.  The scouts he is talking about in Moneyball were the traditional ones who ignored all matters of statistics and went with their gut on the 5 tool players.
 

Super Nomario

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Van Everyman said:
Somewhat off topic I know. And I get that it's a hard job. But how is it possible so many teams dedicate high round draft picks for guys who lack the skill set required of a modern NFL QB? Is it a case of the Moneyball scouts who are blown away by physical skills and million dollar smiles? Or is it just that you can't really know how a guy will perform until they're actually in the NFL?
I think it's mostly the bolded. If you look at the "big four": Brady, Brees, Manning, and Rodgers, only Manning had elite physical tools coming out of college, and only Rodgers has elite physical tools now. Of the four, only Manning started as a rookie, and he was terrible, throwing 28 picks. Basically no one is ready to play at a high level as a rookie, so success comes down to who is willing and able to make improvements. I'm not sure you can really assess that until a guy is in the pros.
 

Morgan's Magic Snowplow

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Van Everyman said:
Somewhat off topic I know. And I get that it's a hard job. But how is it possible so many teams dedicate high round draft picks for guys who lack the skill set required of a modern NFL QB? Is it a case of the Moneyball scouts who are blown away by physical skills and million dollar smiles? Or is it just that you can't really know how a guy will perform until they're actually in the NFL?
 
SN's answer nails it in general but I think in this specific case its also likely that the Bills front office overreacted to the success the previous season of Kaepernick, Wilson, and RGIII running variations of the pistol/read-option.  I don't see a guy like Manuel getting overdrafted to that degree a couple years earlier.  He simply wasn't successful enough at the college level when throwing the ball.
 

dcmissle

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Exacerbating things is the loss of patience on the part of ownership.  Aikman was horrible his rookie season, as was Elway. His first season of substantial playing time (second overall) Montana was no great shakes.  The only guy great out of the box in my lifetime was Marino, and recall how he slipped in the draft for one reason or another. (Big Ben was good enough, but it really wasn't on him).
 
An exploitable market inefficiency in the NFL -- ownership determined to do things the right way, and willing to stick with people (players and coaches) regardless of the media frenzy.
 
EDIT -- so when you create media frenzy for marketing purposes, and then put an unstable chain of command in place, you should not be surprised that young, able individuals are turning down interviews for the GM spot.
 

8slim

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Silverdude2167 said:
So what about Doug makes him an attractive hire? I am asking honestly.
I have little opinion about him, but those Bills teams were not amazing and failed when they needed a win in Oakland.
 
I'm a Syracuse alum and one of maybe a dozen people who follow the SU football program closely.  Marrone is a good coach.  He inherited an absolute steaming mess at Syracuse and made 2 (minor) bowls in 3 years, knocking off a couple of top 15 teams along the way.  
 
But he's also very difficult to deal with.  Friends of mine who are close to the SU program said he pissed off a lot of people in his 4 years there, including alienating lots of former players.  Obviously there are similar reports now that he did the same in Buffalo.
 
Ultimately Marrone is an opportunist.  He was the OC in New Orleans, but he didn't call plays, and his alma mater turned to him after being rebuffed by guys like Skip Holtz and Randy Edsall to reinvigorate a heavily damaged program.  The second he did that he bolted.  His 2012 season at Syracuse he had a good senior QB (Ryan Nassib), an eventual 1st round NFL OT (Justin Pugh, a senior), and two very good senior WRs who still kick around on NFL practice squads (Marcus Sales, Alec Lemon).  He finished the year strong, destroyed a Geno Smith-led West Virginia team in the Pinstripe Bowl (ha!) and got out while the gettin' was good.
 
Same thing has occurred in Buffalo.  He notched the Bills first winning season in forever (granted he choked away the Raiders game and his 9th win was a meaningless one against the Pats) and left while his reputation is still strong.
 
He has a remarkably thin skin and he'd get eaten alive in NYC, so it's for the best that he's not in the running to be Jets HC.  Atlanta would be a good spot for him.
 

TomRicardo

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Super Nomario said:
I think it's mostly the bolded. If you look at the "big four": Brady, Brees, Manning, and Rodgers, only Manning had elite physical tools coming out of college, and only Rodgers has elite physical tools now. Of the four, only Manning started as a rookie, and he was terrible, throwing 28 picks. Basically no one is ready to play at a high level as a rookie, so success comes down to who is willing and able to make improvements. I'm not sure you can really assess that until a guy is in the pros.
 
Cam Newton was the best rookie QB in NFL history.  Things have just stayed the same since he came into the league.  No improvement.
 

PedroKsBambino

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GregHarris said:
http://www.thescore.com/nfl/news/673595
 
Marrone out, Dan Quinn now the favorite.  This changes by the hour it seems.
 
I suspect it's more accurate to say Dan Quinn is the Jets favorite---it's hard to imagine that he's going to go there, isn't it?  He's bound to have  several other (which is to say, better) options.
 

NortheasternPJ

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Smiling Joe Hesketh said:
Marino slipped in his draft due to a knee injury, a worse senior year than junior, and rumors of cocaine use while at Pitt.
If anyone hasnt seen the 30 for 30 Elway to Marino they should.
 

GregHarris

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The 83' draft episode?  Not sure if it's that one, but it's also a must see.  I had no idea how many potential deals the Pats were mentioned as being part of.
 

deanx0

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dcmissle said:
Exacerbating things is the loss of patience on the part of ownership.  Aikman was horrible his rookie season, as was Elway. His first season of substantial playing time (second overall) Montana was no great shakes.  The only guy great out of the box in my lifetime was Marino, and recall how he slipped in the draft for one reason or another. (Big Ben was good enough, but it really wasn't on him).
 
An exploitable market inefficiency in the NFL -- ownership determined to do things the right way, and willing to stick with people (players and coaches) regardless of the media frenzy.
 
EDIT -- so when you create media frenzy for marketing purposes, and then put an unstable chain of command in place, you should not be surprised that young, able individuals are turning down interviews for the GM spot.
 
I wonder if a third element is the restriction on practice time and offseason workouts negotiated in the last agreement. It's a great plan for the safety and health of the players, but I wonder if younger quarterbacks will advance less quickly as a result.
 

soxfan121

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In his defense, SJH and tims4wins had about 30 posts between them, talking about their admiration for the Jets ex-head coach, that were split into a new thread.
 

SeoulSoxFan

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soxfan121 said:
In his defense, SJH and tims4wins had about 30 posts between them, talking about their admiration for the Jets ex-head coach, that were split into a new thread.
 
Nice SF -- perfect title too.
 

Ed Hillel

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So the Jets are hiring a successful DC to coach and a failed OC to be lead the offense. Where have I heard this before?
 

tims4wins

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Ed Hillel said:
So the Jets are hiring a successful DC to coach and a failed OC to be lead the offense. Where have I heard this before?
 
Not only that, the OC is a son of a former highly successful NFL coach. Awesome parallels.
 
Edit: to be clear I am comparing Shanahan and Schotty
 

soxhop411

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Now that the Bears have hired Ryan Pace as their general manager, the Jets are the league’s lone team searching for both a GM and a head coach, but it appears the club has its sights set on a pair of top targets. According to Brian Costello of the New York Post, Texans director of college scouting Mike Maccagnan has emerged as the favorite for the Jets’ GM vacancy, while Seahawks defensive coordinator Dan Quinn is the frontrunner for the head coaching position.
While former Bills head coach Doug Marrone was initially viewed as the top candidate to replace Rex Ryan in New York, Marrone isn’t one of the team’s preferred options at this point, a source tells Costello. Instead, Quinn, Cardinals defensive coordinator Todd Bowles, and Seahawks offensive line coach Tom Cable are the most serious contenders, having had the best interviews of New York’s candidates so far.
Quinn was busy during Seattle’s bye week, speaking to the Falcons, Bills, Bears, and 49ers as well, so the Jets will have competition for the coveted defensive coordinator. However, the team’s interest in Quinn is mutual, according to Manish Mehta of the New York Daily News, who reports that the Seahawks DC has told friends that New York is his top choice.
As for Maccagnan, both Costello and Mehta indicate that the GM hopeful is meeting with Jets owner Woody Johnson and the club’s front office brass for dinner tonight. Maccagnan is the only candidate to receive a second interview with the Jets to date, and Mehta writes that Johnson, team president Neil Glat, and consultants Charley Casserly and Ron Wolf have made the Texans executive their top target.
If Maccagnan is tabbed as John Idzik‘s successor, the Jets may bring aboard a veteran contract negotiator and cap expert to complement his skill set. According to Mehta, if Quinn were to land a head coaching job, he would like his new team to add former Buccaneers GM (and current ESPN analyst) Mark Domenik to the front office — the Jets have reached out to Domenik about a possible role, per Mehta.
Although a front office hiring or two could happen soon, the Jets won’t get the chance to speak to Quinn again until the Seahawks are eliminated from the postseason or win the NFC title game. Assuming Seattle defeats the Panthers this weekend, as is expected, that means the Jets would have to wait until at least January 18 to talk to or hire the Seahawks coordinator.
http://www.profootballrumors.com/jets-targeting-mike-maccagnan-dan-quinn/
 

SeoulSoxFan

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Quinn is apparently on the record as saying Jets are his first choice. 
 
With Ryan in Buffalo, Quinn and Maccagnan in NY, the overall FO talent level in the AFCE has gone up, not down. 
 

dcmissle

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Corsi said:
<p><span style="color:rgb(41,47,51);"><span style='font-family: Helvetica Neue'><span style="font-size:12px;">
Adam Schefter ‏@AdamSchefter  2m2
link to tweet minutes ago
John Fox declined HC interview with Jets, per NFL source. Hard to imagine turning down one HC chance unless there's real chance for another.
Atlanta?
in any case, I don't know how good the Bills will be overall, but it's a good bet they will be very good against the Jets for a long time. Woody must be beside himself over this.
 
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