This is now: BB and the direction of the Patriots

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Mystic Merlin

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Flacco is the definition of a stopgap and hadn’t played good ball in however long, and one objective of this season was to find out what they really have in Mac Jones because that would heavily inform their long-term plans at the position. Signing him made little sense at the time, and I don’t think was gonna agree to languish on someone’s bench anyways.
 

Ed Hillel

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We really gonna do this with 38 year old Joe Flacco, who nobody signed until Week 12 or whatever?
 

tims4wins

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Flacco is the definition of a stopgap and hadn’t played good ball in however long, and one objective of this season was to find out what they really have in Mac Jones because that would heavily inform their long-term plans at the position. Signing him made little sense at the time, and I don’t think was gonna agree to languish on someone’s bench anyways.
Right, at least this season was mission accomplished on the "find out what we have in Mac" topic. I mean this really was the 2nd best possible outcome for the season, right? Best possible outcome was Mac played well, team played well, made the playoffs or whatever. But figuring out that Mac needs to be cut and getting a top 5 pick, is about as "good" as we could have expected from a bad season.

The only asterisk here is BB's fate. While I'm fully ready to see someone else picking the players, I am also coming around to the idea that he would be the best possible coach. Of course, as we've gone round and round on this, I have no idea if he'd stay on under that scenario.
 

johnmd20

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Oh no, no all pros.

It's also not a list of the 50 top players, but position specific. So saying that don't have a top 50 player based on that list is not accurate.

Now I don't think they have a top 50 player, but I also don't think that is a major issue.

Do the Bills have top 50 players because they almost lost to a team with no top 50 players who also turned the ball over 4 times.

This debate is tiring, the Pats are a playoff team with average QB play, the roster isn't as shit as some people want to make it out to be.

This season needs to end so this debate can finally be resolved.

Also irrelevant, but Barnwell sucks and his lists tend to meh.
Your argument is that having bad players is *good* for the Patriots? And the Pats wouldn't be good with average QB play, they just wouldn't be one of the worst teams in the league. But the problem is that they have no great players on offense, not just at the QB position.

You actually need good players to win. And you don't need to spend to get there. The Rams drafted Puka and Kyren and have like 23 undrafted, cut, unwanted free agents on their team and they are winning games. Their defense is Aaron Donald and no names. 9-7.

It comes down to talent evaluation and the Patriots are pathetic at that on the offensive side. It's not just Mac. It's Mac and Zap and Cunningham and Rham and Boutte and Thornton and Juju and Parker and Montgomery and the rest of the shit. The Pats have a worse point differential than the Jets and the Jets have started Trevor Simien and Tim Boyle and Zach Wilson this season. In fact, the Pats have the worst point differential in the AFC.

An average QB isn't doing anything with that. And definitely not taking them to the playoffs.
 

GreenB11

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Your argument is that having bad players is *good* for the Patriots? And the Pats wouldn't be good with average QB play, they just wouldn't be one of the worst teams in the league. But the problem is that they have no great players on offense, not just at the QB position.

You actually need good players to win. And you don't need to spend to get there. The Rams drafted Puka and Kyren and have like 23 undrafted, cut, unwanted free agents on their team and they are winning games. Their defense is Aaron Donald and no names. 9-7.

It comes down to talent evaluation and the Patriots are pathetic at that on the offensive side. It's not just Mac. It's Mac and Zap and Cunningham and Rham and Boutte and Thornton and Juju and Parker and Montgomery and the rest of the shit. The Pats have a worse point differential than the Jets and the Jets have started Trevor Simien and Tim Boyle and Zach Wilson this season. In fact, the Pats have the worst point differential in the AFC.

An average QB isn't doing anything with that. And definitely not taking them to the playoffs.

The Rams paid to play. They looked around the league and draft, and decided Goff wasn't good enough and made a monster play that won them a Super Bowl.

In the league today, you have to pay to play. The days of BB structuring his contracts perfectly to win it all an dump the winners are over. You need playmakers and the Pats have zero.
 

johnmd20

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The Rams paid to play. They looked around the league and draft, and decided Goff wasn't good enough and made a monster play that won them a Super Bowl.

In the league today, you have to pay to play. The days of BB structuring his contracts perfectly to win it all an dump the winners are over. You need playmakers and the Pats have zero.
Indeed. They have Juju and Parker and Thorton.
 

mcpickl

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Your argument is that having bad players is *good* for the Patriots? And the Pats wouldn't be good with average QB play, they just wouldn't be one of the worst teams in the league. But the problem is that they have no great players on offense, not just at the QB position.

You actually need good players to win. And you don't need to spend to get there. The Rams drafted Puka and Kyren and have like 23 undrafted, cut, unwanted free agents on their team and they are winning games. Their defense is Aaron Donald and no names. 9-7.

It comes down to talent evaluation and the Patriots are pathetic at that on the offensive side. It's not just Mac. It's Mac and Zap and Cunningham and Rham and Boutte and Thornton and Juju and Parker and Montgomery and the rest of the shit. The Pats have a worse point differential than the Jets and the Jets have started Trevor Simien and Tim Boyle and Zach Wilson this season. In fact, the Pats have the worst point differential in the AFC.

An average QB isn't doing anything with that. And definitely not taking them to the playoffs.
Correct.

And if you flipped the Patriots and Rams QBs, what do you think their respective records would be?

Can't be sure, but my guess is the Patriots would be on the edge of the playoffs and the Rams would be looking at draft scenarios this weekend.
 

GreenB11

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Correct.

And if you flipped the Patriots and Rams QBs, what do you think their respective records would be?

Can't be sure, but my guess is the Patriots would be on the edge of the playoffs and the Rams would be looking at draft scenarios this weekend.
The Rams went out and got that QB. They paid to play. The records are not flipped because the Rams made a choice to acquire a QB that the Pats did not.

The QB is not an exogenous factor. He's not a fucking act of God. If the Pats only need "average QB play" aka "better than Mac/Zappe" then fire the GM who isn't pursuing that QB. Oh wait.
 

j44thor

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Correct.

And if you flipped the Patriots and Rams QBs, what do you think their respective records would be?

Can't be sure, but my guess is the Patriots would be on the edge of the playoffs and the Rams would be looking at draft scenarios this weekend.
Is he bringing Puka, Kupp and Kyren along with him and McVay installing the offense? Stafford is obviously an upgrade at QB but the offensive operation for the LAR is significantly better than the flotsam and jetsam NE runs out.
 

mcpickl

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The Rams went out and got that QB. They paid to play. The records are not flipped because the Rams made a choice to acquire a QB that the Pats did not.

The QB is not an exogenous factor. He's not a fucking act of God. If the Pats only need "average QB play" aka "better than Mac/Zappe" then fire the GM who isn't pursuing that QB. Oh wait.
It's been pointed out many, many times in this thread. The goal isn't to just get "average QB play" aka "better than Mac/Zappe". It's to find a QB that can be a top 10-12 guy in the league.

Just being better than Mac/Zappe isn't the goal. People have just pointed out, if they did have an average QB, they'd probably be an average team. Again, that isn't the goal.

If you fire every GM who isn't pursuing that QB, you'd be firing 20ish GMs every year because there are a finite number of them.

Oh wait.
 

mcpickl

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Is he bringing Puka, Kupp and Kyren along with him and McVay installing the offense? Stafford is obviously an upgrade at QB but the offensive operation for the LAR is significantly better than the flotsam and jetsam NE runs out.
Doesn't matter. Doesn't need to.

The QB alone would put the Patriots approximately where the Rams are, and the Rams having Mac/Zappe would put the Rams approximately where the Patriots are.

It's that big a difference.
 

Cellar-Door

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Deandre Hopkins has caught 68 passes for 1011 yards for Tennessee. He certainly would have made them more competitive.
Probably, though who knows, Mac has shown that he does the opposite of elevate WRs generally (see Juju who had 78 catches for 933 yards last year), and certainly Mac isn't throwing deep to a guy with little separation (it's much like the Pickens debate... and the Parker issue of why Parker looks so much better with Zappe) so those numbers probably look pretty different here.

But he got his choice of where to go, and I doubt we were more attractive, and honestly I'd rather have the cap space. He's on TEN cap for $21M next year.
 

Kenny F'ing Powers

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Goes back to scouting, drafting, player development, quality coaching, etc. This all falls under Belichick and a big reason for him not to return and just clean this operation out. X’s and O’s only takes you so far. Sometimes you need to take a step back to move two steps forward.
Exactly. I mean, look at all the teams without having a player named on the list:

No Cinci players? Fire everyone.

No Chargers? Launch Herbert into the sun.

No Jaguars? The team needs a fresh start.

Texans had some guy named Shaq Mason make it, why cant our "scouting, drafting, player development, coaching" find guys like that?

The Bears, Giants, and Jets all had players make it. So I assume those teams are all in great spots. Or maybe All-pro votes aren't the best barometer for the future of a franchise?
 
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ManicCompression

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Exactly. I mean, look at all the teams without having a player named on the list:

No Cinci players? Fire everyone.

No Chargers? Launch Herbert into the sun.

No Jaguars? The team needs a fresh start.

Texans had some guy named Shaq Mason make it, why cant our "scouting, drafting, player development, coaching" find guys like that?

The Bears, Giants, and Jets all had players make it. So I assume those teams are all in great spots. Or maybe All-pro votes aren't the best barometer for the future of a franchise?
KP, I love you, but surely it says something that in the four years post-Brady, BB hasn't acquired a many players who could be considered in the top handful at his position.

All the teams you list out have extenuating circumstances. Any other Cincy season and someone like Burrow or Chase would be on this list - or threaten it - and the same could be said for the Herbert on the Chargers. Injuries obviously affect who's on it. Even in a healthy year, what Patriot sniffs a list like this?

The point of saying "we don't have all-pros" and "we don't have any players in x-top 100 player list" is to say that this team has little to no elite talent. Judon is a top 10 Edge maybe, but also 32. Gonzalez looks great, but we only have limited evidence of it. Barmore - not quite there yet, but looks close. So that's two close to elite players if you squint and then a bunch of guys who are average (or below) enough that we're all going to debate whether we should re-sign them during the offseason (hello, Kyle Duggar).

So I'll agree with the specific that All-Pro lists are dumb, but disagree with what it represents, which is the sorry state of the roster. It's great that Bill can maybe coach the little engine that could to 7 or 8 wins, but it would be really nice to also have elite talent at meaningful positions so we're not bemoaning another lost year next January. After all, the big reason we had success is that we hand the most elite player at the most important position for 20 years. Great players are an essential part of a good football team - I don't get why people are arguing against this.
 

Cellar-Door

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KP, I love you, but surely it says something that in the four years post-Brady, BB hasn't acquired a many players who could be considered in the top handful at his position.

All the teams you list out have extenuating circumstances. Any other Cincy season and someone like Burrow or Chase would be on this list - or threaten it - and the same could be said for the Herbert on the Chargers. Injuries obviously affect who's on it. Even in a healthy year, what Patriot sniffs a list like this?

The point of saying "we don't have all-pros" and "we don't have any players in x-top 100 player list" is to say that this team has little to no elite talent. Judon is a top 10 Edge maybe, but also 32. Gonzalez looks great, but we only have limited evidence of it. Barmore - not quite there yet, but looks close. So that's two close to elite players if you squint and then a bunch of guys who are average (or below) enough that we're all going to debate whether we should re-sign them during the offseason (hello, Kyle Duggar).

So I'll agree with the specific that All-Pro lists are dumb, but disagree with what it represents, which is the sorry state of the roster. It's great that Bill can maybe coach the little engine that could to 7 or 8 wins, but it would be really nice to also have elite talent at meaningful positions so we're not bemoaning another lost year next January. After all, the big reason we had success is that we hand the most elite player at the most important position for 20 years. Great players are an essential part of a good football team - I don't get why people are arguing against this.
The Patriots have really only struggled to add top players at a few positions... WR notably. The Defense is very good.

It isn't the end all be all, but PFF has the Patriots with the following in recently acquired players:
Top 5 S
Top 5 LB
Top 10 IDL
Another top 10 LB

And that doesn't count injured guys (which includes borderline top 10 CB rookie) or guys who have been here a while.

Since these things fluctuate last year they had... 13th ranked edge, 12th ranked RB, top 10 LB, top 5 OG, top 10 S and a top 15 CB.

The Patriots have talented players added in recent years, the problem is none of them play QB, and that WR has been a struggle as well (though they have a rookie who is top 30 this year which is nice).
 

ManicCompression

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The Patriots have really only struggled to add top players at a few positions... WR notably. The Defense is very good.

It isn't the end all be all, but PFF has the Patriots with the following in recently acquired players:
Top 5 S
Top 5 LB
Top 10 IDL
Another top 10 LB

And that doesn't count injured guys (which includes borderline top 10 CB rookie) or guys who have been here a while.

Since these things fluctuate last year they had... 13th ranked edge, 12th ranked RB, top 10 LB, top 5 OG, top 10 S and a top 15 CB.

The Patriots have talented players added in recent years, the problem is none of them play QB, and that WR has been a struggle as well (though they have a rookie who is top 30 this year which is nice).
It's hard for me to really put a ton of faith in PFF, but I wouldn't call top 10 at a single position "elite." I won't deny that they seem to find contributors and starters reliably at certain positions, and that's a great skill to have, but I just reject the hand-waving that having what would be considered one of the best two or three players at a position is somehow not useful or instructive about the future health of the team.

The Patriots were really good for years because they had an elite QB and they surrounded him with, at times, the best TE in the league, or the best WR in the league, or the best K in the league, or the best NT in the league, or one of the best S in the league, or one of the best Gs in the league - or a combination of the above. It's helpful to have slightly above average players, but it's absolutely necessary to have a couple of "among the best" Xes in the league at a few positions to win a lot of games. Could that be Gonzo and Barmore? Maybe, but that's a hope more than anything and the team doesn't have a lot else to hang their hat on right now, particularly on offense.
 

luckiestman

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Talk me out of betting $10K on the Pats. I don’t have a lot of money to lose but it’s going to be a miracle if Bill in potentially his last game doesn’t put it on my guys.

edit: 13,000 to win 10,000. What should I buy with my winnings?
 

Van Everyman

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It's hard for me to really put a ton of faith in PFF, but I wouldn't call top 10 at a single position "elite." I won't deny that they seem to find contributors and starters reliably at certain positions, and that's a great skill to have, but I just reject the hand-waving that having what would be considered one of the best two or three players at a position is somehow not useful or instructive about the future health of the team.

The Patriots were really good for years because they had an elite QB and they surrounded him with, at times, the best TE in the league, or the best WR in the league, or the best K in the league, or the best NT in the league, or one of the best S in the league, or one of the best Gs in the league - or a combination of the above. It's helpful to have slightly above average players, but it's absolutely necessary to have a couple of "among the best" Xes in the league at a few positions to win a lot of games. Could that be Gonzo and Barmore? Maybe, but that's a hope more than anything and the team doesn't have a lot else to hang their hat on right now, particularly on offense.
Who was “among the best” on offense in 2001 or 2003 even? I would venture: “no one.”

“David Givens can’t get separation.”

“Deion Branch isn’t a true #1 receiver.”

“Antowain Smith wouldn’t even be starting on another team.”

“Daniel Graham was a wasted first round pick.”

I mean, they absolutely did not have a bunch of “the best anybodies in the league” on offense until much, much later. And that 2003 team won 14 games.

If you want to argue it was all Brady starting in 2001, fine. I don’t agree at all but it’s at least an arguable point. That the Pats always had elite guys is not. Not on offense anyway.
 

ManicCompression

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Who was “among the best” on offense in 2001 or 2003 even? I would venture: “no one.”

“David Givens can’t get separation.”

“Deion Branch isn’t a true #1 receiver.”

“Antowain Smith wouldn’t even be starting on another team.”

“Daniel Graham was a wasted first round pick.”

I mean, they absolutely did not have a bunch of “the best anybodies in the league” on offense until much, much later. And that 2003 team won 14 games.

If you want to argue it was all Brady starting in 2001, fine. I don’t agree at all but it’s at least an arguable point. That the Pats always had elite guys is not. Not on offense anyway.
Richard Seymour and Ty Law were “among the best” at the time I’d say. I know it’s convenient for you to leave out the whole defensive aspect of the equation, but safe to say that Seymour and Law had done more to prove themselves in the league by end of 2001 than Barmore and Gonzalez in 2023. But also you’re comparing 2023 to 2001, and a historically unique team at that. If the goal going forward is to recreate the 2001 team, then I think that’s going to lead to some tough sledding for everyone involved. It’s my favorite title team, but it’s an aberration for a reason.

I can’t believe the pushback to “It’s good to have great players on your team.” The fact that we won a Super Bowl when Tom Brady was ascendant isn’t better evidence than the five when he was the best quarterback in the league.
 

rodderick

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We're still doing the "it's not the best 53, it's the right 53" stuff, man. I'll agree merely looking at number of All-Pros isn't the best indication of the overall state of the roster, but I think it's a consensus they lack talent, and talent wins at the end of the day, chiefly at the most important position in the sport. The 2001 team had a ton of it, especially on defense. And then they had the 6th best offensive EPA/Play in football with Brady that year.
 

DJnVa

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Why the Patriots’ Bill Belichick-Robert Kraft partnership is on the verge of a breakup

But five years after that last Super Bowl, the Patriots are a shell of their once-dominant selves. By the two-minute warning of that Week 15 game against the Chiefs, another double-digit loss was already decided.

Fans headed out for an early exit. Kraft did, too. He got up from his usual seat next to Jonathan and looked around. Visiting fans were filling the lower bowl to cheer on their team. Kraft looked at Jonathan and the two got up to leave.

There was no point in watching this any longer.
 

Van Everyman

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Some of that article feels like warmed over Wickersham, but I thought this was interesting:

Kraft’s final ploy to keep together the best coach-quarterback duo in league history was to ensure Brady would have the chance to be a free agent at the end of 2019. He hoped that would incentivize Belichick to make changes. Treat Brady differently. Make him a bigger part of the operation. Focus on the offense more.

But Belichick refused to change. He told Kraft that Brady’s play was declining. As painful as it was to say goodbye to Brady, which he did during an in-person chat at Kraft’s home, the owner understood why Brady wanted to leave, and Kraft trusted his longtime coach that the separation would eventually help the Patriots.
I’ve never heard anyone characterize that last Brady deal as Kraft’s way of “incentivizing Belichick to make changes.” If that’s true, it kind of seems like a bad play on Kraft’s part – if your goal was to broker some kind of peace, why would you give the QB more leverage to leave?
 

Mystic Merlin

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It seemed to me - and I think all the reporting to-date has supported this view - that tweaking his contract is how they got Brady to show up at training camp in 2019.

First time I’ve heard a reporter suggest that Kraft was engaging in some kind of 3D chess move too, what, scare Bill into making nice with Brady? That’s not how Bill operates, and I have some trouble believing that Kraft would think otherwise. Calling the contract adjustment a Kraft ‘ploy’ also begs some questions. I can’t tell if the author intends to imply that Kraft adjusted Brady’s deal without consulting Bill, or, instead, that his alleged hope that it would scare Bill into making nice with Brady was undisclosed to Bill.

Weird sequence of paragraphs there. Given that this is the first time I’ve seen this theory floated despite tons of reporters having picked through these bones over the last several years, and that it requires us to assume Kraft failed to understand Bill or negotiation strategy, I’m not buying it.
 

lexrageorge

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Some of that article feels like warmed over Wickersham, but I thought this was interesting:


I’ve never heard anyone characterize that last Brady deal as Kraft’s way of “incentivizing Belichick to make changes.” If that’s true, it kind of seems like a bad play on Kraft’s part – if your goal was to broker some kind of peace, why would you give the QB more leverage to leave?
Yeah, that 2019 contract adjustment with the void years added pretty much guaranteed that Brady was going to hit free agency and most likely leave due to the cap implications that the team would face as a result. And Kraft/Belichick literally tried everything to get help at WR that season (retaining Josh Gordon, drafting Harry, signing Antonio Brown, bringing in Demarius Thomas).
 

Smiling Joe Hesketh

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I’d been really disappointed with the terrible coaching earlier in the year, but I’ve gradually come around to wanting bb back at least as coach. The team is still bad, but with Mac benched they have been much, much better. I also really appreciate that the team has continued to play hard— that doesn’t happen for most coaches with teams this bad. I think he should get one more year.

I said this on Twitter and it works here too:

This Pats team has a bad record, no kicker, a backup QB and more injuries that can be counted but they are playing their collective asses off today in the face of huge adversity. It would be insane to dump the coach. They are playing insanely hard for him.

If you’ve played team sports at all you’ll know that fighting through adversity is by far the most important trait a player can have. Mac can’t do it. Trent Brown has shown he won’t be part of the next good Pats team because he can’t stop bitching. On the other hand, even though he’s not good, Zappe fought back after a terrible first qtr and got them back into it. The defense never stopped making plays etc.

These are traits that will carry over into the next good Pats team, traits that the coach expects and demands. With a real QB and a real kicker and some decent injury luck, this is an intriguing team next year.
 

Cellar-Door

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It's hard for me to really put a ton of faith in PFF, but I wouldn't call top 10 at a single position "elite." I won't deny that they seem to find contributors and starters reliably at certain positions, and that's a great skill to have, but I just reject the hand-waving that having what would be considered one of the best two or three players at a position is somehow not useful or instructive about the future health of the team.

The Patriots were really good for years because they had an elite QB and they surrounded him with, at times, the best TE in the league, or the best WR in the league, or the best K in the league, or the best NT in the league, or one of the best S in the league, or one of the best Gs in the league - or a combination of the above. It's helpful to have slightly above average players, but it's absolutely necessary to have a couple of "among the best" Xes in the league at a few positions to win a lot of games. Could that be Gonzo and Barmore? Maybe, but that's a hope more than anything and the team doesn't have a lot else to hang their hat on right now, particularly on offense.
I think the major difference between the teams the last few years and much of the dynasty is the lack of a top 5 QB. That's really the answer, and it is the answer league wide. If you want to have consistent top level success you need a top 10 QB.

This team has very good defensive talent, it's got mediocre offensive talent. If you dropped a top QB into it you'd be a contender.
 

Silverdude2167

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Some of that article feels like warmed over Wickersham, but I thought this was interesting:


I’ve never heard anyone characterize that last Brady deal as Kraft’s way of “incentivizing Belichick to make changes.” If that’s true, it kind of seems like a bad play on Kraft’s part – if your goal was to broker some kind of peace, why would you give the QB more leverage to leave?
This kinda lines up with what has always been a trend with Kraft. He loves the QB. He loved Bledsoe and gave him that monster contract, he loved Brady like a son basically and at the end acted like he was one and he has even tried to love Mac.

We were lucky to have Brady "duh" because I am sure Kraft would have sided with the QB multiple times if they butted heads with BB.
 

DJnVa

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I said this on Twitter and it works here too:

This Pats team has a bad record, no kicker, a backup QB and more injuries that can be counted but they are playing their collective asses off today in the face of huge adversity. It would be insane to dump the coach. They are playing insanely hard for him.
Do you want BB back if he is still the GM?

Because it seems like that's the choice.
 

Van Everyman

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I think the major difference between the teams the last few years and much of the dynasty is the lack of a top 5 QB. That's really the answer, and it is the answer league wide. If you want to have consistent top level success you need a top 10 QB.

This team has very good defensive talent, it's got mediocre offensive talent. If you dropped a top QB into it you'd be a contender.
Yup. Which is why riding Mac this year to see what you had wasn’t a bad decision. Also: Kraft made pretty clear after 2021 that the goal wasn’t to just make the playoffs – it was to be one of the best teams in the league. Now you know what you need—a QB, another receiver or two and some OL help—to help you get there.
Do you want BB back if he is still the GM?

Because it seems like that's the choice.
I’ve never bought into the “Bill the coach is undermined by Bill the GM” talk. Bill has filled out rosters with guys he thinks he can coach up, and its way more often guys like Jakobi Meyers, Chris Hogan and Jahlani Tavai than Gronk or Judon.

This season isn’t really much of an exception outside of Mac, who as I said, was getting snaps for somewhat different reasons. Improve the QB play and you are probably a lot closer to contention than our record would indicate.
 

j44thor

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I think the major difference between the teams the last few years and much of the dynasty is the lack of a top 5 QB. That's really the answer, and it is the answer league wide. If you want to have consistent top level success you need a top 10 QB.

This team has very good defensive talent, it's got mediocre offensive talent. If you dropped a top QB into it you'd be a contender.
They'd be a contender for a playoff spot much like they were Brady's last season here but the offense is so bereft of talent they wouldn't be a serious playoff contender. We saw that Brady couldn't succeed here at the end with the lack of weapons and thrived in TB when he had Evans and Godwin to throw to. The idea NE is a QB away is fools gold.
The defense is very good but defense alone doesn't win championships anymore.
 

DJnVa

Dorito Dawg
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Dec 16, 2010
54,277
I’ve never bought into the “Bill the coach is undermined by Bill the GM” talk. Bill has filled out rosters with guys he thinks he can coach up, and its way more often guys like Jakobi Meyers, Chris Hogan and Jahlani Tavai than Gronk or Judon.
I don't know man. The report that we've resigned ONE draft pick to a second contract in last 10 years or whatever seems pretty damning.
 

johnmd20

mad dog
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Tennessee is 5-11 and they have an infinitely better QB than Mac.

Mac ruined this season. With Dalton-level play they are sniffing the playoffs.
Man, your hyperbole is just breaking the meter.

Tannehill, one of the worst QB seasons in a while, or Levis, who had one good game, are infinitely better than Mac? A pile of turds is a pile of turds. Tennessee has the same turds as the Pats.
 

johnmd20

mad dog
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I’ve never bought into the “Bill the coach is undermined by Bill the GM” talk. Bill has filled out rosters with guys he thinks he can coach up, and its way more often guys like Jakobi Meyers, Chris Hogan and Jahlani Tavai than Gronk or Judon.

This season isn’t really much of an exception outside of Mac, who as I said, was getting snaps for somewhat different reasons. Improve the QB play and you are probably a lot closer to contention than our record would indicate.
Then why do the Patriots have no great players on offense? The coach is great. The GM is not.
 

cshea

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Nov 15, 2006
36,283
306, row 14
I don't know man. The report that we've resigned ONE draft pick to a second contract in last 10 years or whatever seems pretty damning.
The stat is they haven't re-signed a player drafted in the first 3 rounds since Duron Harmon (selected in 2013).

It ignores some later round hits like James White and Shaq Mason. Also ignores that they franchised Thuney before he left on a record deal for a guard. They also have 2 QB's they selected in the top 3 rounds of their draft that didn't get deals here because duh but were traded elsewhere because the Pats didn't need QB's. Also the sample isn't a decade because the 2020 guys haven't even reached free agency.

I'm not necessarily defending Bill's recent draft record but I think it's kind of a lazy take.
 

DJnVa

Dorito Dawg
SoSH Member
Dec 16, 2010
54,277
The stat is they haven't re-signed a player drafted in the first 3 rounds since Duron Harmon (selected in 2013).

It ignores some later round hits like James White and Shaq Mason. Also ignores that they franchised Thuney before he left on a record deal for a guard. They also have 2 QB's they selected in the top 3 rounds of their draft that didn't get deals here because duh but were traded elsewhere because the Pats didn't need QB's. Also the sample isn't a decade because the 2020 guys haven't even reached free agency.

I'm not necessarily defending Bill's recent draft record but I think it's kind of a lazy take.
Fair. But other teams also have late round hits. Missing on first 3 rounds for 10 years is a miss, but I don't have every other team's numbers.
 

johnmd20

mad dog
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The stat is they haven't re-signed a player drafted in the first 3 rounds since Duron Harmon (selected in 2013).

It ignores some later round hits like James White and Shaq Mason. Also ignores that they franchised Thuney before he left on a record deal for a guard. They also have 2 QB's they selected in the top 3 rounds of their draft that didn't get deals here because duh but were traded elsewhere because the Pats didn't need QB's. Also the sample isn't a decade because the 2020 guys haven't even reached free agency.

I'm not necessarily defending Bill's recent draft record but I think it's kind of a lazy take.
Statistics can be inconvenient sometimes. But it's not lazy. The record is poor, even with the addendums.

How is this even disputable?
 

Cellar-Door

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Aug 1, 2006
35,097
Fair. But other teams also have late round hits. Missing on first 3 rounds for 10 years is a miss, but I don't have every other team's numbers.
They haven't though?

2014- two picks, one miss (injuries), one hit, got a good backup for several years then traded him for good value.
2015- rough 1st three rounds for sure
2016- no 1st but 4 2/3- two misses one mega-hit in Thuney... 5 years of excellent production, Brissett probably a hit? Backup when they needed him then traded for a more highly drafted player.
2017- no 1st or 2nd, two 3rds... not much out of them
2018- 3 picks, one bust, one 4 year starting T and a starting RB who got traded for 2 mid-round picks that's not great, but not terrible.
2019- really rough draft, nobody kept long term and only value was a couple years of RB play and one mediocre edge season.
2020- all 3 second rounders are still on the team and significant contributors on defense, both 3rds crashed out.... good draft.
2021- 1st round QB didn't pan out, 2nd rounder is still on the team, potential stud defender, 3rd rounder never got started just injuries all the time... meh.
2022- All still on the roster, 1 starter, one looks like a bust, 1 a promising player
2023- obviously all on the roster, 1st rounder looks like a stud, 2nd rounder looking like he'll be a starter next year, 3rd coming along but still jury out.


So no, they have not missed on the 1st three rounds for 10 years. They have had some bad drafts in there, some good ones, they have also often made the decision that trading away or letting walk a guy is better than overpaying, and that is often a good thing. Re-signing players is often a bad decision even if they are good players, and re-signing players is not a good way to measure whether a pick was good or bad.
 

cshea

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306, row 14
Statistics can be inconvenient sometimes. But it's not lazy. The record is poor, even with the addendums.

How is this even disputable?
I mean, when evaluating a draft record, 2nd contracts as a data point is kinda dumb. Like is Thuney a black mark on Bill's draft recxord because he didn't get a second contract here and left for a record deal? Additionally, qualifying it by ignoring more than half of the draft is lazy to me. Also, maybe Barnwell and others who have used it could provide the context of how other teams do?

I mean the sample for the time period being brought out with the statistic is 17 players selected by the Patriots. There are hits in there and misses. What's league average?
 

Cellar-Door

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Aug 1, 2006
35,097
Okay, if the drafts were fine, why are we devoid of talent?
They aren't? They have no QB which is by far the most important position and the WR corps is mid, but there is plenty of talent. Also, free agency hasn't gone great (though some of that is again QB related as the passcatchers probably look better with a good QB). This team is only near the very bottom because of a ton of injuries and a complete QB collapse. Otherwise they'd probably have 6-8 wins and be middle of the pack.

I mean, when evaluating a draft record, 2nd contracts as a data point is kinda dumb. Like is Thuney a black mark on Bill's draft recxord because he didn't get a second contract here and left for a record deal? Additionally, qualifying it by ignorning more than half of the draft is lazy to me. Also, maybe Barnwell and others who have used it could provide the context of how other teams do?

I mean the sample for the time period being brought out with the statistic is 17 players selected by the Patriots. There are hits in there and misses. What's league average?
Yeah, as a great example... which was a better draft pick....
Joe Thuney who got 5 years of starting every game as one of the best in the league at his position for cheap but didn't re-sign... or Daniel Jones who had 1 good year in 5 and is now a salary cap albatross?
 

johnmd20

mad dog
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I mean, when evaluating a draft record, 2nd contracts as a data point is kinda dumb. Like is Thuney a black mark on Bill's draft recxord because he didn't get a second contract here and left for a record deal? Additionally, qualifying it by ignorning more than half of the draft is lazy to me. Also, maybe Barnwell and others who have used it could provide the context of how other teams do?

I mean the sample for the time period being brought out with the statistic is 17 players selected by the Patriots. There are hits in there and misses. What's league average?
How do you want to measure it, then? On wins? Offensive scoring? Overall record? Playoff wins? Point differential?

No matter the variable, this team has been average at best since the 9th week of the 2019 season and, this year, one of the worst teams in the league. Two playoff appearances. One absolute slaughter. Another loss at home with Tom Brady to a middling 9-7 team.

Making the playoffs once in four years is not tremendous. The Commanders, Arizona, Giants, Raiders, and Bears have made the playoffs once in the last four years. The Cleveland Browns have done it twice.

I just don't understand people defending the recent seasons. The players are bad. The results are bad. The QB is atrocious. The free agent signings are legitimately laughable. With a nadir season in 2023, where everything has gotten worse.
 

Silverdude2167

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Oct 9, 2006
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Amstredam
How do you want to measure it, then? On wins? Offensive scoring? Overall record? Playoff wins? Point differential?

No matter the variable, this team has been average at best since the 9th week of the 2019 season and, this year, one of the worst teams in the league. Two playoff appearances. One absolute slaughter. Another loss at home with Tom Brady to a middling 9-7 team.

Making the playoffs once in four years is not tremendous. The Commanders, Arizona, Giants, Raiders, and Bears have made the playoffs once in the last four years. The Cleveland Browns have done it twice.

I just don't understand people defending the recent seasons. The players are bad. The results are bad. The QB is atrocious. The free agent signings are legitimately laughable. With a nadir season in 2023, where everything has gotten worse.
Because you should really just focus on the last 3 years and if Mac Jones was not shit this year they are probably a playoff team.

So three years after a reset year with two playoff appearances would not be considered a failure.

Again Mac Jones sucks, so the record looks poor. It is not that hard. Maybe let's not throw out the greatest football mind ever because a QB no one complained about drafting turned into a bust.
 
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