What should the Red Sox do with Victorino?

Shut him down for the year?

  • Yes

    Votes: 175 82.5%
  • No

    Votes: 37 17.5%

  • Total voters
    212

MakMan44

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https://twitter.com/alexspeier/status/494967192526786560
 
 
 
Victorino expected to miss some time due to back
 
Shane has played in a grand total of 30 games this season. That's honestly more than I thought, but regardless, with the rest of the season turning into auctions for various spots on the 2015 roster, is it time to shut down Shane? 
 
Between Craig, JBJ, Cespedes, Betts, Holt, and Nava, they've got a lot of guys to play 3 spots. I'm assuming Betts rides the shuttle and Holt rotates wherever he's needed but still, someone is likely to be moved this offseason.
 
Shane was great in 2013, but is his injuries this season enough to jettison him after the year?  
 

alwyn96

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Between Craig, Bradley, Cespedes, and Victorino, I think there would be plenty of time on the DL and plenty of playing time to go around. 
 
I doubt you get much for Victorino at this point anyway. He could be a great (if expensive) 4th OF. 
 

vadertime

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Ideally, he should've already been moved.  Given the glut of OF playing time down the stretch is going to be slim to none.  But I don't think you can shut him down if you're planning on trading him this offseason.  The going rate for OF going into their age 34 season coming off a season in which they played just 30 games and are due $13 million isn't going to be high.
 

Eddie Jurak

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Shut him down for the year.  We have a lot of brittle or potentially brittle players on next year's roster: Victorino, Cespedes, Craig, Ortiz, Napoli.
 
Maybe he could use a head start on his offseason rehab.  If healthy, he seems well-suited for a 4th OF role in Boston next year, what with questions about Bradley's bat, Cespedes' ability to stay on the field, Craig's health and the question of whether this year was a fluke or the type of hitter he is now, Papi's age, and Napoli's hip there should be at least as many ABs as he can actually handle.
 

Rasputin

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alwyn96 said:
I doubt you get much for Victorino at this point anyway. He could be a great (if expensive) 4th OF. 
 
This is my thought. He can back up all three OF positions and pinch run.
 

Plympton91

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I think for next season a platoon of Victorino and Holt would be ideal for centerfield between Cespedes and Craig, with Bradley as the 5th outfielder coming in for defense when they have a lead, and at that point Victorino or Holt would move to rightfield and Cespedes to LF, depending on who was in the game.
 

catomatic

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Victorino's health concerns make me think he's ineligible as a 4th OF. I can't see a place for him on this team next year and I don't imagine the poor return will inhibit the FO from dealing him.
 
I imagine Craig being backed by Holt for defensive purposes and against RHPs with whom Craig matches up poorly. Holt comes in later with a lead and does his super sub thing to boot. I suspect he spends all winter working on his LF defense. I think Holt's deficiencies in CF would be intolerable in very short order and there would be a great clamor for JBJ's return to full-time duty.
 
Betts will be lurking in AAA and if Pedey declines further there will be rumblings and perhaps many, many confused loyalties—none more than my own. 
 
Nava will move around a lot, especially if Craig's mobility and Napoli's health mean more time at 1B for Craig.
 

Eck'sSneakyCheese

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Plympton91 said:
I think for next season a platoon of Victorino and Holt would be ideal for centerfield between Cespedes and Craig, with Bradley as the 5th outfielder coming in for defense when they have a lead, and at that point Victorino or Holt would move to rightfield and Cespedes to LF, depending on who was in the game.
You want to take the #2 Sox prospect at the start of the year and relegate him to a defensive replacement because he's been slow to adjust offensively in his first year? To top it off you want to platoon his position with the walking dead and another guy whose value is his versatility.

You would be a very poor GM.
 

kieckeredinthehead

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Plympton91 said:
I think for next season a platoon of Victorino and Holt would be ideal for centerfield between Cespedes and Craig, with Bradley as the 5th outfielder coming in for defense when they have a lead, and at that point Victorino or Holt would move to rightfield and Cespedes to LF, depending on who was in the game.
Are we absolutely sure that six outfielders is enough depth?
 

mauidano

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I'm biased obviously being an acquaintance of Shane and his family.  But he's on my favorite team and WHEN he's healthy plays his ass off. In all likelihood, next year will be his last year with the Sox. So catch the wave of excitement and ride it out into the sunset Shane.
 
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Plympton91 said:
I think for next season a platoon of Victorino and Holt would be ideal for centerfield between Cespedes and Craig, with Bradley as the 5th outfielder coming in for defense when they have a lead, and at that point Victorino or Holt would move to rightfield and Cespedes to LF, depending on who was in the game.
I wanted Ellsbury back more than most (clearly not as much as you though) but this is nuts. JBJ is going to be a CF starter this year and next, either with the parent club or Pawtucket.
 

MyDaughterLovesTomGordon

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Plympton91 said:
I think for next season a platoon of Victorino and Holt would be ideal for centerfield between Cespedes and Craig, with Bradley as the 5th outfielder coming in for defense when they have a lead, and at that point Victorino or Holt would move to rightfield and Cespedes to LF, depending on who was in the game.
So, you want to take a 3 war guy, with all of it coming from his defense, and give him about 200 innings next year?
 

Rasputin

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catomatic said:
Victorino's health concerns make me think he's ineligible as a 4th OF.
Can you explain how that comes somewhere close to making sense? It's the health concerns that make a bench role a good idea. He can't be counted on to play 150 games so rather than just starting him until he goes on the DL then starting someone else, you start someone else and use Vic more sparingly so he doesn't wear down as much and you have him available when you need him.
 

catomatic

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Rasputin said:
Can you explain how that comes somewhere close to making sense? It's the health concerns that make a bench role a good idea. He can't be counted on to play 150 games so rather than just starting him until he goes on the DL then starting someone else, you start someone else and use Vic more sparingly so he doesn't wear down as much and you have him available when you need him.
How do you control what portion of the schedule he can't be counted on to play?
 
You don't have that luxury with a player who is breaking down with the frequency that Victorino is. There is no guarantee whatsoever that by not starting the season with him in right that he's not going to pull a hammy in his second start there after Cespedes tweaks his shoulder.
 
Victorino's injuries have come like Sandy Duncan's wheat thins this year—one after the other—each DL stint coming on the heels of the previous. In what way does somebody like that provide backup for the starting three? It doesn't. His fragility ends up meaning that you have to carry two players to fill one role.
 
Let's turn it around: What is it about an aging Victorino's health history—weighting this year more than previous ones— that tells you that 2015 will be completely different than 2014? In my business, when you need your alternate, you need your alternate healthy, right there and ready to go—otherwise your insurance policy isn't one. There doesn't seem to be anything predictive about Shane's health to me after playing 55 games or whatever it'll be this year and heading into his age 34 season. If you try to limit his playing time to avoid injury and he gets injured anyway because he's played balls out for eons—how does that work as insurance?
 

Rasputin

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catomatic said:
How do you control what portion of the schedule he can't be counted on to play?
 
You don't have that luxury with a player who is breaking down with the frequency that Victorino is. There is no guarantee whatsoever that by not starting the season with him in right that he's not going to pull a hammy in his second start there after Cespedes tweaks his shoulder.
 
Victorino's injuries have come like Sandy Duncan's wheat thins this yearone after the othereach DL stint coming on the heels of the previous. In what way does somebody like that provide backup for the starting three? It doesn't. His fragility ends up meaning that you have to carry two players to fill one role.
 
Let's turn it around: What is it about an aging Victorino's health historyweighting this year more than previous ones that tells you that 2015 will be completely different than 2014? In my business, when you need your alternate, you need your alternate healthy, right there and ready to gootherwise your insurance policy isn't one. There doesn't seem to be anything predictive about Shane's health to me after playing 55 games or whatever it'll be this year and heading into his age 34 season. If you try to limit his playing time to avoid injury and he gets injured anyway because he's played balls out for eonshow does that work as insurance?
Wow.

You're not much with the logic, are you? You basically just constructed an argument that suggests its more important to have a healthy backup than a healthy starter which is crazy.

How do you control what portion he can't be counted on to play?

I really can't tell if you're serious or what.

If you play him less, he's less likely to be all banged up and this more likely to be ready when you need him.

Can he still get injured? Of course he can, that's a stupid question.

What do you do if Cespedes and Victorino are both hurt at the same time? You put one of them on the DL and call up Mookie Motherfucking Betts, what the hell do you think you do?
 

nattysez

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What if Holt spends the rest of the year proving that he's a more versatile Punto rather than a more versatile Zobrist?
What if Betts hits .400 the rest of the way in AAA so that they are compelled to find room for him on the big club next year?
What if ShaneVic doesn't play at all the rest of the year, so that we have no way of knowing what he can bring in 2015?
What if Allen Craig hits .217 the rest of the year?
What if the Sox get an offer they can't refuse for Napoli in August so there is an opening at first?
What if Betts and Cespedes are part of the package that brings in Stanton in January?
 
There are way too many variables to be able to make a reasonable decision about ShaneVic at this point. 
 

catomatic

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Rasputin said:
Wow.

You're not much with the logic, are you? You basically just constructed an argument that suggests its more important to have a healthy backup than a healthy starter which is crazy.

How do you control what portion he can't be counted on to play?

I really can't tell if you're serious or what.

If you play him less, he's less likely to be all banged up and this more likely to be ready when you need him.

Can he still get injured? Of course he can, that's a stupid question.

What do you do if Cespedes and Victorino are both hurt at the same time? You put one of them on the DL and call up Mookie Motherfucking Betts, what the hell do you think you do?
Healthy backups are important. Do you dispute that?
 
Are we talking about backups in general or Shane Victorino? Are you globalizing my assertion in order to make it sound illogical?
 
Here's the thing; does your homeowners policy cover a random 7.5 months of the 12 month year? When the starter goes down, does the Manager/GM turn hopefully in the direction of the player made of Waterford Crystal?
 
Can you tell me what parts of this season Victorino would have been useful as a back up? And, using your self-proclaimed superior logic, are you able to confidently predict—from that—exactly which parts of next season this 34 year-old held together with baling-wire and chewing gum will be healthy enough to do that job next year? For 13M? When both corner OFs are already RHH and you have Nava/Holt/Betts standing by for 13M less?
 
Beyond a difference over best practices with a 4th OF, it's my belief we have been talking about this player in this hypothetical role. You think it's a fit, I for the reasons I've stated, do not. You'll note that I haven't leaned on flourishes like Wow and Are you serious? and That's a stupid question for rhetorical cornermen. Nor do I profess a monopoly on logic. You hang onto that stuff though. 
 

alwyn96

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catomatic said:
Healthy backups are important. Do you dispute that?
 
Are we talking about backups in general or Shane Victorino? Are you globalizing my assertion in order to make it sound illogical?
 
Here's the thing; does your homeowners policy cover a random 7.5 months of the 12 month year? When the starter goes down, does the Manager/GM turn hopefully in the direction of the player made of Waterford Crystal?
 
Can you tell me what parts of this season Victorino would have been useful as a back up? And, using your self-proclaimed superior logic, are you able to confidently predict—from that—exactly which parts of next season this 34 year-old held together with baling-wire and chewing gum will be healthy enough to do that job next year? For 13M? When both corner OFs are already RHH and you have Nava/Holt/Betts standing by for 13M less?
 
Beyond a difference over best practices with a 4th OF, it's my belief we have been talking about this player in this hypothetical role. You think it's a fit, I for the reasons I've stated, do not. You'll note that I haven't leaned on flourishes like Wow and Are you serious? and That's a stupid question for rhetorical cornermen. Nor do I profess a monopoly on logic. You hang onto that stuff though. 
 
Without all the rhetorical flourishes, I kind of agree that 4th OF seems like a good place to put a guy with health concerns. If the more a player plays, the more likely he is to get injured, than it seems like limiting a guy's playing time means he's less likely to get injured. Unless you assume that player injuries are due to random activities that have nothing to do with baseball playing time, then it seems like you're better off with the injury prone guy in reserve than as a starter. Health is of course important for every player, but of course it's all a delicate balance of maximizing performance and health. That's why injury-prone starting pitchers are often moved to the bullpen. 
 
Of course, Victorino might not go for the whole 4th OF thing, or some other moves might be made that make this whole discussion moot anyway. Hell, Victorino had a 5.6 fWAR season last year, and the best Cespedes has done is 2.9. It's not like any of those guys are iron men. If they're all on the team and healthy in April (EIGHT FRIGGIN MONTHS FROM NOW, OH MY GOD HOW CAN IT BE SO FAR AWAY), they can work something out then. 
 

Rasputin

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catomatic said:
Healthy backups are important. Do you dispute that?
 
Are we talking about backups in general or Shane Victorino? Are you globalizing my assertion in order to make it sound illogical?
 
Here's the thing; does your homeowners policy cover a random 7.5 months of the 12 month year? When the starter goes down, does the Manager/GM turn hopefully in the direction of the player made of Waterford Crystal?
 
Can you tell me what parts of this season Victorino would have been useful as a back up? And, using your self-proclaimed superior logic, are you able to confidently predict—from that—exactly which parts of next season this 34 year-old held together with baling-wire and chewing gum will be healthy enough to do that job next year? For 13M? When both corner OFs are already RHH and you have Nava/Holt/Betts standing by for 13M less?
 
Beyond a difference over best practices with a 4th OF, it's my belief we have been talking about this player in this hypothetical role. You think it's a fit, I for the reasons I've stated, do not. You'll note that I haven't leaned on flourishes like Wow and Are you serious? and That's a stupid question for rhetorical cornermen. Nor do I profess a monopoly on logic. You hang onto that stuff though. 
 
I'm trying not to be an asshole here, but you're making it hard.
 
You ask if healthy backups are important. Of course they are, there isn't anyone who will tell you otherwise. It's a ridiculous question designed to make it look like I think health is a detriment or something. It's a ridiculously silly tactic used by people who aren't even remotely interested in being reasonable. That's also the case when you ask me to predict--with confidence, no less--on which specific dates Victorino is going to be healthy next year. Of course I can't, nobody can, it's a bullshit question and you know it.
 
Here's the deal. When you have players with injury concerns, you often play them less because less playing time means less stress on the bubble gum and baling wire. This is not a revolutionary new tactic. It has been used, so far as I can tell, since the invention of team sports. You use players at less demanding positions and you use them less frequently. This makes it less likely that they will get hurt or more likely that they will get hurt less often, and allows you to pick and choose when you play him so as to maximize his value. You play him when he's the best guy to do the job in that situation, and you don't when there are other guys who can do the job better.
 
It isn't perfect. Sometimes backup players get hurt. This is a truism. In polite society, everybody assumes that everyone already knows this. If there is someone who is new to the topic at hand, maybe they don't, and you explain it. Around a place like this, there's an assumption that you've watched more than a few games and you know all the truisms.
 
And here's the thing. You stated an opinion that was silly, and in defense of your silly position, you're trying to pretend that I do not accept these truisms because it's the only way you can "win" this argument.
 
Of course healthier backups are important. Of course health is important. Of course your ability to control when your backup is healthy is imperfect. Of course all the inherent realities of baseball still exist. Stop trying to pretend I think they don't. It's not reasoned discourse. It's the bleatings of a petulant child.
 
I'll spell it out. Victorino's health problems make him a better fit for a backup role because reduced playing time will put less stress on his body which should result in him being healthier which means that she should be available to give Cespedes, Bradley, and Craig some time off. He should be able to pinch run. He should be able to pinch hit for Bradley when the matchup demands. He's probably going to get banged up and go on the DL at some point. That doesn't mean he'd be better off as a starter.
 
And it doesn't mean it makes sense to dump him on someone, which leads me to the bit about Holt, Nava, and Betts being so much cheaper. Under no circumstances should Betts be sitting on the major league bench. Not while there are still minor league games to be played in 2014 and not in 2015. Nava is barely acceptable in right field in a short term emergency situation. He's not acceptable in center. Holt is going to be on the roster and he's going to get plenty of playing time and the fact that he hits with the opposite hand of Craig and Cespedes is a good thing. But you know what? You want to have a guy who can pinch hit for Bradley, too.
 
And the money thing is a complete canard. It's not like dumping Victorino is going to save you a bunch of money. He's had an almost completely lost season. Nobody is going to take him off our hands and pay his whole contract. Nobody is going to do it and take most of his contract. The money isn't coming off the books. When healthy, Vic is a hell of a player. We should do what we can do to make sure he is as healthy as possible.
 
And that means putting him in a part time role.
 

savage362

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I voted shut him down and move him basically because I'm sick of seeing him end up on the DL for the same injury over and over again. At some point, you need to put the responsibility on the player to rest, get healthy, and then work to prevent the injury in the future. A constant occurrence, to me, says he doesn't do enough to prepare his body to play the game. Whether that's proper training and conditioning, or lack of pregame stretching, who knows.
 
I guess I'd be okay with him in a backup roll since I'm sure it would be hard to move an oft-injured aging outfielder, but even then I have doubts that he'll be able to maintain his health for a large enough portion of the season to give the team something any other backup could.
 

FanSinceBoggs

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I do like Cespedes in RF next year.  Maybe a combination of Victorino and Bradley can be the answer in CF in 2015?  Can Victorino be a quality defensive CF in 2015?  If yes, then I would keep him.  If no, I would trade him away even if the Red Sox have to pick up a portion of the final year of the contract. 
 
The Red Sox can't go into next season with Bradley as their starting CF without a reasonable backup plan in place.  I know he has been hitting better lately, but certain aspects of his offensive game are fringy.  It is still not clear that Bradley is anything more than a 4th OF.   
 

tbrown_01923

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I like Vic as the fourth outfielder next year, assuming Craig or Nava in left.  But I think his ability to play across all three positions will be a tremendous asset.  I don't want to carry Mookie and Holt with the big club at the start of the year.  Even if holt is starting, I suspect they will be better served with Mook learning positional flexibility in the Minors.  So having Vic able to cover CF would be that deep depth - no? 
 

Mighty Joe Young

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tbrown_01923 said:
I like Vic as the fourth outfielder next year, assuming Craig or Nava in left.  But I think his ability to play across all three positions will be a tremendous asset.  I don't want to carry Mookie and Holt with the big club at the start of the year.  Even if holt is starting, I suspect they will be better served with Mook learning positional flexibility in the Minors.  So having Vic able to cover CF would be that deep depth - no? 
 
Cespedes can also play CF - probably as well as Vic can at this point.
 
This is where Holt's flexibility is incredibly useful. No need to carry an extra backup - 9 regulars plus a bench of Holt , Ross(or his replacement), Nava and Victorino.
 
Keeping Mookie in AAA is not ideal but the development time learning the OF certainly won't be wasted. It also give the FO the time to evaluate Cespedes for a possible long term contract. Craig, if his his health (and subsequent hitting) comes back is Papi's eventual replacement.
 
Speaking of Ortiz - I'm kind of getting the impression he is on his last multi year contract. Strictly year to year if he gets extended past 2015.
 

Buzzkill Pauley

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BCsMightyJoeYoung said:
 
Speaking of Ortiz - I'm kind of getting the impression he is on his last multi year contract. Strictly year to year if he gets extended past 1015.
 
The great thing is, the Danes shouldn't continue to be that big a threat, if he can just hold out that long.
 
Seriously, though...Cot's shows Ortiz has vesting/club options for 2016 and 2017, which increase in value based on the prior year's number of PA.
 

Mighty Joe Young

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Buzzkill Pauley said:
 
The great thing is, the Danes shouldn't continue to be that big a threat, if he can just hold out that long.
 
Seriously, though...Cot's shows Ortiz has vesting/club options for 2016 and 2017, which increase in value based on the prior year's number of PA.
 
Man - you guys are fast 
 

jasail

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Holt can cover all 3 OF positions, Cespedes can be moved around as well. There is no viable reason to keep Shane on this team as a 6th OF. I love his personality, I love they way he plays RF at Fenway and I will remember his contributions in 2013. But considering his health, his contract and his move to a full time RHH, he has no role on this team. If he could hit as a lefty still, I could see an argument to keep him around over Nava given his defensive value, but he can't.
 

GreenMonsterVsGodzilla

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Voted Yes to shutting him down for the year.  Playing time for JBJ (to see if he can build on his offensive progress), Cespedes (learning RF in Fenway), Craig (same in LF and work on coming back from injury), is valuable.  Victorino getting extended rest may be valuable.  However....
 
jasail said:
 If he could hit as a lefty still, I could see an argument to keep him around over Nava given his defensive value, but he can't.
 
I think you mean "If he could hit righties, in general."  His splits as a RHB vs RHP over his career are .250/.320/.398 vs. .268/.329/.401 as a lefty. I thought that was why they moved him away from switch-hitting - not much of a difference there. 
 
It may be splitting hairs, but I think the difference is that he showed a lot of potential last year as a RHB vs. righties (though over very few AB) and the thought was if he could keep that up, the change made him a manifestly better player.  This year, of course, he's at .241/.289/.361 which is worse.  I'd love to see if he can straighten it out this year.  The question is whether the decline is because of injury, or a return to form. 
 

pokey_reese

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I think that whether you shut him down or not has to be based on his actual health, not what the ideal outcome would be for the FO.  He is a veteran player signed to start, he will at the very least occupy a spot on the bench if healthy.  If not, that solves your problems, but if he is feeling good next week, they aren't going to be able to stash a guy like that forever.
 

jasail

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GreenMonsterVsGodzilla said:
Voted Yes to shutting him down for the year.  Playing time for JBJ (to see if he can build on his offensive progress), Cespedes (learning RF in Fenway), Craig (same in LF and work on coming back from injury), is valuable.  Victorino getting extended rest may be valuable.  However....
 
 
I think you mean "If he could hit righties, in general."  His splits as a RHB vs RHP over his career are .250/.320/.398 vs. .268/.329/.401 as a lefty. I thought that was why they moved him away from switch-hitting - not much of a difference there. 
 
It may be splitting hairs, but I think the difference is that he showed a lot of potential last year as a RHB vs. righties (though over very few AB) and the thought was if he could keep that up, the change made him a manifestly better player.  This year, of course, he's at .241/.289/.361 which is worse.  I'd love to see if he can straighten it out this year.  The question is whether the decline is because of injury, or a return to form. 
 
Sure, hit RHP would have been a better way to put it. Regardless, for the foreseeable future the lineup is very right hand dominant. As about 2/3 off all pitchers are RHP and most of the Sox RHH show neutral-to-negative splits against RHP, I'm worried about the way they will perform against RHP. Point being, if Shane could hit RHP at a level close to Nava, then I could see him being kept on the team because of his defense. However, he'd have to improve greatly to get to that point and I don't see the point in taking that risk, particularly considering his injury history. Nava seems to be a much better fit as the 4/5th OF choice for 2015. Even as Holt's versatility gives them the ability to carry a 6 OF or 6 IF, I'd rather that be someone with some pop against RHP.  
 

Plympton91

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Dan to Theo to Ben said:
I wanted Ellsbury back more than most (clearly not as much as you though) but this is nuts. JBJ is going to be a CF starter this year and next, either with the parent club or Pawtucket.
In what universe would it makes sense to base the starting linup in 2015 on a decision made last winter? You people are more obsessed with Ellsbury at this point than I am for crying out loud.

The idea of Bradley starting at AAA is a good one though. Maybe it would still help, but I'd rather have Betts starting in CF at Pawtucket everyday so that when he takes over eventually his defense is as good as it can be.
 

weeba

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Stick him on the DL (along with Johnson)
 
https://twitter.com/MaureenaMullen/status/495303523085856769
 

catomatic

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Rasputin said:
 
I'm trying not to be an asshole here, but you're making it hard.
 
You ask if healthy backups are important. Of course they are, there isn't anyone who will tell you otherwise. It's a ridiculous question designed to make it look like I think health is a detriment or something. It's a ridiculously silly tactic used by people who aren't even remotely interested in being reasonable. That's also the case when you ask me to predict--with confidence, no less--on which specific dates Victorino is going to be healthy next year. Of course I can't, nobody can, it's a bullshit question and you know it.
 
Here's the deal. When you have players with injury concerns, you often play them less because less playing time means less stress on the bubble gum and baling wire. This is not a revolutionary new tactic. It has been used, so far as I can tell, since the invention of team sports. You use players at less demanding positions and you use them less frequently. This makes it less likely that they will get hurt or more likely that they will get hurt less often, and allows you to pick and choose when you play him so as to maximize his value. You play him when he's the best guy to do the job in that situation, and you don't when there are other guys who can do the job better.
 
It isn't perfect. Sometimes backup players get hurt. This is a truism. In polite society, everybody assumes that everyone already knows this. If there is someone who is new to the topic at hand, maybe they don't, and you explain it. Around a place like this, there's an assumption that you've watched more than a few games and you know all the truisms.
 
And here's the thing. You stated an opinion that was silly, and in defense of your silly position, you're trying to pretend that I do not accept these truisms because it's the only way you can "win" this argument.
 
Of course healthier backups are important. Of course health is important. Of course your ability to control when your backup is healthy is imperfect. Of course all the inherent realities of baseball still exist. Stop trying to pretend I think they don't. It's not reasoned discourse. It's the bleatings of a petulant child.
 
I'll spell it out. Victorino's health problems make him a better fit for a backup role because reduced playing time will put less stress on his body which should result in him being healthier which means that she should be available to give Cespedes, Bradley, and Craig some time off. He should be able to pinch run. He should be able to pinch hit for Bradley when the matchup demands. He's probably going to get banged up and go on the DL at some point. That doesn't mean he'd be better off as a starter.
 
And it doesn't mean it makes sense to dump him on someone, which leads me to the bit about Holt, Nava, and Betts being so much cheaper. Under no circumstances should Betts be sitting on the major league bench. Not while there are still minor league games to be played in 2014 and not in 2015. Nava is barely acceptable in right field in a short term emergency situation. He's not acceptable in center. Holt is going to be on the roster and he's going to get plenty of playing time and the fact that he hits with the opposite hand of Craig and Cespedes is a good thing. But you know what? You want to have a guy who can pinch hit for Bradley, too.
 
And the money thing is a complete canard. It's not like dumping Victorino is going to save you a bunch of money. He's had an almost completely lost season. Nobody is going to take him off our hands and pay his whole contract. Nobody is going to do it and take most of his contract. The money isn't coming off the books. When healthy, Vic is a hell of a player. We should do what we can do to make sure he is as healthy as possible.
 
And that means putting him in a part time role.
I'm making it hard for you not to be an asshole? That's rich. Try harder.
 
I disagree with you about two things. Neither of these things are slam-dunk either way and neither of them should prompt a condescending and unnecessary lesson in line-up construction.
 
You think Victorino is eligible to be a 4th Of. I don't. You think it's a worthwhile gamble putting an aging and delicate guy in that position. I don't as a rule disagree with that but I do in this case. There's nothing controversial or obtuse about these positions. I stated my reasons for thinking this way and your very first response, your first word, was an attempt to frame these as absurd. I don't have any confidence in Victorino's health going forward. I might be wrong but for me the time for relying on him to fill a role has passed. He played balls out for a long time and his body—in many different places—is saying no mas. I don't think that's a radical conclusion at all. Glancing briefly upthread, I see I'm not alone.  
 

Byrdbrain

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catomatic said:
I'm making it hard for you not to be an asshole? That's rich. Try harder.
 
I disagree with you about two things. Neither of these things are slam-dunk either way and neither of them should prompt a condescending and unnecessary lesson in line-up construction.
 
You think Victorino is eligible to be a 4th Of. I don't. You think it's a worthwhile gamble putting an aging and delicate guy in that position. I don't as a rule disagree with that but I do in this case. There's nothing controversial or obtuse about these positions. I stated my reasons for thinking this way and your very first response, your first word, was an attempt to frame these as absurd. I don't have any confidence in Victorino's health going forward. I might be wrong but for me the time for relying on him to fill a role has passed. He played balls out for a long time and his body—in many different places—is saying no mas. I don't think that's a radical conclusion at all. Glancing briefly upthread, I see I'm not alone.  
No one has any confidence in his health going forward which is why you don't want to count on him to play every day.
Would you prefer a backup available when you want him, well of course but you have to deal with what you have.
I'd prefer to move him and I hope they can but I'm doubtful. If they can't move him then he needs to be a reserve outfielder.
 
You've made your arguments several times and to be honest they make no sense at all.
 

Buzzkill Pauley

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If Victorino's body is so bad that he can't even play as a 4th OF, no team is going to trade for him after looking at his medicals.
 
Maybe he decides to retire, but I doubt it.  And if the Sox DFA him, then they're going to be paying full freight anyway.  So the Sox may as well keep him.
 
But that means the only real option is to build the team expecting that he'll be on the DL; and building that strong a team is likely to relegate him to backup/platoon status.
 

catomatic

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Byrdbrain said:
No one has any confidence in his health going forward which is why you don't want to count on him to play every day.
Would you prefer a backup available when you want him, well of course but you have to deal with what you have.
I'd prefer to move him and I hope they can but I'm doubtful. If they can't move him then he needs to be a reserve outfielder.
 
You've made your arguments several times and to be honest they make no sense at all.
Care to point out what part(s) of my post(s) you think don't make any sense? Your opinion above differs only in the respect that "You have to deal with what you have." and if you have to have him, "then he needs to be a reserve outfielder." We're all playing hypothetical GM here—so on my team? He's not on my team next year. That's all. Senseless, I know.  ;)
 

catomatic

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Buzzkill Pauley said:
If Victorino's body is so bad that he can't even play as a 4th OF, no team is going to trade for him after looking at his medicals.
 
Maybe he decides to retire, but I doubt it.  And if the Sox DFA him, then they're going to be paying full freight anyway.  So the Sox may as well keep him.
 
But that means the only real option is to build the team expecting that he'll be on the DL; and building that strong a team is likely to relegate him to backup/platoon status.
I don't think it's as cut and dried that every GM will have the same opinion of his medicals. I think it's quite possible that another GM—who has not had the maximally exasperating experience of Victorino's 2014 health—might well take a partially subsidized flyer on him. It's not like this is unprecedented or unreasonable to contemplate for a team that just cleared a kajillion dollars off the books.
 

Super Nomario

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A healthy Victorino is probably our best all-around OF. Trading him for 50 cents on the dollar doesn't make a lot of sense to me. He's got health concerns, but now we've acquired the outfield depth that means we can give him more days off to keep him fresh, and his absence won't be a disaster even if there's a repeat of his 2014 health.
 

catomatic

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Super Nomario said:
A healthy Victorino is probably our best all-around OF. Trading him for 50 cents on the dollar doesn't make a lot of sense to me. He's got health concerns, but now we've acquired the outfield depth that means we can give him more days off to keep him fresh, and his absence won't be a disaster even if there's a repeat of his 2014 health.
I understand the arguments perfectly well and I appreciate their logic—I just see a guy who's cooked and I don't see the odds of him contributing in the same light that others do. I've loved watching him play and it's obvious what he's been able to bring on and off the field when he's on the field—but that is just too exasperatingly rare for me to continue to entertain expectations of his contributing. It makes the roster unnecessarily unstable and puts other players in limbo.
 

Byrdbrain

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But he is on the roster and they have to pay him $13M next year, you can't just wish him away.
I don't see a trade market for him and they won't DFA him with that kind of money owed. 
 
Using him as a sub and picking his spots might keep him healthy and if he isn't well at least you weren't counting on him.
 

catomatic

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Byrdbrain said:
But he is on the roster and they have to pay him $13M next year, you can't just wish him away.
I don't see a trade market for him and they won't DFA him with that kind of money owed. 
 
Using him as a sub and picking his spots might keep him healthy and if he isn't well at least you weren't counting on him.
No, I get it, it makes sense to me to use a player similar to Victorino's playing profile in this way—just not with his health profile. If I'm the GM, I look around for a way to deal him somewhere and I turn my gaze to the development of the younger players my roster and farm system is teeming with. That's all.
 

Rasputin

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catomatic said:
No, I get it, it makes sense to me to use a player similar to Victorino's playing profile in this way—just not with his health profile.
 
This is just categorically wrong. His playing profile suggests he's a starting outfielder on a first division team. It's his health profile that suggests he's not going to be healthy for a whole season so he gets relegated to a bench role.
 
You've decided that he's completely useless and that's fine, but you should stop trying to pretend that's the most reasonable position to take.
 

Plympton91

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I'm not as worried about Victorino's health problem in 2015 as I would have been in 2014. Yesterday basically created a massive amount of corner outfield depth, to go along with the transition of Betts and Holt. They've got 7 outfielders now, and 5 of them can play CF and right field if you need to. So, you aren't counting on Victorino for anything, really. You just have to use him right when he's healthy and DL him when he's not. Next years bench could be Holt, Nava, Vic, and a catcher, with with Bradley or Betts in Pawtucket. In that scenario, especially if whoever the starting CF is has learned to hit major league pitching (and with each game it looks like less and less of a problem for Betts) anything you get from Victorino is just gravy.
 

catomatic

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Rasputin said:
 
This is just categorically wrong. His playing profile suggests he's a starting outfielder on a first division team. It's his health profile that suggests he's not going to be healthy for a whole season so he gets relegated to a bench role.
 
You've decided that he's completely useless and that's fine, but you should stop trying to pretend that's the most reasonable position to take.
If you read the posts I've said repeatedly that I may be wrong, just my opinion, if I'm the GM, etc. I got strident after absorbing a a barrage of snark—that's different than representing that my opinion was the only reasonable one.
 
I think my opinion is the most reasonable one, but that's entirely different from representing it as the only reasonable one. Those are two completely different things.
 
The man came in after an entire (albeit shortened) offseason and was immediately hurt. Came back—hurt. Started rehab—hurt. Rehab setback, and on and on and on. He's going on the DL as I write this. And it hasn't been the same injury every time.
 
This club is in the process of turning a page from a bunch of stuff that didn't work. Shane didn't work at all this year and his age, health, unrestrained style of play, (which I love), all argue to me that I should go into next year constructing a roster with zero expectations from Shane. Call a GM with a young team that needs his influence and example, send the money it takes to get it done and then make a better-odds bet with your own outfield assignments.
 

Super Nomario

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catomatic said:
This club is in the process of turning a page from a bunch of stuff that didn't work. Shane didn't work at all this year and his age, health, unrestrained style of play, (which I love), all argue to me that I should go into next year constructing a roster with zero expectations from Shane. Call a GM with a young team that needs his influence and example, send the money it takes to get it done and then make a better-odds bet with your own outfield assignments.
And get what back? It's not crazy if you plug a hole somewhere else, but you seem to be arguing that just removing Victorino is addition by subtraction, which doesn't make a lot of sense.
 

Morgan's Magic Snowplow

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I'm not a big fan of trading Victorino for fifty cents on the dollar but I do think he's a bit overrated around these parts. A career high BABIP in 2013 masked significant deterioration in both his BB and K rates. He also had a career year by the defensive metrics but that seems very unlikely to be replicated going forward given his age and injury history. I'm not sure what kind of player he'll be in 2015 but I'm not holding my breath for a reprise of 2013.
 

mabrowndog

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MakMan44 said:
Is it time to shut down Shane? 
 
The decision might be taken out of their hands. Nothing against Shane, but I kind of hope that's the case.
 
Edes
 
 
Red Sox manager John Farrell did not rule out a lengthy shutdown or possible surgery for right fielder Shane Victorino
 

Steve Dillard

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Rasputin said:
Here's the deal. When you have players with injury concerns, you often play them less because less playing time means less stress on the bubble gum and baling wire. This is not a revolutionary new tactic. It has been used, so far as I can tell, since the invention of team sports. You use players at less demanding positions and you use them less frequently. This makes it less likely that they will get hurt or more likely that they will get hurt less often, and allows you to pick and choose when you play him so as to maximize his value. You play him when he's the best guy to do the job in that situation, and you don't when there are other guys who can do the job better.
 
It isn't perfect. Sometimes backup players get hurt. This is a truism. In polite society, everybody assumes that everyone already knows this. If there is someone who is new to the topic at hand, maybe they don't, and you explain it. Around a place like this, there's an assumption that you've watched more than a few games and you know all the truisms.
 
And here's the thing. You stated an opinion that was silly, and in defense of your silly position, you're trying to pretend that I do not accept these truisms because it's the only way you can "win" this argument.
 
Of course healthier backups are important. Of course health is important. Of course your ability to control when your backup is healthy is imperfect. Of course all the inherent realities of baseball still exist. Stop trying to pretend I think they don't. It's not reasoned discourse. It's the bleatings of a petulant child.
 
I'll spell it out. Victorino's health problems make him a better fit for a backup role because reduced playing time will put less stress on his body which should result in him being healthier which means that she should be available to give Cespedes, Bradley, and Craig some time
I believe that's your disconnect in this argument. You seem to think his injuries are related to his playing too much. I see a guy who was injured with a back injury and "core" weakness even after a full offseason of rest, and who injured himself after only 3 games in his latest return. That suggests more random injuries that cannot be minimized by managing his playing time. The randomness of the tweaks also supports the argument that he makes a bad backup because you can't count on him to be healthy at any point. Obviously if your theory of injury causation were true then managing his playing time would be right, but I think your pedantic retort requires us to accept something that doesn't seem true.
 

jscola85

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It would seem to me Victorino would be a great option as a 4th OF when you know your 5th OF option is someone like Holt or Betts.  Victorino, when healthy, is both an above average hitter and defender at all three OF positions.  That's a great hedge in case Bradley never hits like we hope and/or Craig fails to bounce back to his 2011-2013 numbers.  Then you've got Holt and Betts, both of whom have flashed the ability to defend all three positions and hit at or near the MLB average for those positions.
 
Whether his injuries will improve with rest or not, he's likely more of an asset to the Sox than anyone else.  Not many teams outside NY, LA and Boston can afford a $13M 4th OF.  Given the injury woes, I just don't see another team trading for Vic and expecting him to play 130+ games.  Even if they do, they'd likely pay little or nothing back to the Red Sox.
 
If Vic winds up hurt all next year, you can use Betts and Holt as your 4th and 5th OFs and likely not see a huge dropoff.  But if Vic is healthy, he'll be a great asset to utilize at any OF spot.  Maybe you get some grumbles by the vets if they take a day off every 3 or 4 days, but it would only be for a year and would keep them all fresh.