Trade deadline

RedOctober3829

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I hope this doesn't come across as naive, but who's the weak link in the bullpen that really needs replacing now that Andriese and Brice are out of the picture? Yes, I know, you can never have too many good arms, but this doesn't strike me as urgent.

Getting a temporary 1B to replace Dalbec for this year (and next -- until Casas is ready) seems like the real priority. But I would want no part of Hosmer. Just because a replacement-level 1B is still better than Dalbec, doesn't mean we should be going after one.
To me, Sawamura is the guy I don't want to see in high leverage situations. His ERA is 2.87 but FIP is 5.44. If I could get another high leverage arm to add to Barnes/Ottavino/Whitlock/Houck/Taylor, then I'd do it. By the way, Ottavino has looked a bit more shaky in his last two outings so getting another high end arm can never hurt.
 

BaseballJones

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The current Sox' bullpen looks like this:

Ottavino - 3.27 era, 1.36 whip, 10.2 k/9
Taylor - 3.44 era, 1.41 whip, 10.5 k/9
Workman - 3.71 era, 1.82 whip, 6.4 k/9
Valdez* - 3.45 era, 1.26 whip, 9.4 k/9
Whitlock - 1.31 era, 1.04 whip, 9.9 k/9
Hernandez - 3.55 era, 1.52 whip, 12.3 k/9
Barnes - 2.36 era, 0.83 whip, 13.9 k/9
Rios - 3.60 era, 1.40 whip, 6.6 k/9
Sawamura* - 2.87 era, 1.25 whip, 10.5 k/9

*Valdez replaced Sawamura when Sawamura went on the IL.

Now they also have Houck available if they want him in the bullpen, especially in the playoffs. And they have Bazardo who might be as good as he looked in his brief stint with the MLB club earlier in the year (3.0 ip, 0.00 era, 1.00 whip, 9.0 k/9).

But of this group, the most likely to be replaced are, in order (IMO):

1. Rios. High whip, low k/9.
2. Workman. Even higher whip and lower k/9, but has earned some trust because he's done it on the big stage for this club before.
3. Valdez. He's been good but I just don't know that there's full confidence in him. His last couple of outings have been amazing though.
4. Sawamura. He's been steady all year long but I think he is next on the list.
5. Hernandez. Can be totally dominant, but he allows too many baserunners to make me feel comfortable.
6. Taylor. After a rough initial outing this year, he's been nails. Barring injury or collapse, he and his 95 mph fastball from the left side aren't going anywhere.
7. Whitlock, Ottavino, Barnes. None of them are remotely close to being let go. They've all been superb.

So Rios, Workman, and Valdez are positions that could use upgrading, even though they've all been solid for Boston. Honestly (knock on wood), this is by far the best overall bullpen I've ever seen the Sox have. Several totally dominant pitchers, but also a ton of quality up and down the bullpen. And they could add Houck (2.50 era, 1.17 whip, 11.5 k/9) to the pen as well if they want. But imagine replacing Rios or Workman with Craig "I'm back to being dominant" Kimbrel and his 0.49 era, 0.71 whip, and 15.7 k/9.
 

RIrooter09

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Do we really want to spend resources upgrading the last few spots of what's already a top 5 bullpen?
 

brandonchristensen

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1B is the only real horrible spot right now to me. I don't want to empty the farm upgrading a ton of spots when we have the second best team in baseball right now. A lot of these season long streaks are built on teams that gel well, we've seen it before, and disrupting it doesn't seem worth it. If we were scuffling right now it's easier to shake up - but we're not.
 

simplicio

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Do we really want to spend resources upgrading the last few spots of what's already a top 5 bullpen?
Yes? Outside of 1B the rest of the team we've been fielding is really damn good, considering the imminent Sale upgrade. Wouldn't you like to not give innings to Workman/Rios in the playoffs?
 

RedOctober3829

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Do we really want to spend resources upgrading the last few spots of what's already a top 5 bullpen?
The object at the deadline is to add players to make the team better. If you can add to a strength to make it even stronger, you do it. If they can't acquire a starting pitcher that makes sense but could add someone like Kimbrel, that makes the team better. With so many quality arms in the pen(having Barnes/Kimbrel/Ottavino in the postseason is an embarrassment of riches) and a rotation with questions, you can go to the pen earlier in the game in the playoffs.
 

chawson

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The Red Sox get Berrios, Buxton and Hosmer and trade away only a couple of lower level arms?
No, they trade away Abrams and they take on one of the worst contracts in baseball. The whole premise of this discussion is the Padres using a top prospect to get rid of Hosmer, but I recognize your habit of taking only as much context as you need to keep up your shtick.

The Twins in that trade are trading away their best position player, their best starting pitcher and their best reliever and in return they get one top-10 prospect and anonymous pitchers.
And they’d be getting one of the most valuable assets in baseball. Did you freak out like this last week when they traded their best hitter for another team’s #10 ranked prospect? I didn’t bother to list the anonymous pitchers, but it would be guys in the #10-30 range, so maybe one of Groome, Ward…Winckowski, German for us and Thompson, Guarate and Elliott from the Padres.
 

Cesar Crespo

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so maybe one of Groome, Ward…Winckowski, German for us
One of those things is not like the others. I'm also guessing Ward has 0 value atm. He's going to need to be added to the 40 and he'll be recovering from TJ.

Groome probably has far more value to the Redsox than he does in any trade.
 

E5 Yaz

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No, they trade away Abrams and they take on one of the worst contracts in baseball. The whole premise of this discussion is the Padres using a top prospect to get rid of Hosmer, but I recognize your habit of taking only as much context as you need to keep up your shtick.
There's no schtick involved. You're saying they trade two low-level arms in a trade that get them three major leaguers and a trade chip to move along in the deal
 

Beale13

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Yes? Outside of 1B the rest of the team we've been fielding is really damn good, considering the imminent Sale upgrade. Wouldn't you like to not give innings to Workman/Rios in the playoffs?
But guys that far down the bullpen ladder aren't going to get any sort of meaningful innings in the playoffs. A regular rotation of Barnes, Taylor, Ottavino, Whitlock, Hernandez, and some Sawamura. with lots of off days in between. Barring injury of course, that's six guys within the range of solidly reliable to lights out. Not saying it can't be improved, but I don't think it's worth spending valuable resources for a guy like Kimbrel when it's such a strength already and we have at least one much greater need.
 

Cesar Crespo

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But guys that far down the bullpen ladder aren't going to get any sort of meaningful innings in the playoffs. A regular rotation of Barnes, Taylor, Ottavino, Whitlock, Hernandez, and some Sawamura. with lots of off days in between. Barring injury of course, that's six guys within the range of solidly reliable to lights out. Not saying it can't be improved, but I don't think it's worth spending valuable resources for a guy like Kimbrel when it's such a strength already and we have at least one much greater need.
It would largely depend on the resources being moved. If it's Bobby Dalbec and Josh Winckowski, you make the deal all day. if it's Casas, you move along.
 

NJ_Sox_Fan

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I want no part of Hosmer. The interesting thing to me is that there are seemingly a ton of valuable pieces out there to be potentially added. Scherzer, Berrios, Kimbrel, Rizzo, Gallo, Turner, Bryant, JRamirez, etc.
 

cantor44

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But guys that far down the bullpen ladder aren't going to get any sort of meaningful innings in the playoffs. A regular rotation of Barnes, Taylor, Ottavino, Whitlock, Hernandez, and some Sawamura. with lots of off days in between. Barring injury of course, that's six guys within the range of solidly reliable to lights out. Not saying it can't be improved, but I don't think it's worth spending valuable resources for a guy like Kimbrel when it's such a strength already and we have at least one much greater need.
Do you really trust Hernandez? I dunno ....
Kimbrel would be an upgrade.
Though I'd prefer the Sox land a starter, and then Pivetta or Perez could be moved to the pen to bolster things a bit there ...
 

BornToRun

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I want no part of Hosmer. The interesting thing to me is that there are seemingly a ton of valuable pieces out there to be potentially added. Scherzer, Berrios, Kimbrel, Rizzo, Gallo, Turner, Bryant, JRamirez, etc.
I forget who said it but someone posted that they’d be very disappointed not to come away with an impact player given the wide variety that’s available this year. Can’t say I disagree.
 

chawson

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There's no schtick involved. You're saying they trade two low-level arms in a trade that get them three major leaguers and a trade chip to move along in the deal
I’m saying that’s the basic foundation for a 3-team trade of players who are all reported to be available, and to keep up your shtick you’re pretending you don’t know that one of those “three major leaguers” has one of the very worst contracts in baseball.
 

DisgruntledSoxFan77

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I honestly want no part of Kimbrel redux. We already have an effective closer (cannot believe I just used those words in reference to Barnes but here we are), which means Kimbrel’s role would be setup man. I still have nightmares about “non-save situation” Kimbrel
 

BringBackMo

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I don't want to empty the farm upgrading a ton of spots when we have the second best team in baseball right now.
Fortunately, neither does Chaim Bloom. This thread has certainly gotten entertaining, but most of these proposals don’t reflect anything close to the Sox’ priorities at the trade deadline.
 

RedOctober3829

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Fortunately, neither does Chaim Bloom. This thread has certainly gotten entertaining, but most of these proposals don’t reflect anything close to the Sox’ priorities at the trade deadline.
How does anybody know what Bloom will do at the deadline? This is his first time being a buyer as someone who is running a big-market organization. We don't know one way or the other how he will operate.
 

NJ_Sox_Fan

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I forget who said it but someone posted that they’d be very disappointed not to come away with an impact player given the wide variety that’s available this year. Can’t say I disagree.
Exactly, especially since TB already added an impact bat, you know the MFY will add someone, and it appears that the Jays are attempting to as well - if the Sox stand pat, or add some random role player piece while the other 3 teams get significant upgrades I will be pissed. Although admittedly, that worked out very well in 2004.
 

BringBackMo

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How does anybody know what Bloom will do at the deadline? This is his first time being a buyer as someone who is running a big-market organization. We don't know one way or the other how he will operate.
We can’t know anything about any of this. I agree. But as I will continue to argue, most of what I’ve read in this thread runs counter to both Bloom’s team-building actions to this point AND to the actions of the successful executives Bloom has worked for and with.

My belief is that he will trade his top assets only when he has redundancies in the high minors. That is how the Dodgers and the Rays do it. We have gotten used to a boom and bust cycle with the Sox, teams that go all in for a WS run and then rebuild. I believe that Bloom thinks he can build an organization that competes every year via a perpetually loaded farm system and strategic FA signings. The Dodgers model in other words. He doesn’t get there by depleting his system to improve his odds in one specific year.

In this thread we have seen calls to trade Downs, trade Duran, trade Cassas, trade Jimenez. (In other posts I have laid out my thinking about why those specific prospects won’t be traded, and can restate if it’s at all interesting.) Someone said we should trade Verdugo. There’s been talk of converting Dalbec to a pitcher. Those are all far-fetched notions from my perspective, and if we were to see them, it wouldn’t be at the trade deadline.

So no, we can’t say for sure what Bloom will do. But my money is on a league-average lefty 1B and maybe a reliever. The combined cost? Three to four mid-level prospects. No one in the top ten, in other words. That’s my prediction. Maybe I’ll be wrong.
 

RIrooter09

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But guys that far down the bullpen ladder aren't going to get any sort of meaningful innings in the playoffs. A regular rotation of Barnes, Taylor, Ottavino, Whitlock, Hernandez, and some Sawamura. with lots of off days in between. Barring injury of course, that's six guys within the range of solidly reliable to lights out. Not saying it can't be improved, but I don't think it's worth spending valuable resources for a guy like Kimbrel when it's such a strength already and we have at least one much greater need.
This is where I’m at. Add in Houck and you’ve got 7 relatively reliable arms to rotate through. Let’s upgrade first base and go from there.
 

Saints Rest

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Do we really want to spend resources upgrading the last few spots of what's already a top 5 bullpen?
Hell no!
When Sale joins the rotation, one of Richards/Perez/Pivetta goes to the pen, and one of the current relievers (Rios?) is dropped from the 26.
When the playoffs come, and they go to a 4-man rotation, another one of the R/P/P trio moves to the pen and another low-end reliever is dropped.
In fact, it wouldn't surprise me to see an additional reliever or two cut from the post-season roster to increase options on the bench.
 

simplicio

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"Also heard Yankees checked in & were told he was unlikely to OK a trade there."

Well now I kinda want him.
 

nattysez

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The Giants desperately need bullpen help. I'll be pretty surprised if they unload a bunch of prospects for Scherzer.
 

chawson

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"Also heard Yankees checked in & were told he was unlikely to OK a trade there."

Well now I kinda want him.
That’s hilarious. It’s interesting that he’s “said to prefer the West Coast” and a flat no on the MFY yet Boston is still in the running. My money’s on the Giants but if he wants an extension with a perennial contender, they’re not exactly a great bet.

I think we’ll be surprised by how little the Nats get for him.
 

cantor44

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You keeping Richards in the rotation over Pivetta?
Certainly not. I'm assuming, if a pitcher is acquired, that when Sale returns, somebody likely gets dumped unless folks are on the IL, and that somebody may well be Richards.
so either:
- Rotation: Sale, Eovaldi, Acquired starter (Berrios - let a man dream!!!), Erod, Pivetta (or Perez); Pen: Barnes, Ottavino, Whitlock, Taylor, Sawamura, Houck, Perez (or Pivetta), Valdez (or Hernandez); DFA/IL/AAA/TRADE/FILL IN FOR IL PLAYER: Andreise, Braiser, Richards, Rios, Workman, (Valdez or Hernandez)
OR
- Rotation: Sale, Eovaldi, Erod, Pivetta, Perez; Pen: Barnes, Acquired reliever (Kimbrel), Ottavino, Whitlock, Taylor, Sawamura, Houck, Hernandez (or Valdez); DFA/IL/AAA/TRADE/FILL IN FOR IL PLAYER: Andreise, Braiser, Richards, Rios, Workman, (Valdez or Hernandez)
 

YTF

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This is where I’m at. Add in Houck and you’ve got 7 relatively reliable arms to rotate through. Let’s upgrade first base and go from there.
If Richards shits himself tonight and Houck is impressive in tomorrow's start vs Toronto he might wind up in the rotation. I wish Houck had been able to get a few more starting opportunities before the deadline.
 

Manramsclan

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It is very sad that Hosmer is a legitimate upgrade for the Red Sox at 1B.
It is also very unlikely that the Red Sox match up with the Padres on this because the Padres are looking to trade him because they are up against the threshold.
The value of trading for Hosmer as an upgrade is much less than absorbing Hosmer for an A+ prospect. If you could do both then the trade might make sense for the Sox. Without the space under the threshold to do that it makes no sense for them, especially when there are multiple other options for upgrading at that position without taking on that much salary.
 

YTF

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Hell no!
When Sale joins the rotation, one of Richards/Perez/Pivetta goes to the pen, and one of the current relievers (Rios?) is dropped from the 26.
When the playoffs come, and they go to a 4-man rotation, another one of the R/P/P trio moves to the pen and another low-end reliever is dropped.
In fact, it wouldn't surprise me to see an additional reliever or two cut from the post-season roster to increase options on the bench.
They'll def have to increase the bench. There will be no need to carry 5 starters so as you suggest at least one guy from the pitching staff gets bumped, maybe two depending if the scheduling of games allows extra days off. I believe the new extra inning format does not apply to the playoffs so there is no way you carry a 3 man bench,
 

Minneapolis Millers

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If the Sox made that deal with SD and the Twins, I’d be half ecstatic, half suicidal. Buxton is always hurt, but he has MVP talent. Berrios is a solid #2 at worst. Rogers is an excellent late inning arm. Christ, they still want to compete next year, and they have a good farm with Royce Lewis to dream on as a future SS. They don’t need to give up their best players for an injured Abrams.
 

geoduck no quahog

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The object at the deadline is to add players to make the team better. If you can add to a strength to make it even stronger, you do it. If they can't acquire a starting pitcher that makes sense but could add someone like Kimbrel, that makes the team better. With so many quality arms in the pen(having Barnes/Kimbrel/Ottavino in the postseason is an embarrassment of riches) and a rotation with questions, you can go to the pen earlier in the game in the playoffs.
I'm also one who doesn't think the Red Sox bullpen is that great...or reliable.

The bullpen stat I pay attenion to is WHIP (because we all know that bullpen ERA is meaningless and the whole point of a reliever is to avoid putting men on).

The Red Sox are currently 17th in WHIP, below the following AL Teams (in order)
  • Tampa (1.13)
  • NYY (1.19)
  • Seattle
  • Oakland
  • Cleveland
  • Toronto
  • Houston
  • Texas (for crying out loud)
  • Boston (1.35)
That includes all 5 competitors for the WC spot.

The Bostons break out this way:
Barnes: .833
Sawamura: 1.248
Ottavino: 1.355
Taylor: 1.412
Darwinzon: 1.515
...Thankfully Whitlock: 1.042

Tampa?
Castillo: .991
Kittredge: .869
Thompson: 1.029
Springs: 1.031
Fairbanks: 1.290

That's a hell of a base bullpen

I don't know how I'd fix it, or if that's even possible - but the Red Sox could definitely benefit from some better arms out there, even conceding that Taylor is better than his numbers suggest
 

Jake Peavy's Demons

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Regarding José Berríos, is anyone concerned about his Fenway pitching stats? I understand it's a SSS, but:


Year G R BA OBP SLG OPS
2017
1​
4​
0.308​
0.357​
0.423​
0.780​
2018
1​
3​
0.375​
0.464​
0.500​
0.964​
2019
1​
6​
0.348​
0.423​
0.652​
1.075​


Career: 0-3, 16 IP, 7.31 ERA
 

benhogan

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But guys that far down the bullpen ladder aren't going to get any sort of meaningful innings in the playoffs. A regular rotation of Barnes, Taylor, Ottavino, Whitlock, Hernandez, and some Sawamura. with lots of off days in between. Barring injury of course, that's six guys within the range of solidly reliable to lights out. Not saying it can't be improved, but I don't think it's worth spending valuable resources for a guy like Kimbrel when it's such a strength already and we have at least one much greater need.
how quickly we forget the legend of Curtis Leskanic

every roster spot counts, upgrade anything weak when you have the 2nd best record in MLB

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fk3b2jxypBk
 

soxhop411

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Some interesting quotes from Bloom today
View: https://twitter.com/BillKoch25/status/1420145531028914181

View: https://twitter.com/alexspeier/status/1420146003047505926

View: https://twitter.com/alexspeier/status/1420146004884602883

View: https://twitter.com/BillKoch25/status/1420146560915185667


Bill Koch
@BillKoch25

·
Jul 27, 2021
Replying to @BillKoch25
Bloom -- 'This is where we want to be.....in some ways, more complicated.' #RedSox
Bill Koch
@BillKoch25

Bloom -- 'There are some areas where I think it's more puzzle piece. 'Hey, this guy would be a great fit.'' 'We also have to look into fits that aren't as obvious in terms of areas of need.' 'We're trying to do all of it.' #RedSox
Alex Speier
@alexspeier

·
21m

Chaim Bloom to
@NESN
re: trade deadline: ‘This is where we want to be. It definitely makes it a very different deadline, in some ways more complicated.’



Alex Speier
@alexspeier

·
21m

Bloom says Sox are looking both for ‘puzzle piece’ additions as well as ‘fits that are not as obvious’ - adding to areas that aren’t clear needs or possible areas of long-term improvement.
Alex Speier
@alexspeier

·
21m

Bloom says Sox can’t take for granted continued health of rotation. He says the Sox are looking for more on the trade market.




Alex Speier
@alexspeier

·
21m

Bloom says it’s fair to say all contenders are looking for bullpen help. ‘It’s definitely something we’re looking for.’
Bloom on Chris Sale -- 'It's possible' his next two starts could be followed by his Boston debut in 2021. #RedSox


1



1






Bill Koch

@BillKoch25

·
20m

Bloom on the rotation -- 'I still don't feel like we have enough.' 'Hopefully we continue to get healthier down the stretch and we have those options for Alex (Cora).' #RedSox
 
Last edited:

Rovin Romine

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The Giants desperately need bullpen help. I'll be pretty surprised if they unload a bunch of prospects for Scherzer.
Any #1 bumps the #5 into the bullpen, assuming a SP does not get traded back for the acquisition.

If we added Scherzer and Sale, we'd be bumping two into the pen, and dropping the two least likely guys.
 

RIrooter09

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Jul 31, 2008
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If Richards shits himself tonight and Houck is impressive in tomorrow's start vs Toronto he might wind up in the rotation. I wish Houck had been able to get a few more starting opportunities before the deadline.
Ok but come playoff time either Houck or Perez is back in the pen because you only need 4 starters.
 

soxhop411

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Any #1 bumps the #5 into the bullpen, assuming a SP does not get traded back for the acquisition.

If we added Scherzer and Sale, we'd be bumping two into the pen, and dropping the two least likely guys.
seems like from the above quotes Bloom is going after rotation help (Plus other positions of need) .. and yes I would love Mad Max in Boston
 

simplicio

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Apr 11, 2012
5,298
Regarding José Berríos, is anyone concerned about his Fenway pitching stats? I understand it's a SSS, but:


Year G R BA OBP SLG OPS
2017
1​
4​
0.308​
0.357​
0.423​
0.780​
2018
1​
3​
0.375​
0.464​
0.500​
0.964​
2019
1​
6​
0.348​
0.423​
0.652​
1.075​


Career: 0-3, 16 IP, 7.31 ERA
Berrios looks like he really gets knocked around the third time through the order, which is largely avoidable in the playoffs.
VS contending teams this year:
1st time through: 18 ip, 2.50 era, 3.71 fip, 3.23 xfip, 1.5 hr/9
2nd time through: 17.1 ip, 4.67 era, 2.92 fip, 4.26 xfip, 0 hr/9
3rd time through: 11 ip, 6.55 era, 8.70 fip, 2.74 xfip, 4.9 hr/9

That's a significant home run issue the third time through.