It keeps coming on the main board but there is no Mayer/Teel/Anthony "Window". I linked a fantastic article someone else put in another thread by Dan Secatore at Over The Monster.
People need to realize this is not even the strongest the Red Sox farm system has been over the last 10 years (2016 was probably the highest ranked Red Sox class over the last 25 year). But as Dan Drew out the failure rate of top 100 prospects (especially outside the top 10 prospects) is massive:
People need to realize this is not even the strongest the Red Sox farm system has been over the last 10 years (2016 was probably the highest ranked Red Sox class over the last 25 year). But as Dan Drew out the failure rate of top 100 prospects (especially outside the top 10 prospects) is massive:
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From 2010 through 2019, 32 different players have been ranked as a top three Red Sox prospect according to Soxprospects.com. How many of them became “impact” players? Well, let’s take a look. Here are those 32 players, sorted by career bWAR: 17 of these 32 players (that’s over 50% for you math nerds) failed to accumulate even 2 bWAR for their entire careers (it’s actually 18, but we’ll be generous to Jarren Duran, who likely has a lot more baseball to play). In other words, over 50% of these guys effectively failed to have any Major League career whatsoever. And to be clear, these 17 guys aren’t just a bunch of Bobby Dalbec types, players with obvious flaws who were never too highly regarded in the first place. Blake Swihart was once the 17th best prospect in all of Baseball, according to Baseball America. Anderson Espinoza was 19th. Casey Kelly climbed all the way up to 31. Henry Owens and Jay Groome both cracked the top 50.