Silver Dollar - The Official 2022-23 NBA Betting Thread!

Red Averages

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Apr 20, 2003
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Bucks finished the game 36% from 3! Wild. Ended up being a fairly easy cover. Solid 3.5 unit game win there.
 

RG33

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I somehow got smoked today. No boom-boom. Loaded up on Portland in the 2nd half, and the wheels cane off in the last 5 min. Had 6ers early too (before I saw RA’s take).
 

Mloaf71

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Jul 13, 2005
418
HRB is going to make fun of me for another Meat Loaf special…

Teased Wiz Under, Bulls Over, blazers -1, Bucks -8, and Pelicans -0.5 by 8 points for +378

In the early 3rd I hedged it with Warriors ML +100

Bad value on the bets, but had myself a nice little night.

Thanks as always HRB and Red!
 

HomeRunBaker

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Jan 15, 2004
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HRB is going to make fun of me for another Meat Loaf special…

Teased Wiz Under, Bulls Over, blazers -1, Bucks -8, and Pelicans -0.5 by 8 points for +378

In the early 3rd I hedged it with Warriors ML +100

Bad value on the bets, but had myself a nice little night.

Thanks as always HRB and Red!
Haha very nice!!

Last year my kryptonite was an abnormal pct of my Unders making it to OT…..this year is whenever high variance guys go nuclear there is a real good chance I have an angle on the other side. Sigh
 

Mloaf71

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Jul 13, 2005
418
Thanks! Teased them again and went ML parlay Indy, Chi, OKC.

Why not keep a good thing going :)
 

HomeRunBaker

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Jan 15, 2004
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Tonight:

- Indy +3
- SAS +7
- bulls +2.5
- Mem -6
- OKc + 4.5
Good to see I’m not the only one home on a Saturday night sweating a Spurs/Mavs game. Those Pacers keep getting zero respect. Home dogs in a schedule loss spot for LAC as it was. Looks like I’m going to be 3-1 with Spurs on fence and the Jazz late. GL!
 

Red Averages

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Apr 20, 2003
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I just took the Jazz +2 in game.

And another 1/2 unit at -3.5 Jazz..
 
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Red Averages

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Apr 20, 2003
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Let’s get a 4Q hold in Utah and with Ohio St to close out this year the right way!!
Jeez. Herro at the buzzer breaks both Jazz bets as it was tied.

won 4-5 on the initial bets and I actually did a round robin given the high hit rate with 4 bet combos, which ended up as a 3x payout (on 1.5 unit round robin). A clean sweep would have been a 20 unit night but I’ll take the 5 unit win net of the Jazz losses.
 
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HomeRunBaker

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Jan 15, 2004
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Only 3 games on the NYD slate but one jumps at me. Bucks will be without Middleton and Holiday tonight which increases the usage of guys like Portis, Grayson, Connaughton and Jevon Carter. Their depth is very good but not the type of lineup I want to be laying 8-9 points with as I expect when this game opens (still not on any overnights as of 6:30am est).

On the other bench we have one of my favorite scrappier undervalued teams in the Wizards who, as @Deathofthebambino suggested they would, continued their winning ways even without Beal these past couple games. He’ll likely be a game-time decision (Beal, not DOTB who will certainly be OUT after his NYE with the Armenian Party Boys of Essex County) but number may remain off the board until the mornings injury report especially with the Bucks already being short two key players.

I’ll be watching for this number to be 8-9 and would look to grab the Wizards here.

Edit: Ok pretty much scrap all that. Opened Bucks -8 and immediately, within :50 sec bet down to 7 and then 6.5 so I would pass at that number.
 
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Red Averages

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Apr 20, 2003
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I took Wiz at 7.5 based on HRB’s note above. It’s actually down at 4.5 now.

also took the under 234 in Bos/Den
 

Mloaf71

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Jul 13, 2005
418
I went Under in Bos/Den 234.5, Under in Sac/Mem 239, Wiz +7.5, and sprinkle on Kings ML hoping for a hangover from yesterday for Memphis
 

HomeRunBaker

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I took Wiz at 7.5 based on HRB’s note above. It’s actually down at 4.5 now.

also took the under 234 in Bos/Den
Where and when did you guys get 7.5 on Wiz? None of my PPH’s opened with that and my two offshores moved it immediately. Good job!! I wish I took the 6.5 as it’s now 2.5 without Giannis. I wouldn’t tell anyone what to do but had I gotten my 8 I’d be buying back 50% on Bucks -2.5
 

Red Averages

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Apr 20, 2003
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Where and when did you guys get 7.5 on Wiz? None of my PPH’s opened with that and my two offshores moved it immediately. Good job!! I wish I took the 6.5 as it’s now 2.5 without Giannis. I wouldn’t tell anyone what to do but had I gotten my 8 I’d be buying back 50% on Bucks -2.5
DraftKings at 7:52am. I’m debating playing the middle here too…. We’ll see.

I added Kings +4 to my action tonight.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Jan 15, 2004
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Looks like the Bucks may fall to 4-2 without Giannis this year and down to 2-2 when playing without Giannis, Khris and Jrue.
 

Mloaf71

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Jul 13, 2005
418
Kings hung around and then fell apart in the 4th and couldn’t score.

Let’s see if this broken rim delay cools the teams off and gets us to the under in the Celtics game.
 

Mloaf71

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Jul 13, 2005
418
That half point came in handy. Sorry for anyone who had 234, that last Kornet layup was a killer.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Jan 15, 2004
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Lol, todays 3pm game may land in the 170s. Thibs has this team committed to playing his style of ball.
 

HomeRunBaker

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The Suns without Booker are the NBA equivalent of the Patriots offense this year ;)
About to be 2-7 without him. Those two wins were by a combined 43 pts and one of them was in Memphis. The NBA…..home of the random anomaly.
 

Red Averages

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Lol, todays 3pm game may land in the 170s. Thibs has this team committed to playing his style of ball.
I couldn’t believe the total number when it posted. Suns have been on a long road trip, in the city that never sleeps at 3pm game. Between the Knicks -1, the under and a parlay of the two, that was a nice way to start the day.
Other action for tonight, and then that’s it for me for a few weeks as I’m back in Taxachusetts where the state hates revenue by delaying betting for another few months.

- Minn +2
- Hou +7.5
- Tor +1.5
- Lakers moneyline at even
- Under 228 NO/PHI
 

HomeRunBaker

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Jan 15, 2004
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I couldn’t believe the total number when it posted. Suns have been on a long road trip, in the city that never sleeps at 3pm game. Between the Knicks -1, the under and a parlay of the two, that was a nice way to start the day.
Other action for tonight, and then that’s it for me for a few weeks as I’m back in Taxachusetts where the state hates revenue by delaying betting for another few months.

- Minn +2
- Hou +7.5
- Tor +1.5
- Lakers moneyline at even
- Under 228 NO/PHI
I have a buddy here in FL that set up his accounts in Ohio(?) and calls in his plus to his sister. I’m stuck with offshores and locals for the time being as well. I was stiffed a large amount by one this fall who got burned by the crypto disaster. He’s paying slowly……very…..very……slowly.
 

Red Averages

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Apr 20, 2003
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I have a buddy here in FL that set up his accounts in Ohio(?) and calls in his plus to his sister. I’m stuck with offshores and locals for the time being as well. I was stiffed a large amount by one this fall who got burned by the crypto disaster. He’s paying slowly……very…..very……slowly.
I have someone I use occasionally in a friendly state, but the size I trade at can get a bit awkward sometimes. For example this week I’m up about it 12k. Easier to just wait it out and postpone my addiction for another 2 months….
 

RG33

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I couldn’t believe the total number when it posted. Suns have been on a long road trip, in the city that never sleeps at 3pm game. Between the Knicks -1, the under and a parlay of the two, that was a nice way to start the day.
Other action for tonight, and then that’s it for me for a few weeks as I’m back in Taxachusetts where the state hates revenue by delaying betting for another few months.

- Minn +2
- Hou +7.5
- Tor +1.5
- Lakers moneyline at even
- Under 228 NO/PHI
You really should give yourself a standing ovation for the last week+. I’m proud of you.

BOOM
 

BigSoxFan

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May 31, 2007
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I have someone I use occasionally in a friendly state, but the size I trade at can get a bit awkward sometimes. For example this week I’m up about it 12k. Easier to just wait it out and postpone my addiction for another 2 months….
$12K?! How about you keep giving me the bets you would have placed had you been in a different state :)
 

Red Averages

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Apr 20, 2003
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Thanks. Probably ran close to an 80% hit rate… all the more reason to be glad I’m back in a place where I can’t bet before the inevitable drawdown ;)

Same with my upcoming 2023 Stock Market performance after a very strong 2022… :unsure:
 

BigSoxFan

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May 31, 2007
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Thanks. Probably ran close to an 80% hit rate… all the more reason to be glad I’m back in a place where I can’t bet before the inevitable drawdown ;)

Same with my upcoming 2023 Stock Market performance after a very strong 2022… :unsure:
Lock in some savings.Take your money out and leave a little for the next run.
 

RG33

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Nov 28, 2005
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Thanks. Probably ran close to an 80% hit rate… all the more reason to be glad I’m back in a place where I can’t bet before the inevitable drawdown ;)

Same with my upcoming 2023 Stock Market performance after a very strong 2022… :unsure:
Avoiding the natural regression to the mean will be like winning big TWICE!
 

Red Averages

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SoSH Member
Apr 20, 2003
7,842
Lock in some savings.Take your money out and leave a little for the next run.
Oh I already did. In a few weeks/months I’ll ask my DK rep for a deposit bonus or loss insurance to get me to deposit again. This ain’t my first rodeo in gambling or risk management!
 

HomeRunBaker

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Jan 15, 2004
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Got one for tonight.

* Pacers +7

Sixers coming off a big win over New Orleans as they work Maxey back into the lineup. The big thing here is Embiid’s uncertainty with his foot. I like the Pacers with him and will get a ton of CLV if he’s out so win-win.

I haven’t looked at props yet but if I get word Embiid is out before it goes public I’ll be hitting all the Overs for Harden, Maxey, Melton and Harris…..the latter who is known hitting his points number following a no-show (2-5, 5 pts on Mon).
 

BigSoxFan

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Got one for tonight.

* Pacers +7

Sixers coming off a big win over New Orleans as they work Maxey back into the lineup. The big thing here is Embiid’s uncertainty with his foot. I like the Pacers with him and will get a ton of CLV if he’s out so win-win.

I haven’t looked at props yet but if I get word Embiid is out before it goes public I’ll be hitting all the Overs for Harden, Maxey, Melton and Harris…..the latter who is known hitting his points number following a no-show (2-5, 5 pts on Mon).
I did Pacers +15.5, Haliburton over 16.5 points and 6.5 assists.

+140
 

HomeRunBaker

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Jan 15, 2004
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These Totals are really getting out of control. I see good value on like 6 Unders tonight but petrified to play them. I think we are approaching “The Over Bubble” now that very casual or not even casual fan is talking about how no defense is played in the NBA. I’ll post if I dabble on some tonight but at some point I’m going to be pounding these numbers if they keep blowing up.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Jan 15, 2004
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Got one for tonight.

* Pacers +7

Sixers coming off a big win over New Orleans as they work Maxey back into the lineup. The big thing here is Embiid’s uncertainty with his foot. I like the Pacers with him and will get a ton of CLV if he’s out so win-win.

I haven’t looked at props yet but if I get word Embiid is out before it goes public I’ll be hitting all the Overs for Harden, Maxey, Melton and Harris…..the latter who is known hitting his points number following a no-show (2-5, 5 pts on Mon).
Embiid out.

I didn’t get it early so entire prop market down on the news. Still got some good Pacers CLV.
 

Red Averages

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Apr 20, 2003
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These Totals are really getting out of control. I see good value on like 6 Unders tonight but petrified to play them. I think we are approaching “The Over Bubble” now that very casual or not even casual fan is talking about how no defense is played in the NBA. I’ll post if I dabble on some tonight but at some point I’m going to be pounding these numbers if they keep blowing up.
Nice call on Indy!

On the O/U - seems like this is going to create some huge EV as we get later in the year and contenders play better D (particularly later in games) and slow the pace. I’m reminded of you pointing this out with the Lakers 4th quarters a few years ago, but now it’ll be league wide.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Jan 15, 2004
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Nice call on Indy!

On the O/U - seems like this is going to create some huge EV as we get later in the year and contenders play better D (particularly later in games) and slow the pace. I’m reminded of you pointing this out with the Lakers 4th quarters a few years ago, but now it’ll be league wide.
7 of 12 finished below the closing total. Live betting when a games pace comes to a crawl is the nuts. The key is to have a ball dominant veteran who is all about iso in the half court…..which many teams have. It is noticeable in the 4Q numbers of the Sixers (Harden/Embiid), Mavs (Doncic), Heat (Butler), Knicks (Randle), Bucks (Giannis), Nuggets (Jokic), etc. compared to the teams that push even in the 4Q like Lakers (RWB), Pacers, Jazz, Spurs, etc. You’ll still see 4Q numbers not adjusted appropriately even for the best matchups that will see walking it up by both teams.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Jan 15, 2004
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Played a side in 3 of tonight’s 4 games which is rare.

* Celtics -3
* Rockets +7.5
* Nuggets -6

The first two slightly more than the third.

Edit: I’m very intrigued on 6 games tomorrow. If you can get Miami -1.5 and Sixers -5 now jump on it bc they won’t last.
 
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benhogan

Granite Truther
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Nov 2, 2007
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Played a side in 3 of tonight’s 4 games which is rare.

* Celtics -3
* Rockets +7.5
* Nuggets -6

The first two slightly more than the third.

Edit: I’m very intrigued on 6 games tomorrow. If you can get Miami -1.5 and Sixers -5 now jump on it bc they won’t last.
surprised you didn't do anything with Memphis/Orlando.

Those are two teams you've been very vocal about