It's theoretically possible this is a subject for its own or a different thread, but since this seems to be the operating thread on Ray Rice and the NFL, I post it here. This is a somewhat inchoate thought, but it's been rumbling around my head after some discussion in the Ray Rice Cut thread.
There is a perception that controversies that seem to dust up about the NFL several times a year are giving the league a black eye. Many of us are asking, "how is the league so teflon on all this"? My operating assumption has been that the league is infected with hubris, and is operating under a faulty assumption that things will always be as good as they are now. But what they are missing, I have been assuming, is that perception doesn't always creep in incrementally. Sometimes, it builds and builds without much warning, but then hits a critical mass. I've viewed these mounting controversies as similar to pushing a beach ball under water deeper and deeper. Eventually it's going to pop up out of the water.
Simmons published a Goodell must go piece yesterday that, in turn, linked his piece from last week to the effect that Goodell has been a disaster.
http://grantland.com/the-triangle/nfl-the-league-that-never-takes-a-break/ I've really been thinking about it. And I'm starting to become convinced that my assumptions are simply wrong. That perhaps all of this stuff, including the Ray Rice controversy -- as unpleasant and unseemly as this all may seem -- is actually good for the league. Could the teflon metaphor be completely backwards? Is it really possible that the league is not, but virtue of having this awesome product, prospering
in spite controversies about mishandling a guy that cold cocked his domestic partner? But it's actually prospering because of it? That the tape, and sports writers defending or attacking Goodell, and and everyone spending all this time trying to show he is or isn't lying, is all actually helping the league? Certainly last night's off-the-chart ratings don't do anything to dispel this terrible thought.
http://www.cbspressexpress.com/cbs-sports/releases/view?id=40683
So, I got to thinking a little. Why does the NFL do so much better than the other big US sports. And a thought occurred to me -- there is some comparison here with big-time European soccer, which also seems to remain teflon despite some crazy stuff. So, I started thinking, what is it about that sports that have allowed them to prosper so much (not in this country quite yet, but world wide)? And a somewhat straightforward thought occurred to me. People watch the games, even if they don't involve their favorite teams. In fact, if you look back at the latest world cup cycle and ask why soccer seems to be getting a foothold in the USA, it's because people were hooked by watching the USA play, but that hook caused them to watch the other games in the five or six days between the USA games, and to keep watching after the USA was eliminated. It's the same thing that makes people watch the NCAA basketball tournament and makes CBS continue to pay huge amounts for it, even though ratings for the regular season for college basketball except maybe Duke/North Carolina are dismal.
Not many people watch hockey, or baseball, or even the NBA, when their team isn't playing, until maybe the playoffs. Not enough at least. But no matter who is playing, there is a huge number of people who watch on Thursday, Sunday night, Monday, and Thanksgiving. Why do people watch football even when their team isn't playing? Well, it's all the reasons that are talked about frequently for the NFL's dominance -- gambling, fantasy, parity and salary cap, the relatively few number of games, the fact that they are on at distinct times of the week, etc.
So, here's where the inchoate idea starts to come in to play. Is there something about a sport that is watched and enjoyed even without the emotional attachment of a "favorite team" that makes it more likely to benefit from controversy -- even repulsive controversy -- than it would if people were just watching their own team play. I'm starting to believe the answer to that questions is, most definitely, yes. But I'm having a hard time explaining why I think that. The best way I can articulate it is that I think a sport driven primarily by emotional attachment is more likely to be affected by fan perception of justice or fairness.
An example perhaps helps here. Remember the replacement official controversy? Everyone was up in arms about how crappy the replacement guys were. And it hit a head when you had that absurd play where one official signaled TD and one signaled catch on a game winning drive, which was talked about for the next 24 hours. If you were a fan of those two teams (Green Bay and Seattle), you definitely looked at that whole situation one way, and if it had persisted every team's fans would eventually have reached the "what does this mean for fairness with respect to my team" question, which is where things can go sideways. Me? I didn't care who won. I'm a Pats fan. And while I thought it was shameful, I also was loving the whole thing. The bumbling refs. I looked up with the actual rule was. I wanted to know what the NFL review "command center" in New York had seen, or what they did. I'm not trying to equate the keystone cops referee scandal with handling of domestic violence. But I guess what I'm suggesting is that the NFL may be a whole lot more devious and evil than we all have suggested. People watch pro wrestling. On some level, this entire story -- right down to the solemn independent investigation and people speculating whether or not anyone is lying -- is all actually good for the league. A sobering thought.