I don’t come around here much lately but I was expecting to see a discussion of Time Lord as a defensive player this year.
I for the first time looked up some stats to see if they confirmed what my eyes have been telling me. I’ll start with the stats so you can see if they surprise you before I share my hypothesis /thinking.
per 36 min rates by year in chronological order starting with his 2nd year:
blocks: 3.2, 3.3, 2.7, 1.9
Boards: 11.9, 13.1, 11.7, 12.6
Steals: 2.0, 1.6, 1.1, 0.8
PF: 4.7, 3.8, 2.7, 2.4
MPG: 13.4, 18.9, 29.6, 23.1
What my eyes were telling me: I’ve noticed TL going for way fewer blocks. He used to go for literally every block in a way that was unhelpful and could actually hurt them in rebounding. I’ve been wondering if this is an intentional change that was resulting in better rebounding.
Looking at the stats I think there’s some evidence for that story. His rebounding is up, his fouls are down, and his blocks are way down.
Looking at the stats and watching him play though he also seems less active. His steals are down in a borderline concerning way . He’s certainly not jumping as much or getting as high. If this is about staying healthy I’m supportive. I have seen him soar on occasion, so I don’t think he can’t be that .0001% freak athlete guy anymore…at least I hope not. The whole team has made basically no effort to be a great defensive team this year IMO. They’ve been fine.
But if this is the TL we get going forward I wonder if the balance is off. I appreciate the rebounding a lot. But when it counts think he needs to assert himself, particularly early in games. He’s nowhere near fouling out and they’re a great defensive rebounding team. It’s worth giving up an o-board and some fouls early if it deters teams from even entering the paint in the middle and later parts of the game when he’s in there. Or just mature as a player and be better all around at knowing when to try and block and when to hold position as we’ve been hoping.
I’m curious for others thoughts. He’s a good, integral player right now no doubt. But he has the chance to be a third star on this team and separate himself and increase their title odds/dominance going forward and right now he’s not that and his trajectory is perhaps different than ~10 months ago. Or not. what say you.