Red Sox Hot Stove Rumors

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someoneanywhere

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Danny_Darwin said:
Miller's agent says his client wants to close next year, so he is probably off the shopping list for the time being.
 
That's not what he said.
 
He said: "For us, there are no demands or expectations on what role it's going to be,'' Rodgers said. "A team that signs Andrew Miller is a team that has put a premium on its bullpen -- because no matter how the bullpen is, he's going to make it better.''
 
What he means is: My client expects to be paid like a closer whether he closes or not. 
 

Savin Hillbilly

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someoneanywhere said:
 
That's not what he said.
 
He said: "For us, there are no demands or expectations on what role it's going to be,'' Rodgers said. "A team that signs Andrew Miller is a team that has put a premium on its bullpen -- because no matter how the bullpen is, he's going to make it better.''
 
What he means is: My client expects to be paid like a closer whether he closes or not. 
 
He also said this:
 
 
"I think Andrew's evolution in the bullpen and his numbers this year fortify the belief in baseball that he's a closer-in-waiting -- and maybe the time for waiting is over,'' Rodgers said Tuesday from the MLB general managers' meetings.
 
Which seems to directly support Danny_Darwin's take. I.e., he won't rule out a non-closing situation, but a closing situation is what they're looking for.
 

Yelling At Clouds

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I guess "saying he wants to close" isn't the same thing as "saying he will only sign with a team with a clear path to the closer's role." Fair enough. Still, though, hard to imagine he won't get the chance somewhere. I would be very surprised to see him in a Red Sox uniform next year.
 

Plympton91

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KillerBs said:
You certainly cant discount his post season production. Adding in his 2014 post season his 2014 slash line goes from 324/415/739 to 333/420/753, ie a near insignificant decline from his 2013 OPS of 758.
 
Add in his Ortizian 2012 post season, and his regular season 342/447/789 becomes 349/481/830.
 
Also his production from around mid May 2014 to the end of the year (including post season) makes me doubt that he is already in a steep decline.  In his last 137 games of the year, his BA was .315 and he OPS'd  in excess of 800.  
The bolded is interesting. It seems that whoever signs him is banking on that being the real Pablo Sandoval for the foreseeable future. Was there some kind of adjustment made? Or, could it be that the reason for the apparent "decline" is really just the effects of two hamate bone injuries; isn't it true that some players take a while to fully recover from those, to the extent that the following season can be an "off-year?" If so, then maybe that's answer to the "What am I missing here?" question about the Sox seeming interest in betting $100 million on this acquisition.
 

KillerBs

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Sandoval does go opposite field as a LHB frequently. Maybe the Sox think he is unusually well-suited for Fenway too.
 
One obvious option for the off-season, which would suit me fine: Sign Pablo, Hundley and Lester, deal Cespedes (and Ranaudo or Webster (plus Marrero, Margot or Coyle etc if need be for the right guy)) for the best SP you can get.
 
1. Betts 9
2. Pedroia 4
3. Ortiz
4. Napoli 3
5. Sandoval 5
6. Bogaerts 6
7. Nava 7
8. Castillo 8
9. Vazquez 2
 
Bench -- Hundley, Holt, Victorino, Craig
 
Lester, SP2, Buchholz, Kelly, RDLR.
 
Uehara, Tazawa, Mujica, Barnes, Webster, Wright, Layne  
 

phenweigh

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KillerBs said:
Sandoval does go opposite field as a LHB frequently. Maybe the Sox think he is unusually well-suited for Fenway too.
 
One obvious option for the off-season, which would suit me fine: Sign Pablo, Hundley and Lester, deal Cespedes (and Ranaudo or Webster (plus Marrero, Margot or Coyle etc if need be for the right guy)) for the best SP you can get.
 
1. Betts 9
2. Pedroia 4
3. Ortiz
4. Napoli 3
5. Sandoval 5
6. Bogaerts 6
7. Nava 7
8. Castillo 8
9. Vazquez 2
 
Bench -- Hundley, Holt, Victorino, Craig
 
Lester, SP2, Buchholz, Kelly, RDLR.
 
Uehara, Tazawa, Mujica, Barnes, Webster, Wright, Layne  
That's pretty similar to what I offered as a projected roster last week, hoping SP2 would be Cueto.
 

Clears Cleaver

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Sounds like some FAs may be visiting Boston. Sox willing to set market. Tenor seems to be Sox are going to be very aggressive. At least according to Gordon Edes. Lester. Etc
 

67WasBest

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Clears Cleaver said:
Sounds like some FAs may be visiting Boston. Sox willing to set market. Tenor seems to be Sox are going to be very aggressive. At least according to Gordon Edes. Lester. Etc
I had been wondering, now that they have realized the 2014 revenue sharing windfall, if they would be hyper aggressive this offseason.  This is the first validation that position my be so.
 

RedOctober3829

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Clears Cleaver said:
Sounds like some FAs may be visiting Boston. Sox willing to set market. Tenor seems to be Sox are going to be very aggressive. At least according to Gordon Edes. Lester. Etc
Did any of the writers mention any names connected to the Red Sox that haven't been rumored or reported?  Anything outside the box?
 

Clears Cleaver

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RedOctober3829 said:
Did any of the writers mention any names connected to the Red Sox that haven't been rumored or reported?  Anything outside the box?
No. Lester. Sandoval. And I'm not sure cherington mentioned them by name. Doesn't sound like anything is imminent but parameters being set on guys they like. And coming 40 man glut means trades are likely. Nothing we hadn't heard before.
 

TomBrunansky23

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I feel bad for Alex Avila, he reminds me of Kevin Kolb, former Eagles/Bills QB who took that one last concussion and is now an absolute mess health wise.  Avila needs to get out before that happens to him.  Sox need to pass on that one.
 

Van Everyman

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Well except for the fact that if you have a long post, it will cut off the bottom so you can't see what you're writing. Other than that, I agree – tho that does annoy the hell out of me.
 

67WasBest

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CaskNFappin said:
Been seeing Ross as that solid #2 starter.  Ground ball machine, and the issue for the Pads is numbers, in that they need a volume of prospects, as much as they need premier prospects.
 
Edes:
 
 
Despite GM Ben Cherington’s comments that he views Yoenis Cespedes as a key component of Boston’s 2015 lineup, executives with other clubs said that the Red Sox have made it clear to teams they would be willing to move him. One executive said he would be “shocked” if the Sox don’t trade Cespedes by Christmas.

“He’ll hit home runs in Boston,” one evaluator said, “but he played below-average defense in left field at Fenway and would be worse in right field. He has poor plate discipline and doesn’t seem as motivated as when he first arrived. And with next year his walk year, it will all be about Yoenis Cespedes, not the Red Sox.”

Cespedes swung at 38.7 percent of the pitches he saw out of the strike zone in 2014, the highest percentage of his career, according to Fangraphs.com.
http://espn.go.com/blog/boston/red-sox/post/_/id/41113/other-teams-say-sox-would-deal-cespedes
 

Tyrone Biggums

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Papelbon's Poutine said:
If next year is "all about Yoenis Cespedes", then it seems like he would be somewhat motivated next season, no?
Apparently him and Chili Davis have a great relationship. Wouldn't be stunned if Cespedes stayed. It feels like the Boston media just wants him gone because he was traded for Jon Lester.
 

Drek717

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Papelbon's Poutine said:
If next year is "all about Yoenis Cespedes", then it seems like he would be somewhat motivated next season, no?
One would think, and a highly motivated Yoenis Cespedes when looking to prove himself in the majors posted an .861 OPS, since then he's hovered in the mid-.700's.  I'd love to see what a self-motivated Cespedes could do in Fenway.
 
Also, this statement from Edes source:
but he played below-average defense in left field at Fenway and would be worse in right field.
 
Doesn't hold water.  LF in Fenway plays against Cespedes' strengths as a fielder.  RF is just the opposite.  He's got wheels, he's got a rocket arm, he just isn't that good at reading and reacting.  He needs a spacious corner OF job to roam in.  That's someone looking to downplay his value if I've ever seen it.
 

Tyrone Biggums

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Well to expand on Cespedes and my thoughts on him is that Right Field if he was willing to play there would be ideal. I'm just waiting for the story to come out about how Cespedes is a fan of cancer because he missed a Jimmy Fund charity event. Lester is coming back. Every year it seems like the unnamed sources or just sportswriters in general around Boston decline further and further to a Pete Abe/CHB level of hack.

Out of Cespedes Upton or Heyward you could make a case for any of the three. If the Sox do end up trading Cespedes then I would almost assure you that Heyward or Upton will be spending 2015 in Boston. They aren't going into the season for the 2nd straight year relying on homegrown prospects.
 

Snoop Soxy Dogg

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Tyrone Biggums said:
Apparently him and Chili Davis have a great relationship. Wouldn't be stunned if Cespedes stayed. It feels like the Boston media just wants him gone because he was traded for Jon Lester.
 
Yeah, that's what it feels like to me as well. I'm sure the Sox are listening, if somebody blows them a way. Outside of that, I don't get that they're anxious to get rid of him, whatever the scribes say. A Cespedes on a contract drive would be interesting to see.
 

KillerBs

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So which of 6 OFers are off the 25 man and how. The Cespedes trade talk is being driven by need to lose an OF i think.
 

Drek717

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KillerBs said:
So which of 6 OFers are off the 25 man and how. The Cespedes trade talk is being driven by need to lose an OF i think.
Well, first you'd have to assume that all 6 go into the season healthy.  A big question in and of itself given the health concerns of Craig and Victorino.
 
Then if push comes to shove Craig could be sent to AAA to start the year, or Betts, depending on how the club feels.
 
Also, there is always potential to deal Nava who is cheap and a strong OBP guy, so likely to bring back at least a worthwhile low minors lottery ticket type (not a Devers/Margot level but a Rijo/Basabe/Kopech type).
 
I think they'll keep Cespedes unless someone offers good value for him, he's a valuable player and lets say they sign Sandoval, a lineup of this:
Betts
Pedroia
Ortiz
Napoli
Sandoval
Cespedes
Bogaerts
Vazquez
Castillo
 
Looks pretty good.
 

ivanvamp

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Drek717 said:
They'll keep Cespedes unless someone offers good value for him, he's a valuable player and lets say they sign Sandoval, a lineup of this:
Betts
Pedroia
Ortiz
Napoli
Sandoval
Cespedes
Bogaerts
Vazquez
Castillo
 
Looks pretty good.
 
That would be a very nice lineup.  Speed (Betts/Castillo/Pedroia).  Power (Ortiz/Napoli/Sandoval/Cespedes).  Pretty solid up the middle defensively (Castillo/Pedroia/Vazquez).  IF defense should be nice.
 
Then go after Lester and make a deal for a Cueto and suddenly that team is absolutely a top contender for the AL pennant.
 

nvalvo

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Drek717 said:
 
Looks pretty good.
 
Betts RHH
Pedroia RHH
Ortiz LHH
Napoli RHH
Sandoval SH, better LH
Cespedes RHH
Bogaerts RHH
Vazquez RHH
 
Castillo RHH
 
Six righties in a row is hard to stomach, even if not all of them have big splits. 
 

ehaz

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nvalvo said:
 
Betts RHH
Pedroia RHH

Ortiz LHH

Napoli RHH

Sandoval SH, better LH

Cespedes RHH

Bogaerts RHH

Vazquez RHH

 
Castillo RHH

 

Six righties in a row is hard to stomach, even if not all of them have big splits. 
With Nava on the bench and a guy like Avila (reported interest) splitting time with Vazquez, it could work.
 

BornToRun

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ivanvamp said:
 
That would be a very nice lineup.  Speed (Betts/Castillo/Pedroia).  Power (Ortiz/Napoli/Sandoval/Cespedes).  Pretty solid up the middle defensively (Castillo/Pedroia/Vazquez).  IF defense should be nice.
 
Then go after Lester and make a deal for a Cueto and suddenly that team is absolutely a top contender for the AL pennant.
Yup. Reminds me of the depth and versatility that the 2013 Red Sox were built around. A deep lineup filled with multi-talented players and few one trick ponies.
 

Harry Hooper

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Drek717 said:
One would think, and a highly motivated Yoenis Cespedes when looking to prove himself in the majors posted an .861 OPS, since then he's hovered in the mid-.700's.  I'd love to see what a self-motivated Cespedes could do in Fenway.
 
Also, this statement from Edes source:
Doesn't hold water.  LF in Fenway plays against Cespedes' strengths as a fielder.  RF is just the opposite.  He's got wheels, he's got a rocket arm, he just isn't that good at reading and reacting.  He needs a spacious corner OF job to roam in.  That's someone looking to downplay his value if I've ever seen it.
 
Cespedes in Fenway's RF would be turning should-be outs into doubles and triples. 
 

grimshaw

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My money is on them moving Cespedes and trading for an entering-his-prime Heyward.  They can platoon Craig (maybe he'll bounce back) and Nava in LF on the cheap.  Rusney has CF which Shane and/or Heyward can back up, and Shane could also give him breathers against lefties.
 
They really need to improve the base running from last year and Heyward is great there as well. 
 

MakMan44

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They is no chance they trade for Heyward when they should be able to just sign him next offseason.
 

grimshaw

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BornToRun said:
Because we really weren't giving up anything for Cespedes.
And we don't really know what the Braves are looking for either.  If he's a year out from free agency it shouldn't be anything the Red Sox can't bear to part with.  They can put a QO on him at the very worst in 2015.  He's in his age 26 season and a 5 win player.  Worth rolling the dice on.
 

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nvalvo said:
 
Betts RHH
Pedroia RHH
Ortiz LHH
Napoli RHH
Sandoval SH, better LH
Cespedes RHH
Bogaerts RHH
Vazquez RHH
 
Castillo RHH
 
Six righties in a row is hard to stomach, even if not all of them have big splits. 
They'll likely have at least two positions (corner OF and 1B) as well as a partial position (Vaz and Swihart at C) where they can get more left handed next off-season.  I'd rather take quality players over LRLR lineup construction when given either/or choices, and that is what this off-season really amounts to.

 
 
Harry Hooper said:
 
Cespedes in Fenway's RF would be turning should-be outs into doubles and triples. 
I'd want to see that before believing it.  In a lot of ways Fenway's RF pairs well with his skill set.  He's fast and he's got a strong arm, he takes mediocre reads to be sure, but once he gets after it he runs down a lot of balls.
 

MakMan44

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Snodgrass'Muff said:
Except, if he's traded, the chances of him being extended probably go up.
It makes NO sense for the Braves to trade him now when they're still trying to compete. I could maybe see it at midseason, if they're out of it, but by then, Heyward's not taking an extension.
 
The chances of him hitting FA are pretty high, IMO. If he wanted an extension, he likely would have gotten one when the Braves went all extension happy a couple seasons ago.
 
BornToRun said:
Because we really weren't giving up anything for Cespedes.
Exactly. It'll take a whole lot more than a half year of Lester in a lost season to get Heyward. 
 

Hendu for Kutch

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BornToRun said:
Because we really weren't giving up anything for Cespedes.
 
I feel like this is a good spot for the "Not sure if serious" Joker meme to go, but I'll press on in the assumption that this is serious.
 
Of course we gave up something for Cespedes.  You can say losing Lester doesn't hurt at all for the next season since he was a free agent, but losing out on the prospect haul he would have brought sure does.  There was an opportunity cost to acquiring Cespedes.
 

MakMan44

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Hendu for Kutch said:
 
I feel like this is a good spot for the "Not sure if serious" Joker meme to go, but I'll press on in the assumption that this is serious.
 
Of course we gave up something for Cespedes.  You can say losing Lester doesn't hurt at all for the next season since he was a free agent, but losing out on the prospect haul he would have brought sure does.  There was an opportunity cost to acquiring Cespedes.
Ben chose Cespedes because he wanted to retool the offense. If he wanted prospects, he could have had prospects. 
 
In Heyward's case, you're going to be moving at least one good prospect, probably top 10, maybe top 5. I don't see the gap between Cespedes and Heyward as being so large that it's worth shuffling all the chairs and giving up the package the Braves would want because they're planning on competing next season. I'm not saying it's not worth exploring, I'm just saying that, realistically, it makes more sense to play out the season with what you have (because it's pretty good) and going after Heyward HARD in FA.   
 
EDIT: I just think this idea would make more sense if we didn't have gaping holes elsewhere or had such a log jam in the OF. That's all. I really like Heyward, and want him on the team in 2016. 
 

moondog80

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MakMan44 said:
Ben chose Cespedes because he wanted to retool the offense. If he wanted prospects, he could have had prospects. 
 
In Heyward's case, you're going to be moving at least one good prospect, probably top 10, maybe top 5. I don't see the gap between Cespedes and Heyward as being so large that it's worth shuffling all the chairs and giving up the package the Braves would want because they're planning on competing next season. I'm not saying it's not worth exploring, I'm just saying that, realistically, it makes more sense to play out the season with what you have (because it's pretty good) and going after Heyward HARD in FA.   
 
The risk is that someone else trades for Heyward and signs him.  If they've identified Heyward as a primary target, start kicking the tires now.
 

MakMan44

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moondog80 said:
 
The risk is that someone else trades for Heyward and signs him.  If they've identified Heyward as a primary target, start kicking the tires now.
Check my post above. There's a chance that happens but, IMO, it's pretty remote. 
 

jimbobim

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Newly hired John Hart has been on MLB Network frequently the last couple of days and message sure seems to be they're open to dealing Heyward or J Upton if the right kind of opportunity comes along. They desperately want to unload B.J but I doubt someone swallows that pill. 
 
I would rather have Heyward over Cespedes long term and they are both FA's after next year. Perhaps a three team trade could work for the Braves Red Sox and Reds 
 
Red Sox 
Heyward 
 
Reds
Cespedes 
one of our young left handers or de la rosa  ? 
 
Braves 
Simon  
Leake 
 
 
Braves get pitching which they sorely need. Reds get Cespedes in a park and division where he could dominate in a year they are going for it with Cueto and host the AS game. On top of that they get a controllable pitcher to mitigate the loss of two starters they trade. Just a framework but I would be creative to get Heyward's glove work in right. I also think his bat is going to improve. 
 
Edit 
more summarily a collection of flawed but talented players where the new teams get to decide how they want to approach looking long term
 

gammoseditor

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jimbobim said:
Newly hired John Hart has been on MLB Network frequently the last couple of days and message sure seems to be they're open to dealing Heyward or J Upton if the right kind of opportunity comes along. They desperately want to unload B.J but I doubt someone swallows that pill. 
 
I would rather have Heyward over Cespedes long term and they are both FA's after next year. Perhaps a three team trade could work for the Braves Red Sox and Reds 
 
Red Sox 
Heyward 
 
Reds
Cespedes 
one of our young left handers or de la rosa  ? 
 
Braves 
Simon  
Leake 
 
 
Braves get pitching which they sorely need. Reds get Cespedes in a park and division where he could dominate in a year they are going for it with Cueto and host the AS game. On top of that they get a controllable pitcher to mitigate the loss of two starters they trade. Just a framework but I would be creative to get Heyward's glove work in right. I also think his bat is going to improve. 
 
Edit 
more summarily a collection of flawed but talented players where the new teams get to decide how they want to approach looking long term
 
Leake is a FA at the end of the year. That would be a pretty awful return for Heyward. I love Heyward but I think the price is going to be a lot higher than most here. I'd start with the Adrian Gonzalez comp for the package, then increase it because Heyward is younger and plays a premium position. I think you're looking at something like Eduardo Rodriguez, Manny Margot, and Garin Cecchini. And that's optimistic to think you could keep Mookie/Xander/Swihart. They love their young catcher so Swihart probably wouldn't be a target, but we could easily be outbid too. Lots of teams would love to pick up Heyward.
 

MakMan44

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My problem with the above if the Sox sort of shoot themselves in the foot there. Again, I'm willing to admit there's a chance Heyward is traded for and extended before FA next season, I just think it's slim. That out of the way, it just doesn't make sense to me to use Cespedes in a trade that doesn't have a pitcher coming back to them. He's probably the most likely player on the Sox to be traded, certainly in the OF at the very least. They're not moving Betts or Rusney, Craig and Vic have no trade value, and Nava won't bring back a better pitcher than what they already have. They have big, gaping holes in the rotation and they're not competing if they're not filled. Upgrading from Cespedes to Heyward makes sense next offseason, for sure, but not now when it will likely come at the expense of the more important hole.  
 

Merkle's Boner

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I'm just not sure corner OF is a top priority this offseason. They have an abundance of OF. It seems to me the focus should be on SP.

I'm inclined to think Heyward is a next year item.
 
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