Makes me wonder how serious they’ll be about a long-term Soto deal.Padres having more than $90 million committed to three players in 2033, kind of remarkable.
Soto might want to push for it now before the RSN mess sinks in and ownership realizes their revenue streams aren't as stable as they thought. Wonder if that was a factor for Machado?Makes me wonder how serious they’ll be about a long-term Soto deal.
Manny is actually a few months older than Bogaerts.Machado at age 40 in the and X at age 41 on the same team. Lots of defensive range there in the NL.
Passan:
Manny Machado's path is wild. His market during free agency was grim until the Padres stepped in. He made $150M from that deal and will get another $350M. A genuine half-billion-dollar player. And the $350 million is a Trout- and Betts-sized number -- fourth-biggest deal ever.
And, what are they looking at with Tatis? Will they try moving him now?Makes me wonder how serious they’ll be about a long-term Soto deal.
If they win it all sometime along the way it will all be worth it/avoid a fate like the Chargers suffered. If they don't, at least they tried.Machado at age 40 in the and X at age 41 on the same team. Lots of defensive range there in the NL.
Passan:
Manny Machado's path is wild. His market during free agency was grim until the Padres stepped in. He made $150M from that deal and will get another $350M. A genuine half-billion-dollar player. And the $350 million is a Trout- and Betts-sized number -- fourth-biggest deal ever.
I mean, I feel like you could argue this either way. The finite resources "there's got to be a limit somewhere" camp would suggest it would make it less likely, since they've committed so much money already. But since they're continuing to show us they don't fear huge long term contracts in any way, maybe it makes it more likely.Makes me wonder how serious they’ll be about a long-term Soto deal.
They'll just have to give bat boys a sharp stick to poke him in the ass so he will be ready.Is that contract adjusted for pitch clock violations?
I think he fully planned to, but getting 170M for his age 36-40 seasons beyond the current Padres contract, that's insanely player-friendly.Interesting... his recent comments suggested he really wanted to hit the open market again, but I thought the timing of his announcement right before spring training that he'd opt out suggested that he was trying to get a new deal before the season started.
I was wondering about this. Thought it wasn't too long ago that Machado signed for a10-yr deal w/ SDNo opt-outs, plus full no-trade protection, per Dennis Lin.
Bob Nightengale
@BNightengale
4m
So the remaining six years and $180 million left on Manny Machado's contract turns into an extra five years and $170 million.
If anyone put money on Soto eventually signing with NYY before this, their investment is looking really good right now.Boras is going to use the upcoming Ohtani deal as a starting point for Soto. I’m not ruling out the Padres completely, but the Bogaerts deal and Machado extension make it seem less likely now.
Highly doubtful IMO. Two years is a long time, but NY has a bunch of stud OF prospects and Judge and Stanton long-term.If anyone put money on Soto eventually signing with NYY before this, their investment is looking really good right now.
Mariners are my sleeper pick.If anyone put money on Soto eventually signing with NYY before this, their investment is looking really good right now.
Because the amount that Boras is going to demand for a Soto extension may make even the Padres blanch.Since the Padres apparently don't care how much and for how long they pay anybody, why does anybody not think that Soto will be the next one to get a 10 year extension?
Every off-season since Cole I think I could substitute this post in for your prediction (with “stud pitching” or whateverHighly doubtful IMO. Two years is a long time, but NY has a bunch of stud OF prospects and Judge and Stanton long-term.
And I’ve been right, they haven’t gone after any of those guys, mostly shortstops, and Peraza and Volpe should both be in the lineup by the end of this season.Every off-season since Cole I think I could substitute this post in for your prediction (with “stud pitching” or whatever
Well you said this about Cole… the Yankees had stacked pitching depth, etc….And I’ve been right, they haven’t gone after any of those guys, mostly shortstops, and Peraza and Volpe should both be in the lineup by the end of this season.
No, I absolutely didn't, I said they would be going after Cole as hard as they possibly could, and that's what happened. They don't really hide their intentions (or non-intentions) with top guys.Well you said this about Cole… the Yankees had stacked pitching depth, etc….
Really, there's virtually zero chance. I quit betting on sports cold turkey decades ago or I would bet you a lot of money on this, but we'll see.I’m 100% positive if San Diego doesn’t trade him (and that team works out a deal) or if San Diego doesn’t just extend him and Soto hits FA that he’ll be in Bronx.
Im sorry if I’m incorrect but I also don’t really know how to search for it… And I usually am incorrect about these things but I have memories of saying the Yankees would 100% not go after Cole.No, I absolutely didn't, I said they would be going after Cole as hard as they possibly could, and that's what happened. They don't really hide their intentions (or non-intentions) with top guys.
Really, there's virtually zero chance. I quit betting on sports cold turkey decades ago or I would bet you a lot of money on this, but we'll see.
I just linked to me saying the opposite of that.Im sorry if I’m incorrect but I also don’t really know how to search for it… And I usually am incorrect about these things but I have memories of saying the Yankees would 100% not go after Cole.
They must think Soto is hitting the market regardless.Jesus H.
Yeah - Soto is going to be a problem to retain.
Man these deals feel like such bad ideas.
Then a few posts later...I just linked to me saying the opposite of that.
Yeah I think I'm confusing what I wanted NY to do (sign Cole) with what I thought Cashman would realistically do, but anyway there really is no chance they're going to pay $500M plus for Soto. They have Judge signed forever and they love Dominguez and Spencer Jones, I'm not even sure if they're going to pay up for Bader who is a perfect fit and loves being a Yankee, and that will cost 10-15 percent of what Soto will. Anyway this is all off topic, happy to go into it more in a Yankee thread if people want.Then a few posts later...
"No one from NY is talking about Cole, that is just media and fan wishful thinking. "
Padres looked at the Braves and decided to do the exact opposite. I like it as a baseball fan. Not sure I would love it as a Padres fan.
Or they figure they can get something similar from a team that's not the Nationals. When you're a guy of Soto's calibre and you have confidence in your ability to command some number of hundreds of millions, I imagine the allure of playing 10+ years for a contender/well run organization becomes a lot more appealing.Yeah, Soto/Boras turned down 15/440 last summer, that seemed crazy to me then and still seems pretty crazy.
A lot of Red Sox fans still seem to be stuck in the 2000s when the Yankees were in "SIGN EVERYONE" mode. Without thinking too hard about it at all, I'd bet the Mets and Dodgers are likely to be the big players for Soto (and Ohtani, Burnes, etc.)Yeah I think I'm confusing what I wanted NY to do (sign Cole) with what I thought Cashman would realistically do, but anyway there really is no chance they're going to pay $500M plus for Soto. They have Judge signed forever and they love Dominguez and Spencer Jones, I'm not even sure if they're going to pay up for Bader who is a perfect fit and loves being a Yankee, and that will cost 10-15 percent of what Soto will. Anyway this is all off topic, happy to go into it more in a Yankee thread if people want.
Soto is exactly the type of hitter the Sox should go nuts for. His defense sucks but his bat should be elite to very good for at least another decade. He makes a ton of sense for this team, especially if Mayer, Bleis, etc. pan out.I think JA is right about Soto. The Judge deal really seems to take that option off the table for them.
Soto is an elite hitter anywhere, but it's interesting that he's really not the kind of LHB who'd appear to benefit from Yankee Stadium. His power is mostly to left and straightaway — at least the kind of hitter he is now.
If you're hoping for Boston to sign Soto in two years, I think the Machado deal has to be seen as a slightly favorable development. But who knows. Plenty of time to jaw about it later, but this Sox lineup would be pretty fun in 2025-26.
Yoshida - DH
Soto - LF
Story - 2B
Devers - 3B
Casas - 1B
Bleis - RF
Mayer - SS
Rafaela - CF
Wong/McGuire/Alfaro - C
Exactly.Soto is exactly the type of hitter the Sox should go nuts for. His defense sucks but his bat should be elite to very good for at least another decade. He makes a ton of sense for this team, especially if Mayer, Bleis, etc. pan out.
I'm a Padres fan and I love it. Machado is damn good ballplayer and I'm psyched to have him locked in for the next decade. Machado/Bogey/Tatís is about as good a foundation as you could ask for. All the better if they can find a way to retain Soto.Padres looked at the Braves and decided to do the exact opposite. I like it as a baseball fan. Not sure I would love it as a Padres fan.
I just haven’t really seen the MFY’s actually really show commitment to positional players. They tend to get hyped then traded (either after a year or two or prior to a ML promotion). And we’re talking about Soto here- he’ll be young. Jon Abbey’s “Stanton and Judge” defense isn’t convincing- Stanton hasn’t been what they had hoped, Judge will be 33 and likely battling injuries and performance decline. It’s not wild at all to see a fit. Sure, about 6 other teams would be in hard on him but if NY wants him, they’ll beat the others.A lot of Red Sox fans still seem to be stuck in the 2000s when the Yankees were in "SIGN EVERYONE" mode. Without thinking too hard about it at all, I'd bet the Mets and Dodgers are likely to be the big players for Soto (and Ohtani, Burnes, etc.)
Yeah, Padres fans should be fired up. This is a team that has never won anything who now has the most exciting lineup in MLB along with a strong rotation. Soto is probably going elsewhere in 2 years but the excitement of 2023-2024 could provide something this franchise has never seen. I love when teams who aren’t traditional powers go for the jugular. It doesn’t always work out but who really cares about 6-8 years from now if you’re a Padres fan? I can’t wait to watch that lineup when Tatis returns. The Dodgers are weaker with Turner gone. The Giants are seemingly a perpetual meh now. And the Diamondbacks are another team with exciting pieces but are further back in their development cycle. The time is now for SD.I'm a Padres fan and I love it. Machado is damn good ballplayer and I'm psyched to have him locked in for the next decade. Machado/Bogey/Tatís is about as good a foundation as you could ask for. All the better if they can find a way to retain Soto.
It’s a payroll and fit thing, I’ll write about it in more detail later.I just haven’t really seen the MFY’s actually really show commitment to positional players. They tend to get hyped then traded (either after a year or two or prior to a ML promotion). And we’re talking about Soto here- he’ll be young. Jon Abbey’s “Stanton and Judge” defense isn’t convincing- Stanton hasn’t been what they had hoped, Judge will be 33 and likely battling injuries and performance decline. It’s not wild at all to see a fit. Sure, about 6 other teams would be in hard on him but if NY wants him, they’ll beat the others.
Ohtani I don’t see NY going after as hard.