Ortiz 500 career homers this year?

Van Everyman

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I was about to put my girls to bed, but turned this on when I saw he was coming up. We all watched -- he absolutely crushed that ball. Great, great moment.
 

OCD SS

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Andrew said:
 
Why on Earth do you want him to retire now? Multiple people say this and I do not understand it. He's having an excellent year. He could have a good year in 2016 too. There is some bizarre rush to see him stop playing that I don't really get. 
Seriously. Take a look at the all-time HR list and look at how high he might climb with another good year (or two). It's conceivable he passes Murray and maybe even Sheffield this year the way he's going.
 

Soxfan in Fla

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Dammit. Happy for Papi but was going tomorrow and hoping to see it tomorrow. Oh well, thrilled that he got it.
 

brs3

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79 from the Ted's Red Sox all time record. Maybe 75 by season's end. He'd need to duplicate the last 2 seasons, plus hit a few extra. However unlikely, that would be amazing. 
 

chief1

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Hats off to a legend. Not bad for a free agent signing. HOF player without a doubt. 500 homers, 3 time world series champ including WS MVP. 
 

Rasputin

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brs3 said:
79 from the Ted's Red Sox all time record. Maybe 75 by season's end. He'd need to duplicate the last 2 seasons, plus hit a few extra. However unlikely, that would be amazing. 
 
It's going to be really hard, but he has a legitimate chance to do it.
 
A few more this year, and two more good years. It's fucked to be talking about two more good years from a guy who is already 39, and he could certainly fall off a cliff at any moment, but damn, if he doesn't fall off a cliff, he could do this.
 

djhb20

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It'll be hard because they'll have to platoon him against left-handers.

;)
 

MyDaughterLovesTomGordon

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Eck'sSneakyCheese said:
I'll go ahead and say it. The Greatest Red Sox player of our generation. Better hitter than Ramirez IMO. I hope he takes his 16 million and retires. Its been a pleasure watching him play.
Pedro is not a "player" or are you saying he's greater than Pedro?
 

soxhop411

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“@gehrig38: A good man with a huge heart, and some wicked skills. God Bless and Congratulations on #500 big man! Love ya! #BigPapi”
 

Mugsy's Jock

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Reposting here... Pedro's awesome congratulatory tweet:
 
https://twitter.com/45PedroMartinez/status/642849250284433408?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
 
Now I gotta go learn Spanish...
 
EDIT:  You wanna hit "Play" in that oversized black box.  Trust me.
 

Devizier

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Fun to revisit this link: Ortiz ZiPS career projections from 2008.
 
First comment from that post:
 
 
 
Both ZiPS and PECOTA seems to love Ortiz, but I'm sticking to my guns and this as good a place as any to say it: I don't think he comes within a country mile of 556 HRs. That means he has to hit 330 homers between now and when he retires. Only 5 players have even hit 300 past age 32. Three of them were on the juice (Bonds, Raffy, McGwire) and the other two are named Ruth and Aaron.

The RBIs are not entirely within Ortiz's control, of course, but only two players have ever had more than 1,000 RBI in the 32 and beyond career: Ruth and Bonds. Hell, there's only 15 players to reach 800 or more. And that list has both PED guys (Bonds, Raffy, etc.) and a Coors wonder (Big Cat).

The doubles are more possible although there are still only 11 guys to have managed that number in their 32 and beyond career.
 

soxhop411

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“@JMastrodonato: Ortiz got the ball back easily, he said. Was a guy wearing an Orioles shirt but wanted Ortiz to have the ball. Got a nice package in return.”
 

smastroyin

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Devizier said:
Fun to revisit this link: Ortiz ZiPS career projections from 2008.
 
First comment from that post:
 
 
The best is clearly the guy taking a victory lap in April of 09 for being the first to say Ortiz was going into steep decline after 2007.
 
Granted, a lot of people were doing so, and more after his terrible (for him) 2009 season.
 

TFisNEXT

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smastroyin said:
 
The best is clearly the guy taking a victory lap in April of 09 for being the first to say Ortiz was going into steep decline after 2007.
 
Granted, a lot of people were doing so, and more after his terrible (for him) 2009 season.
 
 
It's already been said multiple times in other threads too, but his resurgence after 2009 has been remarkable. I suppose the 2010 bounce back by itself isn't that surprising as several sluggers will show some decline and then perhaps have a bounce back season or two, but Papi's comeback has lasted 6 seasons now.
 

Tyrone Biggums

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God that crowd is horrible. Such a shame that it wasn't hit in Fenway.
 

gtmtnbiker

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I enjoyed the clip they showed of his first ever homer as a Twin back in 1997. Wow, he was slimmer back then. I'll have to find some Minnesota news online to see what they say about the event and their worst deal ever. Congrats Big Papi. Glad that I was able to watch most of his games as a Sox
 

Red(s)HawksFan

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TFisNEXT said:
 
 
It's already been said multiple times in other threads too, but his resurgence after 2009 has been remarkable. I suppose the 2010 bounce back by itself isn't that surprising as several sluggers will show some decline and then perhaps have a bounce back season or two, but Papi's comeback has lasted 6 seasons now.
 
What always seems to get overlooked when it comes to his supposed decline in 2008-2009 was the wrist injury he suffered in June 2008.  It really sapped him power-wise in the second half and the struggle carried over into and arguably through 2009 as well.  Even if it wasn't simply the strength in the wrist that was the issue, he clearly was making adjustments to compensate for it, to his detriment (really evidenced in his struggles against LHP then).  By 2010, the wrist was more or less back to "normal" and he was Big Papi once again.  His entire run with the Sox has been remarkable.
 

genoasalami

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Tyrone Biggums said:
God that crowd is horrible. Such a shame that it wasn't hit in Fenway.
 
Actually ..for the Trop ....it wasn't bad ..Iv'e seen nights when there are no more than 4k in the joint.
 

JMDurron

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genoasalami said:
 
Actually ..for the Trop ....it wasn't bad ..Iv'e seen nights when there are no more than 4k in the joint.
 
One of my cousins was at the game.  It was both "Star Wars Night" and "Giveaway Night,"  so I'm sure that helped get the place as full as it was.  No idea what was actually being given away, perhaps Matt Moore was in on it.  
 

crystalline

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So awesome. What a great hitter. When he fully unloads on a ball it looks like its going to the next area code.
 

Mike F

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Congratulations to David.
Which will occur first?
ESPN will publish an essay claiming at least two
Patriot coaches were stealing the catchers signs

Several talking/writing heads will ponder did Moore groove the pitches.
 

Return of the Dewey

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gtmtnbiker said:
I enjoyed the clip they showed of his first ever homer as a Twin back in 1997. Wow, he was slimmer back then. I'll have to find some Minnesota news online to see what they say about the event and their worst deal ever. Congrats Big Papi. Glad that I was able to watch most of his games as a Sox
IIRC, a big knock on him back then was his lack of power from 1B position.
 

mt8thsw9th

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Return of the Dewey said:
IIRC, a big knock on him back then was his lack of power from 1B position.
This was never, ever the case. His issue was staying healthy. Their lack of power from 1B was in the form of Mientkiewicz.

Ortiz had a .532 SLG in the minors, and had ISOs above .200 in his final two years with the Twins. The "knock" on him was that he was a LHH and the Twins opted to go with the RHH Matt Lecroy as the primary DH, as they also had LHH Morneau waiting in the wings.

It was just a bad baseball decision and a lesson on why you don't clear out perceived logjams until they actually become a problem; the Red Sox, thankfully, did not see the same issue with Mueller/Shea/Millar/Giambi/Ortiz.
 

Devizier

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mt8thsw9th said:
This was never, ever the case. His issue was staying healthy. Their lack of power from 1B was in the form of Mientkiewicz.

Ortiz had a .532 SLG in the minors, and had ISOs above .200 in his final two years with the Twins. The "knock" on him was that he was a LHH and the Twins opted to go with the RHH Matt Lecroy as the primary DH, as they also had LHH Morneau waiting in the wings.

It was just a bad baseball decision and a lesson on why you don't clear out perceived logjams until they actually become a problem; the Red Sox, thankfully, did not see the same issue with Mueller/Shea/Millar/Giambi/Ortiz.
 
You could say the same about Victorino/Hanley/Betts/Castillo/Bradley, for that matter.
 

TFisNEXT

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Red(s)HawksFan said:
 
What always seems to get overlooked when it comes to his supposed decline in 2008-2009 was the wrist injury he suffered in June 2008.  It really sapped him power-wise in the second half and the struggle carried over into and arguably through 2009 as well.  Even if it wasn't simply the strength in the wrist that was the issue, he clearly was making adjustments to compensate for it, to his detriment (really evidenced in his struggles against LHP then).  By 2010, the wrist was more or less back to "normal" and he was Big Papi once again.  His entire run with the Sox has been remarkable.
 
I do recall some talk about the wrist injury even in 2009...especially when he wasn't "Big Papi" when he returned in 2008. But to be fair, often the decline of a player can be triggered by an injury and then an inability to stay healthy or just keep declining to a point where they never return to their pre-injury form. But, you are right that it often gets overlooked in the whole context of his career, perceived fork in his back, and then subsequent resurgence.
 
One of Papi's most desirable traits has been his ability to stay healthy late in his career. Really only the achilles injury in 2012 in the past 6 seasons. Obviously being a DH helps, but even taking that into account, it's impressive.
 

Eck'sSneakyCheese

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Andrew said:
 
Why on Earth do you want him to retire now? Multiple people say this and I do not understand it. He's having an excellent year. He could have a good year in 2016 too. There is some bizarre rush to see him stop playing that I don't really get. 
 
It's really more about having the DH position freed up. Honestly I don't want to see him fall off that cliff and I wan't him to go out guns blazing so to speak, but I love David Ortiz unconditionally and it will be a travesty to not have him on this team at some point.
 
As far as Papi as the best "player" I wasn't considering Pedro in that statement. Pedro is in his own league. I was thinking everyday guys not Pitchers.
 

EllisTheRimMan

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Semi-meaningless and arbitrary stat, unless you consider the 86 years of WS drought...
 
There are 4 players with 500 or more HRs and 3 or more WS victories:  Ruth, Mantle, Jackson and Ortiz. 
 
Given what Ortiz meant to every Red Sox WS championship after 1918, during the seasons and in the playoffs (especially the LCS and WS), to me as a Sox fan, he definitely belongs among that group.  In terms of doing it every year after only getting a chance at 27 yo (counting stats) and then literally willing the team to victory in the post season too many times to remember (very important to me in general and especially as a Sox fan), he may not be one of the best ball players in many categories (e.g. defense etc.), but in my opinion he is up there with the all time greats and solidly in my top ten of all time.
 
Glad I stayed home last night to see it.
 

The_Powa_of_Seiji_Ozawa

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Montana Fan said:
Many here have probably seen it but the article and embedded video I linked below are from a time when David Ortiz had 0 ML HR's and some other young established stars were already in awe of his power.
 
http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/eye-on-baseball/23177781/video-minorleague-david-ortiz-impresses-arod-junior-in-1996
I remember a broadcast when Ortiz was just coming up with the Twins and I think it was Remy who said he had talked with Twins people and said they expected Ortiz to be their cleanup hitter of the future.