FanGraphs Positional Power Rankings by Team - The Pen

absintheofmalaise

too many flowers
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Mar 16, 2005
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FanGraphs has come out with their positional power rankings by team. I thought this could be something we can track for the Sox throughout the season. I recommend reading the Intro section. The pen.

They are ranked 5th
in the 16 - 30 section
.

79931
 

TomRicardo

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You got to figure this is the hardest to range and predict.

That said outside of Isaiah Campbell, Justin Slaten, and possibly Winckowski as an inning eating stopper, it is hard to see a break out candidate. Chris Murphy is really good and Jansen was good and is in decline. The rest of the bullpen as far as I can tell are just fungible arms. I guess if Jensen's decline slows and Bernardino can improve his control a bit on the sinker, you could have a top ten bullpen if Slaten, Campbell, and Winckowski all hit.
 

Hendu Candu

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You got to figure this is the hardest to range and predict.

That said outside of Isaiah Campbell, Justin Slaten, and possibly Winckowski as an inning eating stopper, it is hard to see a break out candidate. Chris Murphy is really good and Jansen was good and is in decline. The rest of the bullpen as far as I can tell are just fungible arms. I guess if Jensen's decline slows and Bernardino can improve his control a bit on the sinker, you could have a top ten bullpen if Slaten, Campbell, and Winckowski all hit.
Going to assume you mean Chris Martin is really good ...
 

donutogre

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This is in no way meant to detract from all these posts and the potentially interesting info / discussion that'll come from them... but just confirming that there's no rotation post? Or did I just miss it?
 

KillerBs

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Nov 16, 2006
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It seems like our pen got significantly worse when we gave a job to Chase Anderson taking Weissert's spot.

If Winck is a long man, that leaves Campbell and Slaten to get to us to Martin and Jansen, or even to take the 8th and/or 9th when they are not available. That's a pretty ask for a couple unproven guys.

Fingers crossed that Joely can be the decent to good second lefty that we need, but even with the handedness, I kinda liked Criswell instead as an extra long man. This would free Winckowski for more 6th and 7th inning duty. Cant Criswell stayed "stretched out" with extended stints out of the pen once or twice a week? What would the Steamer have to say?
 

simplicio

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I think the answer is we're very likely to need both Anderson and Criswell to get through the season, and Criswell has options.
 

Petagine in a Bottle

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FIP projections of the pen, per fangraphs.

Slaten 4.66
Campbell 4.30
Anderson 5.06
Bernardino 4.27
Winckowski 4.16
Martin 3.72
Jansen 4.14
Joely 4.12
 

nvalvo

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Jul 16, 2005
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FIP projections of the pen, per fangraphs.

Slaten 4.66
Campbell 4.30
Anderson 5.06
Bernardino 4.27
Winckowski 4.16
Martin 3.72
Jansen 4.14
Joely 4.12
Many of those seem pessimistic. Those would be the worst full-season FIPs of Martin’s or Jansen’s careers, for example. I guess they are both quite old.

Anderson’s seems pretty optimistic, though.
 

CR67dream

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Anderson’s seems pretty optimistic, though.
Why? He was at a 5.72 last year, and that included a three-game stretch in June where he gave up 22 runs in 9.1 innings (3 starts). After that disaster he was much better, finished the year quite strong, and looked pretty good this spring. Reports are that he has also added a pretty decent sweeper. The Sox obviously had their eyes on him for the role he's now filling, as he was signed within hours of opting out.

I understand that it's been an entirely underwhelming off-season, but this is the kind of move I want my team to make for mop up/depth at the back of the roster. I am as a rule quite wary of these types of predictions/projections and how they're arrived at, but to me it's pretty easy to see why he's projected to have a better season this year.

Brought over from Anderson thread:

https://www.mlb.com/press-release/press-release-red-sox-agree-to-one-year-contract-with-right-handed-pitcher-chase-anderson#:~:text=BOSTON, MA—The Boston Red,the 60-Day Injured List

In 2023, Anderson recorded a 5.42 ERA (52 ER/86.1 IP) in 19 games (17 starts) with the Rays and Rockies. He allowed 22 earned runs in 9.1 innings (21.21 ERA) over a three-start span from June 18-29, but in his other 16 outings he posted a 3.51 ERA (30 ER/77.0 IP). In his final three starts of the 2023 season, Anderson recorded a 1.47 ERA (3 ER/18.1 IP) and held opponents to a .183 slugging percentage, surrendering only one extra-base hit. On September 15 against the San Francisco Giants, he threw 7.0 hitless innings but was removed from the game after throwing 101 pitches and issuing five walks. Anderson made 10 starts last season in which he threw at least 5.0 innings and allowed three runs or fewer, including three scoreless outings.