H78 said:Jenkins crushed it.
Meanwhile, in the print version it's buried inside the Sports section while Adam Kilgore's "Brady's a cheater!!!" columns have been plastered on Sports page 1.
H78 said:Jenkins crushed it.
Super Nomario said:Yes, and it's even more crazy than that, because the average would have been .2 or .4, but the variance was all over the place - a couple balls would have been deflated nearly 1 PSI, three or four not at all, and most in this small range. That doesn't seem consistent with tampering to me - at least any sort of competent tampering.
The difference between the logo gauge and the non-logo is pretty consistently .35-.45. Assuming the logo ball was used pre-game would explain some of the gap but not all of it. Look at ball 10 - it reads below 11 on both gauges even though it was one of the last balls measured (and thus would have had some time to come up above 48 degrees). Use of the logo gauge does not explain this ball (which doesn't mean that we need to infer tampering to explain the difference), and there are another 2-4 balls that cannot be explained even if we assume the logo gauge was used.
lambeau said:Rapoport:
Brady defense will be bases on 1) Sting
2) Officials' pregame ballhandling (Gaugegate?)
3) Lack of direct evidence implicating TB
Well you are also assuming that the balls were measured pregame to 12.5 based on Andersons best recollection when there is plenty of circumstantial evidence that the officials were less than consistent about measuring balls pregame.Super Nomario said:Yes, and it's even more crazy than that, because the average would have been .2 or .4, but the variance was all over the place - a couple balls would have been deflated nearly 1 PSI, three or four not at all, and most in this small range. That doesn't seem consistent with tampering to me - at least any sort of competent tampering.
The difference between the logo gauge and the non-logo is pretty consistently .35-.45. Assuming the logo ball was used pre-game would explain some of the gap but not all of it. Look at ball 10 - it reads below 11 on both gauges even though it was one of the last balls measured (and thus would have had some time to come up above 48 degrees). Use of the logo gauge does not explain this ball (which doesn't mean that we need to infer tampering to explain the difference), and there are another 2-4 balls that cannot be explained even if we assume the logo gauge was used.
Tyrone Biggums said:Just read this morning that Elway agrees with the findings against the Patriots. The integrity of the game quote almost had me spit out my coffee. Funny, isn't this the same quarterback who played on a team that cheated the salary cap not once but twice so they could keep the roster in tact?
tims4wins said:
But what it might suggest is, McNally took balls into bathroom, used needle to let air out of each ball, and wasn't perfectly precise since he didn't have a gauge, he just had a needle. That seems plausible to me. I think, if that happened, it was done with the intention of making sure the balls were around 12.5 to comply with TB's preference, not any scheme to get the balls down to 11 or whatever.
lambeau said:Rapoport:
Brady defense will be bases on 1) Sting
2) Officials' pregame ballhandling (Gaugegate?)
3) Lack of direct evidence implicating TB
( . ) ( . ) and (_!_) said:
This was discussed some yesterday, but McNally left himself zero margin of error if this was true. If he left the needle in too long and a ball got down to 9/10psi then it would be obvious that something happened. I will grant you that McNally is not likely to be joining Mensa anytime soon, but this seems like an awful lot of risk to take even for an idiot.
loshjott said:
Meanwhile, in the print version it's buried inside the Sports section while Adam Kilgore's "Brady's a cheater!!!" columns have been plastered on Sports page 1.
ivanvamp said:
It's only a risk if you ever suspect that anyone in the league ever actually cares about the psi in the footballs. If he had done this many times before, and if he had seen how lax the NFL was about ball pressure, then why would he conclude he was taking really any risk at all?
It's like you and the people in your neighborhood pass a police station every day going 5 mph over the limit, and nobody is ever stopped. And the one time someone IS stopped the cops laugh it off with a warning. You really aren't thinking that some day they're going to show up with a SWAT team, pull you over, and put you in prison for 5 years for doing what you've always done.
And, yet again, if this is what happened it doesn't fucking matter what the intention was (insofar as the rules are concerned, not the effect on competition).tims4wins said:
But what it might suggest is, McNally took balls into bathroom, used needle to let air out of each ball, and wasn't perfectly precise since he didn't have a gauge, he just had a needle. That seems plausible to me. I think, if that happened, it was done with the intention of making sure the balls were around 12.5 to comply with TB's preference, not any scheme to get the balls down to 11 or whatever.
5. A mystery Deflategate team?
Conversations with team officials revealed two things about Deflategate not generally known. First, as one stated, "large swaths of the league" contacted Wells with tales of Patriots cheating, but he didn't use much of that information in his report. My guess is that's because A) the info wasn't relevant to the case; and B) it was unusable because it couldn't be proved—or was just flat-out false.
Second, after Deflategate first broke (and possibly during Wells' investigation), there was apparently one team raising more hell with the league than the rest—and it wasn't the Colts or Ravens. My sources wouldn't say who that team was, so the best we can do is guess.
uncannymanny said:And, yet again, if this is what happened it doesn't fucking matter what the intention was.
DrewDawg said:Mystery team!!! Where's Scott Boras???
http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2460364-mike-freemans-10-point-stance-tom-brady-will-probably-win-a-super-bowl-anyway
uncannymanny said:And, yet again, if this is what happened it doesn't fucking matter what the intention was (insofar as the rules are concerned, not the effect on competition).
Hugh Millen one-upped all that a few months back during a WEEI interview, claiming that during his time as Elway's backup, Shanahan/Kubiak (presumably) had an elaborate scheme to wire the Broncos o-linemen's helmets with radios. Per Millen, the radios were installed & functional, and he assumes utilized during games.ivanvamp said:Denver's proven history of cheating.
pedro1918 said:
My copy of the paper has Jenkins' piece as the first story on first page of the Sports section.
Want to guess what high ranking NFL official they were in contact with?tims4wins said:I'll help you: J-E...
tims4wins said:
Well it is a risk in the sense that if you deflate to 10, then maybe it is too deflated for Brady's liking. Certainly possible.
Now that's just nit picking.......lambeau said:Rapoport:
3) Lack of direct evidence implicating TB
J.McG said:Hugh Millen one-upped all that a few months back during a WEEI interview, claiming that during his time as Elway's backup, Shanahan/Kubiak (presumably) had an elaborate scheme to wire the Broncos o-linemen's helmets with radios. Per Millen, the radios were installed & functional, and he assumes utilized during games.
http://www.bostonsportsmedia.com/2015/01/hugh-millen-drops-a-bomb-no-one-reacts
Assuming the accurate gauge is the non-logo one, and the logo gauge was inaccurately high by .35/.45:Super Nomario said:--snip--
The difference between the logo gauge and the non-logo is pretty consistently .35-.45. Assuming the logo ball was used pre-game would explain some of the gap but not all of it. Look at ball 10 - it reads below 11 on both gauges even though it was one of the last balls measured (and thus would have had some time to come up above 48 degrees). Use of the logo gauge does not explain this ball (which doesn't mean that we need to infer tampering to explain the difference), and there are another 2-4 balls that cannot be explained even if we assume the logo gauge was used.
cshea said:Going back to Brady's cell phone. The more I think about it the more I wonder what the hell Wells thought he was going to find on it. They have the Jastremski and McNally's cell phone. He never contacted McNally and the only phone communication with Jastremski was on the day after the AFCCG. The apparently had Belichick's phone. Since he was cleared of any wrongdoing, there likely wasn't anything on his phone. Wells says the Pats complied and turned over all electronic devices, so I assume that would mean other key people (Berj, Schoenfeld, equipment staff, etc) handed over their cell phones.
What do they think? He texted his dad or Giselle or someone "gee, I sucked today because that idiot McNally didn't deflate the balls enough!"
This whole thing just gets more mind boggling by the day.
Just being devil's advocate, he knew something he was doing was at a minimum 'scandalous' - because he made the reference to "not going to ESPN, yet".ivanvamp said:
It's only a risk if you ever suspect that anyone in the league ever actually cares about the psi in the footballs. If he had done this many times before, and if he had seen how lax the NFL was about ball pressure, then why would he conclude he was taking really any risk at all?
It's like you and the people in your neighborhood pass a police station every day going 5 mph over the limit, and nobody is ever stopped. And the one time someone IS stopped the cops laugh it off with a warning. You really aren't thinking that some day they're going to show up with a SWAT team, pull you over, and put you in prison for 5 years for doing what you've always done.
Agreed, I think the scenario you're looking at calls for a $25k fine.tims4wins said:
I agree - this is a violation. There is no doubt about that.
However, if it went down like this, I don't see how TB, or the Pats, are deserving of any punishment. The only "instruction" in this scenario from Brady would be "make sure the balls are at 12.5". And the Pats would have no involvement.
RetractableRoof said:Just being devil's advocate, he knew something he was doing was at a minimum 'scandalous' - because he made the reference to "not going to ESPN, yet".
If you read the report, there were several messages that were only partially recovered, presumably after having been deleted. Text message was there, but sender data was not available. Maybe they suspect more cell phone contact between Brady and Jastremski than disclosed.What do they think? He texted his dad or Giselle or someone "gee, I sucked today because that idiot McNally didn't deflate the balls enough!"
I didn't say he did, nor am I interested in any rats asses you may want to get rid of.DrewDawg said:
And, yet again, if this is what happened, there's still no proof that Brady told them to do this.
I don't give a rat's ass about what McNally did unless someone provides something conclusive showing it was done because Brady said to do it.
Brady saying he likes balls at the lower limit simply isn't enough.
And given the way any information that would have painted the Patriots and Brady in a positive, innocent light was omitted or included but ignored, Wells' assertion yesterday that he'd 'take their word for it" on the texts that they chose to turn over is the ultimate hollow gesture.Hoya81 said:
I think it was intended to be a trap/fishing expedition. If Brady's team omits any of the texts to Jastremski that they feel are irrelevant (the "How are you doing, JJ") to the PSI issue, but that Wells' team feel are relevant, then Brady is withholding evidence.
I do not believe that the timing or content of his comments, or Eli's, were accidental.Tyrone Biggums said:Just read this morning that Elway agrees with the findings against the Patriots. The integrity of the game quote almost had me spit out my coffee. Funny, isn't this the same quarterback who played on a team that cheated the salary cap not once but twice so they could keep the roster in tact?
ivanvamp said:
We have NO idea what that was about.
uncannymanny said:Hawks?Jets?
Hoya81 said:
I think it was intended to be a trap/fishing expedition. If Brady's team omits any of the texts to Jastremski that they feel are irrelevant (the "How are you doing, JJ") to the PSI issue, but that Wells' team feel are relevant, then Brady is withholding evidence.
The report proves that he wasn't about to take anyone's word. Specifically, he asked for any explanation from Jastemski on the texts referring to Bird being stressed about something. He told them it was about selling off some game tickets. They didn't believe him and wanted to interview his friends to collaborate. Since Brady was interviewed at the end of the process there was probably already ample evidence that they wouldn't "take their word for it".steveluck7 said:And given the way any information that would have painted the Patriots and Brady in a positive, innocent light was omitted or included but ignored, Wells' assertion yesterday that he'd 'take their word for it" on the texts that they chose to turn over is the ultimate hollow gesture.
Is there any doubt if they had picked the texts and submitted a written list of them, that Wells' report would have talked about their lack of full cooperation in only handing over "approved" or "edited" texts?
wibi said:
Seattle could give less than one fuck what Brady did or didnt do to his balls. Seattle has enough shady shit that they arent likely to be pointing fingers for the simple fact they dont want fingers pointing back at them
wibi said:
Seattle could give less than one fuck what Brady did or didnt do to his balls. Seattle has enough shady shit that they arent likely to be pointing fingers for the simple fact they dont want fingers pointing back at them
Right - and the thinking is that most teams in the league should feel this way. Eventually you would think all owners would realize the implications of the draft pick penalty and million dollar fine and how it might affect them down the line. But it seems like so many of them are caught up in catching the Pats that they don't see the forest for the trees.wibi said:
Seattle could give less than one fuck what Brady did or didnt do to his balls. Seattle has enough shady shit that they arent likely to be pointing fingers for the simple fact they dont want fingers pointing back at them
Maybe, but being the team that was to play them in the largest game of the season it would make sense not only to care about rules violations, but also to make their time leading up to the game more about this incident than game preparation.wibi said:
Seattle could give less than one fuck what Brady did or didnt do to his balls. Seattle has enough shady shit that they arent likely to be pointing fingers for the simple fact they dont want fingers pointing back at them
Perhaps they were looking for texts to Bird or JJ that were going to other phones (i.e. personal phones of theirs, not the Patriot phones they turned over). Obviously everything "relevant" from the phones turned in was used.cshea said:Going back to Brady's cell phone. The more I think about it the more I wonder what the hell Wells thought he was going to find on it. They have the Jastremski and McNally's cell phone. He never contacted McNally and the only phone communication with Jastremski was on the day after the AFCCG. The apparently had Belichick's phone. Since he was cleared of any wrongdoing, there likely wasn't anything on his phone. Wells says the Pats complied and turned over all electronic devices, so I assume that would mean other key people (Berj, Schoenfeld, equipment staff, etc) handed over their cell phones.
What do they think? He texted his dad or Giselle or someone "gee, I sucked today because that idiot McNally didn't deflate the balls enough!"
This whole thing just gets more mind boggling by the day.
RetractableRoof said:Just being devil's advocate, he knew something he was doing was at a minimum 'scandalous' - because he made the reference to "not going to ESPN, yet".
wibi said:
Seattle could give less than one fuck what Brady did or didnt do to his balls. Seattle has enough shady shit that they arent likely to be pointing fingers for the simple fact they dont want fingers pointing back at them
Maybe, but you would think the amount he let out would be more consistent. He would have had to let like four times the air out of same balls than others to get the results we see.tims4wins said:
But what it might suggest is, McNally took balls into bathroom, used needle to let air out of each ball, and wasn't perfectly precise since he didn't have a gauge, he just had a needle. That seems plausible to me. I think, if that happened, it was done with the intention of making sure the balls were around 12.5 to comply with TB's preference, not any scheme to get the balls down to 11 or whatever.
Yes, that's an assumption. In Anderson's favor is the fact that he remembers inflating two of the balls that were below. I think it's a reasonable assumption that the Patriots' balls were all in the 12.5-12.6 range - but "reasonable" is not always the same as "correct."pappymojo said:Well you are also assuming that the balls were measured pregame to 12.5 based on Andersons best recollection when there is plenty of circumstantial evidence that the officials were less than consistent about measuring balls pregame.
Oh, I agree with this - especially since we know one ball they did use (the Jackson interception ball) did measure within the range we would expect by the Ideal Gas Law. If the intention was just to deflate and use certain balls, they messed up. Natural laws and use of the logo gauge does not explain all the data, but I'm not sure tampering is the obvious conclusion either.RetractableRoof said:Assuming the accurate gauge is the non-logo one, and the logo gauge was inaccurately high by .35/.45:
But then the calculations have to be redone with (12.5 - .35/,45 = 12.15/12.05) as the starting point. The calculations assume a 12.5 starting point. There will be a smaller difference in the result as well - making the 3/4 balls that are outliers have even smaller differences. (I realize we are splitting hairs of hairs at this point.)
With only 3/4 balls as outliers (regardless of degree) what even makes sense from a tampering perspective? Somehow the message got to Brady, "Ball #10 is the good one. Try to use Ball #10 on throwing downs."? That implies a much larger deal that no evidence suggests. It all just devolves to forcing the data and texts to fit the narrative the NFL wanted. The inaccurate leaks about the PSI numbers to create the feeding frenzy - all of it. And I simply hate the look of those texts, even acknowledging (and defending) the idea that most of them come with plausible reasoning behind them.
One interesting note: they measured four Patriots and four Colts balls after the game (see page 72 of the Wells report) but concluded that the data "did not provide a scientifically reasonable basis" for any further analysis.CoffeeNerdness said:Did the report provide any reasons why the remaining Colts' balls weren't measured after the game?
Did they provide the data? I missed this and that's pretty ridiculous.Super Nomario said:One interesting note: they measured four Patriots and four Colts balls after the game (see page 72 of the Wells report) but concluded that the data "did not provide a scientifically reasonable basis" for any further analysis.
Isn't this the plot of Rollerball?RIFan said:One of the things that keeps coming up is that why would the league look to nail one of it's signature players. Wells himself made that point that it would basically be preposterous for the league to want to hurt itself that way. Anyone that feels that way hasn't been paying attention to the way the NFL operates. Rozelle preached parity was the key to success of the NFL. Goodell takes it further with his emphasis on "the shield". The league is not about the marketability of individual players, it's about the NFL. Players, including the Brady's, Manning's and Montana's,are fungible and will be replaced eventually. No player is bigger than the game. I have no doubt that many on Park Ave are thoroughly enjoying the fact that they can now prove that no player is bigger than the game. Brady was a huge target as his pop culture status transcended the sport.
CoffeeNerdness said:Did the report provide any reasons why the remaining Colts' balls weren't measured after the game?