Celtics vs Da Culture - Round 1 (FIGHT!)

InstaFace

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Good analysis.

MIA got 24 from Bam on 18 shots,16 for Jaquez on 16 shots. They got an unexpected 17 from Wright. BOS basically stopped playing for four minutes and MIA still ended up with only 94. So maybe Herro throws up some more shots and gets 20 inefficient points. Some of that will be coming from Wright. Love went 3-4.
In the counter-tactics hypothesis department: We might see Spo try double-big, throwing Bam out there as a 4 with Love in the middle. Love is cooked, but can occasionally turn the clock back for a possession or two at a time (he was great at denying entry passes in the play-in games), and he's got the strength to move KP around which Bam lacks. If we match it with Horford / KP, Bam probably likes that matchup.
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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In the counter-tactics hypothesis department: We might see Spo try double-big, throwing Bam out there as a 4 with Love in the middle. Love is cooked, but can occasionally turn the clock back for a possession or two at a time (he was great at denying entry passes in the play-in games), and he's got the strength to move KP around which Bam lacks. If we match it with Horford / KP, Bam probably likes that matchup.
According to BRef, MIA briefly threw out a lineup of Bam, Love, Robinson, Wright, and Highsmith. It's almost as if they were saying, "We know we can't guard you one-on-one so we'll give you so many matchups to exploit, you'll get confused just picking one."

But that lineup did go +3 in the limited minutes it was out there - starting MIA's 4Q run. Maybe Spo is going to try it again but I think it's not going to go as well if the Cs are actually trying.
 

HomeRunBaker

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In the few minutes I watched, Bam took Porzingis into the post and scored very easily numerous times in a row. As it was, he shot 10-18 for the game (56%). Why didn't he try to score more?
I think the only reason Miami didn’t get off more than 37 threes was due to our perimeter defense contesting so hard in denying them. Mazzulla seemed more than happy to allow 2’s in exchange for 3’s while Spo understood that Boston was dictating where both teams shots were coming from and that they had no chance to comeback by exchanging 2’s for 3’s.
 

lovegtm

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I think the only reason Miami didn’t get off more than 37 threes was due to our perimeter defense contesting so hard in denying them. Mazzulla seemed more than happy to allow 2’s in exchange for 3’s while Spo understood that Boston was dictating where both teams shots were coming from and that they had no chance to comeback by exchanging 2’s for 3’s.
Agree. This is about as well as Bam can play offensively, and it caps out at "60% TS on tough looks, where the defense isn't compromised at all."

That's just a really, really tough way to run an offense. You're not getting the added equity of lots of fouls, and there's no 2-on-the-ball to force rotations.
 

benhogan

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Question for people who are much smarter than me...lets take your numbers as accurate and of their 49 3's 14 of them were bad (or at least, not good looks). Isn't some of the reason they get so many good looks is because Tatum is good enough at the early shot clock 3s that they have to defend it, and the celts exploit that in most of their possessions? Saying it the opposite way, if they knew he wasnt willing to take those shots every once in awhile they would be much easier to defend?
Dont get me wrong, they frustrate the hell out of me and always have. But given they continue to happen on a relatively routine basis it makes me think there is a rhyme and reason to them?
IMO there is a basic hierarchy on the 3-point shot:
1. Corner 3s > Above-the-Break (ATB) 3s
2. Catch-n-Shoot (C&S) 3s > Pull-Up 3s
3. Wide-open 3s > Tightly Guarded 3s

https://www.nba.com/stats/team/1610612738/shots-dash

Obviously, certain players excel at different spots. Jrue (62%)/Hauser(52%) from the Corner is the highest value 3 on the Celtics (for example, Jrue Corner3 > prime Abdul-Jabber hook shot this season).

The Celtics should use the shot clock to find a GREAT shot. Besides a dunk/lay-up or KP post-up they should be hunting for Corner3s, C&S3s, & Wide-Open3s. Disclaimer: Time, score, and situation also dictate FGA.

When Tatum shoots early shot clock 3s from the right side ATB (especially PU3s) it's a WIN for the defense. It doesn't keep a defense "honest", help any other shooter, or exploit any kind of statistical offensive anomaly for the Celtics (YMMV). With 4 teammates on the floor, that can ALL shoot, there are at least a dozen better FGA (he doesn't share the floor with TL & Smart anymore). Lastly, if it's late in the shot clock Tatum is excellent at getting shots off (rarely gets blocked from 3 + draws fouls on 3s) which justifies a PU/ATB right-side 3s.

The point @tims4wins and I are making is this record-setting offense will need to be disciplined to win a Championship and continue to take Great shots over Good shots. CJM will have a few things to work on/point out from G1 to improve on which should keep them focused, so all is good after the Celtics' wire-to-wire 20-point win:popcorn:
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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Agree. This is about as well as Bam can play offensively, and it caps out at "60% TS on tough looks, where the defense isn't compromised at all."

That's just a really, really tough way to run an offense. You're not getting the added equity of lots of fouls, and there's no 2-on-the-ball to force rotations.
Agree. I'm sure BOS doesn't think that Bam's contested, fadeaway mid-range jumpers are going to beat them as BOS generally isn't sending help at all. Which means that Bam will score some but as you mention, there's no foul shots and there is no getting 3Ps off this either.
 

BaseballJones

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Agree. This is about as well as Bam can play offensively, and it caps out at "60% TS on tough looks, where the defense isn't compromised at all."

That's just a really, really tough way to run an offense. You're not getting the added equity of lots of fouls, and there's no 2-on-the-ball to force rotations.
Makes sense but the shots I saw him hit were little baby hooks from about 6 feet that looked effortless, like he could do that all day.

So yeah like I said I didn’t see the whole game at all so I’d his other shots were tough fadeaways then good job by Boston.
 

jezza1918

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IMO there is a basic hierarchy on the 3-point shot:
1. Corner 3s > Above-the-Break (ATB) 3s
2. Catch-n-Shoot (C&S) 3s > Pull-Up 3s
3. Wide-open 3s > Tightly Guarded 3s

https://www.nba.com/stats/team/1610612738/shots-dash

Obviously, certain players excel at different spots. Jrue (62%)/Hauser(52%) from the Corner is the highest value 3 on the Celtics (for example, Jrue Corner3 > prime Abdul-Jabber hook shot this season).

The Celtics should use the shot clock to find a GREAT shot. Besides a dunk/lay-up or KP post-up they should be hunting for Corner3s, C&S3s, & Wide-Open3s. Disclaimer: Time, score, and situation also dictate FGA.

When Tatum shoots early shot clock 3s from the right side ATB (especially PU3s) it's a WIN for the defense. It doesn't keep a defense "honest", help any other shooter, or exploit any kind of statistical offensive anomaly for the Celtics (YMMV). With 4 teammates on the floor, that can ALL shoot, there are at least a dozen better FGA (he doesn't share the floor with TL & Smart anymore). Lastly, if it's late in the shot clock Tatum is excellent at getting shots off (rarely gets blocked from 3 + draws fouls on 3s) which justifies a PU/ATB right-side 3s.

The point @tims4wins and I are making is this record-setting offense will need to be disciplined to win a Championship and continue to take Great shots over Good shots. CJM will have a few things to work on/point out from G1 to improve on which should keep them focused, so all is good after the Celtics' wire-to-wire 20-point win:popcorn:
Thanks for this well laid out response. For the record, I completely agree that when Tatum takes those early ATB 3's that it's a win for the defense on that possession. What I was trying to get at is does it help them on other possessions. In my head it's kind of like a football team running a few times in obvious running situations, knowing they're likely to only gain a yard or two, to set up the play action.
Not trying to push back on your point by the way, just trying to understand the game better!
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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Makes sense but the shots I saw him hit were little baby hooks from about 6 feet that looked effortless, like he could do that all day.

So yeah like I said I didn’t see the whole game at all so I’d his other shots were tough fadeaways then good job by Boston.
According to NBA.com, the only baby hook that Bam hit over KP was with 3:30-ish left in the game and it was actually contested so not quite as easy as it looks. Bam also tried another "hookish" shot at the end of the 1H but KP blocked it.

The list of 13 shot attempts Bam had on KP during the game:

81370
 

benhogan

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Thanks for this well laid out response. For the record, I completely agree that when Tatum takes those early ATB 3's that it's a win for the defense on that possession. What I was trying to get at is does it help them on other possessions. In my head it's kind of like a football team running a few times in obvious running situations, knowing they're likely to only gain a yard or two, to set up the play action.
Not trying to push back on your point by the way, just trying to understand the game better!
That's a fair question to ask and it's something we've been kicking around here all season.
Does Tatum taking a low % shot draw attention, provide diversity, and help other shooters? IDK, but don't think so.
Maybe it helps the offensive rebounding metrics ;)

If Tatum consistently gets doubled, hopefully, his assist numbers balloon in the playoffs. 10 is a great sign.

I added quite a few caveats to my previous post but the biggest one is surrounding Tatum with so many good shooters.
Our cup runneth over
 

lovegtm

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Makes sense but the shots I saw him hit were little baby hooks from about 6 feet that looked effortless, like he could do that all day.

So yeah like I said I didn’t see the whole game at all so I’d his other shots were tough fadeaways then good job by Boston.
Yeah, I recommend going and watching them all. It was pretty tough money.

And, again, the key is that there's no extra "shot equity" from his midrangers. Bam doesn't have the skills to pump and step through, or fake a fadeaway into a drive. No one is sending help which opens up passes. He's a very, very limited offensive player who sometimes runs a bit well from the midrange.
 

TomRicardo

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Question for people who are much smarter than me...lets take your numbers as accurate and of their 49 3's 14 of them were bad (or at least, not good looks). Isn't some of the reason they get so many good looks is because Tatum is good enough at the early shot clock 3s that they have to defend it, and the celts exploit that in most of their possessions? Saying it the opposite way, if they knew he wasnt willing to take those shots every once in awhile they would be much easier to defend?
Dont get me wrong, they frustrate the hell out of me and always have. But given they continue to happen on a relatively routine basis it makes me think there is a rhyme and reason to them?
The Heat for a large part decided they couldn't keep up with man to man defense on the perimeter so they tried a zone and tried some high traps. The high traps as of a year ago were Brown's and Tatum's kryptonite however Tatum was whipping the ball out leading to very open 3s. Brown looked awful against the zone, had some problems with the traps, and for a part of the game got completely out of the game.

Brown and Tatum also have trouble with teams like the Heat who basically dare the officials to call them every single play. They slap at the ball wildly in crowds, set illegal picks, have their hands all over the opponents on set pieces, try to hit the follow up contending shots, and other various dirty shit. The issue is when they were trying to screw with Brown and Tatum, the rest of the team was carving up the Heat.

This is why you needed to move on from Smart. Last year Al and White were the only ones who seemed to be able to mentally get away from this team is pure filth. Now you have Al, KP, Jrue, White, Pritchard, and Hauser all of which just don't give a shit. So each time Tatum and Brown were getting dragged into shit pile, the rest of the team was just nailing open threes and not bitching when the Heat slapped their hands on the follow through or tried to rip their shorts off in transition.
 

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It seemed to me that when the Heat played zone, they put Bam out at the top of the zone. Now he did impress me with his energy and ability at that spot. But is that where they have traditionally played him in the zone? Or was that usually Butler's spot? And if so, does that spot wear him out faster than he is used to?
 

lovegtm

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I commented in the game thread but it did seem like they got a bit shook about going to the rim sometime starting late first quarter. Whether it was frustration with the physicality / not getting calls, missing a few shots in close, whatever, but it was noticeable to me that they kind of stopped trying to get to the rim. The first quarter ended with only a 5 point lead, and the Heat scored the first bucket of the 2nd to cut it to 26-23. At that point the Celts were only 6-18 from 3. It really wasn’t pretty. But of course Hauser came in and knocked down 3 straight and that was pretty much ballgame. Once the lead got back up over 10 it never dropped below again.
The thing is...getting shook inside is everyone in the New NBA. The other scores over the weekend were:

97-83
120-95
111-104
114-103
109-97
109-94
94-92

7 out of 16 teams (including Miami) scored fewer than 100 points. Another two were at 103 and 104.

A lot of the inflated scoring numbers in the winter 2023 NBA came from teams leveraging spacing to get great inside looks, and you simply can't do that anymore. You are allowed to mug guys inside now. It shows in the scores.

The best way to get elite offense in that environment is to generate high-quality 3s, which is hard, since no one likes to give up high-quality 3s. I don't think Spoelstra was super thrilled that "Hauser is wide open, again, but at least the ball never touched the paint!"

The Cs can probably work it inside a bit more, but that has become a bit of a sucker's game in the New NBA.....as evidenced by the low point totals everyone else is putting up.
 

Jed Zeppelin

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It must be tough for Miami to look at what worked defensively last year, try to run the same thing but without Jimmy and not only that, but the Celtics have replaced Marcus and TL with Jrue + KP + more minutes for DW. Just an entirely different machine operating on an astronomically higher level.

It seemed to me that when the Heat played zone, they put Bam out at the top of the zone. Now he did impress me with his energy and ability at that spot. But is that where they have traditionally played him in the zone? Or was that usually Butler's spot? And if so, does that spot wear him out faster than he is used to?
Jimmy would usually take one spot up top to get steals and Bam would be down low. Checked some painful Youtube tape from last year to confirm.
 

joe dokes

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It must be tough for Miami to look at what worked defensively last year, try to run the same thing but without Jimmy and not only that, but the Celtics have replaced Marcus and TL with Jrue + KP + more minutes for DW. Just an entirely different machine operating on an astronomically higher level.
Right. I think we (collectively) overlook that Miami is really good at playing zone. So the Celtics aren't going to cut it like a hot knife through butter. But they wont stall out like they did last year.
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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Right. I think we (collectively) overlook that Miami is really good at playing zone. So the Celtics aren't going to cut it like a hot knife through butter. But they wont stall out like they did last year.
According to the tweet below, Cs scored 1.56 points per possession against MIA's zone (1.17 ppp vs. man). So pretty close to hot knife through butter, at least as far as the NBA goes.

Wayne Spooney on X: "Synergy has the Celtics scoring 1.17 points per possession against halfcourt man-to-man defense in Game 1. They scored 1.56 ppp against Miami's zone. If the Heat have to man up the Cs all series, it will probably be a short one." / X (twitter.com)

edit: by comparison, according to this article, in last year's playoff series, Cs scored 85 points on 112 zone possessions, a percentage of just 0.76. They doubled the ppp last night.
 

InstaFace

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Wondering why Bam doesn’t score more is Heat fans the past four years.
Who's the closest comp for Bam in the league? Shorter, more agile C (who could be a PF), who lacks the strength to play bully-ball but has enough post moves to score around people, gets to the line a bit but not a lot, can defend most switches, and yet has no outside shot from beyond 12-15' or so.

Chet? Much taller, can shoot 3s though isn't great at them.

Gafford? Better defender, but absolutely no midrange game. 2 teams have given up on him and he's only 25.

Claxton? Has 2 inches on Bam, gets to the line better, nowhere near as good a defender.

Jarrett Allen? Probably pretty close. Gives more value on D than on O, no outside shot, gets to the line well given his post moves, probably a better rebounder than Bam. Has 2 inches on him though, and partly as a result, isn't as switchable on D.

Okongwu? Shorter, lighter, more-switchable center, but not nearly as good on D and has more range to his shots.

...I guess I'm coming to the conclusion that Bam is more one-of-a-kind than we realize, and maybe that's predictive of a certain failure profile.
 

slamminsammya

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Who's the closest comp for Bam in the league? Shorter, more agile C (who could be a PF), who lacks the strength to play bully-ball but has enough post moves to score around people, gets to the line a bit but not a lot, can defend most switches, and yet has no outside shot from beyond 12-15' or so.

Chet? Much taller, can shoot 3s though isn't great at them.

Gafford? Better defender, but absolutely no midrange game. 2 teams have given up on him and he's only 25.

Claxton? Has 2 inches on Bam, gets to the line better, nowhere near as good a defender.

Jarrett Allen? Probably pretty close. Gives more value on D than on O, no outside shot, gets to the line well given his post moves, probably a better rebounder than Bam. Has 2 inches on him though, and partly as a result, isn't as switchable on D.

Okongwu? Shorter, lighter, more-switchable center, but not nearly as good on D and has more range to his shots.

...I guess I'm coming to the conclusion that Bam is more one-of-a-kind than we realize, and maybe that's predictive of a certain failure profile.
i think of chris bosh.
 

Cellar-Door

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Who's the closest comp for Bam in the league? Shorter, more agile C (who could be a PF), who lacks the strength to play bully-ball but has enough post moves to score around people, gets to the line a bit but not a lot, can defend most switches, and yet has no outside shot from beyond 12-15' or so.

Chet? Much taller, can shoot 3s though isn't great at them.

Gafford? Better defender, but absolutely no midrange game. 2 teams have given up on him and he's only 25.

Claxton? Has 2 inches on Bam, gets to the line better, nowhere near as good a defender.

Jarrett Allen? Probably pretty close. Gives more value on D than on O, no outside shot, gets to the line well given his post moves, probably a better rebounder than Bam. Has 2 inches on him though, and partly as a result, isn't as switchable on D.

Okongwu? Shorter, lighter, more-switchable center, but not nearly as good on D and has more range to his shots.

...I guess I'm coming to the conclusion that Bam is more one-of-a-kind than we realize, and maybe that's predictive of a certain failure profile.
Ready for a fun one...... early career Al Horford before he extended his range.
 

lars10

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Makes sense but the shots I saw him hit were little baby hooks from about 6 feet that looked effortless, like he could do that all day.

So yeah like I said I didn’t see the whole game at all so I’d his other shots were tough fadeaways then good job by Boston.
I didn't see that at all.. would have to go back and look but Bam had a hand in his face all day. He was hitting fadeaways, but I thought KP did a lot to contest. Bam did post him up a few times, but IMO that's not going to get it done all game. He can't be the primary scorer on a winning team.

Looking at his shot chart.. he scored on 8 shots in the paint (8-12) and two outside of the paint (2-6) - all of his shots were 4 foot and out - so he didn't have any layups or dunks - I think that tells you the story that Boston's D was pretty effective at forcing him out and to fadeaway jumpers. He had no offensive rebounds and only 6 defensive.
 

InstaFace

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Ready for a fun one...... early career Al Horford before he extended his range.
That's probably fair. Al has always been a better passer, but maybe not quite as good finishing right around the rim. Or maybe he was when he was younger and I just don't remember as well.

6'9" non-beef centers seem pretty rare in the NBA. Not for nothin' were we able to largely shut down Bam with Grant f'ing Williams.

Would Theis be close? Leaving aside that he can't get a foul call to save his life, of course, but he can at least defend 3-5 and not get pushed around too badly.
 

bellowthecat

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Post LeBron Bosh without the 3? And yeah early Al without the range. It's a good question. There really aren't a lot of guys with his combination of skills in the league right now and the league plays so different it's hard to compare eras in a lot of ways.

Claxton? Has 2 inches on Bam, gets to the line better, nowhere near as good a defender.
I chuckled at this. Claxton and his 54% FT rate would rather be anywhere in the world but the charity stripe.
 

Euclis20

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I've always thought of him as a smaller Dwight Howard. I know Heat fans were hoping he'd end up as a slightly smaller Giannis with a jump shot, but he's just nothing more than a junk scorer. Even in matchups where he can physically overwhelm his defender, he rarely goes at them more than once or twice. Just about 16 ppg in the playoffs since the bubble, he's just not a high volume player.
 

lovegtm

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Wondering why Bam doesn’t score more is Heat fans the past four years.
It's not hard to understand when you watch him.

He has a hook he can use on the rare occasions he can get in close.

He has a face-up jumper that is pretty inefficient offense, and doesn't have any built-in counters.

That's it. He is what he is. There's not much of a path forward for that guy to become an offensive engine.

He'd be a great fit as the center on a loaded offensive team like Boston (and has a similar salary to KP).
 

the moops

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Would Theis be close? Leaving aside that he can't get a foul call to save his life, of course, but he can at least defend 3-5 and not get pushed around too badly.
Bam Adebayo is a perennial defensive player of the year candidate and a 3 time all-star. Daniel Theis? GTFO
 

InstaFace

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I chuckled at this. Claxton and his 54% FT rate would rather be anywhere in the world but the charity stripe.
Hey, I only said he gets to the line!

Darko had the two very close at FTARate% percentiles for centers. Bam gets an adjusted 6.7 FTA/100 while Claxton is around 4.9, though, so I clearly don't understand how they're adjusting those rates. Bosh was 9.2 for his career, though, and Al is at 3.1 career (and sub-2 for the last few seasons). Those are some pretty wide divides, and I found it surprising.

Bam Adebayo is a perennial defensive player of the year candidate and a 3 time all-star. Daniel Theis? GTFO
I didn't suggest Theis was as good as Bam overall, I'm talking about player profile, play style and skillset distribution. Everyone else seems to have gotten that.
 

lovegtm

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How I'd sum up the Bam Offense topic:

Letting him try to get his is not a big concern, and probably a big win for Boston.

If Miami makes this a series, it will probably be because they figure out ways to get guys like Duncan/Herro/Caleb to go off from deep, rather than because Bam forces adjustments on his own.
 

bellowthecat

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Maybe the adjustment is taking out all the times Claxton gets fouled off ball to send him to the line? Celtics love doing this to him (and Simmons and Drummond over the years). Even still, Claxton is aggressively hacked under the basket any time he's there because he struggles at the line.

How about Daniel Theis with Ben Wallace's muscles? Thing is if Bam was officiated the way Theis is he wouldn't make out of the first half with all those drifting screens.
 

RorschachsMask

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Bam has the finishing moves too. Solid form jumper 15 feet and in, athletic, nice touch in the paint, etc.

His issue is he can’t get where he wants to get, due to both a lack of a creation bag, and he doesn’t have the strongest lower body.
 

benhogan

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For this current version of the Celtics, I'd rather have KP than Bam.

If I was building from the ground up maybe Bam (health reasons), but it's a tough call.

Having a starting Center able to shoot volume 3s is almost a must-have for a contender.

Defense-first centers are helpful but can be had on the cheap. You don't give away the farm/MAX them for multiple seasons.
At least that is how NBA players feel :redwine: View: https://bleacherreport.com/articles/10117968-gobert-jordan-poole-trae-young-dillon-brooks-voted-most-overrated-by-nba-players
 

Kliq

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Not every guy is wired to be a big-time scorer, even if they possess some of the physical tools and skills to do so. It takes a certain kind of mentality to be willing to take 20+ shots a game, and while most NBA players have that mentality, not all of them do.

I like the Al Horford comp for Bam a lot. Al wasn't as effective against the zone as a player like KP is, despite Al theoretically possessing the skills necessary to be an effective player to put at the free throw line against the zone; he's got a good shot, he's a skilled passer that can make the right read quickly, and he has a soft touch around the basket to score on drives. The issue is he has never in his career been the kind of player to just aggressively attack the basket and try to score 30 points. Marc Gasol is another example of a very skilled big man who seemed certainly capable of being a 20 ppg+ scorer, but never was.

A major reason Porzingis unlocked another level for this team, one that Al could never do, is because Porzingis will ruthlessly attack mismatches and gladly shoot it every time he gets a favorable opportunity.
 

joe dokes

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A major reason Porzingis unlocked another level for this team, one that Al could never do, is because Porzingis will ruthlessly attack mismatches and gladly shoot it every time he gets a favorable opportunity.
This is a key. In fact, Porzingis was guilty a few times of going 1 on 3 in the post on Sunday. Al would pass before the double even arrived. Almost too soon. His own offense has almost always been an afterthought, sometimes to the team's detriment.
 
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InstaFace

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Maybe the adjustment is taking out all the times Claxton gets fouled off ball to send him to the line? Celtics love doing this to him (and Simmons and Drummond over the years). Even still, Claxton is aggressively hacked under the basket any time he's there because he struggles at the line.

How about Daniel Theis with Ben Wallace's muscles? Thing is if Bam was officiated the way Theis is he wouldn't make out of the first half with all those drifting screens.
This got two big laughs from me. The first from recalling the hack-a-Claxton incidents from earlier this year, including when we were up big in the IST game against them. Coach Joe being a sicko yet again. God we all loved that so much.

And yeah, The War on Theis never reaches a truce, only a regrouping. Bam definitely set his share of moving screens yesterday, including the one that knocked White clear to the ground (though that one seemed a bit less blatant than some others, DW just made a meal of it). If they call one or two of those a game, Spoelstra might as well forfeit.
 

m0ckduck

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If Miami makes this a series, it will probably be because they figure out ways to get guys like Duncan/Herro/Caleb to go off from deep, rather than because Bam forces adjustments on his own.
Yeah, Boston will take G1's KP-Bam trade-off all day, given how good Porzingis looked on both ends and the fact that he's, like, our third scoring option. To make it competitive, Miami is going to need something like... I dunno... 3 random players who average collectively in the mid-low 30s in 3PT% suddenly shooting 50% at volume over a 7 game series. <getting angry again>.

Did you know that if Boston (#6 in 3PT% for 2023) had shot the same percentage from three as the Heat (#22) during last year's ECF, they would have scored an extra 100 points in the series?
 

tims4wins

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I didn't see that at all.. would have to go back and look but Bam had a hand in his face all day. He was hitting fadeaways, but I thought KP did a lot to contest. Bam did post him up a few times, but IMO that's not going to get it done all game. He can't be the primary scorer on a winning team.

Looking at his shot chart.. he scored on 8 shots in the paint (8-12) and two outside of the paint (2-6) - all of his shots were 4 foot and out - so he didn't have any layups or dunks - I think that tells you the story that Boston's D was pretty effective at forcing him out and to fadeaway jumpers. He had no offensive rebounds and only 6 defensive.
I linked video of all his 18 FGAs upthread. This pretty much sums it up.
 

ManicCompression

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I feel like Bam is just a smaller, even more offensively limited Anthony Davis. B/c Davis never developed the three, Bam is just the slightly discount version of him.
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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Shorter, more agile C (who could be a PF), who lacks the strength to play bully-ball but has enough post moves to score around people, gets to the line a bit but not a lot, can defend most switches, and yet has no outside shot from beyond 12-15' or so.
Other than the "more agile," aren't you describing Sabonis?

Sabonis is like a better-passing but worse-defender Bam.
 

Euclis20

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Not every guy is wired to be a big-time scorer, even if they possess some of the physical tools and skills to do so. It takes a certain kind of mentality to be willing to take 20+ shots a game, and while most NBA players have that mentality, not all of them do.

I like the Al Horford comp for Bam a lot. Al wasn't as effective against the zone as a player like KP is, despite Al theoretically possessing the skills necessary to be an effective player to put at the free throw line against the zone; he's got a good shot, he's a skilled passer that can make the right read quickly, and he has a soft touch around the basket to score on drives. The issue is he has never in his career been the kind of player to just aggressively attack the basket and try to score 30 points. Marc Gasol is another example of a very skilled big man who seemed certainly capable of being a 20 ppg+ scorer, but never was.

A major reason Porzingis unlocked another level for this team, one that Al could never do, is because Porzingis will ruthlessly attack mismatches and gladly shoot it every time he gets a favorable opportunity.
This is a really good point. Especially since coming to Boston, Al just hasn't been a big time scorer despite really possessing all the skills. He's scored 30 points exactly once in his Celtics career (495 games including playoffs), and his regular season high in 6 seasons with Boston is just 27 points. KP scored 27+ 9 times in just 57 games this year.
 

InstaFace

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Other than the "more agile," aren't you describing Sabonis?

Sabonis is like a better-passing but worse-defender Bam.
I largely buy this. His size (6'10) enables and limits him similarly to Bam. We saw it on display twice last week, wrecking Draymond and the undersized Cs that GSW deployed, but then losing the battle against Valanciunas (Fox won them that game).
 

teddykgb

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I always thought Bam and Siakam were similar.

As I noted in the game thread I thought the Heat got really aggressive in extending their defense in their 4th quarter run and jumped the first swing pass. Tatum went from handling it all easily to a turnover machine for a bit there. Don’t think Miami can do that enough to do much with it but it would be nice to see an adjustment as I’m sure the other future opponents will be watching. Ideally you’d just dribble drive some of these situations because there’s very little congestion when they overplay like this but Tatum dribbles himself into trouble that way a decent amount. Porzingis at the free throw line should relieve a lot of that but for whatever reason we only have the discipline to run that way for like the first 6 minutes of a basketball game then it’s all pick and pop from then on out
 

CreightonGubanich

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This discussion takes the cake in terms of widest spectrum of possible comps. We've now compared Bam to Xavier Tillman and Kenneth Faried, on the one hand, and Anthony Davis and Kevin Garnett on the other!

My two cents - any comp for Bam has to take into account that what makes him such a valuable player is his defense. He's not a great offensive player, but he's athletic and can finish a bit around the rim. I think his passing is underrated in this discussion. The Heat have historically been much better when Bam is aggressive in trying to score. I think he's Draymond with a better offensive game inside of 15 feet, and less of a defensive savant. But that's the model, the rare big who can protect the rim and switch on the perimeter. Young Horford was similar.