Celtics Summer League

Sportsbstn

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Apr 8, 2004
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Ball can't guard a paper bag and will be embarrassed on defense a lot when real games begin (not that he wasn't last night). He struggles to drive the lane effectively and is not a very good shooter. But he can pass. Ball is and was overhyped. He will struggle
 

Fishy1

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Nov 10, 2006
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Hyperbole but I had a late first grade on Lonzo. I think his shot doesn't translate at all, he can't defend, and he's not shooting and not defending then what is he exactly? He has bust written all over him.
I understand the Lonzo hate, but Semi Ojeleye averaged less steals at SMU (.4) than Fab Melo did at Syracuse (.5). He's going to have to become an entirely different player than he is right now to be an NBA-quality defender. I understand that steals aren't the be-all-end-all of defense, but they correlate pretty freaking well with good defense. I just went through all the decent NBA defender's college stats to see if I could find a single one who that few steals per game, and I couldn't even find NBA players, nevermind good defenders, who averaged that few. Jordan F'ing Crawford managed to turn up 1.3 steals a game. Kendall Marshall managed a steal a game. Lonzo ball averaged four times as many steals as Semi.

Bottom line is, I don't care about your athleticism, I care about what you do with your athleticism.

JR Giddens was an amazing athlete too.
And a quarter as many as JR Giddens, for that matter.

I'll never say never, of course, but Semi is a lottery ticket. He's been stiff as hell in summer league and hasn't scored at all despite playing healthy minutes.
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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He's so great he was a 2nd round pick. This board loves it's Mickeys and Leon Powes. Maybe he'll stick around like James Young sticks around. Over Lonzo Ball? C'mon man.
Mickey has been in the NBA (more or less) for four years and probably will get another shot. Young has been in the NBA for four years and is probably going to be on the Pelicans roster next year getting minutes. (See http://www.theadvocate.com/new_orleans/sports/pelicans/article_401665c2-6371-11e7-b4f8-db233f0b1408.html).

Leon Powe would be a great result for Semi, one I'm sure everyone on this board would take in a heartbeat.

So while picking Ojeleye over Ball is Gammons-esque in its hyperbole, saying that Ojeleye will be out of the NBA in two seasons is almost as bad. Which is not to say that he's going to have a NBA career but to say that he, like all about what 100 guys in this world, have a long, tough slog ahead of them.

BTW, I still don't know where you are getting this "no lateral movement" thing from. His agility testing was off the charts for someone who is 245 pounds and if you watch him on defense when he switches onto guards, you will see that he has quick feet.

Hell he might have quicker feet than . . . .

Lonzo Ball.
 

Lose Remerswaal

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What are you talking about? He shot over 40% from 3 in college. He was over 55% from the floor. I don't love his offensive game but where is this Rondo comparison coming from???
What Rondo are you talking about?

http://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/players/rajon-rondo-1.html

28.3% on 3s, 54.4% from the floor, but I bet most of those were layups.

It comes from a member of the coaching staff at an SEC team who is a Celtics fan who told me the day the C's got Rajon that when they played Kentucky the whiteboard said "Don't guard #4 on the outside"
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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What are you talking about? He shot over 40% from 3 in college. He was over 55% from the floor. I don't love his offensive game but where is this Rondo comparison coming from???
Lose was saying that Ball without a jump shot might be like Rondo. The wuestioned assumed that Ball can't shoot, which is premature but part of the question. Kind of sorta works but not really the point.
What Rondo are you talking about?

http://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/players/rajon-rondo-1.html

28.3% on 3s, 54.4% from the floor, but I bet most of those were layups.

It comes from a member of the coaching staff at an SEC team who is a Celtics fan who told me the day the C's got Rajon that when they played Kentucky the whiteboard said "Don't guard #4 on the outside"
AM's quotes contained Ball's college shooting percentage (the "he" referred to Ball not Rondo). Onviously if Ball can hit 35% of NBA threes, he'll be a different player than Rondo.
 

The Needler

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Dec 7, 2016
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And the same question is there for Ball. Can he practice and get better? Or is he just a guy who can't shoot from outside?
No, the same question is not there. Serious question, did you watch like a single game of his last year? While there may be questions about his ability to get his shot off against NBA defenders off the dribble, there is no question about his ability to "shoot from the outside."
 

southshoresoxfan

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He's so great he was a 2nd round pick. This board loves it's Mickeys and Leon Powes. Maybe he'll stick around like James Young sticks around. Over Lonzo Ball? C'mon man.
He had a first round grade from plenty of scouts and guys who do this stuff. He slid in favor of some high upside guys which is fine for late first. That doesn't make him a bad prospect.

I think Lonzo Ball won't be a good NBA player. That's my opinion.
 

Cellar-Door

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Aug 1, 2006
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No, the same question is not there. Serious question, did you watch like a single game of his last year? While there may be questions about his ability to get his shot off against NBA defenders off the dribble, there is no question about his ability to "shoot from the outside."
There definitely still is question if he's a GOOD shooter from the outside, he shot low to mid 30s from 3 in HS and tourneys. He shot under 35% in his college games where he didn't use a Wilson basketball.

He also was only able to shoot well going left, when going right and straightaway he was not good, even with his prefered Wilson ball. It's a concern, given his weird mechanics, and the way he seems to search for the right grip on the ball (Wilson is padded and has strong grip, Spalding's are neither). Teams in the NBA won't fear his ability to drive, so they'll hang on his left and take away the dribble left and stepback left 3s. He's gonna struggle unless he develops a whole lot of new tricks.
Do I think he's Marcus Smart... No, however I think there's a pretty decent chance he's closer to the low 30s than the low 40s as shooter, maybe worse off the dribble.
 

HomeRunBaker

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Jan 15, 2004
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I've made no statements about Ball, only about Rondo. My initial comment was a response to someone asking about Rondo's skills. That's all I can talk about, and I can talk about it back to college.
Rondo in college was must-see tv to watch how opponents defended him. It was the same zone that was used against Doug Gottlieb at OKS the decade before......a straight 2-3 with both guards with their feet in the paint. It forced Tubby to remove Rondo from the starting lineup and then later play him off the balls with (Sparks?) their 2 initiating the offense so Rondo could attack gaps from the wing.

Ball in college shot over 40% in 3's with deep NBA range and excellent release and rotation. They are both great passers who play the 1......after that they don't have a thing in common.
 

Cesar Crespo

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amarshal2

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The original post was not positing "if" ball shoots like Rondo, it was making a dubious assumption that Ball can't shoot and then comparing him to the worst shooting PG of a generation. Those two guys are nothing alike other than having goofy mechanics. There's no reason to believe Ball will be anything like Rondo as a shooter or player.

As for goofy mechanics, one can have weird mechanics and be a good shooter. There's no rule that all guys with weird mechanics shoot like Rondo. Different mechanics but Shawn Marion looked like an 11 year old shooting for the entirely of his 4x all-star career
 

The Needler

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There definitely still is question if he's a GOOD shooter from the outside, he shot low to mid 30s from 3 in HS and tourneys. He shot under 35% in his college games where he didn't use a Wilson basketball.

He also was only able to shoot well going left, when going right and straightaway he was not good, even with his prefered Wilson ball. It's a concern, given his weird mechanics, and the way he seems to search for the right grip on the ball (Wilson is padded and has strong grip, Spalding's are neither). Teams in the NBA won't fear his ability to drive, so they'll hang on his left and take away the dribble left and stepback left 3s. He's gonna struggle unless he develops a whole lot of new tricks.
Do I think he's Marcus Smart... No, however I think there's a pretty decent chance he's closer to the low 30s than the low 40s as shooter, maybe worse off the dribble.
Yeah, I read that Ringer piece in March, too. Color me unconvinced that shooting 34.1% in a sample size of around 40 shots in a subset of road games (using a Nike basketball, which they also don't use in the league) proves the rather silly theory that he can only shoot with one brand of basketball, or that it represents his "true" shooting ability. As for him being "not good" going right or on straightaway pull-ups, you're talking about a sample size of 10 shots. He made 3. And how many of those exactly were with his "preferred Wilson ball"?
 

Cellar-Door

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Yeah, I read that Ringer piece in March, too. Color me unconvinced that shooting 34.1% in a sample size of around 40 shots in a subset of road games (using a Nike basketball, which they also don't use in the league) proves the rather silly theory that he can only shoot with one brand of basketball, or that it represents his "true" shooting ability. As for him being "not good" going right or on straightaway pull-ups, you're talking about a sample size of 10 shots. He made 3. And how many of those exactly were with his "preferred Wilson ball"?
No, the 10 shots are not supposed to be a good sample, the point of his going right is that he hasn't been able to do it. To say he's a good shooter you have to ignore the 370 shots he took where he was a sub-35% shooter (with various manufacturers, including Adidas, Nike and others) in favor of the 90 or so where he shot well.
I'm pointing out that the idea he definitely can shoot well is based on a tiny sample, under very particular circumstances (preferred ball, going left) which we know won't be reproduced in the NBA. He'll have to adjust to the new ball, and guys won't let him go left anywhere near as often. The point is not that he can only shoot with one brand of basketball, it's that he only has a very limited track record of success, and only under very specific circumstances, taking that as meaning he can definitely shoot 3s is more wishful thinking than actual evidence.

Edit- as an example... Marcus Smart shot 42% on 75 corner 3s.... he's still one of the worst 3pt shooters in league history. Now, Ball isn't going to be as bad as Marcus, but if he shoots similarly to how he did in college and HS, that likely translates more to the low/mid 30s than the low 40s, the great percentages on 3s going to his left is probably noise, that when using a different ball he fell back to the mean just reinforces that to me.

As for goofy mechanics, one can have weird mechanics and be a good shooter. There's no rule that all guys with weird mechanics shoot like Rondo. Different mechanics but Shawn Marion looked like an 11 year old shooting for the entirely of his 4x all-star career
You mean Shawn Marion.... the career 33% shooter from 3? You should have used Kevin Martin, he's basically the only guy with the side release who shot well in the NBA.
 
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Auger34

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Apr 23, 2010
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Yeah, I read that Ringer piece in March, too. Color me unconvinced that shooting 34.1% in a sample size of around 40 shots in a subset of road games (using a Nike basketball, which they also don't use in the league) proves the rather silly theory that he can only shoot with one brand of basketball, or that it represents his "true" shooting ability. As for him being "not good" going right or on straightaway pull-ups, you're talking about a sample size of 10 shots. He made 3. And how many of those exactly were with his "preferred Wilson ball"?
So basically, your opinion is that the somewhat larger small sample size is completely right while the smaller small sample size is crazy.....because it's a small sample size?

Lonzo has a funky shot motion and no one knows if it will translate. To place yourself very strongly on one side of the debate, especially while shitting on the other side for not having enough evidence, is disingenuous and foolhardy. Personally, i completely agree with cellar door. (I think Lonzo will be a bad to mediocre shooter in almost every situation other than a straight catch)
 

Jed Zeppelin

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Rondo in college was must-see tv to watch how opponents defended him. It was the same zone that was used against Doug Gottlieb at OKS the decade before......a straight 2-3 with both guards with their feet in the paint. It forced Tubby to remove Rondo from the starting lineup and then later play him off the balls with (Sparks?) their 2 initiating the offense so Rondo could attack gaps from the wing.

Ball in college shot over 40% in 3's with deep NBA range and excellent release and rotation. They are both great passers who play the 1......after that they don't have a thing in common.
Ugh, Sparks. Classic example of unwatchable college basketball, though nobody will ever surpass Perry Ellis for me in that department.
 

The Needler

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Dec 7, 2016
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So basically, your opinion is that the somewhat larger small sample size is completely right while the smaller small sample size is crazy.....because it's a small sample size?
No, I think the larger overall sample size is more likely to be an accurate predictor than a laughably tiny slice of road game shooting. And i think attributing it to the basketball used (rather than say, the fact that most shooters shoot better at home) because some guy at the Ringer heard a theory from a guy and then "backed it up" with 45 shots is loony business.

Jayson Tatum shot under 30% from 3-point land for the year if you exclude February. It would be more defensible in my opinion to suspect that one month of decent shooting was the outlier, than it is to believe Ball's Nike ball shooting is a truer representation of his skill than the overall.
 

Cellar-Door

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No, I think the larger overall sample size is more likely to be an accurate predictor than a laughably tiny slice of road game shooting. And i think attributing it to the basketball used (rather than say, the fact that most shooters shoot better at home) because some guy at the Ringer heard a theory from a guy and then "backed it up" with 45 shots is loony business.

Jayson Tatum shot under 30% from 3-point land for the year if you exclude February. It would be more defensible in my opinion to suspect that one month of decent shooting was the outlier, than it is to believe Ball's Nike ball shooting is a truer representation of his skill than the overall.
And once again you ignore that it's the 90 shots being compared to over 350 shots. If the road/neutral numbers didn't line up with the 300+ 3s he shot at Adidas, HS, and other tourneys it wouldn't be an issue. His good shooting isn't the larger sample, it's the small sample. That it's an issue with his grip/form is just one theory as to why that small sample of good shooting split that way, even if you throw it out, the issue remains that the majority of the 3s he's taken he's been a sub 35% shooter.
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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Ok, but Leon Powe wasn't Malcolm Brogdon. He had a 5 year career, though the last 2 years he played 20 and 30 games. http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/p/powele01.html

The 2 year comment was shorthand for Semi is going to be the last man on the bench for his entire career.
no one said Leon Powe was Brogdan but he stuck on a NBA roster for more than 2 years and wasn't the last man on the bench. BTW, Powe's career was cut short by injuries.
 

The Needler

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And once again you ignore that it's the 90 shots being compared to over 350 shots. If the road/neutral numbers didn't line up with the 300+ 3s he shot at Adidas, HS, and other tourneys it wouldn't be an issue. His good shooting isn't the larger sample, it's the small sample. That it's an issue with his grip/form is just one theory as to why that small sample of good shooting split that way, even if you throw it out, the issue remains that the majority of the 3s he's taken he's been a sub 35% shooter.
So, he shot 31% at Adidas as a Junior, 36% as a Senior (on 6.4 attempts per game, many from WAY downtown), and then 40+% as a freshman. And the verdict's still out on his shooting? Okay.
 

bowiac

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Lonzo Ball was a 67% free throw shooter in college. You don't need any Kevin O’Connor/Wilson basketball stuff to have doubts about how well he'll shoot in the NBA.

I'm a Ball fan and believer, but I do think he'll take a while to get up to speed in the NBA. Pretty plausible outcome I think is that he struggles in LA for a couple years, his father causes him to wear out his welcome, and he gets traded somewhere for pennies just as he's starting to figure it out.
 

Kliq

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Mar 31, 2013
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Could you imagine the hype if Lonzo goes for like, 40 tonight?
 

DJnVa

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Dec 16, 2010
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PJ Carlesimo would fit in here--said Tatum could be ROY.

I mean, he *could* be.
 

DJnVa

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Zizic looks a bit more active tonight, but REALLY slow start.
 

HowBoutDemSox

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Aug 12, 2009
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Tatum loves those mid-range shots. I know he can hit them, but hopefully Brad can teach him how to be more efficient in his shot selection.
 

DJnVa

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Dec 16, 2010
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More ESPN goodness: "Lakers have 3 FGs, Lonzo has 3 assists."

So I guess he assisted his own three pointer.
 

DJnVa

Dorito Dawg
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Dec 16, 2010
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"Lakers showing a lot of resilience after a disappointing loss last night."

Disappointing loss.

Summer league.