Chris Sale (plus $17mil) traded to Atlanta for Vaughn Grissom

A quick glance at Braves forums and they hate the trade. Seems like an overpay in our favor.
Which Braves forums are you looking at? At my own preferred Braves site, the most-recommended posts are pretty positive about the trade:

https://www.batterypower.com/2023/12/30/24019955/atlanta-braves-to-acquire-chris-sale

Very much down on Grissom's defense, noting that he didn't have a place on the roster as currently configured, and up on the idea that Sale doesn't need to pitch that many innings to add real value - albeit as long as they are the right (i.e., October) innings.
 

DJnVa

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But I never loved Chris Sale or really enjoyed rooting for him. For me, it’s:

1) (At this risk of reopening a can of worms, apologies) His selfish and anti-science refusal to be vaccinated in 2021 (especially when it meant he couldn’t pitch in Toronto). Terrible example particularly for a team leader and veteran being paid $30M.

2) His tantrum and destroying the clubhouse in Worcester in 2022 (?) after a bad rehab start. Again, both embarrassing and a terrible example for AAA players of how to act as a professional.

3) His failures in the 2021 stretch run and playoffs. He couldn’t deliver in those final 2 regular season games in Baltimore and Washington, and then he melted down against the Rays in the ALDS and didn’t do much against the Astros in the ALCS. He wasn’t fully healthy, of course, but I remember Pedro (an unfair comparison, I realize) and other aces gutting out games when he didn’t have his best stuff.
To each his own, but these reasons are all after he was here for a number of seasons and yet you said you "never" loved or enjoyed rooting for him. So, you didn't enjoy rooting for him when he was 29-12 the first 2 seasons, culminating in a WS?
 

CoffeeNerdness

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Rad trade. The Sox are finally breaking away from his terrible contract. Some say he was hell on wheels, but for 23 days in July, he's Atlanta's problem now.
 

DeJesus Built My Hotrod

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Which Braves forums are you looking at? At my own preferred Braves site, the most-recommended posts are pretty positive about the trade:

https://www.batterypower.com/2023/12/30/24019955/atlanta-braves-to-acquire-chris-sale

Very much down on Grissom's defense, noting that he didn't have a place on the roster as currently configured, and up on the idea that Sale doesn't need to pitch that many innings to add real value - albeit as long as they are the right (i.e., October) innings.
Given the question marks around both players, its hard to see a clear winner unless you are using models or whatever.

This trade feels like both teams effectively reallocated potential upside to align more with current needs.
 

Devizier

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Very much down on Grissom's defense, noting that he didn't have a place on the roster as currently configured, and up on the idea that Sale doesn't need to pitch that many innings to add real value - albeit as long as they are the right (i.e., October) innings.
That seems like the ticket. The Braves have made the playoffs for 6 straight seasons. They want to punch their ticket to another World Series. Buying a potential postseason ace is worth quite a lot to them. Grissom is a guy with a weird fit for their roster. Also didn't realize how huge Grissom is. At 6'3 he's two inches taller than Chase Utley.
 

Max Power

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That seems like the ticket. The Braves have made the playoffs for 6 straight seasons. They want to punch their ticket to another World Series. Buying a potential postseason ace is worth quite a lot to them. Grissom is a guy with a weird fit for their roster. Also didn't realize how huge Grissom is. At 6'3 he's two inches taller than Chase Utley.
Postseason ace? Did they trade for Eovaldi?
 

YTF

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What’s his current injury? People go way over the top with this, but whatever. The Braves just bet a decent prospect on him making some reasonable number of starts. They have his medicals.
Honestly I see this as a win/win/win. Sox move Sale, perhaps less cash than some might have thought it would take and get a pretty good prospect in return, the Braves get a guy who is no worse than a #3 now when he's healthy for short cash and Sale moves on to one of the best organizations in baseball with the opportunity were the only expectations are to come in and do his best with an incredibly talented team backing him up.
 

chrisfont9

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Honestly I see this as a win/win/win. Sox move Sale, perhaps less cash than some might have thought it would take and get a pretty good prospect in return, the Braves get a guy who is no worse than a #3 now when he's healthy for short cash and Sale moves on to one of the best organizations in baseball with the opportunity were the only expectations are to come in and do his best with an incredibly talented team backing him up.
Yeah, agree. They have a margin of error to handle a guy who hasn’t made all his starts in a while. Gambling on the upside but not hurt if it doesn’t happen. I’m fine with him going, even though I was probably more comfortable than some counting on him. Even if his health holds up, he hasn’t been irreplaceable in terms of his quality. And we don’t have the same error margin if he does miss time.
 

brandonchristensen

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I loved pre-2019 Sale. The extension was a disaster but that wasn’t his fault - that was Dombrowski.

He was a total gamer for several seasons and gave us flashes to the best ace we have had since Pedro.

His current iteration won’t be missed, but I will still root for him to dominate in Atlanta. Few pitchers can fool a hitter like Chris Fuckin Sale.
 

Whoop-La White

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I never thought of Sale as tradeable so the fact that Breslow was able to pull this off feels like a coup. Grissom seems to show good command of the strike zone which is impressive for someone as young as he is. The power may come around. I admittedly get bullish on prospects (especially when they’re acquired from other teams for aging parts), but Grissom looks like he could be cemented at 2B for a while. I am elated by this move.
 

DennyDoyle'sBoil

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I think some of the exuberance from this trade is coming from looking back on what an albatross this deal had been in the last few years. At this point in time, Sale’s contract was actually quite good. We had waited out the bad deal and were left with a really good deal for a pitcher who can occasionally be really good. Given what we just had to do for Giolito I feel like the 2025 club option is being way undervalued. Sale is essentially on a 2/47 deal with a club opt out after the first year. Atlanta is getting 2/30 with a club opt out. Even if he only pitches 80-100 innings, that is not bad, and if more that is a steal.

I’m glad we turned it into something potentially awesome, but getting rid of Sale was nowhere near the priority this year that it was before — to the contrary we had done our time and finally were looking at it paying off.

There are lots of ways to define paying off, and Grissom seems like a good one but this is hardly lopsided.
 

kazuneko

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Whether this trade works for the Sox all depends on Grissom's glove. If he can competently field at 2b, this could really help them next season, If he can't, it seems like all they did is pick up a right-handed Valdez, which is not what this team needs.
In the big picture, and if we assume the team is not going to be a championship contender next year, this at least saves them some money while getting good value for a player who was almost certainly gone next season.
 

Petagine in a Bottle

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I think some of the exuberance from this trade is coming from looking back on what an albatross this deal had been in the last few years. At this point in time, Sale’s contract was actually quite good. We had waited out the bad deal and were left with a really good deal for a pitcher who can occasionally be really good. Given what we just had to do for Giolito I feel like the 2025 club option is being way undervalued. Sale is essentially on a 2/47 deal with a club opt out after the first year. Atlanta is getting 2/30 with a club opt out. Even if he only pitches 80-100 innings, that is not bad, and if more that is a steal.

I’m glad we turned it into something potentially awesome, but getting rid of Sale was nowhere near the priority this year that it was before — to the contrary we had done our time and finally were looking at it paying off.

There are lots of ways to define paying off, and Grissom seems like a good one but this is hardly lopsided.
Yeah good points- even with the limited innings, Sale was more than 2x as valuable as Giolito last year, and projected to be worth more this year. Of course, it’s all about what happens next and it seems likely that a long term SP is added relatively soon. Fascinating deal for a lot of reasons.
 

catomatic

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I'm sure others here could offer more, but in the games I saw Grissom seemed pretty big and bulky (especially as a 21/22 year old) to stick as a middle infielder. Not unathletic or slow, just not really a smooth shifty MI type.

Looked like a 3B/LF type to me, at least long term. Devers obviously is at 3B for the time being, but maybe he will get some time out in LF. Could potentially be a bat-first utility guy until they decide on his role. Maybe he is the starting 2B this year, but my hunch is that he won't be there long term.

The bat has a chance to be legit good, 0.899 OPS age 21 in A+/AA and 0.921 OPS age 22 in AAA. He stunk in the majors in 2023, but small sample. Definitely at least a chance he is a .850+ guy with OK D in left field. Maybe he will force a similar Yoshida subsidized trade in a year.
Crazy talk, I know, but given his size, power potential, handedness and arm strength, would RF be a logical landing spot for him with the Sox?

Edit; I’m working on a couple of assumptions, including Yoshida > DH, Duran > LF and the initial impression that Grissom’s ceiling projects to be higher than Abreu’s. News to no one but Grissom at 6’3” is ungodly big for 2B and subpar lateral quickness suggests OF. Good arm, right?
 
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Big Papi's Mango Salsa

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I adore this trade. Easily the most I’ve agreed with any decision made by a Red Sox executive since the Bogaerts extension back in 2019, and nothing else is remotely close.

Grissom should be a pretty good bet to cover 2b for the next 6 seasons. Were none eligible to be ranked as a prospect, he’d likely be either 3rd or 4th in the system right now.

Here’s the odd thing - I also think this makes sense for Atl. They’re an almost sure fire playoff team, and at most they are depending on Sale to be maybe SP5 (Strider, Fried, Morton, Elder and Sale). His upside is of course immense, but if he pitches his customary 12 games, they also have AJ Smith Shuster waiting in the wings.

Grissom is an excellent hitter (I liked the Pedroia lite comparison) but isn‘t capable of handling SS defensively. He cannot be moved to 2b because of Albies. I think he would have been fine as a Benintendi like LF, but their line up is so disgustingly good that he can be moved for the upside (even like a 20% chance they get it) of Sale.

But Breslow moved one season of Chris Sale (on a team that is / was highly unlikely to make the playoffs anyway) for a built in 2b of the future that could shift to LF if need be. I do find it odd for anyone to say he “doesn’t have the bat” to be a corner OF.

At 21 he had a 146 wRC+ in A+, a 147 wRC+ in AA and at 22 in AAA it was a 135 wRC+. For comparison, Casas (I think we all like) had a 142 wRC+ in AA at 21 and a 127 wRC+ at age 22 in AAA. So at each stop, at the same age and same level, Grissom was a better offensive player than Casas. He just provided that value much differently.

I adore this deal so much that it makes me feel bad about complaining about only giving Gio a one year deal. If the Red Sox do literally nothing else this off season, I’d give the off-season on the whole a B grade. This is the most inspired, ballsy, well thought out move I’ve seen the Red Sox make in half a decade. It’s awesome.

Aside - a really close friend is a huge Braves fan. He is livid…
 
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soxhop411

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"You have to give to get. Ideally, you keep all the players you love and move the other ones, but we weren't gonna be able to get a guy like Chris Sale unless Vaughn was the guy going the other way," said Anthopoulos.


"You're not gonna find a better human being. The makeup is as good as it gets. [He's al high-energy player, makes people around him better, can flat hit, tremendous bat-to-ball skills. ... He's absolutely ready to be an everyday player at the big-league level right now. And this is a great opportunity for him in his career. I don't want to speak for the Red Sox and their plan for him, but my understanding is he'll get a great opportunity there.
https://www.bostonglobe.com/2023/12/30/sports/chris-sale-red-sox-trade/?event=event25
 

DeadlySplitter

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I don’t understand the thoughts Sale’s deal now is likely to be a good one. The elite stuff is probably gone. His median value on an aggregator like BTV is -5.7 for a reason.
- most likely, on average, the contract is still underwater.

He’s more likely to have another stress fracture in spring training than dominate in 2024, in my estimation.
 

radsoxfan

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I don’t understand the thoughts Sale’s deal now is likely to be a good one. The elite stuff is probably gone. His median value on an aggregator like BTV is -5.7 for a reason.
I don't know the details about the aggregators.... but wasn't that based on him making 27.5M?

So in that case 1/10M is a great deal for Atlanta.
 

RS2004foreever

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I think some of the exuberance from this trade is coming from looking back on what an albatross this deal had been in the last few years. At this point in time, Sale’s contract was actually quite good. We had waited out the bad deal and were left with a really good deal for a pitcher who can occasionally be really good. Given what we just had to do for Giolito I feel like the 2025 club option is being way undervalued. Sale is essentially on a 2/47 deal with a club opt out after the first year. Atlanta is getting 2/30 with a club opt out. Even if he only pitches 80-100 innings, that is not bad, and if more that is a steal.

I’m glad we turned it into something potentially awesome, but getting rid of Sale was nowhere near the priority this year that it was before — to the contrary we had done our time and finally were looking at it paying off.

There are lots of ways to define paying off, and Grissom seems like a good one but this is hardly lopsided.
I agree with this. On the hand Sale's mere presence on the roster was an albatross - we where always in wait mode.

I am scared to type this, but I think the next step may be to sign Paxton (who made no sense on a roster with Sale).
 

DennyDoyle'sBoil

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I don’t understand the thoughts Sale’s deal now is likely to be a good one. The elite stuff is probably gone. His median value on an aggregator like BTV is -5.7 for a reason.
- most likely, on average, the contract is still underwater.

He’s more likely to have another stress fracture in spring training than dominate in 2024, in my estimation.
If he is truly injury prone, he’s not worth much. But I do think that people are underestimating the 2025 club option. Some have even gone so far as to say that Atlanta is only getting a “one year” player.

Given what we have just seen happen with Giolito, Sale would need to be really awful in 2024 to not have Atlanta exercise the 2025 option. A 1/20 option for a potential starter with upside in 2025 is very good.

When the Red Sox gave Sale the opt outs, some of what they bought back was a very cost controlled 2025 option if they wanted it. It is worth something, and now it belongs to Atlanta.
 

DeadlySplitter

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I don't know the details about the aggregators.... but wasn't that based on him making 27.5M?

So in that case 1/10M is a great deal for Atlanta.
Hmmph, fine. I bet that has the club option baked in too.

My main gripe is the diminished stuff. In his peak he could be “effectively wild” when that crazy slider hit a right handed hitter, he can’t get out of those as much anymore without 95+ consistently.

He got that stress fracture presumably because his lanky body couldn’t handle full-time pitching again. Just so many question marks that I don’t mind having to not think about again given we got a fringe top 100 prospect with full control back.
 

radsoxfan

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Hmmph, fine. I bet that has the club option baked in too.

My main gripe is the diminished stuff. In his peak he could be “effectively wild” when that crazy slider hit a right handed hitter, he can’t get out of those as much anymore without 95+ consistently.

He got that stress fracture presumably because his lanky body couldn’t handle full-time pitching again. Just so many question marks that I don’t mind having to not think about again given we got a fringe top 100 prospect with full control back.
Agree about the stress fracture concerns and the real possibility he will never have a mostly healthy season again. Low floor, high ceiling risky guy for sure.

The aggregator is probably in the ballpark here. I bet Breslow had to subsidize Sale a bit regardless (maybe 5-10M or so?) to get out from his deal in a generic trade for complete non prospects. He then paid an extra on top of that to get someone who could be useful back.
 

radsoxfan

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If he is truly injury prone, he’s not worth much. But I do think that people are underestimating the 2025 club option. Some have even gone so far as to say that Atlanta is only getting a “one year” player.

Given what we have just seen happen with Giolito, Sale would need to be really awful in 2024 to not have Atlanta exercise the 2025 option. A 1/20 option for a potential starter with upside in 2025 is very good.

When the Red Sox gave Sale the opt outs, some of what they bought back was a very cost controlled 2025 option if they wanted it. It is worth something, and now it belongs to Atlanta.
The option definitely adds some value for Atlanta, no doubt about that. But there is also a decent chance it's not picked up.

In the last 4 seasons Sale has pitched 0, 42, 5, and 102 innings. Certainly if he is over 100 IP again and pitches decently he might get it picked up.

But its not getting picked up if he's bad OR he can't pitch much. And the chances he can't pitch much are pretty high. Plus he will be 36 years old in 2025.
 

kazuneko

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Agree. I think this is a terrific move and certainly willing to see him as our 2B. Maybe I’m overthinking it, but I wonder about the defensive questions, especially if he hasn’t been playing there this winter.

It seems like the sort of trade you make regardless, especially if Breslow is intent on changing the culture, but it wouldn’t be a total surprise to see Grissom flipped again. He’s an asset with value on par with Kyle Teel, according to BTV, higher than Rafaela. And while Grissom’s six years of control is great, we only need a 2B until Mayer or Yorke are ready, possibly as soon as this year.

It would be terrific work to turn Sale (and $17M) into a legitimate trade chip.
Yeah, I agree. That said, I think this looks like a move that is more about a focus on the nebulous "future" than on winning next year and that goes against what a lot of Sox fans wanted this offseason. Chris Sale led the team in FIP last year (among starters) and, despite his limitations, was one of the few +2 fWAR players on a team that is in desperate need of starting pitching. If Sale can do something similar next year, it seems pretty likely that Sale will be the more valuable player than Grissom in 24' (especially when you consider Grissom's defensive problems). But Grissom is still young and the team has 6 years of control, so he has more value long-term. So yeah, this trade (in a vacuum) makes it look like the team will continue to focus on building assets for the future, even if that goes against contention next season. That's fine by me, as I don't think this team is good enough to realistically compete next year, either way, but I worry that there might be a lot of disgruntled fans if these type of moves is all that comes out of the offseason.
 

GruberTaggedHim

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I apologize. I don't have time to read all of the posts. Is this anything but a great deal for the Sox? (Except I suppose they better find another starter, preferably one who doesn't break if you breathe on him wrong)
 

zenax

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One does wonder why the Sox don't have a high ranking 2B prospect in the minors? 2017 was Pedroia's last season and since then they have had five different players lead the team in games played at that position in six years, most of whom were released after the season or the following season and one was a shortstop playing 2B while recovering from an injury.
 
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Jed Zeppelin

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Yeah, I agree. That said, I think this looks like a move that is more about a focus on the nebulous "future" than on winning next year and that goes against what a lot of Sox fans wanted this offseason. Chris Sale led the team in FIP last year (among starters) and, despite his limitations, was one of the few +2 fWAR players on a team that is in desperate need of starting pitching. If Sale can do something similar next year, it seems pretty likely that Sale will be the more valuable player than Grissom in 24' (especially when you consider Grissom's defensive problems). But Grissom is still young and the team has 6 years of control, so he has more value long-term. So yeah, this trade (in a vacuum) makes it look like the team will continue to focus on building assets for the future, even if that goes against contention next season. That's fine by me, as I don't think this team is good enough to realistically compete next year, either way, but I worry that there might be a lot of disgruntled fans if these type of moves is all that comes out of the offseason.
I think this is a pretty good summation but I really like that he is a 2b option. Lots of discussion this offseason about signing or trading for one. I much prefer this path for the upside alone, whatever position he ends up at.

I agree they aren’t in great position to be picky, if you can get a good prospect for Chris Sale without having to eat the whole deal, you take it.
 

buckner's_ankles

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Thrilled with this deal.

We gave up one year of a broken-down, anti-vax SP in exchange for six cost-controlled years of a young player with lots of offensive upside. Grissom might hit enough and/or be good enough defensively this year to warrant staying as our starting 2B. If not, he's still got significant value either at another position or as a trade chip.

Several of us were recently hoping to see Sale, Martin, Jansen and/or Pivetta dealt for players who might contribute more (directly or indirectly) to a contending team in 2025. Here's hoping that Craig continues on this path.

Of course, all of my current good feelings about this team will go out the window if they flip Grissom in a GFIN move.
 

catomatic

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One does wonder why the Sox don't have a high ranking 2B prospect in the minors? 017 was Pedroia's last season and since then they have had five different players lead the team in games played at that position in six years, most of whom were released after the season or the following season and one was a shortstop playing 2B while recovering from an injury.
Remember too that they whiffed pretty hard on one by the name of Jeter Downs.
 

Fishercat

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One does wonder why the Sox don't have a high ranking 2B prospect in the minors? 2017 was Pedroia's last season and since then they have had five different players lead the team in games played at that position in six years, most of whom were released after the season or the following season and one was a shortstop playing 2B while recovering from an injury.
They have Nick Yorke, a 2020 1st round pick in the Sox Top 10 prospects who has flirted with Top 100 lists. I believe Duran and Raffaela had also flirted with MI play as well. I think a lot of teams aim for SS and bounce them out if needed
 

Yelling At Clouds

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One does wonder why the Sox don't have a high ranking 2B prospect in the minors? 2017 was Pedroia's last season and since then they have had five different players lead the team in games played at that position in six years, most of whom were released after the season or the following season and one was a shortstop playing 2B while recovering from an injury.
Presumably, Nick Yorke was set to start the season at AAA, though now he's a(n even more) logical trade candidate. Of course, opinions vary on him, too.

Also there was a time that Trevor Story was going to own the position. Guess he still may.
 

Fishercat

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Ale Xander

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One does wonder why the Sox don't have a high ranking 2B prospect in the minors? 2017 was Pedroia's last season and since then they have had five different players lead the team in games played at that position in six years, most of whom were released after the season or the following season and one was a shortstop playing 2B while recovering from an injury.
They have Nick Yorke and Mikey Romero but they're not ready for the big leagues yet.
 

grepal

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I mean, I'm an idiot, but I'm hopeful.

You want to get nuts? Let's get nuts. --- we now include Kenley in a trade, move Martin or Houck to closer, and we have plenty of money to get two front end starters and someone like Teoscar Hernandez.
I think Pivetta could be a legit closer.
 

Jed Zeppelin

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One does wonder why the Sox don't have a high ranking 2B prospect in the minors? 2017 was Pedroia's last season and since then they have had five different players lead the team in games played at that position in six years, most of whom were released after the season or the following season and one was a shortstop playing 2B while recovering from an injury.
I wouldn’t discard Yorke as a prospect. He has been streaky and a bit hampered by injuries but he still has promise and his defense is serviceable.

When it comes to prospects, 2b is kind of an odd position because you don’t have a lot of true 2b who are drafted as such and play there (at least not exclusively) in the minors.

There’s a decent chance we pull at least one decent 2b prospect out of Bloom’s tenure dominated by middle infield picks.
 

astrozombie

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Given the division I've seen on these boards of late, it's nice to see a transaction that's almost universally approved.
 

SoxinSeattle

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So why did they go get Kelenic, then?

Edit; To sum up the linked piece quoting Anthopoulos, he’s great, we love him, he can flat hit and should be an everyday player in MLB, right now.
This is a good point. Kelenic has a ton of question marks, and less team control than Grissom. The Braves lineup has some handedness issues with Grissom but it’s not a slam dunk from their end.

The full set of deals since November (with KC, LAA, PIT, SEA, and BOS) from Atlanta’s perspective:

In: Jarred Kelenic (FA 2029), Chris Sale (1/$27.5M), David Fletcher (2/$14M), PTBNL or cash from CHW, PTBNL from PIT, $17 million from BOS, $4.5 million from SEA

Out: Vaughn Grissom, Kyle Wright, Cole Phillips, Tyler Thomas
It's a good question on why they preferred Kelenic over Grissom. Probably because Kelenic was cheap and it allowed them to trade Grissom for needed pitching. Also I suppose Kelenic has that theoretical upside that folks in Seattle got sick of dreaming about.

This is the move we have been waiting for. Fills a need and gives management a better idea on who they can trade for more pitching. LFG.