Tim Duncan 'leaning strongly' toward retirement

jon abbey

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Top ten alltime player and probably my least favorite player of all time. Please go away already, and congrats on a great career.
 

Soxfan in Fla

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Top ten alltime player and probably my least favorite player of all time. Please go away already, and congrats on a great career.
Seriously? How can you not like Duncan? Whatever, I'll just chalk it up to being a Yankee fan.

As for Duncan, he was a shell of himself by the playoffs. This isn't a surprise.
 

tbrep

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Stayed one year too long. Would have preferred him to have retired after that epic Spurs-Clippers series.

Definitely top-10 all-time player and I'd put him just below Kobe as the best player of his generation.
 

jon abbey

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Plenty of people don't like Duncan's game, it's entirely devoid of flair. Again, top ten alltime player, couldn't have more respect for him, never ever ever want to watch him play for a single minute, dullest superstar in history (to be fair, I didn't see George Mikan).

Russell Westbrook has been my favorite NBA player for a bunch of years now, if that helps you see my perspective at all.
 

CreedBratton

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Top 10 all time. Greater than Kobe In my mind and a joy to watch. Played the game the right way. All time winner. As exciting as curry? Obviously not, but if you love basketball you should have loved watching him. Going to be weird if he's not in the league
 

BigSoxFan

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Top 10 all time. Greater than Kobe In my mind and a joy to watch. Played the game the right way. All time winner. As exciting as curry? Obviously not, but if you love basketball you should have loved watching him. Going to be weird if he's not in the league
Yup. We've had this discussion but I put him and Kobe basically equal and probably give the slight edge to Duncan. Kobe had more peak seasons but I think Duncan's peak was about as good as it gets for a big man.
 

Tangled Up In Red

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Yup. We've had this discussion but I put him and Kobe basically equal and probably give the slight edge to Duncan. Kobe had more peak seasons but I think Duncan's peak was about as good as it gets for a big man.
Easily top 10. Best pure PF ever. Class player, class act and proven champion. Was a joy to watch, particularly in the age in which he played.
 

ishmael

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Top 10 all time. Greater than Kobe In my mind and a joy to watch. Played the game the right way. All time winner. As exciting as curry? Obviously not, but if you love basketball you should have loved watching him. Going to be weird if he's not in the league
I've been watching TD since Marcus Camby got the best of him in a UMass-Wake Forest matchup way back in 1996. Duncan (who was described as quiet even back then) went on to play an extra college season and has since racked up more than 56,000 minutes: #6 all time in win shares, #3 all time for playoff win shares. One of the best and certainly one of the most consistent to ever play the game.
 

Gunfighter 09

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Yup. We've had this discussion but I put him and Kobe basically equal and probably give the slight edge to Duncan. Kobe had more peak seasons but I think Duncan's peak was about as good as it gets for a big man.
All true, but Kobe's Lakers were 4-2 over Duncan's Spurs in playoff series.

I wonder how much longer Pop sticks around after Duncan. The only parallel with a coach and player staying together so long and achieving such success is Brady and Belichick, and Iike BB, I have a hard time seeing Pop sticking around much longer once his Captain on the court and in the locker room leaves.
 

mt8thsw9th

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That's completely insane that anyone would rank him below Kobe. Never flashy, but just efficiently great.

He never raped anyone, either, so point, Duncan.
 

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All true, but Kobe's Lakers were 4-2 over Duncan's Spurs in playoff series.

I wonder how much longer Pop sticks around after Duncan. The only parallel with a coach and player staying together so long and achieving such success is Brady and Belichick, and Iike BB, I have a hard time seeing Pop sticking around much longer once his Captain on the court and in the locker room leaves.
Pop is 67 so he'll probably hang it up pretty soon regardless but the window for titles is still open with Aldridge and Kawhi.
 

mauf

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All true, but Kobe's Lakers were 4-2 over Duncan's Spurs in playoff series.

I wonder how much longer Pop sticks around after Duncan. The only parallel with a coach and player staying together so long and achieving such success is Brady and Belichick, and Iike BB, I have a hard time seeing Pop sticking around much longer once his Captain on the court and in the locker room leaves.
The Spurs and Lakers won five titles each, but Kobe had more help than Duncan; he was only the best player on two of those five title teams, and the criminally underrated Pau Gasol was a better player in his prime than Parker or Ginobili (or maybe even the Admiral in the twilight of his career).

I agree that Pop is nearing the end. Does he have a handpicked successor in place? If so, he might choose to leave sooner than later, giving his successor the best possible chance to succeed. If he doesn't have much stake in who the Spurs' next coach is, however, then I'd expect him to coach a couple more seasons, which is about how long I expect this Spurs team's window to remain open.
 

Murby

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Has been my favorite player outside of Pierce. He's understated, he was exceedingly good, and he didn't feel the need to bring all this unnecessary attention to himself. Boring? Yes, but pleasantly boring and great at fundamental basketball.
 

Kliq

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If you pick Kobe over Duncan you are valuing image and often-meaningless statistics over things like consistency, defense, teamwork and production. I guess Kobe has five rings and he scored a lot of points so that gets him in the conversation, but really, if you were a player/coach/GM/owner, who would you have rather had for the last 18 years as the cornerstone of your franchise? It's not really up for debate. Kobe may have won more head-to-head series, but Duncan would have never in a million years played for teams as bad as some of Kobe's Laker teams have been. He also didn't chase away every single relevant teammate he has had over his career.

Duncan might be boring, but really only if you are part of the Sportscenter/first take crowd. I find it hard to believe that anyone that truly appreciates hoops can find him boring at all. For starters, he is a fucking genius. In his prime Duncan mastered the fine line between getting everyone else involved and knowing when to take over better than anybody else except LeBron and Bird. KG might have had more natural talent than Duncan but he never really understood that concept, which really proved to be a difference in their careers. He also has a fun offensive game, filled with old-school herky-jerk post moves and a reliable banker that nobody else in the NBA possessed. In addition, Duncan and Hakeem are really the only two in the conversation for "best help defender since the merger" even as he aged into his 40s, advanced metrics still valued him as an incredible defender.
 

coremiller

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Duncan also had the misfortune to peak during the NBA's stylistic nadir. The 99-05 years were a deadball era and a lot of those playoff games he was dominating were just not much fun to watch, which I think has hurt how he's been viewed historically.
 

jon abbey

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I was going to stop, but too many people with the "you can't love the NBA and not love Duncan perspective":

but if you love basketball you should have loved watching him.
Duncan might be boring, but really only if you are part of the Sportscenter/first take crowd. I find it hard to believe that anyone that truly appreciates hoops can find him boring at all. For starters, he is a fucking genius. In his prime Duncan mastered the fine line between getting everyone else involved and knowing when to take over better than anybody else except LeBron and Bird.
To Kliq first, Jordan was the best ever at that, better than LBJ or Bird or Duncan or whoever, it might have been his best attribute.

But back to Duncan, no one is saying he wasn't an incredible player, I said that repeatedly, but for me it's like watching a perfectly programmed robot. To the "if you love basketball, you should have loved watching him" crowd: presumably you guys are all huge WNBA fans, because their fundamentals at their best are fantastic (seriously). What I value in the NBA (which has been my favorite league/sport to follow since I was a young teenager in the late seventies) is athleticism and improvisation. The Spurs have always played a very unselfish team game and outside of Tony Parker in his prime, it's a style I don't enjoy watching, and it's led by Duncan, the least enjoyable superstar to watch since I've been a fan. Again, Russell Westbrook has been my favorite player for years, flaws and all, I just love watching the way that he plays. I'm not trying to convince anyone else, just my perspective.
 

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jon,

Did you find Duncan boring because of his game, personality, combination of both? Your position isn't unfair but just trying to better understand it.
 

jon abbey

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Duncan also had the misfortune to peak during the NBA's stylistic nadir. The 99-05 years were a deadball era and a lot of those playoff games he was dominating were just not much fun to watch, which I think has hurt how he's been viewed historically.
1999-2004 maybe, 2005 had the Amare/Marion/Quentin Richardson/Joe Johnson/Nash version of "Seven Seconds or Less", one of the most enjoyable teams I've ever seen. Of course they lost 4-1 in the Western Conference Finals to Duncan and the Spurs, at least in part because Joe Johnson missed the first two games (two home losses for PHX) and they had no real depth and couldn't compensate.

http://www.realclearsports.com/lists/devastating_playoff_injuries/joe_johnson.html?state=stop
 

jon abbey

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jon,

Did you find Duncan boring because of his game, personality, combination of both? Your position isn't unfair but just trying to better understand it.
Mostly the on-court stuff, the personality didn't help but I wouldn't have cared about that if I enjoyed watching him play.
 

jon abbey

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Tim Duncan, Karl Malone or Kevin McHale (at their respective peaks) at PF for the "must win one game" team?
Duncan, and I kind of don't think it's close. He was dominant on both ends, Malone was never an exceptional defender and McHale was more of an insanely good #2 guy a la James Worthy.
 

coremiller

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1999-2004 maybe, 2005 had the Amare/Marion/Quentin Richardson/Joe Johnson/Nash version of "Seven Seconds or Less", one of the most enjoyable teams I've ever seen. Of course they lost 4-1 in the Western Conference Finals to Duncan and the Spurs, at least in part because Joe Johnson missed the first two games (two home losses for PHX) and they had no real depth and couldn't compensate.

http://www.realclearsports.com/lists/devastating_playoff_injuries/joe_johnson.html?state=stop
2005 was the turning point, but the Suns were the only team really playing that way at the time, it took a few more years to filter out around the league. The 2005 Finals was a dreadful slugfest between San Antonio and Detroit in which there were only two games out of seven where both teams scored at least 80 points.
 

jon abbey

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2005 was the turning point, but the Suns were the only team really playing that way at the time, it took a few more years to filter out around the league. The 2005 Finals was a dreadful slugfest between San Antonio and Detroit in which there were only two games out of seven where both teams scored at least 80 points.
Yeah, "boa constrictor ball" I called it at the time. But again, that's on Duncan for knocking out an insanely fun team to watch. :)
 

ishmael

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All true, but Kobe's Lakers were 4-2 over Duncan's Spurs in playoff series.
Even in an individual sport* head to head matchups can be misleading, but the 4-2 record is absolute BS, since Shaq was in his prime and dominant on 3 of those Lakers teams. Without Shaq, Kobe-led teams often lost too early (or missed the playoffs completely) so they never could get smoked by San Antonio (which happened in 2013).

Duncan's peak was lower than both Shaq and Kobe, but his career was better. More wins, more rings, more playoff appearances, more playoff series wins, more MVPs, and more Finals MVPs.

*Tennis is the classic example here, where Federer has a dreadful 23-11 head to head record vs. Nadal, but has had the better overall career.
 

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And one of those playoff losses to the Lakers in 2004 was largely aided by that fluke 0.4 second shot by Fisher. The 2000-2002 Spurs were pretty old outside of Duncan. Parker didn't join until 2001 and he was 19. Ginobili didn't come until 2002. And, as someone mentioned, a healthy young Duncan never has seasons like Kobe's 2006 and 2007 seasons. We never really got to see what Duncan could drag a misfit roster to but I have to imagine it would have exceeded Kobe's capabilities in that department.
 

coremiller

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I'm not even sure Duncan had a lower peak than Kobe. I would take Duncan's 2002-2003 over Kobe's 2006-07. Kobe scored a lot more, but Duncan did just about everything else better and was a dominant defensive player at a more important defensive position.

Duncan hung around so long and was so consistent that I think his prime has gotten underrated. Worth noting that Prime Duncan did not have good teammates. The 2003 Spurs are maybe the worst modern squad to win a title -- after Duncan their rotation had a 20-year-old raw Tony Parker, a washed up David Robinson in his last season, Stephen Jackson (their third leading scorer), Bruce Bowen, Malik Rose, and Manu Ginobili in his rookie year (averaged 7.6 points in 21 mpg). They still managed to beat the Shaq/Kobe Lakers and the Nash/Nowitzki/Finley Mavs in the playoffs, with Duncan averaging 20.9 ppg/13.0 rpg/4.5 apg/2.8 bpg. Only the first Olajuwon title really compares in terms of one guy dragging a pile of mediocrity to a championship.
 

Kliq

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I was going to stop, but too many people with the "you can't love the NBA and not love Duncan perspective":





To Kliq first, Jordan was the best ever at that, better than LBJ or Bird or Duncan or whoever, it might have been his best attribute.
I thought about adding "late-career Jordan" to that list. He didn't really understand that until later in his career, whereas the other guys pretty much understood it from the get-go.

Thanks CoreMiller for doing what I was about to do and that was point out how awful that 2002-03 Spurs team was outside of Duncan. Also Duncan closed out NJ that year with one of the greatest games ever, a near quadruple-double (21-20-10-8blks) but nobody ever talks about it because Duncan is "boring".

The best thing I can say about Duncan is that he is the closest thing we will ever get to Russell in the modern NBA.
 
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Gunfighter 09

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Even in an individual sport* head to head matchups can be misleading, but the 4-2 record is absolute BS, since Shaq was in his prime and dominant on 3 of those Lakers teams. Without Shaq, Kobe-led teams often lost too early (or missed the playoffs completely) so they never could get smoked by San Antonio (which happened in 2013).

Duncan's peak was lower than both Shaq and Kobe, but his career was better. More wins, more rings, more playoff appearances, more playoff series wins, more MVPs, and more Finals MVPs.
They both have 5 rings.
Kobe was gone with his torn Achilles for the 2013 playoff match up.

If you are penalizing Kobe for having Shaq, you should penalize Duncan for having Pop and only directly compare them when they each had an all time top 3 all time coach leading their team. Kobe w/ Phil was 4-1 in the Playoffs against Duncan w/ Pop only losing, largely because Shaq was fat, in 2003. Further, in Phil's 11 seasons, Kobe wen to 7 finals and won five titles, Duncan only went further than Kobe twice in those 11 years and won two titles in two finals appearances.

In terms of washing out early and keeping them from meeting each other, it happened both ways:

Seasons where they did not meet in the playoffs, but both teams were in it:

2012 - Lakers (under Mike Brown) out in the 2nd round, Spurs made it to the conference finals
2011 - Spurs washout in the first round as a 1 seed, Lakers lose to Dirk's title team
2010 - Spurs washout in the second round, while the Lakers win the title
2009 - Spurs washout in the first round, while the Lakers win the title
2007 - Lakers washout in the first round, while the Spurs win the title
2006 - Lakers washout in the first round, while Spurs lose as a 1 seed in the second round
2001 - Spurs washout in the first round, Lakers win the title
2000 - Spurs washout in the first round, Lakers win the title

Duncan was certainly more durable than Kobe, Kobe didn't finish the 05, 13,14 or 15 seasons. Duncan was also a much better team player and less of a coach killer than Kobe, managing to keep his great teams together and keep Pop with him for his entire career. But Duncan's peak was nowhere near as great as Kobe's, and in their prime, with both led by top coaches Kobe's teams dominated Duncan's. They are both somewhere between the top 5-10 all time, but choosing between them is really a matter of picking between a better peak or a better total resume. It will be cool to see them go into the HoF together, though Kobe will certainly care more about having to share the attention.
 

coremiller

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If you are penalizing Kobe for having Shaq, you should penalize Duncan for having Pop and only directly compare them when they each had an all time top 3 all time coach leading their team.
No you shouldn't. As great a coach as Pop is, there's no way he's nearly as valuable as prime-Shaq was.
 

djbayko

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I was going to stop, but too many people with the "you can't love the NBA and not love Duncan perspective":





To Kliq first, Jordan was the best ever at that, better than LBJ or Bird or Duncan or whoever, it might have been his best attribute.

But back to Duncan, no one is saying he wasn't an incredible player, I said that repeatedly, but for me it's like watching a perfectly programmed robot. To the "if you love basketball, you should have loved watching him" crowd: presumably you guys are all huge WNBA fans, because their fundamentals at their best are fantastic (seriously). What I value in the NBA (which has been my favorite league/sport to follow since I was a young teenager in the late seventies) is athleticism and improvisation. The Spurs have always played a very unselfish team game and outside of Tony Parker in his prime, it's a style I don't enjoy watching, and it's led by Duncan, the least enjoyable superstar to watch since I've been a fan. Again, Russell Westbrook has been my favorite player for years, flaws and all, I just love watching the way that he plays. I'm not trying to convince anyone else, just my perspective.
The argument strikes me as similar to when people claim they are more sophisticated music listeners because of the genre or artists they like. People are different, and it's a BS move in any subject area. The opinion that Duncan's brand of basketball is boring to watch isn't even an uncommon one.
 
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crystalline

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For starters, he is a fucking genius. In his prime Duncan mastered the fine line between getting everyone else involved and knowing when to take over better than anybody else except LeBron and Bird. KG might have had more natural talent than Duncan but he never really understood that concept, which really proved to be a difference in their careers. He also has a fun offensive game, filled with old-school herky-jerk post moves and a reliable banker that nobody else in the NBA possessed. In addition, Duncan and Hakeem are really the only two in the conversation for "best help defender since the merger"
Yes, exactly. Duncan never looked super athletic, but in the post he would reliably draw his defender off balance and bank the ball in. His defense was fun to watch too.
I always enjoyed watching Duncan more than even prime Shaq. Shaq was way quicker than any 300-pound man had any right to be, and his fast feet got him a lot of points. But after a while I felt Shaq moved more towards the raw power-and-speed, blast-with-hip-then-pivot-by game. Duncan did some hip-checking too but it was his bag of shoulder and pump fakes that got him by his man.
I think the zone game has hurt Duncan's post scoring a bit.
 

CreedBratton

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They both have 5 rings.
Kobe was gone with his torn Achilles for the 2013 playoff match up.

If you are penalizing Kobe for having Shaq, you should penalize Duncan for having Pop and only directly compare them when they each had an all time top 3 all time coach leading their team. Kobe w/ Phil was 4-1 in the Playoffs against Duncan w/ Pop only losing, largely because Shaq was fat, in 2003. Further, in Phil's 11 seasons, Kobe wen to 7 finals and won five titles, Duncan only went further than Kobe twice in those 11 years and won two titles in two finals appearances.

In terms of washing out early and keeping them from meeting each other, it happened both ways:

Seasons where they did not meet in the playoffs, but both teams were in it:

2012 - Lakers (under Mike Brown) out in the 2nd round, Spurs made it to the conference finals
2011 - Spurs washout in the first round as a 1 seed, Lakers lose to Dirk's title team
2010 - Spurs washout in the second round, while the Lakers win the title
2009 - Spurs washout in the first round, while the Lakers win the title
2007 - Lakers washout in the first round, while the Spurs win the title
2006 - Lakers washout in the first round, while Spurs lose as a 1 seed in the second round
2001 - Spurs washout in the first round, Lakers win the title
2000 - Spurs washout in the first round, Lakers win the title

Duncan was certainly more durable than Kobe, Kobe didn't finish the 05, 13,14 or 15 seasons. Duncan was also a much better team player and less of a coach killer than Kobe, managing to keep his great teams together and keep Pop with him for his entire career. But Duncan's peak was nowhere near as great as Kobe's, and in their prime, with both led by top coaches Kobe's teams dominated Duncan's. They are both somewhere between the top 5-10 all time, but choosing between them is really a matter of picking between a better peak or a better total resume. It will be cool to see them go into the HoF together, though Kobe will certainly care more about having to share the attention.
Duncan tore up his knee toward the end of 2000 and missed the playoffs. Gave the Lakers an easier road to the finals.
 

luckiestman

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What makes Duncan a PF? When I watched him(rarely) I thought he played center even if he wasn't listed as the C.
 

zenter

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What makes Duncan a PF? When I watched him(rarely) I thought he played center even if he wasn't listed as the C.
Back when Duncan joined the league, the ability to make midrange shots reliably but still rebound (without necessarily being a rim-protector) made you a PF, not C. Rim protection and strength down low typically made you a C. That's why the 6'9" Russell was a C. C was a position where offense was often optional.

The position names are a little bit silly now, however, as talent and skill are way ahead of what they were back then. Call him a PF/C.
 

jon abbey

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Also when he came into the league, the Spurs had David Robinson.
 

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Head and shoulders above Kobe. The contrast between the two only highlights how much better Duncan was.

Came in with an already established star on his team, and fit in even thouogh, unlike Kobe he was probably better right off the bat. He won a series of titles with different team mates, and found ways to make it work as players changed.

His coach often got credit for the wins, and he nver had petulant press conferences trying to refocus attention on himself.

He never opposed the signing of other high profile players, or worried Tony Parker or Manu were getting too much credit.

And of course he dominated, on both ends.