Silver Dollar - The Official NBA Betting Thread!

[Red Averages]

Tonight:

- NOP -3.5 vs GS. Golden State on a back-back, just beat Houston last night, after winning the first game of their road trip on Friday @ Kings. They are back at home on Wednesday. Fully expect them to look past this game and potentially rest Curry who looked bad yesterday outside of a 2 minute stretch when he went unconscious from 3 to ruin my Rockets +6 bets.
- Under NOP/GS 228.5. Same reasons.
- Under 109.5 Wiz team total. Expecting a Celtics blowout tonight and prefer to play this to express it.
- Under 232.2 Minn/Atl game. Atlanta just blew out Mil on the road last night. Meanwhile Minn has two games this year: 191 and 196 total points in each. This line opened at 235 and has already been bet down 2.5 points. Expect it to keep moving.
- Under 227.5 Jazz/Den game. Den played an afternoon game in OKC yesterday
- Under 225.5 Det/OKC. OKC on a back-back, line opened 228, I'll go with the movement. Expect a better effort from them in this game after getting blown out yesterday.
- Under 218.5 Orl/LAL. Orlando has played two games this year, the totals were 197 and 202. Lakers played last night... in OT. LeBron played 39 min, AD 42.

 

[HomeRunBaker]

Maxed Orlando +2 everywhere I could as a pure middle. I expect them to close -5 once the Lakers inactives are released. You won't find mispriced numbers like this every day. Floor is capped as a buyback is easily executed if the unexpected occurs

 

[Red Averages]

Can get some good leverage on ORL + Under if that's your view too.

 

[HomeRunBaker]

Can get some good leverage on ORL + Under if that's your view too.

Wood replacing Davis defensively and anyone > LeBron Pace.....I'm not touching that one.

 

[HomeRunBaker]

Preparing to buy out of Magic play. Aside from that I've been out of town working on something all day and not engaged. There are so many great spots but many variables so I'm steering clear for the night. I really want to play OKC coming off the blowout and Memphis in the spot of the year but as I've warned about them they may be a complete shitshow. I like Pelicans and Celtics TT Over they may go for 125-130 themselves....probably like Over too.

 

[Oil Can Dan]

When do the Lakers inactives come out?

 

[Red Averages]

Klay Thompson and Jonathan Kuminga are both OUT tonight in New Orleans. Ingram out for NO. That O/U is down to 219 now.

 

[Red Averages]

When do the Lakers inactives come out?

Rui Hachimura (left eye contusion) has been downgraded to out for Monday’s matchup with Orlando.
Hachimura was initially listed as probable for this game before being downgraded to doubtful and then eventually ruled out. In his absence, Christian Wood will be the primary backup big for the Lakers. He only played 14 minutes in their last game, but he should play a significant role in this game.

 

[HomeRunBaker]

When do the Lakers inactives come out?

Whenever they want them to.

 

[Red Averages]

LeBron is playing. View: https://twitter.com/khobi_price/status/1719171306850259160?s=20

 

[HomeRunBaker]

You're going want to get this early in morning if not overnight. Big bet.

* Under 227 Spurs/Suns

I feel the Spurs are a sneaky Under team and I know the Suns are between their deliberate pace couple with bad math for Overs. I also wonder how much of an effect Wemby will have on the Suns midrange game. My number is literally nearly 10 pts off. There is only one logical way the line can move.

 

[HomeRunBaker]

Going to begin peaking at some futures.

* I know you guys have access to all these weird future markets. Let me know if you come across any Tyrese Maxey All-Star, All-NBA, Scoring Champ props.

* What are best prices you see for Atlanta and Orlando to win Southeast Division....as well as Dallas and New Orleans to win the Southwest? Pure fades on Miami and Memphis while you still can.

 

[Red Averages]

Maxey is +225 for most improved player. Can’t find any all-star stuff.

Hawks +200 / ORL +220
Dal +130 / NOP +150
The above is FD. Likely can be improved.

 

[HomeRunBaker]

Maxey is +225 for most improved player. Can’t find any all-star stuff.

Hawks +200 / ORL +220
Dal +130 / NOP +150
The above is FD. Likely can be improved.

You can probably play each of those division teams profitably by shopping around but way too short to be tying up money/credit. Maxey and Duran would seem to be on the early short list. I wonder how Cade would be viewed by voters by being injured.

 

[Mloaf71]

Maxey is +225 for most improved player. Can’t find any all-star stuff.

Hawks +200 / ORL +220
Dal +130 / NOP +150
The above is FD. Likely can be improved.

I see Magic +550 on DraftKings otherwise everything is basically the same as RA posted.

Adding on Caesars Maxey Scoring Champ +3000

 

[Jim Ed Rice in HOF]

Going to begin peaking at some futures.

* I know you guys have access to all these weird future markets. Let me know if you come across any Tyrese Maxey All-Star, All-NBA, Scoring Champ props.

* What are best prices you see for Atlanta and Orlando to win Southeast Division....as well as Dallas and New Orleans to win the Southwest? Pure fades on Miami and Memphis while you still can.

For Maxey on Caesars I see +3000 scoring champ, +175 most improved. Nothing on AS or all-NBA. On MGM, Maxey is +200 for MIP

Atl is +220, Magic are +400; NO is +175, Dallasis +185. These are all MGM.

 

[HomeRunBaker]

For Maxey on Caesars I see +3000 scoring champ, +175 most improved. Nothing on AS or all-NBA. On MGM, Maxey is +200 for MIP

Atl is +220, Magic are +400; NO is +175, Dallasis +185. These are all MGM.

I would grab some of that 30-1 for sure even if it's just a sprinkle. It's value even with Embiid but if he ever went down that number could drop to like 5-1 in no time. Put it this way...the +3000 isn't going any higher and he's breaking out this year.

Magic +400 with a Hawks hedge is tasty too.

 

[HomeRunBaker]

You're going want to get this early in morning if not overnight. Big bet.

* Under 227 Spurs/Suns

I feel the Spurs are a sneaky Under team and I know the Suns are between their deliberate pace couple with bad math for Overs. I also wonder how much of an effect Wemby will have on the Suns midrange game. My number is literally nearly 10 pts off. There is only one logical way the line can move.

Also playing.....

* Orlando +6.5

Magic should come out hard again looking to split the LA games against a shorthanded Clipper team who will elevate some deep bench guys into rotation for this one.

 

[Deathofthebambino]

Going to begin peaking at some futures.

* I know you guys have access to all these weird future markets. Let me know if you come across any Tyrese Maxey All-Star, All-NBA, Scoring Champ props.

* What are best prices you see for Atlanta and Orlando to win Southeast Division....as well as Dallas and New Orleans to win the Southwest? Pure fades on Miami and Memphis while you still can.

What about Cam Thomas as scoring champ?

 

[HomeRunBaker]

What about Cam Thomas as scoring champ?

He can score in this lesgue there is no doubt about that. There wasn't doubt last year either. He's a guy who does so many, how do I say, non-positive things in every other aspect of the game he may end up in the doghouse if he goes on any type of (inevitable) downswing.

 

[Deathofthebambino]

He can score in this lesgue there is no doubt about that. There wasn't doubt last year either. He's a guy who does so many, how do I say, non-positive things in every other aspect of the game he may end up in the doghouse if he goes on any type of (inevitable) downswing.

I get that, believe me. That said, the Nets need to find offense somewhere, and they need to, I assume, try to put some fans in the seats. I guess they can hope Mikal Bridges and Lonnie Walker IV can score their way to victories, but outside of that, Claxton/Simmons/Dinwiddie/DFS on offense, woof...

If I could find a flyer at like +8000 on Thomas to win the scoring title, I think it's a cool bet to throw $100 on. If they just embrace that he can score, and recognize they aren't competitive anyway in the long run, they may let him just cook all season long.

 

[HomeRunBaker]

I get that, believe me. That said, the Nets need to find offense somewhere, and they need to, I assume, try to put some fans in the seats. I guess they can hope Mikal Bridges and Lonnie Walker IV can score their way to victories, but outside of that, Claxton/Simmons/Dinwiddie/DFS on offense, woof...

If I could find a flyer at like +8000 on Thomas to win the scoring title, I think it's a cool bet to throw $100 on. If they just embrace that he can score, and recognize they aren't competitive anyway in the long run, they may let him just cook all season long.

I don't disagree. I wonder if a defensive minded, attention to detail guy like Vaughn will let that happen. Their scores early on may be skewed by playing Dallas and Charlotte but a guy to watch for sure.

 

[Oil Can Dan]

You're going want to get this early in morning if not overnight. Big bet.

* Under 227 Spurs/Suns

I feel the Spurs are a sneaky Under team and I know the Suns are between their deliberate pace couple with bad math for Overs. I also wonder how much of an effect Wemby will have on the Suns midrange game. My number is literally nearly 10 pts off. There is only one logical way the line can move.

The line is at 225.5 right now - you still liking the under by a fair amount?

 

[HomeRunBaker]

The line is at 225.5 right now - you still liking the under by a fair amount?

I do. After the early hit at 9am I had expected it to get to 223. Really anything above 222 would be a play for me.

 

[Oil Can Dan]

I do. After the early hit at 9am I had expected it to get to 223. Really anything above 222 would be a play for me.

Thanks. LFG!

 

[crackerjack9]

Magic and Clippers with 17 points combined, 9 minutes into the first quarter. At what point do you hit the live over?

 

[Mloaf71]

Horrific beats.

Magic and Suns meltdown. Tough night.

 

[benhogan]

Preparing to buy out of Magic play. Aside from that I've been out of town working on something all day and not engaged. There are so many great spots but many variables so I'm steering clear for the night. I really want to play OKC coming off the blowout and Memphis in the spot of the year but as I've warned about them they may be a complete shitshow. I like Pelicans and Celtics TT Over they may go for 125-130 themselves....probably like Over too.

Good info on the Memphis shitshow. Down 33 at the half to the red-hot Jazz

 

[Red Averages]

Spurs are playing the Suns again tomorrow and I see them at 225.5. I’m hammering that. A bit of fluke cover last game, but would expect this to drift lower given these two literally just played.

 

[HomeRunBaker]

Good info on the Memphis shitshow. Down 33 at the half to the red-hot Jazz

I was down on them prior to Adams going down for the year but that solidified it for me. They were the only preseason Win Total I played bc it was so far off from mine. Having said that, it is critical to remain open minded as the season progresses. It is good to have a trusted confidant who watches more NBA than me but is also as sharp as they come to share and discuss games you can't see. Numbers are great but numbers don't tell the entire story and sometimes they even lie without context.

 

[Mloaf71]

Spurs are playing the Suns again tomorrow and I see them at 225.5. I’m hammering that. A bit of fluke cover last game, but would expect this to drift lower given these two literally just played.

I’m right there with you but am wondering if there is any correlation with teams playing again on a turn around this quickly? Do the defenses tend to lock in? Are the offensives more familiar?

 

[HomeRunBaker]

Only one play today. Flying home this afternoon

* Phoenix TT Over 116.5 (117.5 is good too)

I had the wrong side in this matchup the other night. If not for a ridiculous low scoring first 7-8 minutes it wouldn't even have been close. Played some 2H that game and think the Suns will be motivated to execute while the Spurs still have so many holes in that defense. Having one look at Wemby should help them a bit too. Thinking a 122-110 final.

 

[mostman]

Only one play today. Flying home this afternoon

* Phoenix TT Over 116.5 (117.5 is good too)

I had the wrong side in this matchup the other night. If not for a ridiculous low scoring first 7-8 minutes it wouldn't even have been close. Played some 2H that game and think the Suns will be motivated to execute while the Spurs still have so many holes in that defense. Having one look at Wemby should help them a bit too. Thinking a 122-110 final.

This is already to 118.5 in most places. I took it anyway, half a unit.

 

[Red Averages]

Only one play today. Flying home this afternoon

* Phoenix TT Over 116.5 (117.5 is good too)

I had the wrong side in this matchup the other night. If not for a ridiculous low scoring first 7-8 minutes it wouldn't even have been close. Played some 2H that game and think the Suns will be motivated to execute while the Spurs still have so many holes in that defense. Having one look at Wemby should help them a bit too. Thinking a 122-110 final.

Rut Roh.

 

[Jim Ed Rice in HOF]

Rut Roh.

 

[HomeRunBaker]

Rut Roh.

Saw this and I'm like wtf.....then I scrolled up. Lol. Hey that's what makes this fun. Let's see what happens in this one single iteration of this angle.

 

[Red Averages]

Saw this and I'm like wtf.....then I scrolled up. Lol. Hey that's what makes this fun. Let's see what happens in this one single iteration of this angle.

Might have to stay up late, root for a slow start and try to middle it..... That's what I did with LAL/ORL and almost nailed it (lost by 3 BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO)

 

[Mloaf71]

Might have to stay up late, root for a slow start and try to middle it..... That's what I did with LAL/ORL and almost nailed it (lost by 3 BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO)

I used a free bet on Spurs U23.5 in the 1st Quarter at +275. Let’s do it!

 

[HomeRunBaker]

Phoenix and the Over are both getting smashed. 10 and 228.5 now with TT to 119.

 

[BigSoxFan]

I used a free bet on Spurs U23.5 in the 1st Quarter at +275. Let’s do it!

 

[Mloaf71]

View attachment 73333

The suns apparently think the first half tonight is a continuation of the second half of the last game.

 

[BigSoxFan]

The suns apparently think the first half tonight is a continuation of the second half of the last game.

I feel you. I was one of the over suckers.

 

[HomeRunBaker]

The suns apparently think the first half tonight is a continuation of the second half of the last game.

I have carpal tunnel from all the Live Overs I've been clicking for the last 10 minutes. 224.5 to 229.5 way too overleveraged.

 

[Mloaf71]

I have carpal tunnel from all the Live Overs I've been clicking for the last 10 minutes. 224.5 to 229.5 way too overleveraged.

I’m seeing lines of 236.5 now. Crazy

 

[HomeRunBaker]

I’m seeing lines of 236.5 now. Crazy

242.5 at the half. Played Spurs TT Under 50.5 not as a hedge but it also acts as one to the live Overs.

 

[HomeRunBaker]

It's so hard to be clicking live bets while sharing them here. Let me know if anyone has a solution or ideas bc last night those live totals in 220's were....well, they finished at 250 so use whichever adjective you'd like. I didn't even realize that my Phoenix TT was live again until 5 min left in the 4Q when I'm like oh shit that going to get there too!

So far today I've played Knicks +6 and Over 220.5 Grizz/Blazers.

 

[Brand Name]

Celtics don’t start their in-season play until after a full week both the Bucks and Nuggets do, which for those two is tonight. Presuming those two win, their prices should be less favorable but I’d fathom bumps up Boston a little in turn because they have no such wins. One day delay for Team Green here to wait for more favorable odds.

 

[BigSoxFan]

It's so hard to be clicking live bets while sharing them here. Let me know if anyone has a solution or ideas bc last night those live totals in 220's were....well, they finished at 250 so use whichever adjective you'd like. I didn't even realize that my Phoenix TT was live again until 5 min left in the 4Q when I'm like oh shit that going to get there too!

So far today I've played Knicks +6 and Over 220.5 Grizz/Blazers.

Phoenix cheesedicked the last few minutes too. They should have cruised to 125+ but glad they made it!

 

[Mloaf71]

Watching the start of this Grizz/Blazers game I wish I bet O230.

@HomeRunBaker you are better judge of pace…is the carpal tunnel kicking in live betting again?

 

[HomeRunBaker]

Watching the start of this Grizz/Blazers game I wish I bet O230.

@HomeRunBaker you are better judge of pace…is the carpal tunnel kicking in live betting again?

Date night. Gotta give one up to the wife. Just got home so haven't been watching. I may or may not have faked needing to use the Wawa rest room on the way home to watch end of Bucks/Knicks on my phone. Don't judge.