Just how good was Nomar Garciaparra?

Sandy Leon Trotsky

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I guess I wasn't clear. Based on the 40-17 start, I figured they were a lock for upper 90s.

Of course, IIRC the WC winner won over 100, so the Sox probably weren't making the playoffs that year anyway.

Edit: the Angels won 99 games to win the WC.
Didn't both the A's and Angels each win 20 games in a row that year? Man I really wanted the Sox to get Troy Glaus after '02
 

Ale Xander

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Zito was phenomenal that year. 229.1 innings pitched as well. And of course, it was the W-L record that did it - 23-5. He was absolutely a CYA winning caliber pitcher that year.

Of course, Pedro was better. Fewer innings, but far, far better in everything else. Lowe was actually better too as you pointed out. But no shade should be thrown to Zito - he was absolutely terrific that season.
Hope Zito gets overcast skies for the rest of his life

stupid pitcher’s park too
 

Ale Xander

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You want to know who had it rough that year? Curt Schilling.

23-7, 3.23 era, 0.97 whip, 316 k, 11.0 k/9

And didn't win the CYA.

Thanks to his teammate who did this: 24-5, 2.32 era, 1.03 whip, 334 k, 11.6 k/9.
3.23 wasn’t that exceptional
Allowed 29 HR too
 

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This had me looking up what happened to the 02 DBacks. They won 98 games and hosted the 97 win Cardinals. The 101 win Braves hosted the 95 win Giants. Interestingly, both WC teams made the WS.

Anyway, they got swept by the Cards. Game 1 they hit a couple homers off the Unit and ended up blowing it open, 12-2 final. Game 2 both Schilling and Chuck Finley pitched gems. After the DBacks tied it 1-1 in the bottom of the 8th, the Cards scratched a run across in the 9th and won 2-1. Then the Cards wrapped up the series at home and that was essentially that for the DBacks run, as Unit and Schilling both battled injuries in 2003 (18 and 24 starts, respectively) and the DBacks slogged to an 84-78, 3rd place finish. And then we know what happened the next offseason.
 

manny

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His “teammate” was at 195
Pedro was at 202

140 was closer to League average than it was to the NL winner or the rightful AL winner
Incredibly, the Sox had 3 of the top 4 ERA+ in all of MLB that season (Pedro, Lowe, Wakefield)
 

jmcc5400

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Hope Zito gets overcast skies for the rest of his life

stupid pitcher’s park too
Pedro memorably characterized the media's vote as giving the award to ""the white guitar player," which I always thought was a great off-handed burn. Pedro and Manny got their revenge in October 2003, much to the horror of Thom Brennaman.
 

Ale Xander

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This had me looking up what happened to the 02 DBacks. They won 98 games and hosted the 97 win Cardinals. The 101 win Braves hosted the 95 win Giants. Interestingly, both WC teams made the WS.

Anyway, they got swept by the Cards. Game 1 they hit a couple homers off the Unit and ended up blowing it open, 12-2 final. Game 2 both Schilling and Chuck Finley pitched gems. After the DBacks tied it 1-1 in the bottom of the 8th, the Cards scratched a run across in the 9th and won 2-1. Then the Cards wrapped up the series at home and that was essentially that for the DBacks run, as Unit and Schilling both battled injuries in 2003 (18 and 24 starts, And then we know what happened the next offseason.
Red Sox waived Jeremy Giambi
Was there more? That’s all that I remember

Did they recover?
 

TFisNEXT

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The 2002 team also had an exceptional year from Tim Wakefield. (162 ERA+ in 163.1 innings)

It's amazing that team couldn't win more than 93 games.
 

Petagine in a Bottle

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The 2002 team also had an exceptional year from Tim Wakefield. (162 ERA+ in 163.1 innings)

It's amazing that team couldn't win more than 93 games.
93 is kind of a lot of wins! But yeah, Wakefield should have been starting more games, instead of Frank Castillo.

Tony Clark that year….ugh
 

NomarsFool

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Tony Clark that year….ugh
It was remarkable to me how much of a cliff Tony Clark fell off of. 856 OPS in 2001 to 556 OPS in 2002. That's quite the collapse and not, IIRC, from any particular injury.

There was a stretch where I felt like nearly every player the Red Sox brought in seemed to have an epic career collapse. I don't know if it's true or not, but I feel like we see these sort of unexplained collapses more often in baseball than the other major sports. Maybe it's just because there's a narrow gap between being a .300 average good player and a .250 average nobody.
 

ngruz25

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His “teammate” was at 195
Pedro was at 202

140 was closer to League average than it was to the NL winner or the rightful AL winner
So this whole discussion has sent me down a WAR rabbit hole. And in particular, the stark contrast between bWAR and fWAR. Best as I can tell, fWAR really favors fielding independent stats.

Fangraphs WAR for 2022:

1) Schilling - 9.3
2) Randy - 8.1
3) Pedro - 7.4

11) Lowe - 4.6

14) Zito - 4.5

Contrasted with B-Ref:

1) Randy - 10.7
2) Schilling - 8.6

Tied for 4) Lowe and Zito - 7.2

9!) Pedro - 6.5
 

Smiling Joe Hesketh

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It was remarkable to me how much of a cliff Tony Clark fell off of. 856 OPS in 2001 to 556 OPS in 2002. That's quite the collapse and not, IIRC, from any particular injury.

There was a stretch where I felt like nearly every player the Red Sox brought in seemed to have an epic career collapse. I don't know if it's true or not, but I feel like we see these sort of unexplained collapses more often in baseball than the other major sports. Maybe it's just because there's a narrow gap between being a .300 average good player and a .250 average nobody.
Bill James once theorized that very tall position players (Clark was 6' 7") often have sharp dropoffs due to the way their body ages and their skills not matching up.

No idea of the veracity but I often think of Clark in this context.

Of course Clark did play till 2009 and had a great rebound season for Arizona in 2005 (154 OPS+). Which he then promptly followed up with a 60 OPS+ season in 2006. Strange career.
 

Fishy1

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Bill James once theorized that very tall position players (Clark was 6' 7") often have sharp dropoffs due to the way their body ages and their skills not matching up.

No idea of the veracity but I often think of Clark in this context.

Of course Clark did play till 2009 and had a great rebound season for Arizona in 2005 (154 OPS+). Which he then promptly followed up with a 60 OPS+ season in 2006. Strange career.
Richie Sexson another guy at 6'7 who comes to mind. MVP candidate (barely, admittedly) in 2005, basically useless by 2007.
69266
 

TFisNEXT

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Bill James once theorized that very tall position players (Clark was 6' 7") often have sharp dropoffs due to the way their body ages and their skills not matching up.

No idea of the veracity but I often think of Clark in this context.

Of course Clark did play till 2009 and had a great rebound season for Arizona in 2005 (154 OPS+). Which he then promptly followed up with a 60 OPS+ season in 2006. Strange career.
I wonder if we have a database of really tall players. IIRC, Richie Sexson also dropped off a cliff very fast in his early 30s. I think he was similar height to Clark in that 6'6-6'7 range.

edit: beaten by @Fishy1
 

Max Power

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Dave Winfield played forever and Frank Howard was productive until he hung it up at 35. Let's hope that Judge fellow is more like Clark and Sexson and the Yankees have to eat $300 million.
 

moondog80

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I've always thought tall baseball players are a tough group to generalize because there must be massive selection bias -- if you're 6'7" or taller, and athletic enough to play MLB, you usually focus on basketball.
 

Ale Xander

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So this whole discussion has sent me down a WAR rabbit hole. And in particular, the stark contrast between bWAR and fWAR. Best as I can tell, fWAR really favors fielding independent stats.

Fangraphs WAR for 2022:

1) Schilling - 9.3
2) Randy - 8.1
3) Pedro - 7.4

11) Lowe - 4.6

14) Zito - 4.5

Contrasted with B-Ref:

1) Randy - 10.7
2) Schilling - 8.6

Tied for 4) Lowe and Zito - 7.2

9!) Pedro - 6.5
I'm not a fan of using WAR for pitchers.
 

Sandy Leon Trotsky

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Dave Winfield played forever and Frank Howard was productive until he hung it up at 35. Let's hope that Judge fellow is more like Clark and Sexson and the Yankees have to eat $300 million.
I made the case that Judge was going to be an albatross contract based on the general trend for taller players, especially thick built ones. I figured that Judge had maybe one or two great years remaining in him but would have to play 1B or DH sooner or later to preserve him, thereby declining his overall production, but at least preserving likely another few .900 OPS 30HR seasons for another few years before his bat speed just plummets.
As a Sox fan I'd love it, but I like Judge (especially the rumor that he sang NY NY after Game 3 in '18 before the Sox clobbered those schmucks) and think he's good for the game and a lot of fun to watch. I don't hate him as much as 99% of almost all other NYY's
 

NomarsFool

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I've always thought tall baseball players are a tough group to generalize because there must be massive selection bias -- if you're 6'7" or taller, and athletic enough to play MLB, you usually focus on basketball.
Not only that, but if you're tall, you like baseball, you seem to end up as a pitcher.

EDIT: Just looked and 23 of the the 25 tallest players in MLB today are pitchers.
 
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ShaneTrot

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It was remarkable to me how much of a cliff Tony Clark fell off of. 856 OPS in 2001 to 556 OPS in 2002. That's quite the collapse and not, IIRC, from any particular injury.

There was a stretch where I felt like nearly every player the Red Sox brought in seemed to have an epic career collapse. I don't know if it's true or not, but I feel like we see these sort of unexplained collapses more often in baseball than the other major sports. Maybe it's just because there's a narrow gap between being a .300 average good player and a .250 average nobody.
Wasn't part of Clark sucking in 2002 that he was a bigwig in the players association and spent a lot of time trying to prevent another lockout in 2002-2003?
 

Hoya81

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Yup, Sexson dropped off HARD around 30-31 and was quickly out of the league. He was 6' 7".
Adam Dunn (6'6") recovered a bit from his insane 2011 dropoff in his age-31 season with the CWS to hit 97 Hrs from 2012-2014 before retiring at 34. He probably could have hung around a few more years to get 500 hrs but decided to walk away.

Dave Kingman (6'6") was fairly consistent(for him) into his age 37 season, hitting 35hrs with Oakland. On a side note, Kingman seems like a guy that could have had a much different career if he spent most of his career in the AL as a DH instead of being a liability in the field in his various stops in the NL
 

TFisNEXT

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Adam Dunn (6'6") recovered a bit from his insane 2011 dropoff in his age-31 season with the CWS to hit 97 Hrs from 2012-2014 before retiring at 34. He probably could have hung around a few more years to get 500 hrs but decided to walk away.

Dave Kingman (6'6") was fairly consistent(for him) into his age 37 season, hitting 35hrs with Oakland. On a side note, Kingman seems like a guy that could have had a much different career if he spent most of his career in the AL as a DH instead of being a liability in the field in his various stops in the NL
You sent me down a rabbit hole and I find his (Dave Kingman) final season fascinating.

35 HR and 94 RBI but a .686 OPS. That has to be the emptiest 35/100 type season I’ve ever seen.
 

Sin Duda

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Adam Dunn (6'6") recovered a bit from his insane 2011 dropoff in his age-31 season with the CWS to hit 97 Hrs from 2012-2014 before retiring at 34. He probably could have hung around a few more years to get 500 hrs but decided to walk away.

Dave Kingman (6'6") was fairly consistent(for him) into his age 37 season, hitting 35hrs with Oakland. On a side note, Kingman seems like a guy that could have had a much different career if he spent most of his career in the AL as a DH instead of being a liability in the field in his various stops in the NL
Don't know if everyone knows Dunn was the backup QB to Major Applewhite at U. Texas before dropping out to focus on baseball. Mercy!
 

bob burda

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I remember game 6 being started by Andy Pettitte. But you are correct Nomar had a big triple (turned into a run via Matsui's throwing error) that sliced the MFY lead from 6-4 to 6-5.

Nomar also had a big hit in game 4 of ALDS off Foulke (double off the monster as tying run...he later scored with Manny on Ortiz's huge 2 out double).
I want to give Nomar credit for one more after that; he starts the 9th inning rally off Mo Rivera (“Fruitbat”) in the famous July 24, 2004 “turning point” game (the Arod-Tek “we don’t throw at .260 hitters” brawl/Mueller walk off bomb for an 11-10 win).

It is a big hit in a key win just a week before he is traded; on an 0-2 count he rifles an inside cutter into the LF gap for a 2B. It is also the first of 3 balls barreled up against Mo that inning (Nixon‘s warning track flyball he thought was gone follows, and Mueller’s HR at the end) which is a thing that happened maybe once in Mo’s career.
 

lexrageorge

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As that 93 win 2002 season has been brought up, thought it would be worth noting some of the oddities:

- The Sox missing the playoffs with 93 wins was unusual. In the years of the single team wild card (1995-2011), only 4 teams with 93 or more wins missed the playoffs.

- What was even more unusual is that another 93 win missed the playoffs in 2002, and that was the Seattle Mariners.

- Seattle would win 93 games again the following season, but miss the playoffs by 2 games to the wild card Red Sox. We know the rest of the story.

- FWIW, the team with the most wins to miss the wild card was the 1999 Cincinnati Reds, who won 96 games but finished a game behind the 97 win Astros for the division and the 97 win Mets for the wild card.

- In one of GM Dan Duquette's final moves, he traded former first round pick Rick Asadoorian and a couple of lower prospects for Cardinals pitcher Dustin Hermanson. It was hoped that Hermanson would provide a mid-rotation starter who could eat some innings and complement Pedro, Lowe, and Wakefield. Duquette would be fired a couple of months later.

- FWIW, Asadoorian would never see the field beyond AAA, nor would the other 2 prospects the Sox traded.

- Hermanson's first outing was cut short as he pitched an inning against the Royals before a long rain delay. For some reason, Grady Little decided it was a good idea to put him back on the mound when play resumed, and Hermanson hurt his leg in the process. The game would be called anyway, and Hermanson would not start another game until August 22nd. He ended up being used primarily in mop-up relief duty after that.

- Tim Wakefield was for some reason moved to the bullpen after all of 2 starts. He returned to the rotation on July 31st and pitched really well down the stretch.

- Malcontent Carl Everett was traded during the offseason for backend starter Darren Oliver. Oliver pitched really well in April, but then his early career control problems returned, and he was released in July.

- Oliver would eventually go on to become a solid setup reliever for the Mets in 2006, a role in which he thrived until he finally retired after the 2013 season at the age of 42.

- 2002 would be the final season for the El Guapo, aka Rich Garces.

- And, thankfully, Jose Offerman.

- In the forgot he was a Red Sox category, you had Freddy Sanchez (who would win NL batting title in 2006 for the Pirates) and Chris Haney (his final season).

- Ricky Henderson was given a new car.

- Red Sox were well represented at the All Star Game with 7 players. All Stars included Pedro, Lowe (who started for the AL), Manny, Nomar, Johnny Damon, Shea Hillebrand (AL starter at 3B!!!), and reliever Ugueth Urbina. All appeared except for Pedro, as the Sox were carefully managing his mid-season innings, and he pitched 3 days prior.

- It was the same All Star Game that was declared a 7-7 tie after both teams ran out of pitchers. Which, of course, led to the infamous "this time it counts" where the league winner would get home field for the World Series - ugh.

- Sox made a big move in acquiring Cliff Floyd, who posted a nifty 0.935 OPS during the stretch run.

- Unfortunately, it was not enough as the Sox somehow managed to underperform their Pythagorean by 7 games. Yes, the 2002 team would have been the first Red Sox team since 1946 to win 100 games had they had league average luck.

- Or, more accurately, league average managing.
 

Hoya81

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You sent me down a rabbit hole and I find his (Dave Kingman) final season fascinating.

35 HR and 94 RBI but a .686 OPS. That has to be the emptiest 35/100 type season I’ve ever seen.
Schwarber feels pretty close to a modern day Kingman.
 

Van Everyman

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As that 93 win 2002 season has been brought up, thought it would be worth noting some of the oddities:

- The Sox missing the playoffs with 93 wins was unusual. In the years of the single team wild card (1995-2011), only 4 teams with 93 or more wins missed the playoffs.

- What was even more unusual is that another 93 win missed the playoffs in 2002, and that was the Seattle Mariners.

- Seattle would win 93 games again the following season, but miss the playoffs by 2 games to the wild card Red Sox. We know the rest of the story.

- FWIW, the team with the most wins to miss the wild card was the 1999 Cincinnati Reds, who won 96 games but finished a game behind the 97 win Astros for the division and the 97 win Mets for the wild card.

- In one of GM Dan Duquette's final moves, he traded former first round pick Rick Asadoorian and a couple of lower prospects for Cardinals pitcher Dustin Hermanson. It was hoped that Hermanson would provide a mid-rotation starter who could eat some innings and complement Pedro, Lowe, and Wakefield. Duquette would be fired a couple of months later.

- FWIW, Asadoorian would never see the field beyond AAA, nor would the other 2 prospects the Sox traded.

- Hermanson's first outing was cut short as he pitched an inning against the Royals before a long rain delay. For some reason, Grady Little decided it was a good idea to put him back on the mound when play resumed, and Hermanson hurt his leg in the process. The game would be called anyway, and Hermanson would not start another game until August 22nd. He ended up being used primarily in mop-up relief duty after that.

- Tim Wakefield was for some reason moved to the bullpen after all of 2 starts. He returned to the rotation on July 31st and pitched really well down the stretch.

- Malcontent Carl Everett was traded during the offseason for backend starter Darren Oliver. Oliver pitched really well in April, but then his early career control problems returned, and he was released in July.

- Oliver would eventually go on to become a solid setup reliever for the Mets in 2006, a role in which he thrived until he finally retired after the 2013 season at the age of 42.

- 2002 would be the final season for the El Guapo, aka Rich Garces.

- And, thankfully, Jose Offerman.

- In the forgot he was a Red Sox category, you had Freddy Sanchez (who would win NL batting title in 2006 for the Pirates) and Chris Haney (his final season).

- Ricky Henderson was given a new car.

- Red Sox were well represented at the All Star Game with 7 players. All Stars included Pedro, Lowe (who started for the AL), Manny, Nomar, Johnny Damon, Shea Hillebrand (AL starter at 3B!!!), and reliever Ugueth Urbina. All appeared except for Pedro, as the Sox were carefully managing his mid-season innings, and he pitched 3 days prior.

- It was the same All Star Game that was declared a 7-7 tie after both teams ran out of pitchers. Which, of course, led to the infamous "this time it counts" where the league winner would get home field for the World Series - ugh.

- Sox made a big move in acquiring Cliff Floyd, who posted a nifty 0.935 OPS during the stretch run.

- Unfortunately, it was not enough as the Sox somehow managed to underperform their Pythagorean by 7 games. Yes, the 2002 team would have been the first Red Sox team since 1946 to win 100 games had they had league average luck.

- Or, more accurately, league average managing.
Great summary.

My main memory of 2002 was Manny flying out against the A’s to effectively end the Sox season. What I remember about that AB was that they desperately needed that game to make the playoffs and it felt like they just had no chance despite having two 20 game winners that year. Then, in about a two or three second span I went from feeling completely hopeless to thinking, “Holy shit, we are going to the playoffs!” to the season being over as Terrence Long reeled in the fly ball in front of the bullpen to end the game. It was just a massive gut punch.

I believe 2002 was also when Urbina struck out a guy in a meaningless situation right before Ripken would’ve gotten his last AB at Camden and celebrat like he’d just won the WS.
Pedro memorably characterized the media's vote as giving the award to ""the white guitar player," which I always thought was a great off-handed burn. Pedro and Manny got their revenge in October 2003, much to the horror of Thom Brennaman.
FWIW Pedro’s comments to the Courant were pretty scalding. We forget a little now, and it was absolutely part of what made him arguably the greatest pitcher of all time, but the dude was also in the HOF of pettiness and vindictiveness when he wanted to be:
"They should have had it on 'Outside the Lines' -- Why Pedro got robbed," he told the Courant.

Losing the AL Cy Young Award last season to Oakland's Barry Zito also still stings.

"Last year, the first one standing up against me because he wanted a new face in baseball was [ESPN's] Peter Gammons," Martinez told the Courant. "[He was] standing up and saying, 'No, I'm going with Zito because we need a new face in baseball. We're tired of seeing the same Pedro on the team, the same face as Pedro all the time. We need a fresh face, a guy that plays guitar, is cute, a white Caucasian. We don't want the Latin [expletive] to be in front of the TV all the time.'

"They campaigned against me for the Cy Young. It's the same [expletive] they're doing with Sammy."
 

TFisNEXT

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The 1999 Reds lost a one-game playoff against the Mets IIRC as they ended their normal schedule in a tie.

I recall that vividly because I think the Reds in their final game had a long rain delay and they had to win to force the playoff and they finally resumed the game really late at night. I was watching it on ESPN. The Reds won the game easily but then lost at home in the game against the Mets.
 

Smiling Joe Hesketh

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- Sox made a big move in acquiring Cliff Floyd, who posted a nifty 0.935 OPS during the stretch run.
Floyd's Red Sox stop was fascinating. .935 OPS with 7 HRs and 21 doubles in in 190 plate appearances, yet had only 18 RBIs in that time because no one and I mean no one was on base in front of him. One of the oddest batting lines I can remember.
 

tims4wins

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Floyd's Red Sox stop was fascinating. .935 OPS with 7 HRs and 21 doubles in in 190 plate appearances, yet had only 18 RBIs in that time because no one and I mean no one was on base in front of him. One of the oddest batting lines I can remember.
I remember exactly where I was when I learned about the trade and I was super excited.