What are the odds that NFL blows up because of this and NEP becomes the last Champion of the League we used to know? 0.01%, over or under?
njnesportsfan said:What are the odds that NFL blows up because of this and NEP becomes the last Champion of the League we used to know? 0.01%, over or under?
dcmissle said:TB's most likely path to even complete victory lies through two trails that are technical. 1. General awareness does not constitute a violation 2. He did not really impede the investigation by refusing to surrender cell records.
Most lawyers -- and Kessler is a good one - - focus on the most solid and direct paths to victory. Judges like to decide cases that way too.
A victory along these lines I will take. It would not do a lot to change the opinion of TB.
njnesportsfan said:What are the odds that NFL blows up because of this and NEP becomes the last Champion of the League we used to know? 0.01%, over or under?
I would tend to think that Brady's first priority will be to get the suspension removed. This seems to be the path that Kessler is going down as well. I'm still reasonably confident that it will get removed one way or another.dcmissle said:TB's most likely path to even complete victory lies through two trails that are technical. 1. General awareness does not constitute a violation 2. He did not really impede the investigation by refusing to surrender cell records.
Most lawyers -- and Kessler is a good one - - focus on the most solid and direct paths to victory. Judges like to decide cases that way too.
A victory along these lines I will take. It would not do a lot to change the opinion of TB.
Myt1 said:
Well, it's sort of like the President's top science adviser getting a C- in astrophysics.
http://abovethelaw.com/2011/04/espn-legal-analyst-does-disservice-to-all-mankind/
Over confidence, my friend?E5 Yaz said:
Less than the odds that this is the stupidest post in any of the deflategate threads
The odds of this are less than the odds of the NFL putting an expansion team on Mars in the next 5 years.njnesportsfan said:What are the odds that NFL blows up because of this and NEP becomes the last Champion of the League we used to know? 0.01%, over or under?
There is no Rev said:One of the striking things about this situation, to me anyway, is that the Patriots could be guilty but the NFL still out of line. There doesn't seem to be enough consideration of that.
njnesportsfan said:Over confidence, my friend?
Similar questions were asked prior to WWI and also prior to the financial crisis. If you asked in 2006 what the odds were Lehman would bankrupt in 2 years, the answer would have been "less than zero".
norm from cheers said:I can't help but keep wondering if all this would have never happened if TB didn't toss out the comment directed at Harbaugh about knowing the rules..
norm from cheers said:I can't help but keep wondering if all this would have never happened if TB didn't toss out the comment directed at Harbaugh about knowing the rules..
njnesportsfan said:Over confidence, my friend?
Similar questions were asked prior to WWI and also prior to the financial crisis. If you asked in 2006 what the odds were Lehman would bankrupt in 2 years, the answer would have been "less than zero".
I've thought about this an awful lot too, and to be honest, this is precisely why Belichick never says anything interesting in press conferences and mandates that none of his players speak candidly either. This right here is potentially the worst case scenario of not sticking to the script. I know it felt really really good to Tom when he said it but i bet more than once over the last couple weeks he wished he had said "it is what it is" instead.norm from cheers said:I can't help but keep wondering if all this would have never happened if TB didn't toss out the comment directed at Harbaugh about knowing the rules..
epraz said:
I would really like to hear what you're thinking of, in terms of a series of events that lead to there not being an NFL by next February.
They only surveyed 4 people, and they're not quite sure which pen they used.nolasoxfan said:Exactly. Additionally, we no nothing about the survey sample.
DennyDoyle'sBoil said:Have you ever talked to real M.D. about how they feel about the medincine parts of a network hospital or medical drama?
That's kind of the way lawyers feel when they hear Lester Munson.
Morgan's Magic Snowplow said:
Brady's reputation will rebound in the long run
drleather2001 said:Manish Mehta desrves to have some really embarrassing shit about him come to light and splayed all over the back page of the Herald.
RIFan said:The odds of this are less than the odds of the NFL putting an expansion teamon Mars in the next 5 years.
ivanvamp said:
I agree. I mean, I hope you're right. Brady, until this moment, has an absolutely impeccable reputation. Had, I should say. As in, nothing EVER was attributed to him as being sinister or bad or anything. I guess being associated with Belichick (who isn't liked) impacts him, but basically, one of the NFL's good guys.
Ray Lewis is well-liked. Dude was involved in a murder.
Not to stray too far off topic, but Nancy Grace is in a class by herself. She was an unethical scumbag as a prosecutor and even worse as a TV personality. She has the morals of a weasel on speed. Munson is a bleating moron, but Grace is truly evil.joe dokes said:He's like Dr. Phil.
or Nancy Grace.
Ryan's stance on this is strange being that he idolized Red Auerbach who created an arrogant push the envelope culture that defined the Boston Celtics for 3 decades.Jinhocho said:Typing this from the car. Ryan blamed bb for spygate and creating an arrogant push the envelope culture that defines the patriots. Said be no big deal if others but it is because of the pats cheating and arrogance that they are held to a different standard. brought up dansby and said how its always something w this team. Said Brady definitely guilty and knows it. Caught w hand in cookie jar and lied now stuck playing hand. Said TB lied about McNally.
RGREELEY33 said:Ryan's stance on this is strange being that he idolized Red Auerbach who created an arrogant push the envelope culture that defined the Boston Celtics for 3 decades.
DrewDawg said:
Or if the NFL had simply corrected Mortensen's tweet.
Yeah, IANAL, but that doesn't even follow straight logic. The league sanctioned the Wells investigstion. The league handed down punishment based on the Wells Report (and further legitimized the investigstion in doing so). Brady is appealing the punishment based on the contents of the Wells report.lambeau said:Maybe this is obvious, but ESPN reports Goodell looks forward to interviewing eveybody himself--Brady, McNally, Jastremski; seems awfully likely Kessler will go to court to prevent this.
Not that I'm looking forward to engaging on this topic. However, from everything I learn about Goodell, he certainly has the ability to screw up the league over the long term. As in over the next couple of decades, especially if his successor comes from one of the folks that he is currently mentoring/grooming. This incident will be one brick in the wall, but only one of many.njnesportsfan said:What are the odds that NFL blows up because of this and NEP becomes the last Champion of the League we used to know? 0.01%, over or under?
E5 Yaz said:
That's a great question I'd love to see Ryan answer.
E5 Yaz said:
That's a great question I'd love to see Ryan answer.
E5 Yaz said:
We'll need KFP to do the outline
MentalDisabldLst said:
He's Shaughnessy-lite. Isn't that punishment enough? To be a sportswriter troll, but not even a good one?
Red was a friendly guy who played footsies with the sportswriters. That's the difference.E5 Yaz said:
That's a great question I'd love to see Ryan answer.
djbayko said:Yeah, IANAL, but that doesn't even follow straight logic. The league sanctioned the Wells investigstion. The league handed down punishment based on the Wells Report (and further legitimized the investigstion in doing so). Brady is appealing the punishment based on the contents of the Wells report.
What possible grounds does he have to investigate further, barring Brady's lawyers opening certain doors?
E5 Yaz said:
That's a great question I'd love to see Ryan answer.
RGREELEY33 said:Only to add some further context on Jim McNally, I spoke with my boss about an hour ago and we were chatting about the story. He actually grew up with McNally and was buddies with him in high school. He hasn't talked to him in 20 years, but said "he is an awesome guy, everyone loves him, and he's one of the funniest fucks I've ever met. Total New England knucklehead who can bullshit sports all day long and who would bust the balls of everybody that walked in the room."
Not that any of this means anything relating to deflategate, but he said none of the text messages surprised him and it was all typical McNally bullshitting and weirdness.
None of this looks to me like someone who has done anything wrong. I do hope we hear from him at some point. The lawyers might be afraid of what he'd say, but he's already been set upon by Goodell's hounds without coaching from the Patriots and nothing bad came out.
The first of Mr. McNally’s interviews happened the evening of the AFC Championship, when Mr. McNally volunteered to stay at the stadium for an interview since he would not be back for his game-day responsibilities until August. Patriots management had not yet been advised that an investigation had started, but Mr. McNally, having nothing to hide, talked freely to the League personnel without even asking if someone from the team should be there with him. The second and third interviews happened within the next several days. Again, Mr. McNally gave these interviews without any Patriots representative with him.
Easy answer: Red was a bit of a raconteur and provided him with a lot of access starting early in his reporting career. BB generally comes across as a curmudgeon and doesn't make an effort to give good quotes or buddy up with reporters. Ryan does give BB credit in his book (which I happen to be reading at the moment) for being great when he can decompress and focus on real football topics, especially the history of the game, but he also chastises him for being the "smartest kid in the class" and being disingenuous about his actions and motives. It's basically a microcosm of how a lot of sports media types seem to regard him.E5 Yaz said:
That's a great question I'd love to see Ryan answer.
lambeau said:Maybe this is obvious, but ESPN reports Goodell looks forward to interviewing eveybody himself--Brady, McNally, Jastremski; seems awfully likely Kessler will go to court to prevent this.
Average Reds said:
I'm uncertain if you understand the process.
If these people are part of Brady's case, there is no possible way to stop it during the appeal. Brady/Kessler will then go to court to contest the ruling. (Unless Roger vacates his suspension, which is slightly more likely than the NFL dissolving within the next year.)
He can't blow the Commissioner off, and he won't try. Kessler is too smart. The documents say what they say, and none of the relevant documents confers a right to a neutral tribunal. The NFLPA is substantially responsible for this.lambeau said:Maybe this is obvious, but ESPN reports Goodell looks forward to interviewing eveybody himself--Brady, McNally, Jastremski; seems awfully likely Kessler will go to court to prevent this.
In his phone presser, Wells makes a big deal about the text messages being direct evidence versus circumstantial evidence, which is an oddly defensive, incorrect point.
Circumstantial evidence can be good evidence, and there is certainly some text message evidence that does not look on its face as being positive for the Patriots. That said, the text messages are circumstantial evidence because there are more than one interpretation of these statements.
Direct evidence supports the truth of an assertion without an intervening inference. Wells in his presser and in the report makes all sorts of inferences about the text messages, and that is a primary reason why he wanted another interview with lockerroom attendant, Jim McNally. To see what he meant by that text.
Access ... Ding-ding-dingObstructedView said:Easy answer: Red was a bit of a raconteur and provided him with a lot of access starting early in his reporting career. BB generally comes across as a curmudgeon and doesn't make an effort to give good quotes or buddy up with reporters. Ryan does give BB credit in his book (which I happen to be reading at the moment) for being great when he can decompress and focus on real football topics, especially the history of the game, but he also chastises him for being the "smartest kid in the class" and being disingenuous about his actions and motives. It's basically a microcosm of how a lot of sports media types seem to regard him.
Helmet Head said:I generally really like Bob Ryan. That being said, Ryan is big on picking the scab of spygate. I have heard him a few times the last couple years before any of this even happened. He does not care for how spygate went down and how people have seemingly forgot about it around here. He doesn't care for BB and never has. The fact that he is burying him now is not shocking. Everyone has an agenda.
There is no Rev said:I just realized I'm enjoying this. It's like finding out pro wrestling is real.
Kenny F'ing Powers said:
I. Slap E5 in the dick
A. Trouble finding his little dick
i. Irish
ii. Hidden under mountain of pubes
B. History of E5 dick slaps
II. E5 dick slap consequences
A. None
B. Why it's worth it