Given the strength of Denver's kicker and the altitude, the odds of making that kick are better than the odds of converting on 4th and long (wasn't it 4th and 10?), right? You also have to factor in Denver's relatively weak offense (though they had been playing better towards the end of the game) and Kansas City's strong defense. The other factor is that a first down doesn't end the game, while a field goal does. Thus, even if they convert the 4th down, they still have to gain more yards and/or convert a field goal attempt.
I agree that punting and playing for the tie is not an option there. Thus, I think Kubiak made the right call.
I agree that punting and playing for the tie is not an option there. Thus, I think Kubiak made the right call.