That's the most probable. The minority scenario seems to be that the Celtics may not have to give up Tatum, if:
- Davis still sticks to his stance of walking in FA and refusing to sign with Bos
- NY Knicks don't get the #1 pick, ideally it is #3 or later.
- Lakers offer remains weak, or if they decreased it because they are confident they will get Davis as a FA.
- No other team seriously makes a bid attempt.
If that's the case, maybe a package of Brown, Rozier, MLE signing, MEM + SAC + LAC + BOS draft picks gets it done. Or maybe it is Tatum, Rozier, MLE signing + SAC with Brown/Smart/Mem staying. That's also a great outcome. Either way, the Celtics are likely to come out of this very well.