Super Bowl prop bets

Oil Can Dan

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Jul 31, 2003
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Found some SB prop bets online and thought it would be fun to take a look at some and make some predictions here. The list I found is here, and here are some I'm interested in:

Team to score first in the game
Carolina Panthers -150 (2/3)
Denver Broncos +120 (6/5)

I suspect everyone and their brother likes Carolina here but the -150 is not good value. Unless it came down to -125ish I'd stay away.

Total Team Points - Carolina Panthers
Over/Under 24½

I like the over here.

Total Team Points - Carolina Panthers - First Half
Over/Under 11½

I love the over here. Carolina averages over 17pts in the 1st half this season, and you figure they're going to come out firing.

Longest touchdown yardage in the game
Over/Under 44½

This is a staple bet for me - love going over, because when it hits (and it often does) it's hard to beat.

Will either backup QB take a snap in the game?
Yes +200 (2/1)
No -300 (1/3)

Seems like a good year to go yes on this with creaky, somewhat ineffective Manning on the field. Worth a look...

Will a special teams or defensive TD be scored?
Yes +150 (3/2)
No -180 (5/9)

Another staple bet. I still remember Manning's pick-six vs New Orleans - hit over on longest TD AND defensive score on same play. Good times, and I bet Manning has another SB pick-six in his bag left.

Margin of Victory
Panthers by 19-24 points 9/1

I like this as you get 20, 21 and 24 pt margins in here.

Will Peyton Manning throw a Pick 6 in the game?
Yes +300 (3/1)
No -500 (1/5)

'Yes' giving decent odds here...

Total Rushing Yards - Ted Ginn Jr. (CAR)
Over/Under 5½

I think the under is worth a bet as Denvers D seems pretty disciplined and may not be fooled by a reverse.

Cross Sport Props - What will be higher?
Tiger Woods 1st Round score at 2016 Masters
Emmanuel Sanders Receiving Yards

No idea but found it interesting. Gun to head I'd go with Sanders.
 

Marciano490

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Nov 4, 2007
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I've lost bets on Manning throwing an INT two weeks running. No damn way he makes it a third. Putting the house on that one.
 

j44thor

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Aug 1, 2006
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I think the only way you get a TD over 44 yds is via pick 6 or ST.
DEN is the best D in per play average both against the run and pass and Manning certainly isn't going to throw a 44yd TD pass against CAR. Very doubtful DEN can run for a TD that long either.

Good bets to stack but otherwise I'd take the under on TD yardage.

Other props I like
O/U combined sacks 5 & 1/2
Love the over there, won't be surprised to see closer to 10 combined sacks

O/U longest successful FG 44 1/2
Again love the over, two of the biggest legs in the game in what should be a game dominated by defense

First touchdown scorer
Cam Newton 7/1
 

johnmd20

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Under on Carolina scoring 24.5.

Maybe the first half over is ok(I wouldn't even do that) but I don't think they put up more than 21. That defense is pretty solid.
 
Mar 1, 2009
520
Arizona D was pretty tough too and they lit the scoreboard up against them. Don't discount the value of the Carolina D putting them into position often for the offense to score. Take the over.
 

j44thor

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More I think about it that combined sack prop bet 5.5 seems like stealing.
CAR is going to get to Manning at least 4 times. I think DEN can get to Cam at least 2 X.
 

BigJimEd

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Jan 4, 2002
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Anyone have Mike Carey being wrong prop bet?
My 11 year old, who was rooting for Carolina immediately yelled out No! when Carey said the incomplete call would be overturned.
 

jablo1312

lurker
Sep 20, 2005
500
More I think about it that combined sack prop bet 5.5 seems like stealing.
CAR is going to get to Manning at least 4 times. I think DEN can get to Cam at least 2 X.
Nice call. Didn't this go over in like the first 25 minutes? Hope you got some down on it.
 

Stitch01

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Jul 15, 2005
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Boston
Anyone have Mike Carey being wrong prop bet?
My 11 year old, who was rooting for Carolina immediately yelled out No! when Carey said the incomplete call would be overturned.
Ha, yeah, was the one bright spot on the day, couldn't believe that was +150 or whatever, not sure I saw a game all year where he didn't fuck up a call.. Did he even chime in on any of the other reviews? Only drawback was that I was rooting for the catch, so as soon as Carey said overturn knew it was fucked.
 

j44thor

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Aug 1, 2006
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Nice call. Didn't this go over in like the first 25 minutes? Hope you got some down on it.
Yes the last play of the first half covered this and yes I had decent action on it. Really was the easiest bet on the board esp at +110.