SBLII: Super Bowl Prop Bets

Saints Rest

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I thought it might be fun to take some whacks at prop bets. I've changed some of them around a bit to make them easier for one liner responses.
Most of these are actual prop bets available from places that do that sort of thing:

Game-related:
Will Tom Brady wear a bandage on his right hand?
Will the team that scores first win the game?
Will either team score three unanswered times in the game?
Coin-flip, Heads or Tails?
First half margin?
Final score margin?
Will the team that scores first win the game?
Will there be a score in the final 2 minutes of the 1st half?
Will there be a score in the final 2 minutes of the game?
Which team will score last?
What player will score first?
What player will score last?
Who will be the MVP?
What color will the Gatorade bath be?

Coverage-related:
How many times will Al Michaels and Chris Collinsworth say “dynasty”?
Will Al Michaels or Cris Collinsworth say “City of Brotherly Love”?
How many clips will we see, DURING THE GAME, of Super Bowl 39?
Who will Michelle Tafoya talk about in her first sideline bit, after the game starts?

Entertainment-related:
Length of national anthem (sung by Pink)?
What color will Pink's hair be?
Will a player in the game be featured in a commercial?
Will Donald Trump attend the game?
Number of tweets from Donald Trump during the game ABOUT the game?
How will Justin Timberlake make his entrance?
Who will make a guest appearances during the halftime show?
What will be JT's first song?
 

Leather

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I have one:

What Prince song with Timberlake sing/reference during his halftime show?
 

Saints Rest

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My picks:
Game-related:
Will Tom Brady wear a bandage on his right hand? No
Will the team that scores first win the game? No
Will either team score three unanswered times in the game? No
Coin-flip, Heads or Tails? Heads
First half margin? 4
Final score margin? 7
Will the team that scores first win the game? Yes
Will there be a score in the final 2 minutes of the 1st half? Yes
Will there be a score in the final 2 minutes of the game? No
Which team will score last? Eagles
What player will score first? Burkhead
What player will score last? Agholor
Who will be the MVP? Brady
What color will the Gatorade bath be? Green

Coverage-related:
How many times will Al Michaels and Chris Collinsworth say “dynasty”? 7
Will Al Michaels or Cris Collinsworth say “City of Brotherly Love”? Yes
How many clips will we see, DURING THE GAME, of Super Bowl 39? 4
Who will Michelle Tafoya talk about in her first sideline bit, after the game starts? Gronk

Entertainment-related:
Length of national anthem (sung by Pink)? 2:47
What color will Pink's hair be? Pink
Will a player in the game be featured in a commercial? Yes (Gronk)
Will Donald Trump attend the game? No
Number of tweets from Donald Trump during the game ABOUT the game? 7
How will Justin Timberlake make his entrance? In a puff of smoke
Who will make a guest appearances during the halftime show? Anna Kendrick
What will be JT's first song? SexyBack
 

Just a bit outside

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My picks:
Game-related:
Will Tom Brady wear a bandage on his right hand? No
Will the team that scores first win the game? No
Will either team score three unanswered times in the game? No
Coin-flip, Heads or Tails? Heads
First half margin? 4
Final score margin? 7
Will the team that scores first win the game? Yes
Will there be a score in the final 2 minutes of the 1st half? Yes
Will there be a score in the final 2 minutes of the game? No
Which team will score last? Eagles
What player will score first? Burkhead
What player will score last? Agholor
Who will be the MVP? Brady
What color will the Gatorade bath be? Green


You will be right on at least one of them.
 

Boston Brawler

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Game-related:
Will Tom Brady wear a bandage on his right hand? No
Will the team that scores first win the game? Yes
Will either team score three unanswered times in the game? No
Coin-flip, Heads or Tails? Heads
First half margin? 10
Final score margin? 14
Will there be a score in the final 2 minutes of the 1st half? Yes
Will there be a score in the final 2 minutes of the game? No
Which team will score last? Patriots
What player will score first? Gronk
What player will score last? Amendola
Who will be the MVP? Brady
What color will the Gatorade bath be? Orange

Coverage-related:
How many times will Al Michaels and Chris Collinsworth say “dynasty”? 5
Will Al Michaels or Cris Collinsworth say “City of Brotherly Love”? Yes
How many clips will we see, DURING THE GAME, of Super Bowl 39? 5
Who will Michelle Tafoya talk about in her first sideline bit, after the game starts? Brady

Entertainment-related:
Length of national anthem (sung by Pink)? 2:01
What color will Pink's hair be? Purple
Will a player in the game be featured in a commercial? Yes
Will Donald Trump attend the game? No
Number of tweets from Donald Trump during the game ABOUT the game? 2
How will Justin Timberlake make his entrance? Slowly rise up from under the stage
Who will make a guest appearances during the halftime show? Jimmy Fallon
What will be JT's first song? Filthy
What Prince song with Timberlake sing/reference during his halftime show? Purple Rain
 

Leather

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I think he opens with SexyBack or Can’t Stop the Feeling. Is the Prince assumption simply tied to it being in Minnesota?
Well, that and because Prince gave a pretty memorable halftime show of his own. And this.

I suppose it's not a lock, though.

To be clear, I don't think he sings even most of a song. But I'd wager he "snippets" a line of Purple Rain or 1999 at some point.
 

djbayko

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Well, that and because Prince gave a pretty memorable halftime show of his own. And this.

I suppose it's not a lock, though.

To be clear, I don't think he sings even most of a song. But I'd wager he "snippets" a line of Purple Rain or 1999 at some point.
Oh, I understand there are a lot of reasons why people are guessing he'll cover Prince. I saw a clip on YouTube from one of the times he played I Would Die 4 U and it had like a full singing chorus, band, and him playing the piano, so it seems like he already has an arrangement that could make it on the big stage. Perhaps an interlude in between up tempo dance numbers?
 
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Ale Xander

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Oct 31, 2013
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Game-related:
Will Tom Brady wear a bandage on his right hand? No
Will the team that scores first win the game? Yes
Will either team score three unanswered times in the game? Yes
Coin-flip, Heads or Tails? tails
First half margin? 17
Final score margin? 24
Will there be a score in the final 2 minutes of the 1st half? yes
Will there be a score in the final 2 minutes of the game? no
Which team will score last? Pats
What player will score first? Cooks
What player will score last? Amendola
Who will be the MVP? Tom F Brady
What color will the Gatorade bath be? Red

Coverage-related:
How many times will Al Michaels and Chris Collinsworth say “dynasty”? 12
Will Al Michaels or Cris Collinsworth say “City of Brotherly Love”? Yes
How many clips will we see, DURING THE GAME, of Super Bowl 39? 3
Who will Michelle Tafoya talk about in her first sideline bit, after the game starts? Jesse Ventura

Entertainment-related:
Length of national anthem (sung by Pink)? 2:57
What color will Pink's hair be? pink
Will a player in the game be featured in a commercial? yes
Will Donald Trump attend the game? no
Number of tweets from Donald Trump during the game ABOUT the game? 2
How will Justin Timberlake make his entrance? sexily
Who will make a guest appearances during the halftime show? Howie Long
What will be JT's first song? SexyBack
What will be JT's last song? Can't Stop the Feeling
 

BillMuellerFanClub

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Game-related:
Will Tom Brady wear a bandage on his right hand? Yes
Will the team that scores first win the game? No
Will either team score three unanswered times in the game? Yes
Coin-flip, Heads or Tails? Tails
First half margin? 7
Final score margin? 10
Will there be a score in the final 2 minutes of the 1st half? Yes
Will there be a score in the final 2 minutes of the game? Yes
Which team will score last? New England
What player will score first? Ertz
What player will score last? James White
Who will be the MVP? Brady
What color will the Gatorade bath be? Yellow

Coverage-related:
How many times will Al Michaels and Chris Collinsworth say “dynasty”? 5
Will Al Michaels or Cris Collinsworth say “City of Brotherly Love”? Yes
How many clips will we see, DURING THE GAME, of Super Bowl 39? 1
Who will Michelle Tafoya talk about in her first sideline bit, after the game starts? Chris Long

Entertainment-related:
Length of national anthem (sung by Pink)? 2:08
What color will Pink's hair be? Black
Will a player in the game be featured in a commercial? Yes
Will Donald Trump attend the game? Yes
Number of tweets from Donald Trump during the game ABOUT the game? 1
How will Justin Timberlake make his entrance? Normally
Who will make a guest appearances during the halftime show? Andy Samberg
What will be JT's first song? Can't stop the feeling
 

streeter88

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Awesome - thanks for setting this up.

Game-related:
Will Tom Brady wear a bandage on his right hand? Yes
Will the team that scores first win the game? Yes
Will either team score three unanswered times in the game? No
Coin-flip, Heads or Tails? Tails
First half margin? 7
Final score margin? 10
Will the team that scores first win the game? No
Will there be a score in the final 2 minutes of the 1st half? Yes
Will there be a score in the final 2 minutes of the game? Yes
Which team will score last? Patriots
What player will score first? Gronk
What player will score last? Dola
Who will be the MVP? Tom Brady
What color will the Gatorade bath be? Clear

Coverage-related:
How many times will Al Michaels and Chris Collinsworth say “dynasty”? 5
Will Al Michaels or Cris Collinsworth say “City of Brotherly Love”? Yes
How many clips will we see, DURING THE GAME, of Super Bowl 39? 2
Who will Michelle Tafoya talk about in her first sideline bit, after the game starts? Foles

Entertainment-related:
Length of national anthem (sung by Pink)? 2:17
What color will Pink's hair be? Dark Pink
Will a player in the game be featured in a commercial? Yes (Gronk)
Will Donald Trump attend the game? No
Number of tweets from Donald Trump during the game ABOUT the game? 3
How will Justin Timberlake make his entrance? He will already be onstage
Who will make a guest appearances during the halftime show? Beyonce
What will be JT's first song? Can’t Stop The Feeling
What Prince song will Timberlake sing/reference during his halftime show? When Doves Cry

I hope JT brings back Janet, but somehow I doubt it.
 

johnnywayback

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My usual inside source on things like length of anthem, halftime show playlist, etc. shares some troubling news: Timberlake is aware that people are gambling on his show and is planning to switch things up last minute to mess with people. Hopefully can still make some money on the anthem and/or Gatorade.
 

Leather

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Jul 18, 2005
28,451
Game-related:
Will Tom Brady wear a bandage on his right hand? No
Will the team that scores first win the game? No
Will either team score three unanswered times in the game? No
Coin-flip, Heads or Tails? Heads
First half margin? 4
Final score margin? 10
Will there be a score in the final 2 minutes of the 1st half? No
Will there be a score in the final 2 minutes of the game? No
Which team will score last? Eagles
What player will score first? Blount
What player will score last? Blount
Who will be the MVP? Gronk
What color will the Gatorade bath be? Blue

Coverage-related:
How many times will Al Michaels and Chris Collinsworth say “dynasty”? 4
Will Al Michaels or Cris Collinsworth say “City of Brotherly Love”? Yes
How many clips will we see, DURING THE GAME, of Super Bowl 39? 1
Who will Michelle Tafoya talk about in her first sideline bit, after the game starts? Gronk

Entertainment-related:
Length of national anthem (sung by Pink)? 2:14
What color will Pink's hair be? Blonde
Will a player in the game be featured in a commercial? Yes (Fletcher Cox)
Will Donald Trump attend the game? No
Number of tweets from Donald Trump during the game ABOUT the game? 0 (note: I think he'll tweet about the NFL generally, or half-time show, and to congratulate the winner, but not about the game itself).
How will Justin Timberlake make his entrance? He will walk through the crowd/props on the field.
Who will make a guest appearances during the halftime show? Chris Stapleton
What will be JT's first song? Sexy Back
What Prince song will Timberlake sing/reference during his halftime show? 1999 ("We're gonna party like it's...Super Bowl L I I."
 

Ralphwiggum

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Timberlake has to start with Can't Stop the Feeling, I would think, I have that as the slight favorite over Sexy Back. And I'll say he does a little of Purple Rain with either Slash or Adam Levine on guitar.
 

CaptainLaddie

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Sep 6, 2004
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I have one:

What Prince song with Timberlake sing/reference during his halftime show?
A few thoughts on this as our resident DJ...

- Timberlake and Prince had a long-running beef. In 2007, on "Give It To Me", he dissed Prince (and Janet!) after Prince said "Sexy never left" at some concert. They never reconciled their beef, so... I'm not totally sure he'll do a Prince song, though I'd be really disappointed if he didn't.
- If I was a betting man though, I'd go with a song in the same tempo as "Sexyback" and "Like I Love You" (117 and 115 BPM, respectively), which among Prince's "sexier" songs, that means "Kiss". Do a verse/chorus from Sexyback into the vocals for Kiss (with instrumental of Sexyback still going), then at a verse change bring in the Kiss instrumental, then at the end of the chorus, drop the drums from "Like I Love You" and go into that.

http://variety.com/2018/music/news/justin-timberlake-slammed-for-holding-listening-party-at-princes-paisley-park-studios-1202665793/
 

Leather

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More on the beef:

At a post-Emmy Awards party in 2006, Prince referenced Timberlake’s hit “SexyBack” by saying, “For whoever is claiming they are bringing sexy back, sexy never left!”

Weeks later, Timberlake presented the award for Best Original Song at the Golden Globes, which was won by Prince for “Song of the Heart” from the animated film “Happy Feet.” Prince was reportedly stuck in traffic, so Timberlake made fun of the artist’s 5’2” stature by bending his knees and lunging upward at the microphone. Shortly after, Timberlake released a verse on a song by his longtime producer Timbaland called “Give It to Me” that reads: “If sexy never left, then why’s everybody on my sh–?/ Don’t hate on me just because you didn’t come up with it.”
That makes Timberlake look like a fucking child. Jesus. Prince didn't even "diss" him in his initial statement, and it was at a party. So Timberlake takes offense (for what, exactly?) by mocking the guy's physical appearance at the Golden fucking Globes ceremony? And then feels the need to talk about it again on a song that, again, doesn't even make sense in the context of Prince's statement.

Good lord. Talk about a stretch.
 

Leather

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Meh, most beef in music is extremely petty, Prince's reaction including.
How was it petty? He's not saying "I'm sexier than him!" or even "He's not sexy!" [note: I can't believe I'm typing these words]. He's basically saying "Hey, remember me?"

And, again, it was at a party as opposed to on national television.
 

djbayko

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My usual inside source on things like length of anthem, halftime show playlist, etc. shares some troubling news: Timberlake is aware that people are gambling on his show and is planning to switch things up last minute to mess with people. Hopefully can still make some money on the anthem and/or Gatorade.
So he's gonna shave his beard?

As long as he wears white or black shoes, I'm cool with whatever.
 
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kenneycb

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How was it petty? He's not saying "I'm sexier than him!" or even "He's not sexy!" [note: I can't believe I'm typing these words]. He's basically saying "Hey, remember me?"

And, again, it was at a party as opposed to on national television.
Yeah, my point is it's all really stupid and wasting calories over who is right or wrong in a petty battle between two artists is also stupid. I don't care enough to get remotely worked up on either side.
 

Papelbon's Poutine

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How was it petty? He's not saying "I'm sexier than him!" or even "He's not sexy!" [note: I can't believe I'm typing these words]. He's basically saying "Hey, remember me?"

And, again, it was at a party as opposed to on national television.
Your last point kind of negates your whole premise - it wasn’t on TV and we have no idea how Prince said it or why or to whom. We don’t even know if it’s a legit beef between them. At least to the point to pass judgement. Timberlake is a goofy guy who pretty much everyone likes, he could easily have been messing around on both occasions with something he and Prince had joked about. Either way, JT doesn’t come off as a child just because he made fun of Prince being short at the GGs.

You seem to get oddly defensive about anything even tangentially regarding Minnesota.
 

johnmd20

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Your last point kind of negates your whole premise - it wasn’t on TV and we have no idea how Prince said it or why or to whom. We don’t even know if it’s a legit beef between them. At least to the point to pass judgement. Timberlake is a goofy guy who pretty much everyone likes, he could easily have been messing around on both occasions with something he and Prince had joked about. Either way, JT doesn’t come off as a child just because he made fun of Prince being short at the GGs.

You seem to get oddly defensive about anything even tangentially regarding Minnesota.
Regarding Minny.
 

djbayko

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These are the props I've wagered on so far. Looking to have a nice payday on Sunday, no matter what happens, as there's a lot of free money available out there (e.g. Anheuser-Busch commercials). Odds in parenthesis are aggregate across similar bets placed. For simplicity, fine print conditions are not listed here (e.g. sometimes halftime is included and sometimes it is not). Spoilering for those who don't care.

Trump/Kaepernick:
No players kneel during National Anthem (-351)
Trump won't attend Super Bowl (-592)
Trump will not be mentioned during the broadcast (+130)
First Team Mentioned in a Trump Tweet on Feb 4th - Neither (+172)
First Team Mentioned in a Trump Tweet on Feb 4th - Patriots (+124)

Game Props:
First offensive play of game - Run (+154)
First offensive play of game - Pass or Sack (+170)
No QB will throw for 400 or more yards (-500)
No penalty for excessive celebration (-400)
No missed PAT (-300)
No flea flicker (-250)
Will both teams have a 100-yard rusher? - No (-800)
No overtime (-800)

National Anthem:
Pink's hair color during National Anthem - White/Blonde (+165)
Pink will not be airborne at any point while singing the National Anthem (-357)
Pink will not forget or omit a word from the National Anthem (-500)
Pink will not say "Eagles" before, during, or after singing the National Anthem (-150)
Pink will not wear an Eagles shirt or hat while singing the National Anthem (-300)
After National Anthem starts, first closeup of a player or coach does not show their hand on their heart (-238)
Tom Brady Shown During National Anthem (-833)
Rob Gronkowski Shown During National Anthem (-350)
Bill Belichick Shown During National Anthem (-350)
Nick Foles Shown During National Anthem (-300)
Doug Pederson Shown During National Anthem (-270)
Pink's National Anthem will be longer than the shortest offensive scoring drive (+140)

Halftime Show:
Color of Justin Timberlake's shoes when at beginning of halftime performance - White (-127)
Color of Justin Timberlake's shoes when at beginning of halftime performance - Black (+192)
Justin Timberlake will cover a Prince song (+124)
Justin Timberlake will NOT cover a Prince song (+375)
Justin Timberlake's first Prince song - I Would Die 4 U (+2500)
Justin Timberlake doesn't say "Trump" during halftime show (-592)

Broadcast:
Al Michaels will not say "Sportsbook" (-300)
Al Michaels and Cris Collinsworth will not say "Danny Playoff" (-300)
Al Michaels and Cris Collinsworth will say "Dynasy" under 2.5 times (-143)
Al Michaels will not say "Pointspread" (-600)
Al Michaels and Cris Collinsworth will not say "City of Brotherly Love" (-142)
Giselle Bundchen will be shown on TV broadcast - Over 1.5 times (+143)
Giselle Bundchen will Tweet on February 4th - Under 5.5 times (-150)
Robert Kraft will be shown on TV broadcast - Over 2.5 times (-200)
Robert Kraft will be shown on TV more times than Giselle Bundchen (-380)
Either Tom Brady or Bill Belichick will be shown shaking hands or embracing Roger Godell after Super Bowl 52 during live broadcast (+909)
Janet Jackson will be mentioned during broadcast - Under 1.5 times (+101)
"Nipplegate" will be mentioned during broadcast - Under 1.5 times (-900)
"Wardrobe Malfunction" will be mentioned - Under 1.5 times (-226)
Clips from Super Bowl 39 will be shown during the broadcast - Under 2.5 times (-120)
Donovan McNabb's vomiting incident from Super Bowl 39 will not be mentioned during the broadcast (-248)
The temperature outside the stadium will mentioned during the broadcast - Under 1 time (+105)
Tom Brady's age will be mentioned during the broadcast - Over 1.5 times (+110)

Commercials:
Total Anheuser-Busch commercials - Over 4.5 (-200)
Total commercials with Peyton Manning - Under 2.5 (-160)
When game begins, either team will score a TD before "Dilly dilly" is said in a commercial (+120)
Number of times "Dilly" said - Under 18.5 (+101)

Other:
Dion Lewis wins Super Bowl MVP (+3000)
No bandage on Brady's right hand (-168)
Super Bowl MVP will mention first in speech - Teammates (+200)
Super Bowl MVP will mention first in speech - Coach (+700)
No player, coach or staff member of the Patriots or Eagles will be arrested before kickoff of the Super Bowl (-1495)
Color of liquid thrown on winning coach - Clear (+481)
Super Bowl LI Nielsen Rating - Under 45.5 (+100)
Total money bet on Super Bowl LI - Over $138.4 million (-150)
Total money bet on Super Bowl LI - Under $145 million (+140)
Duration of game - Under 232.5 minutes (-127)
 
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djbayko

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Wow. I love your obsession with gambling addiction. It's impressive, but a bit concerning.
It's not gambling addiction. It's supplemental income. 21.3% return on every dollar risked over 2,509 wagers. It should be higher but every now and then I deviate from my guiding principles and make a stupid, emotion-based decision.
 

edmunddantes

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The under bet on "dilly" seems questionable.
I just heard a guy on KNBR that does research on sportsbetting and he was talking about how his information got one of Dilly Dilly bets pulled off the board. As his team had done research and showed it averaged 18 times and the O/U was only 12.5 so they were telling all their people to bet the over hard.
 

djbayko

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The under bet on "dilly" seems questionable.
I just heard a guy on KNBR that does research on sportsbetting and he was talking about how his information got one of Dilly Dilly bets pulled off the board. As his team had done research and showed it averaged 18 times and the O/U was only 12.5 so they were telling all their people to bet the over hard.
It is now confirmed that there are exactly 2 But Light commercials and you can watch them both online. There are 12 "Dilly"s between them, and I do not believe Al or Cris will contribute 7 more from kickoff to final whistle.
White shoes, I hear. And no hat, if that's an available bet.
Shoes and hat are both bets, but I don't work with inside tips unless there are zero degrees of separation between me and the root source. 99% of the time, they are wrong.
 

djbayko

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A few thoughts on this as our resident DJ...

- Timberlake and Prince had a long-running beef. In 2007, on "Give It To Me", he dissed Prince (and Janet!) after Prince said "Sexy never left" at some concert. They never reconciled their beef, so... I'm not totally sure he'll do a Prince song, though I'd be really disappointed if he didn't.
- If I was a betting man though, I'd go with a song in the same tempo as "Sexyback" and "Like I Love You" (117 and 115 BPM, respectively), which among Prince's "sexier" songs, that means "Kiss". Do a verse/chorus from Sexyback into the vocals for Kiss (with instrumental of Sexyback still going), then at a verse change bring in the Kiss instrumental, then at the end of the chorus, drop the drums from "Like I Love You" and go into that.

http://variety.com/2018/music/news/justin-timberlake-slammed-for-holding-listening-party-at-princes-paisley-park-studios-1202665793/
I guess Prince got over that beef because his hologram is reportedly performing with JT.
 

axx

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Jul 16, 2005
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I like Foles over 242 yards passing. Feels like the only way he doesn't get it is if he gets hurt or the Patriots defense really smothers him; which doesn't seem likely given that I think the Pats D gameplan is going to be shutting down the run.

I'm just sort of imaging Foles with the ball with like 3 minutes left and they need to go the length of the field to take the lead / tie. And he gets 40-50 yards just on that drive.
 

Reverend

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No...

Edit: ye gods.

https://pitchfork.com/news/justin-timberlake-super-bowl-2018-halftime-show-to-feature-prince-hologram-report/


Welp. I was right about prince being involved, so yay I guess.

It’s too much and (probably) in bad taste. Prince’s heirs really cashing in.
We are officially moving into that disturbing territory of the sci-fi movie where we should perhaps be wondering if this is akin to forcing a person to perform against his or her will... but then it’s dismissed as silly because hey, they’re dead, so who is it hurting?

And then...
 

singaporesoxfan

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We are officially moving into that disturbing territory of the sci-fi movie where we should perhaps be wondering if this is akin to forcing a person to perform against his or her will... but then it’s dismissed as silly because hey, they’re dead, so who is it hurting?

And then...
I know his family authorized it but Prince previously gave an interview where he called this kind of posthumous resuscitation of artists “demonic”. It’s not hurting him obviously but it feels unseemly.
 

Oil Can Dan

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I’ve got Brissett over .5 catches. And Pats to be losing by 10 or more points but to win the game at +900.
 

SumnerH

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Alexandria, VA
That list is misleading. Click onto Can't Stop the Feeling and you'll see that it's credited to Justin Timberlake, Max Martin, and Shellback. SexyBack lists Timberlake and Danja (Nate Hill).

When Max Martin or Danja (who are the songwriting equivalents of the Wrecking Crew for Phil Spector) have writing credits, it's a reasonable bet they actually wrote at least the vast majority of the song. Martin in particular is a pop songwriting machine: he wrote the half of the Taylor Swift catalog, along with hits for Britney Spears, Maroon 5, Pitbull, Nikki Minaj, Bon Jovi, the Weeknd, Katy Perry, Ariana Grande, Christina Aguilera, Celine Dion, etc.

Timberlake's more hands on than some of those so he probably was involved, but Martin's a huge factor there (and with N*Sync, the Backstreet Boys, Nick Carter, etc).

Only Paul McCartney and John Lennon have written more #1 hits than Max Martin.