RB Dion Lewis out for 2015 with torn ACL

amarshal2

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Come on, White is at best an unknown.
He very well could be average or worse, but our simple size of White is very small. He is still a young player, it may take some reps for him to understand the speed of the game, but declaring him as just Average or Worse right not is extremely premature.
Let's agree it's silly to talk about how much of a drop there is. We all agree Lewis was exceptional, yes? We all agree there's no reason to project White as being exceptional, yes? Then we all must agree the offense is going to be less "dynamic and effective", right?
 

Dr. Gonzo

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Why? Because of the combine stats you posted?

Look, the sky isn't falling, but that doesn't make you any less wrong. Lewis was exceptional at what he does and White is average or worse.
Why? Because of the organization's ability to identify players that fit this role in their system. I will leave Faulk out but Woodhead, Vereen, and Lewis gives BB/McD/Caserio plenty of rope when it comes to them believing White can fill this role. He was kept on the active roster for a reason and I am sure it was for a situation such as this given Lewis's medical history.

I would say that my answer is not great as it trots out "In Bill We Trust' but for this instance, due to the history of turning over this position a few times without missing a beat, I am deferring to him.
 

Number45forever

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One of the best plays Lewis made yesterday was that blitz pickup where he stoned a rushing linebacker dead. He was outweighed by probably 50 pounds and stopped the rusher in his tracks. It was awesome, and Brady hit someone (LaFell?) on a play-action for a good gain if I recall. This sucks, Lewis was playing so, so well.

Just more than ever on Brady now. Which probably will end fine. The rest of the skill guys on offense (Brady, Gronk, Edelman, Amendola and LaFell) really need to stay healthy now. We must be getting somewhat close to a breaking point with these injuries on the O-Line, etc. I'm excited to see White...and Bolden didn't look terrible yesterday.

On to NY!
 

( . ) ( . ) and (_!_)

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Let's agree it's silly to talk about how much of a drop there is. We all agree Lewis was exceptional, yes? We all agree there's no reason to project White as being exceptional, yes? Then we all must agree the offense is going to be less "dynamic and effective", right?
Your logic tree falls apart because there are other ways the offense can be dynamic and effective besides a RB like Lewis.
For example we could see more 3 TE sets or the team creating more matchup problems by giving Chandler more snaps.

If they try to just do the same thing then you are potentially correct. If they use their other chess pieces then we are just bucket shifting to different ways of being effective.

This is truly a wait and see moment. I get why people are upset and I agree Lewis was fun to watch but I think some of the forecasting of what's to come here is over the edge.
 

ragnarok725

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I'll go on the record right now and predict that White will be a productive player in this role. Not Lewis, but a good player who will be a pain in the ass for linebackers to cover.

I'm much much more worried about the fact that Bryan Stork and Cameron Fleming are currently our starting tackles. That might work against WAS, but it won't against Denver, the Jets, Buffalo, or Philly. I'm praying that Vollmer and Cannon are healthy for the stretch run.
Definitely agree with this. I think White has looked pretty solid in preseason games, looked alright against the Jets, and the supporting cast means he will be set up to succeed. He'll be a drop-off from Lewis, but White will be productive I think.
 

amarshal2

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Your logic tree falls apart because there are other ways the offense can be dynamic and effective besides a RB like Lewis.
For example we could see more 3 TE sets or the team creating more matchup problems by giving Chandler more snaps.

If they try to just do the same thing then you are potentially correct. If they use their other chess pieces then we are just bucket shifting to different ways of being effective.

This is truly a wait and see moment. I get why people are upset and I agree Lewis was fun to watch but I think some of the forecasting of what's to come here is over the edge.
Your logic implies that any loss can be overcome with zero drop in productivity by just going to other things. Lose Gronk? No big deal!

The bottom line is they lost a fantastic player and they're going to be less dynamic than they were when they had him. How much? I don't know but I'm betting there's a game when you really notice the loss. Again, the sky is not falling, but it's silly to pretend like losing Lewis is irrelevant which is the point that I initially responded to.

It sucks that he is hurt but the drop from Lewis to White shouldn't be something that makes the offense that less dynamic or effective.
 
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ifmanis5

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Your logic implies that any loss can be overcome with zero drop in productivity by just going to other things. Lose Gronk? No big deal!

The bottom line is they lost a fantastic player and they're going to be less dynamic than they were when they had him. How much? I don't know but I'm betting there's a game when you really notice the loss. Again, the sky is not falling, but it's silly to pretend like losing Lewis is irrelevant which is the point that I initially responded to.
Well said. People thinking that losing Lewis is no big deal will find out in a hurry what a huge dropoff in talent this is and it will limit space for the other weapons quite a bit.
 

dynomite

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Your logic implies that any loss can be overcome with zero drop in productivity by just going to other things. Lose Gronk? No big deal!
I haven't seen many people argue that. Everyone in this thread that I've seen seems to agree that Brady and Gronk are the only two truly irreplaceable players. (N.B. They won 11 games without Brady and got to back-to-back AFC Championships without Gronk for large portions)

It's not "no big deal" to lose good players, but this is a team that is always built to weather injuries.

Even since last year they lost Revis and Browner and have been fine on defense, and they lost Vereen, Ridley, Solder, Connolly, Wendell and have been even better on offense.

The Belichick-Brady system works because they manage to replace players that seem irreplaceable. Welker leaves and Edelman replaces him. Mayo gets hurt and Hightower and Collins turn out to be incredible. Stork goes down and Andrews turns out to be fantastic.

I guess I just trust that Belichick, Caserio, McDaniels and the rest know what they're doing as well as anyone has ever known anything, and I trust they were prepared to be good in 2015 even before Lewis turned out to be a diamond in the training camp rough.

One way or another, the team will be fine.
 

lexrageorge

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Well said. People thinking that losing Lewis is no big deal will find out in a hurry what a huge dropoff in talent this is and it will limit space for the other weapons quite a bit.
They didn't have Lewis last year, and the other players on offense managed to find space just fine.

Lewis is definitely better than White/Bolden. But Lewis was also a lot better than Vereen. Book is still out on whether White could become a poor man's Vereen, which is probably all they need.
 

ifmanis5

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They didn't have Lewis last year, and the other players on offense managed to find space just fine. .
Right, they had Vereen. There's no Vereen guy to step up. Lewis was the new Vereen and now he's gone.

You can play chess without a Rook but you're going to notice it at some point. I'm shocked people are mindlessly 'Next Man Upping.' It's a bigger loss than that.
 

E5 Yaz

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Right, they had Vereen. There's no Vereen guy to step up. Lewis was the new Vereen and now he's gone.

You can play chess without a Rook but you're going to notice it at some point. I'm shocked people are mindlessly 'Next Man Upping.' It's a bigger loss than that.
Then you should also be shocked at people who suggest that the Patriots can not recover from the loss of Lewis.
 

nothumb

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The big loss with Lewis is being less dangerous on late-and-long type plays or screens. Those dumpoffs will now go for 3 or 5 yards more often than 13 or 15, and the offense has that much less room for error with negative plays etc. Lewis has looked really good to me in protection, but I think White and Bolden can do that adequately with enough reps.

Lewis has really been a great complementary piece when teams sell out to stop Gronk and the downfield stuff. Put me in the camp that calls this a significant loss that limits versatility, but one that can be schemed around in some ways.

Really loved watching Dion play this year. Wish him a quick and complete recovery.
 

BaseballJones

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Lewis is a dynamic player. It's a tough loss. But this team has succeeded with far less dynamic players coming out of the backfield. I don't see their offense suddenly putting up just 24 points a game or anything. I still see 30+ a game.
 

JGray38

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One of the best plays Lewis made yesterday was that blitz pickup where he stoned a rushing linebacker dead. He was outweighed by probably 50 pounds and stopped the rusher in his tracks. It was awesome, and Brady hit someone (LaFell?) on a play-action for a good gain if I recall. This sucks, Lewis was playing so, so well.

Just more than ever on Brady now. Which probably will end fine. The rest of the skill guys on offense (Brady, Gronk, Edelman, Amendola and LaFell) really need to stay healthy now. We must be getting somewhat close to a breaking point with these injuries on the O-Line, etc. I'm excited to see White...and Bolden didn't look terrible yesterday.

On to NY!
He threw a nearly identical block in the Miami game, too. It just didn't get as much attention. He read the play perfectly and met a blitzing linebacker right at the line of scrimmage with everything he had. I liked that he could be so aggressive in pass protection and played hard even when his number wasn't called. Oh well, next year!
 

dcmissle

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No. That's for if Brady or Gronk get hurt. Hopefully we don't get there.
I am unfortunately old enough to remember a Patriots season going down the drain in the final pre-season game. But you don't have to go back that far. Look at the Cowboys and Steelers this season. This is bearable. The injuries just have to stop.
 

Stitch01

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I never took "Next man up" to mean that the Pats are going to just step in and do the same thing with the backup in. That would be sort of a bad philosophy. They aren't going to just plug Stork in at tackle or Hooman at TE instead of Gronk, just as a couple of examples from recent years, and not change anything.

On offense, to me, next man up just means they work around it and plug the next guy in and use his skills in the best as possible and it mostly works because Brady is awesome and (to a somewhat lesser extent) Gronk is awesome and the team is very well coached and tends to be built with depth so there are a lot of players on the roster who are either good players or have enough strengths that the coaching staff can build an effective scheme around them (hopefully) using their GOATish QB and TE combo. So losing any one player generally doesn't sink the season and the coaching staff does a good man focusing the players on what they can control and not things like injuries they cant control. Next man up.

So it doesn't really surprise me to hear the Pats saying they changed the game plan when White came in for Lewis because keeping the exact same game plan would be pretty silly given that Lewis is a very unique player. BB generally isn't silly. I don't think it says much about White. Im not super high on him, but that doesn't tell me anything about whether he can be a useful part.

So yeah, the next man up will come in for Lewis and as long as Brady and Gronk are healthy and some semblance of an offensive line remains it will be a really good offense and the team will win the vast majority of its games. Winning difficult games just got a bit harder though, which sucks. Doesn't destroy the season or anything, but maybe takes Super Bowl equity from 13% or whatever to 11% or whatever and will make the offense a little less fun to watch and kills what had been a pretty cool story.
 

MuppetAsteriskTalk

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I remember when everybody thought Vereen stunk because he was hardly used his first year or two. Most likely White has been carried on the roster for 2 years for a reason. He won't be as good as Lewis, but he might surprise us and be pretty good.
 

bigq

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I remember when everybody thought Vereen stunk because he was hardly used his first year or two. Most likely White has been carried on the roster for 2 years for a reason. He won't be as good as Lewis, but he might surprise us and be pretty good.
I agree. Also looking forward to Lewis coming back next year.
 

Dr. Gonzo

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Lewis was targeted in the passing game 7.5 times/game, most in the NFL for running backs.

The Jets game that Lewis missed saw Brady attempting 54 passes with White seeing 5 targets. White had 3 receptions for 26 yards. He only had two rushes.

Lewis was averaging close to 11 yards a catch but also averaging close to 5 yards a carry and 89 all purpose yards per game.

I don't believe that White replaces Lewis's production but can he succeed in the role? I believe BB believes he can based on him being on the roster.

For people who have more knowledge than me, will defenses play the Pats any different with Lewis out?
 

wiffleballhero

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Archer seems like a guy who might fit Lewis' profile and thus be a candidate to fill in for the Faulk/Vereen/Woodhead/Lewis role, but he might just suck. It is a worry for a third round guy who can't even stay on a practice squad.
 

Super Nomario

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Archer seems like a guy who might fit Lewis' profile and thus be a candidate to fill in for the Faulk/Vereen/Woodhead/Lewis role, but he might just suck. It is a worry for a third round guy who can't even stay on a practice squad.
Sounds like he could have signed to the practice squad and didn't want to. Remember, it's not like optioning a MLBer to AAA; an NFLer has to be waived and clear waivers and then he's free to sign to the PS - but he can choose another option (as Coleman did when signing to Seattle's PS after the Pats waived him before the season).

Lewis was targeted in the passing game 7.5 times/game, most in the NFL for running backs.

The Jets game that Lewis missed saw Brady attempting 54 passes with White seeing 5 targets. White had 3 receptions for 26 yards. He only had two rushes.

Lewis was averaging close to 11 yards a catch but also averaging close to 5 yards a carry and 89 all purpose yards per game.

I don't believe that White replaces Lewis's production but can he succeed in the role? I believe BB believes he can based on him being on the roster.
My impression (based on preseason for White, since he's seen so little game action) is kinda like what those stats suggest - Lewis was a special dynamic player both running and receiving and with the ball in his hands, and White isn't. White will probably be useful enough to beat LBs in the passing game, which is the bare minimum for that third-down back role, but I don't think he'll offer the same effectiveness running the ball or with yards after catch. He's shown a little shiftiness in the open field but zero ability to break tackles, which is consistent with what Matt Waldman wrote about him pre-draft. I suspect they'll rotate Bolden in more as he's kind of a two-way guy, but the big beneficiary is Blount, who will probably lead the team in carries every game out now.
 

TomTerrific

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PFT reporting the 49ers worked out Traveris Cadet today, so the Pats may have to act quickly if they want him.

Then again, other than signing him initially, they haven't shown much enthusiasm for him. So who the hell knows
 

8slim

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It seems like the Pats were content to try White in the role until Lewis surprised everyone. It sucks but I'm hopeful that White will show the skills off that has kept him on the roster the past 2 years.
 

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I'm comfortable with a Blount, White, and Bolden committee for the rest of the year. As long as White and Bolden can block and catch the ball </fingers crossed>
 

SeoulSoxFan

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Just based off of what I saw against the Dolphins, Lewis was the best player on the field not named Gronkowski or Brady. He has the ability to make people miss and turn nothing into something, or something into a big play.

His career has been riddled with injuries thus far, but you can see the obvious talent and potential when he's able to be on the field and healthy. You have to feel for the guy.
I appreciate that. As mentioned in the Phins thread, a lot of Pats fans are also wishing speedy recovery for Wake.
 

SeoulSoxFan

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I never took "Next man up" to mean that the Pats are going to just step in and do the same thing with the backup in. That would be sort of a bad philosophy. They aren't going to just plug Stork in at tackle or Hooman at TE instead of Gronk, just as a couple of examples from recent years, and not change anything.

On offense, to me, next man up just means they work around it and plug the next guy in and use his skills in the best as possible and it mostly works because Brady is awesome and (to a somewhat lesser extent) Gronk is awesome and the team is very well coached and tends to be built with depth so there are a lot of players on the roster who are either good players or have enough strengths that the coaching staff can build an effective scheme around them (hopefully) using their GOATish QB and TE combo. So losing any one player generally doesn't sink the season and the coaching staff does a good man focusing the players on what they can control and not things like injuries they cant control. Next man up.

So it doesn't really surprise me to hear the Pats saying they changed the game plan when White came in for Lewis because keeping the exact same game plan would be pretty silly given that Lewis is a very unique player. BB generally isn't silly. I don't think it says much about White. Im not super high on him, but that doesn't tell me anything about whether he can be a useful part.

So yeah, the next man up will come in for Lewis and as long as Brady and Gronk are healthy and some semblance of an offensive line remains it will be a really good offense and the team will win the vast majority of its games. Winning difficult games just got a bit harder though, which sucks. Doesn't destroy the season or anything, but maybe takes Super Bowl equity from 13% or whatever to 11% or whatever and will make the offense a little less fun to watch and kills what had been a pretty cool story.
Again, Stitch pulls it all together.
 

lexrageorge

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Right, they had Vereen. There's no Vereen guy to step up. Lewis was the new Vereen and now he's gone.

You can play chess without a Rook but you're going to notice it at some point. I'm shocked people are mindlessly 'Next Man Upping.' It's a bigger loss than that.
Noone disagrees that the drop from Lewis to anyone, including Vereen, is a big loss. We disagree that Vereen is so much better than White/Bolden that the offense is now screwed.

The other explanation for "next man up" is that we agree internally, but we're just hoping you're wrong. :)
 

amarshal2

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Noone disagrees that the drop from Lewis to anyone, including Vereen, is a big loss. We disagree that Vereen is so much better than White/Bolden that the offense is now screwed.

The other explanation for "next man up" is that we agree internally, but we're just hoping you're wrong. :)
Literally nobody said the offense was screwed. Somebody literally said they expected no drop in effectiveness - though this seems to have been retracted. There was some decent discussion about how big the drop would be but most of the rest is actually agreement but with poor reading comprehension.
 

GeorgeCostanza

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I expect a drop off in production from the position but I do not expect a drop in production overall from the offense. With all the weapons they have, I have confidence Brady and McD will find a way to make up for it.
 

TheoShmeo

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I have no doubt that the Pats can survive and thrive without a player as dynamic as Lewis in the backfield. They've done it. They've won Super Bowls that way, of course.

But an effective pass catching back has always been a staple in this offense and it remains to be seen whether White can be that.

My guess is that White will get a shot for the next several games to show whether he can give them enough and that they will not hesitate to plug in Bolden or someone off the street if they deem White's production insufficient.

Try outs in November are not ideal but that's in many ways where we are right now.

One byproduct of this is that it may encourage them to try to get the ball to Chandler a little more. I expected more production out of him this year, still think he can be a valuable weapon for this team and perhaps one silver lining is that this could open up more chances for this huge target.
 

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Worst kind of injury for a RB with his style though.
Maybe in 1985.

Guys seem to be coming back from ACLs faster then ever before and with quicker return to full strength. In sure it depends on what else is damaged besides the back when they get hurt. But it doesn't seem like ACL tears are the career death sentence they once were due to the magic of current medicine and training methods.
 

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Unfortunately, I think it's his style itself that makes him more susceptible to leg injuries in general. He is always cutting at insane angles that can't keep him protected from impact and I would think increase the likelihood of tears such as these during non-contact. On some plays, he literally cuts on the "edges" of his feet. It if wasn't so fun to watch, it would be painful.
 

BaseballJones

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I have no doubt that the Pats can survive and thrive without a player as dynamic as Lewis in the backfield. They've done it. They've won Super Bowls that way, of course.

But an effective pass catching back has always been a staple in this offense and it remains to be seen whether White can be that.

My guess is that White will get a shot for the next several games to show whether he can give them enough and that they will not hesitate to plug in Bolden or someone off the street if they deem White's production insufficient.

Try outs in November are not ideal but that's in many ways where we are right now.

One byproduct of this is that it may encourage them to try to get the ball to Chandler a little more. I expected more production out of him this year, still think he can be a valuable weapon for this team and perhaps one silver lining is that this could open up more chances for this huge target.
Well there is only one ball to go around, no matter how many weapons you have. An offense of Gronk, Edelman, Amendola, LaFell, Chandler, Blount, Bolden, and White, with Brady at the helm, should still score an awful lot of points.
 

soxfan121

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Literally nobody said the offense was screwed. Somebody literally said they expected no drop in effectiveness - though this seems to have been retracted. There was some decent discussion about how big the drop would be but most of the rest is actually agreement but with poor reading comprehension.
Crushing loss for the offense.
I agree, no one should have said the offense was "crushed" or screwed, because people should know better.

But literally, the first person to reply to the news reacted in the way you contend no (reasonable) person should react.

Ah well. Better luck next injury.
 

wutang112878

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I feel awful for Dion, but fortunately for him he signed that extension otherwise he'd risk being forgotten by the NFL again.

The offense will probably need to adjust, but they should be fine. They could go to what I thought would be their bread and butter formation this season, a 2 TE set with Gronk and Chandler with Blount as your power RB, and use some play action. This does assume that Chandler can become more of a productive, reliable player than we have seen thus far though.
 

BaseballJones

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Ian Rapoport ‏@RapSheet 3m3 minutes ago
FA RB Travaris Cadet is signing with the #49ers, source said. He had 3 teams of interest...noteworthy with #Patriots having a RB spot open
Crud. Cadet would have made all the sense in the world for NE. And why would he sign with SF? That is a team going absolutely nowhere, and in NE he presumably could have a fair amount of playing time and obviously a shot at a ring. Were the 49ers offering that much more money?
 

DJnVa

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If SF can offer MORE playing time, that allows him a better chance to showcase himself for next year.
 

dynomite

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Crud. Cadet would have made all the sense in the world for NE. And why would he sign with SF? That is a team going absolutely nowhere, and in NE he presumably could have a fair amount of playing time and obviously a shot at a ring. Were the 49ers offering that much more money?
1) We don't know if the Pats made any offer

2) Because he sees a realistic path to start for the 49ers.

This is about setting himself up to get guaranteed money in 2016. Carlos Hyde may be out for the year, and the rest of their options are hardly inspiring. If Cadet gets lots of touches and looks pretty good, some team will sign him next year.
 

BaseballJones

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If SF can offer MORE playing time, that allows him a better chance to showcase himself for next year.
1) We don't know if the Pats made any offer

2) Because he sees a realistic path to start for the 49ers.

This is about setting himself up to get guaranteed money in 2016. Carlos Hyde may be out for the year, and the rest of their options are hardly inspiring. If Cadet gets lots of touches and looks pretty good, some team will sign him next year.
Yeah, makes sense. In any case, he would have made sense for the Patriots. Wish he was here. Who do you guys think they'll add? Can't go with just 3 RB.
 

GBrushTWood

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Right. I like him, but I think the guy they bring in has to be a pass-catching threat.
If White or Bolden goes down, then I would agree they need to sign someone/activate Iosefa off the practice squad (who I admittedly have 0 clue about). But because they already have built in depth with White and Bolden, I imagine they replace Lewis' roster spot with one of the OL from the practice squad OR if one of the injured lineman appears ready to return this week (Cannon or Vollmer), maybe they activate a LB/safety type to replace Bolden on special teams.

Tough to predict these things given all the moving parts. Hell, some other important player of the team could get banged up in practice this week, and that position suddenly jumps to the top of roster necessities. Everything is connected.
 

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I'd be curious if they'd think about using the open roster spot on a fourth TE. Specifically someone in the Tim Wright/Move TE mold. Obviously this would have to be a street free agent/practice squad player. But it's a skill set not currently on the roster and another way to force match up problems against a defense.
The realistic answer if that there might be a series of moves now that this roster spot is open, depending on the health of Vollmer and Cannon.