448 feet to the second deck of the OPPOSITE FIELD, are you kidding me?
http://www.espn.com/video/clip?id=19524421
http://www.espn.com/video/clip?id=19524421
For years, people around here have enjoyed tossing around BAbip as a proxy for luck, and while there is some component of that, it's also a measure of quality of contact. Judge tears the cover off the ball consistently so it's no surprise his BAbip is high. The only player in the league with a higher average exit velocity is Miguel Sano....with a BAbip of .439Going into today's game, Judge's BAbip was .422. Rod Carew holds the season high mark for BAbip since 1945 with a .408 mark, unless someone broke it in 2014-2016. I don't post this to rain on anyone's parade. I post this because I think he has a chance to break that .408 mark.
http://www.fangraphs.com/community/the-ten-highest-babips-since-1945/
Sure, today. He's been doing this all season, though.At some point, Judge will cool off. His timing will get out of sync. It happens to everyone. What we are seeing right now is what Judge looks like when everything is clicking, against mediocre to sub-par major league pitching. And this Orioles staff right now, outside of Bundy, is awful.
Right. Speed also plays a part.For years, people around here have enjoyed tossing around BAbip as a proxy for luck, and while there is some component of that, it's also a measure of quality of contact. Judge tears the cover off the ball consistently so it's no surprise his BAbip is high. The only player in the league with a higher average exit velocity is Miguel Sano....with a BAbip of .439
Judge has been pitched to, and retired, by pitchers who make their pitches. Not today, not lately.Sure, today. He's been doing this all season, though.
I'm confused. I'm not Michael Kaying this and saying he's Mickey Mantle. I'm just pointing out that to say he's doing this against mediocre pitching is ignoring that he's been doing this all season. Of course he's going to whiff against good pitching. I just don't know how that statement means anything unless you think he only hits bad pitching.Judge has been pitched to, and retired, by pitchers who make their pitches. Not today, not lately.
My comparison to Mantle was based on the length of Judge's homers. You calling me Michael Kay? I just don't believe in judging players on their best days. Judge has been held hitless in 13 games this season. Somebody gets him out.I'm confused. I'm not Michael Kaying this and saying he's Mickey Mantle. I'm just pointing out that to say he's doing this against mediocre pitching is ignoring that he's been doing this all season. Of course he's going to whiff against good pitching. I just don't know how that statement means anything unless you think he only hits bad pitching.
You saw the same thing with Gary Sanchez last year, although Gary Sanchez 2017 is still pretty great. He's just not going to hit 60+ HRs a year. Judge probably won't either. He is OPSing north of 1.150 right now. Is he prime Pujols or is he going to settle into more of an Anthony Rizzo hitting wise? There is a lot of room for him to "falter" and still be amazing.I'm confused. I'm not Michael Kaying this and saying he's Mickey Mantle. I'm just pointing out that to say he's doing this against mediocre pitching is ignoring that he's been doing this all season. Of course he's going to whiff against good pitching. I just don't know how that statement means anything unless you're trying to say he only hits bad pitching.
I don't really mind him playing for the Yanks, per se.Strike me down, but I am having a very hard time finding anything to dislike about this kid, well, except that he plays for THEM. Cannot wait till he hits free agency and signs somewhere else, that will make me laugh.
You saw the same thing with Gary Sanchez last year, although Gary Sanchez 2017 is still pretty great. He's just not going to hit 60+ HRs a year. Judge probably won't either. He is OPSing north of 1.150 right now. Is he prime Pujols or is he going to settle into more of an Anthony Rizzo hitting wise? There is a lot of room for him to "falter" and still be amazing.
Right. I could see him hitting 40 in a year. Even 46 is a far cry from 60. Granted the MLB as a whole is on pace to set a HR record. There are 1/3 more HRs hit in a game this year than 2014. Maybe seeing people hit 50-60 HRs is in reach again.Sanchez is on pace for for 27 home runs this year. He's only played in 35 games with the injury , if he played 162, that would be about 46 dingers.
He's played 88 games in the last 2 years and has hit 30 homers.
It's not just the power though. Hitting .344 with an obp of .450?? He's never done anything like that before.Bird in 2015 (11 HRs in 178 ABs) and Sanchez last year (20 HRs in 201 ABs) also had much better HR/AB in their first exposure to the bigs than ever in the minors, I am not sure how to explain it but it does seem to be becoming a bit of a pattern for NY.
Possibly, I am actually really intrigued to see how he does this week going out to the bigger West Coast parks, where I believe he has not played before.One thing to keep an eye on is he has massive home/road splits so far, a 1.405 OPS in NY and a .921 at home. Usually guys with splits like this are lefty pull hitters who hit most of their HRs to the short RF in Yankee Stadium, but Judge only has one YS cheapie, so maybe it's just that he feels super comfortable at home (?).