2023 Mostly Belated Mathematical Eliminatory

cannonball 1729

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All right - running a little behind this year, but I figure I should at least start this. If history is any guide, I'll finish about 10-12 of these before getting distracted by work and other ventures, but in the meantime, we have some teams to bid farewell to. We begin, of course, with
71033
______________________________________
It was hell for me – or not Hell, something worse than Hell.”
What could be worse than Hell?” he said.
Purgatory,” I said.

- Kurt Vonnegut, Mother Night

___________________________________

Let’s get this out of the way: even on its best days, the Mt. Davis-era Coliseum has always been a terrible place to play baseball. It’s cavernous, sterile, and run down; the location is in the middle of nowhere; the field still bears the scars of multi-purpose-dom….we all know the list. When the A’s re-upped with another ten year lease back in 2014, everyone knew that the lease would likely be the stadium’s last. Bud Selig had made his life’s mission to make every stadium a chapel, and Oakland was one of the few remaining holdouts from era of multi-sport, Soviet-style stadiums built of concrete and asceticism.

So where would this new stadium be built? Right on the site of the old one, of course. Or as Bud Selig put it back in 2014:

"I continue to believe that the Athletics need a new facility and am fully supportive of the club's view that the best site in Oakland is the Coliseum site."

And where would it not be built? Selig had something to say about that, too:

"Contrary to what some have suggested, the committee that has studied this issue did not determine that the Howard Terminal site was the best location for a new facility in Oakland."

Then, just for good measure, erstwhile owner Lew Wolff added his two cents:

"Howard Terminal as a potential ballpark site has been and is totally rejected by MLB and the A's."
__________________________________________________________________________________

Apparently much has changed for the A’s in the last ten years, and a big part of that change is that John Fisher took over as the sole owner of the team.

A's fans have always been a little distrustful of Fisher, and for good reason: he’s the cheapest owner in baseball. The A’s are currently last in the league in payroll, which is not a new position for them – they’ve had a bottom-ten payroll in each of the last fifteen seasons. The last homegrown star that the A’s re-signed was Eric Chavez, who inked a $66 million deal at a time when Friends was still releasing new episodes and “The Curse” was still a thing that made Dan Shaughnessy money. “Moneyball” has become a baseball cliché, but we’ve spent so long using it to mean “analytics-driven team building” that we forget that it originally meant “how to win at baseball without spending any money.”

So it was with some lingering bad feelings that the new stadium process began. Fisher brought in Dave Kaval, a man whose forte was, you guessed it, getting public financing for stadiums, to jump-start the process, and what occurred over the next several years could only be described as a disaster for all involved. Kaval narrowed the potential sites down to three: the Coliseum site, the Howard Terminal downtown, and the Laney College/Peralta District. In 2017, Kaval announced that Laney had been selected, which would likely have been a joyous occasion....if anyone had thought to talk to the trustees of the Peralta District first. Since they did not, the pushback from the board and the nearby citizens was swift and fierce, and the A’s were forced to regroup and pick again.

With Laney/Peralta off the table, the A’s examined the two remaining sites and...came to the exact opposite conclusion as Selig and Wolff. A stadium surrounded by parking lots, declared Kaval, was the outdated 1960’s model, whereas all teams nowadays were opening new stadiums downtown like Camden Yards. (We will ignore for now that the Braves just did the opposite.) Thus, the only option – the sole hope for keeping A’s baseball in the Bay Area - was the Howard Terminal site.

To say that the Howard project proposal was "complicated" is an understatement. In addition to local and state regulations – and the fact that the city wanted more out of the arrangement than just the opportunity to be a piggy bank for a rich owner – there was a.) the fact that the Howard Terminal is one of the busiest shipping ports in North America, and b.) the fact that when an owner says they want a “downtown stadium," they usually mean that they want to own a village downtown with restaurants and housing and such...and also a stadium. The ensuing several years of negotiations had to sort out nautical traffic and housing demands (including affordable housing requirements), as well as the more standard questions of who gets to control parking and gate receipts, what infrastructure needs to be upgraded, who is responsible for maintaining the various aspects of the stadium and the surrounding area, who controls which rights to the stadium, and of course how much money will be paid by each party.

Attempting to speed up the process in 2021, Kaval and Fisher launched a “Rooted in Oakland” campaign, tying A’s fandom to a new ballpark and imploring fans to contact their local representatives and put pressure on the Oakland city council. Surprisingly, the tactic worked – for a while – right up until Kaval turned his Instagram account into a “My Fun Vacation in Vegas!” page in late May. A series of pictures Kaval meeting various people of importance around Las Vegas, including a particularly galling picture of the team president at a Golden Knights playoff game on the same night as a big A’s-Mariners matchup, left Oakland fans disillusioned with the whole campaign and largely saw the city turn on the team. The A’s continued to negotiate with Oakland, but much of their leverage was now gone, and the process began to bog down significantly.

From there, everything fell apart. Fisher announced (through team officials) that there would be no free agent spending until there were “shovels in the ground.” The contending A's roster from 2021 was stripped down and sold off for prospects. The front office essentially gave up on fan relations, raising ticket and parking prices and slashing season-ticket-holder benefits. Negotiations stalled out with the city, with the A’s and Rob Manfred claiming (falsely) that Oakland had never even made a counteroffer (which the city disputed, with mayor Sheng Thao going so far as to personally fly to the All-Star game and hand the counteroffer to Manfred herself). In true A’s fashion, the franchise eventually signed an agreement for a plot of land in Las Vegas, then decided to “explore other sites in Vegas” before picking a completely different spot in Vegas for their team, then had to beg the Nevada legislature to hold a special legislative session to pass the funding for the stadium (since they submitted their requests too late for the regular session). Whatever the machinations, the deal now appears to be done - although it’s entirely possible that something might get screwed up yet again - with the A’s slated to move in 2028. The exciting news for A’s ownership is that they will now, finally, be in a market of their own where they can start spending lots of money, with the caveats being that a.) the Vegas market is tiny and saturated with sports teams and b.) the new stadium looks like it will only hold about 30,000-35,000 people. But other than that, everything looks great!

And in the meantime, while the clock ticks down on the move to Vegas….the Oakland Athletics now inhabit a bizarre, halfway form of existence. The stadium is empty and run-down, with the city largely disinterested in maintaining the facility; feral cats scurry the corridors and a “pooping possum” occasionally terrorizes the visiting TV booth. The fans have mostly abandoned the franchise, reappearing only for a "reverse boycott" at home and “sell the team” movements on the road. The team itself is a glorified Triple-A roster, with a lineup staffed by Brent Roker, Ryan Noda, and a bunch of people of questionable use to a major league club, a defense that has battled the Red Sox nine for worst-in-the-bigs honors all season, and a pitching staff so bad that they’ve single-handedly pulled the American League’s FIP up by six points. The A's don't even know where they’re playing after next season – the Vegas stadium won’t be ready until 2028, but Oakland won’t extend the Coliseum lease unless the A’s agree to a list of Mayor Shao’s demands, and the Triple-A stadium that’s available to them in Vegas is outdoors and scorching-hot in the summer. For now, the Oakland A’s are a team that exists somewhere between the present and the past, somewhere between real and remembered, somewhere between Oakland and Las Vegas, somewhere between the majors and minors – in short, they are in purgatory.

The A’s last made the playoffs in 2020. Their last title was in 1989.
 
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E5 Yaz

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It's designed to put the pieces of your heart back together
 

Humphrey

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Tampa Bay, Chicago, Milwaukee and Kansas City all with (perceived) ballpark issues. Only one matches Oakland in suckitude.
 

cannonball 1729

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Aw - thanks, y'all!

Tampa Bay, Chicago, Milwaukee and Kansas City all with (perceived) ballpark issues. Only one matches Oakland in suckitude.
In every sense of the world. I finally hit my 30th ballpark this summer, and it's definitely the case that Oakland's is worst - by far.

Actually, interesting random factoid I discovered when I was looking things up for the eliminatory: after a team tanks, it usually takes about three years of contending for fans to come back in full force. (We'll count contending as "being within three games of a playoff spot on Sept.1 or later.")

For example, some attendance figures and AL or NL attendance rankings, starting with the first year of contention after a rebuild:

KC
2013: 1,750,754 (12th)
2014: 1,956,482 (11th)
2015: 2,708,549 (6th)
2016: 2,557,712 (6th)

HOU
2015: 2,153,585 (12th)
2016: 2,306,623 (8th)
2017: 2,403,671 (6th)
2018: 2,980,549 (3rd)

PIT
2012: 2,091,918 (15th of 16)
2013: 2,256,862 (11th of 15)
2014: 2,442,564 (9th)
2015: 2,498,596 (9th)

That used to be true for Oakland, too.

1999: 1,434,610 (12th of 14)
2000: 1,603,744 (11th of 14)
2001: 2,133,277 (7th of 14)
2002: 2,169,811 (8th of 14)
2003: 2,216,596 (6th of 14)
2004: 2,201,516 (7th of 14)
2005: 2,109,118 (8th of 14)

And after 2004 they started Moneyballing it up and traded away two of the Big 3 (Mulder and Hudson), and then they had an absolute September collapse in 2005 (because, shockingly, their rotation fell apart)....and that was the beginning of the end of fandom in Oakland.

2006: 1,976,625 (12th of 14)
2007: 1,921,844 (12th of 14)
2008: 1,665,256 (13th of 14)
2009: 1,408,783 (14th of 14)

(And that's despite having a 2006 team that won 93 games and went to the ALCS!)

It turns out that, contrary to what Billy Beane thought, fans do root for the players and not just the team, and that selling off the stars on a championship-level club does indeed have an impact on fan interest.

They had a mini-run-up of attendance during their window from 2012-14:

2012: 1,679,013 (12th of 14)
2013: 1,809,302 (9th of 15)
2014: 2,003,628 (10th of 15)

and then traded off the whole roster, and they were back to their usual empty seats.

(It probably also didn't help that the A's most recent window went

2018
2019
Covid Year 1
Covid Year 2/flirtation with Vegas
Sell-off

Any chance of a third-year bounce kind of died in the middle there.)
 

cannonball 1729

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71156

It’s interesting to note that former GM Dayton Moore was perhaps the last successful “old-school” general manager in baseball. He prized scouting and intangibles, making all sorts of moves that seemed to be motivated only by nebulous, unquantifiable ideas like leadership and character (e.g. signing Jeff Francoeur or giving Salvador Perez an extension long into his decline phase) or by an intuitive, damn-the-advanced-metrics sense of what player might be good (e.g. his 2018 draft). It’s not that Moore was opposed to advanced metrics - he brought on the analytics-fluent J.J. Picollo as his #2, after all - he just didn’t seem to trust them as much as he did his own scout’s intuition, owing in large part to his decades of work in scouting and development in the Braves system.

New owner John Sherman, by contrast, very much wanted a team that used the best analytics models and the most cutting-edge technology, and that...wasn’t going to be a team run by Moore. The Royals’ struggles last year gave Sherman occasion to fire Moore and promote Picollo; thus began Kansas City’s analytics project, a full-on makeover that would turn Kansas City’s pitching labs into a clone of Cleveland’s successful pitching project. A more data-friendly managerial staff - headlined by new manager Matt Quatraro and new pitching coach Brian Sweeney - was installed, and the Royals got to work on the task of bringing the Spin Rate Revolution to Kansas City.

Year one of the project....did not go well.

The trouble this year seems to have begun, innocuously enough, with a new team-wide missive to throw more strikes. Picollo and Sweeney had identified an easy-to-understand problem with the Royals – the team was 30th in the majors in first-pitch strikes in 2022 – and thus proposed an easy-to-understand solution: throw strikes. “Raid the Zone!” became the new organization-wide mantra, complete with “Raid the Zone” t-shirts and – allegedly - organizational rewards for giving up first-pitch home runs (to keep pitchers from getting discouraged). Gone was the idea of control or aiming for the corners; Kansas City pitchers would now aim for the center of the plate and challenge opposing hitters to beat them.

The good news, meager though it may be, is that the Royals’ pitchers did indeed find the zone a bit more frequently; the team jumped all the way to 11th in the AL in first-pitch strikes and 12th in walks. The bad news is that in the major leagues, when a pitcher with mediocre stuff challenges hitters to beat him…hitters will happily oblige. Batters jumped on KC’s first-pitch strikes, hitting 46 homers on 0-0 counts (the most in the AL) and OPSing 1.080 on those same counts (also worst in the AL and roughly 120 points above league average). The rest of the count didn't go much better, as Royals pitchers found more barrels than all but two AL teams and missed fewer bats than any of their AL counterparts save the A’s. Add in a few injuries to key pitchers, and the first-year returns from the lab were pretty dismal: an 86 ERA+, and (yet again) the fewest strikeouts of any staff in the AL.

Perhaps nothing better encapsulated the 2023 Royals' experience than the strange saga of Jordan Lyles. Lyles is the most durable bad pitcher in baseball; he’s a walking contradiction, a pitcher who is somehow capable of eating lots of innings yet incapable of getting major league hitters out. Jordan led the AL in runs allowed in 2020 and 2021, and he might well have done so again in 2022 had he not played in front of the Orioles’ dominating defense. This year, though, he has out Lyles-ed himself, as he's somehow managed to post the league’s highest tallies in ERA, earned runs, home runs, losses….and complete games, of which he has three. (Fun fact: he’s 0-3 with a 4.32 ERA in those complete games). It's not that Jordan is particularly prone to throwing strikes, since he doesn't do that with any regularity; what he does do is refuse to walk batters, leading to some very loud contact in hitters' counts. In that sense, it seems only fitting that Lyles' should be the Royals' "ace" in the Year of the Zone Raider, especially as he held opponents to just 42 walks....and also allowed 38 home runs.

_______________________________________________

Oh – and then there’s the off-the-field stuff. Say what you will about Dayton Moore, but at least he genuinely seemed to care about being a “good guy.” Among other things, Moore advocated for investment in the community – especially the Royals’ Urban Youth Academy – and he fought to keep minor league players paid during the pandemic. After Moore’s departure, however, the Royals’ ownership group has abandoned all pretense of caring about anyone. They’ve feuded with the stadium workers, refusing to let them bring in outside water, walking back temporary agreements, negotiating in bad faith (according to union representatives), and scoffing at raises that would keep pace with inflation. (Said one worker, “When we asked for fair wages for ushers, a vice president at the Kansas City Royals looked us in the face and said, ‘Ushers get paid to watch the game.’”) They’ve even mismanaged the Urban Academy, prioritizing field access for the wealthy kids in the suburbs over the urban kids for whom the academy was ostensibly built. Oh, and the Royals’ major free agent acquisition this offseason? You guessed it: alleged domestic abuser Aroldis Chapman.

Now, if you read the last paragraph and thought, “That sounds like the sort of ownership group that would be angling for a new ballpark!”….congratulations, you’ve learned well from the A’s saga. John Sherman has (of course) publicly lamented that Kauffman Stadium is not a long-term solution for the Royals and that the best solution is – surprise! - a downtown stadium with “a new ballpark district and all that comes with it, one that is woven into the fabric of our city, can host events and concerts, and boosts our local economy.” The Royals appear to be trying to turn up the heat on the city by floating various deadlines – but they still haven’t picked a location or a plan, leading city officials to complain of being stuck in the lurch. There’s only one reason a team floats deadlines without a hint of a plan, of course, and it’s to try to convince the city to offer a blank check to the Royals for whatever new stadium they can dream up – and try to convince surrounding areas to offer blank checks as well in hopes of creating a bidding war. ("Raid the Zone," indeed.)

Jackson County officials have largely responded with a mix of frustration and disinterest. North Kansas City officials, on the other hand, have responded with a plan for the Royals to move into a new complex. Will the Royals move? Will they stay in Kansas City proper? Either way, for those who felt like they were going to miss the soap opera in Oakland/Las Vegas, it looks like now we have several more years of stadium drama to look forward to!

The Royals last made the playoffs in their 2015 championship season.
 
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Wallball Tingle

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I look forward to this thread every year, and am grateful for the opportunity to learn more about the teams wandering in the wilderness, including the Sox. Thanks, cannonball!
 

cannonball 1729

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I look forward to this thread every year, and am grateful for the opportunity to learn more about the teams wandering in the wilderness, including the Sox. Thanks, cannonball!
Thanks! Funny that you say that, because while we wait for the Sox possible demise, I figured I'd post about the other Sox:

71234

Thus ends one of the more dysfunctional eras in the history of a dysfunctional franchise.

The arrangement of Kenny Williams as VP and Rick Hahn as GM was always an odd one. Hahn was Williams' assistant GM from 2002 to 2012; in that time, the White Sox made the playoffs exactly twice despite seemingly gunning for the playoffs every year. In 2012, with the White Sox treading water yet again and Hahn being the hottest GM prospect in the land, the White Sox promoted Hahn to the GM chair and tasked him with running the rebuild...but also promoted Williams to the VP position, thereby keeping the management structure largely intact (albeit slightly more expensive). Hahn would apparently have more responsibilities, but he would still report to the same boss, leaving it entirely unclear what had actually changed and what would stay the same.

For years, this new arrangement seemed good enough; Hahn tore down the team, good players were largely replaced with prospects who didn't pan out, and everyone waited. Issues started to arise, however, right around the time that the Sox started to contend. According to one Chicago reporter, Williams retained primary negotiating rights with certain teams since he had good rapport with them (apparently the Yankees were on that list), which meant that he was free to go around Hahn and make deals without Hahn’s knowledge or assent in those cases. Moreover, (according to similar sources) Hahn and Williams/Reinsdorf disagreed on spending philosophies, and when Hahn began to agitate for larger contracts, Williams and Reinsdorf balked at the idea. (Fun fact: the largest contract in the entire history of the White Sox…was 5 years and $75 million for one Mr. Benintendi.) Even before the 2022 collapse, the front office seemed to be living on borrowed time, as a business can only have two managers with differing visions for so long before things go awry.

What pushed everything to a breaking point, though, was a decision that neither Williams nor Hahn was allowed to make. After the successful 2020 season, Reinsdorf himself decided that manager Rick Renteria was not the man to take the White Sox to the promised land, and so he of course hired his old pal Tony La Russa. Whether La Russa and the management team agreed on the philosophies and direction of the White Sox was irrelevant; Reinsdorf was friends with Tony La Russa and apparently figured that the man who led them to the division crown in 1983 could certainly recapture that magic.

Amazingly, in 2021, most things seemed to go right...but in 2022, everything went wrong. The management structure was now a mess, with a GM and VP seemingly on different pages and a manager who appeared to report to neither one. Player accountability largely went out the window, as La Russa’s hands-off approach meant that players could skip meetings and practices without repercussions. Clubhouse culture fell apart, and the White Sox began to play sloppy and disinterested baseball. The White Sox were out of contention by the end of April, and they were an afterthought by midseason.

After La Russa stepped aside for health reasons, it was decided that Hahn could finally pick his own manager. Hahn took to the task like an intern at a newspaper being asked to write a column for the first time; he ran an exhaustive search with a list of 30 candidates before finally settling on one of the “hot” managerial prospects: Pedro Grifol.

It’s hard to say whether Grifol is a good manager or a bad one. What is clear is that he wasn’t the right manager for the 2023 White Sox. Grifol’s coaching experience is pretty sparse; he’d been the bench coach of the Royals since 2020, and he’d had some odds-and-ends coaching positions (quality control, catching coach, assistant hitting coach) prior to that. If the White Sox had needed a better tactician, Grifol might have been the guy. What they likely needed, though, was someone with instant credibility to remake the clubhouse culture…and that wasn’t going to be the guy who’d only been the #2 on an awful Royals’ team for three years.

Instead, the culture issues continued, and with it, the Sox losses. Most of the lineup besides Luis Robert, Jr. continued to struggle, resulting in a league-worst 84 OPS+. Perpetual lightning rod Tim Anderson stopped hitting baseballs altogether, posting a negative WAR on the field to match his negative WAR off of it. (Although he did create one of the greatest “that aged badly” moments of all time this year: in late July, GQ ran a sympathetic feature on Anderson calling him “the most misunderstood man in baseball”...which hit newsstands just one week before Tim provoked Jose Ramirez to launch his fist into Anderson's face.). The pitchers posted an ERA of almost 6 in April, then sort-of-righted the ship, then blew up again in July before finally being traded away and replaced with younger, worse pitchers. Currently, the White Sox stand a good chance of finishing with more than 100 losses; if they do that, they will finish with their worst mark since 1971. Most executives can’t survive a season like that in a year where they’re expected to contend; add in the testimony of White Sox refugees like Keynan Middleton and Lucas Giolito about the broken culture, and it was clear that Reinsdorf needed to clean house.

The good news for incoming GM Chris Getz is that he can set up the front office his own way; no meddling from the owner, and no former GM to serve above him at VP. The better news is that the bar for the White Sox is very low, both presently and historically. It’s amazing to think about, but despite the fact that the franchise has been around since 1901, they’ve only been to the postseason eleven times, and they’ve only been to the postseason in back-to-back years once – in 2020 and 2021. Worse, they’ve only won five postseason series; three of those series wins were in 2005, and the other two were before the fall of the Ottoman Empire. Even their magical run to a World Series title in ‘05 was kind of an orphan; the team hadn’t made the playoffs in the four seasons before that and wouldn’t make the playoffs again for another three. For the White Sox, there are no “good old days,” no bygone era for which fans pine. The greatest player in history (by total WAR) is the largely-overlooked Luke Appling, and the most famous people to don the White Sox colors were West Coast rappers. In short, the White Sox franchise is basically a blank canvas upon which Getz can paint whatever he wants to see. For an incoming GM, that must be incredibly freeing.

(The bad news for Getz is…everything else.)
 
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Kliq

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Mar 31, 2013
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Thanks! Funny that you say that, because while we wait for the Sox possible demise, I figured I'd post about the other Sox:

View attachment 71234

Thus ends one of the more dysfunctional eras in the history of a dysfunctional franchise.

The arrangement of Kenny Williams as VP and Rick Hahn as GM was always an odd one. Hahn was Williams' assistant GM from 2002 to 2012; in that time, the White Sox made the playoffs exactly twice despite seemingly gunning for the playoffs every year. In 2012, with the White Sox treading water yet again and Hahn being the hottest GM prospect in the land, the White Sox promoted Hahn to the GM chair and tasked him with running the rebuild...but also promoted Williams to the VP position, thereby keeping the management structure largely intact (albeit slightly more expensive). Hahn would apparently have more responsibilities, but he would still report to the same boss, leaving it entirely unclear what had actually changed and what would stay the same.

For years, this new arrangement seemed good enough; Hahn tore down the team, good players were largely replaced with prospects who didn't pan out, and everyone waited. Issues started to arise, however, right around the time that the Sox started to contend. According to one Chicago reporter, Williams retained primary negotiating rights with certain teams since he had good rapport with them (apparently the Yankees were on that list), which meant that he was free to go around Hahn and make deals without Hahn’s knowledge or assent in those cases. Moreover, (according to similar sources) Hahn and Williams/Reinsdorf disagreed on spending philosophies, and when Hahn began to agitate for larger contracts, Williams and Reinsdorf balked at the idea. (Fun fact: the largest contract in the entire history of the White Sox…was 5 years and $75 million for one Mr. Benintendi.) Even before the 2022 collapse, the front office seemed to be living on borrowed time, as a business can only have two managers with differing visions for so long before things go awry.

What pushed everything to a breaking point, though, was a decision that neither Williams nor Hahn was allowed to make. After the successful 2020 season, Reinsdorf himself decided that manager Rick Renteria was not the man to take the White Sox to the promised land, and so he of course hired his old pal Tony La Russa. Whether La Russa and the management team agreed on the philosophies and direction of the White Sox was irrelevant; Reinsdorf was friends with Tony La Russa and apparently figured that the man who led them to the division crown in 1983 could certainly recapture that magic.

Amazingly, in 2021, most things seemed to go right...but in 2022, everything went wrong. The management structure was now a mess, with a GM and VP seemingly on different pages and a manager who appeared to report to neither one. Player accountability largely went out the window, as La Russa’s hands-off approach meant that players could skip meetings and practices without repercussions. Clubhouse culture fell apart, and the White Sox began to play sloppy and disinterested baseball. The White Sox were out of contention by the end of April, and they were an afterthought by midseason.

After La Russa stepped aside for health reasons, it was decided that Hahn could finally pick his own manager. Hahn took to the task like an intern at a newspaper being asked to write a column for the first time; he ran an exhaustive search with a list of 30 candidates before finally settling on one of the “hot” managerial prospects: Pedro Grifol.

It’s hard to say whether Grifol is a good manager or a bad one. What is clear is that he wasn’t the right manager for the 2023 White Sox. Grifol’s coaching experience is pretty sparse; he’d been the bench coach of the Royals since 2020, and he’d had some odds-and-ends coaching positions (quality control, catching coach, assistant hitting coach) prior to that. If the White Sox had needed a better tactician, Grifol might have been the guy. What they likely needed, though, was someone with instant credibility to remake the clubhouse culture…and that wasn’t going to be the guy who’d only been the #2 on an awful Royals’ team for three years.

Instead, the culture issues continued, and with it, the Sox losses. Most of the lineup besides Luis Robert, Jr. continued to struggle, resulting in a league-worst 84 OPS+. Perpetual lightning rod Tim Anderson stopped hitting baseballs altogether, posting a negative WAR on the field to match his negative WAR off of it. (Although he did create one of the greatest “that aged badly” moments of all time this year: in late July, GQ ran a sympathetic feature on Anderson calling him “the most misunderstood man in baseball”...which hit newsstands just one week before Tim provoked Jose Ramirez to launch his fist into Anderson's face.). The pitchers posted an ERA of almost 6 in April, then sort-of-righted the ship, then blew up again in July before finally being traded away and replaced with younger, worse pitchers. Currently, the White Sox stand a good chance of finishing with more than 100 losses; if they do that, they will finish with their worst mark since 1971. Most executives can’t survive a season like that in a year where they’re expected to contend; add in the testimony of White Sox refugees like Keynan Middleton and Lucas Giolito about the broken culture, and it was clear that Reinsdorf needed to clean house.

The good news for incoming GM Chris Getz is that he can set up the front office his own way; no meddling from the owner, and no former GM to serve above him at VP. The better news is that the bar for the White Sox is very low, both presently and historically. It’s amazing to think about, but despite the fact that the franchise has been around since 1901, they’ve only been to the postseason eleven times, and they’ve only been to the postseason in back-to-back years once – in 2020 and 2021. Worse, they’ve only won five postseason series; three of those series wins were in 2005, and the other two were before the fall of the Ottoman Empire. Even their magical run to a World Series title in ‘05 was kind of an orphan; the team hadn’t made the playoffs in the four seasons before that and wouldn’t make the playoffs again for another three. For the White Sox, there are no “good old days,” no bygone era for which fans pine. The greatest player in history (by total WAR) is the largely-overlooked Luke Appling, and the most famous people to don the White Sox colors were West Coast rappers. In short, the White Sox franchise is basically a blank canvas upon which Getz can paint whatever he wants to see. For an incoming GM, that must be incredibly freeing.

(The bad news for Getz is…everything else.)
The White Sox five postseason series wins stat is crazy.