No and here is why. The elite talent ends at around pick 9-10-11-12. This is fairly consensus now from the NFL guys like Bucky, Lance Z, Tony Pauline, Bruglar's sources, etc. After that first tier of blue-chip talent the next 20-25 players are relatively equal in talent level. They have so many holes that trading back makes a lot of sense if they don't trade up for a QB. They could still probably trade back 5-10 spots, get the guy they want, and pick up another day 2 pick.
2021 NFL Prospect Talk...Because It's Never Too Early
- Thread starter EL Jeffe
- Start date
Daniel Jeremiah mocks the Penn State linebacker to the Pats
I've done quite a few myself, but that is just silly! Basically you turned picks 15 + 98 into 18 + 44 + 100 + 126 (which alone is 35% more value per Rich Hill chart) PLUS 4 day 2 picks in 2022. That would be a monumental haul (though in reality seems like terrible trade AI).
yeah, and I wasn't even trying to milk it, I think PFF has issues with their dynamic value (I think 15 was for Waddle and 35 was maybe Jones? don't remember) but I think they overvalue trades when the player being traded for has fallen enough spots based on their rankings.