That failed 3rd down haunts me to this day. How many times out of 10 do they convert that? 7? 8?
I get it, having grown up in New England, but amazing how that forecast high temp has been walked down over the past few days - it was 55, then 48, now 43.Forecast high 43, partly cloudy. A bit above average January daily high temps.
Should have gone for it on 4th down...That failed 3rd down haunts me to this day. How many times out of 10 do they convert that? 7? 8?
Yes, you are correct.It was Chad Jackson.
Just trying to put your mind at ease about Brady. Granted, I realize I probably didn't.You are certainly welcome to that viewpoint.
I do appreciate it. It's the playoffs and I worry about every opponent always!Just trying to put your mind at ease about Brady. Granted, I realize I probably didn't.
Find the post where I said it would be an easy victory. We can "argue" but don't put words in my mouth.Like I said to DrewDawg, if none of this worries you at all, sit back and enjoy the easy victory. I wish I could be so carefree. But...I'm not. Such is my cross to bear, I guess.
Brady, career, cold weather (21 - 40 F): 95.7 ratingBrady AFC Championship Games: 15 td, 12 int, 81.9 rating
Brady Super Bowl Games: 15 td, 5 int, 95.0 rating
But but but... Sale was 4-0 with a 0.92 ERA in 4 starts last year on Wednesdays. He had an average GS over 75 for God sakes! What you're saying here makes no sense at all.It's like someone posting that Chris Sale is 1-4 on Wednesdays, but 16-1 the other 6 days so we should avoid pitching him on Wednesdays.
You're probably right. I wonder how much this played into 4th and 2 three years later. Probably a lot.Should have gone for it on 4th down...
That's true. The flip side is that most of his AFCCGs are at home, where he should have an advantage.Brady, career, cold weather (21 - 40 F): 95.7 rating
Brady, career, indoors: 107.3 rating
I realize not all their SBs have been played indoors, nor have all the AFCCGs been played in sub-40 degree weather. But, in aggregate, the playing conditions have been much better for the former than the latter. I'd say his 'bad performance' in AFCCGs (relative to SB) is 2 parts weather, 2 parts noise, 1 part Ravens defense.
He has also absolutely carved up very similar teams. Seattle in 14 May be the best example of a team that got after the QB, played amazing coverage, and could run the ball.That's true. The flip side is that most of his AFCCGs are at home, where he should have an advantage.
I do think there's something to the opponents he's played. San Diego was like that. Baltimore, of course, gave him problems, even in the 2007 regular season he was just 18-38, 257, 2 td, 1 int, 76.3 rating. And Denver at Denver is one of his most difficult places to play.
The flip side is that if we're going to dismiss his bad AFCCG performances because many of those were against teams that historically give him fits, we have to be logically consistent and point out that his best successes were against teams he typically destroys - Pittsburgh and Indianapolis. So just as "oh he always has a hard time with Baltimore" can be a reason to dismiss his struggles against them, equally so "oh he always kills the Steelers" can be a reason to dismiss his success against Pit.
At the end of the day, his numbers are what they are, and the fact is, they're not very good in the AFCCG. His biggest struggles come against teams that can get after the QB with just the front four, and who play excellent coverage behind it, and who run the ball well. Baltimore was like that. The Giants (obviously not in the AFCCG) were like that. Denver was like that. The Chargers in those days were like that (Merriman and Tomlinson). And as it turns out...Jacksonville is exactly like that.
I'm not saying this necessarily means Brady is going to have a bad day or that the Patriots are necessarily going to lose. No. But I am surprised people are not understanding why I have concerns about this game.
Nobody is saying "all you have to do is". But that IS the best way to beat him. And while, yes, he has had success against those teams at times, they tend to be the kinds of teams that give him the most difficulty.He has also absolutely carved up very similar teams. Seattle in 14 May be the best example of a team that got after the QB, played amazing coverage, and could run the ball.
I HATE this running “narrative” that “all” you have to do to beat Brady is sack him a bunch while rushing 4 and covering anyone on the back end and then you just have to sit on the ball and force a couple turnovers. Uhhhhhh ya think?! There’s not a QB in NFL history who wins w these circumstances.
I think the Jax D is getting a touch overrated. They are avg to poor vs the run. They don’t cover RBs well out of the backfield. They kind of “run what they run”, a recipe for disaster against Josh and Brady. They are a talented unit, but young and prone to mistakes. I mean they just gave up 42 to Pitt. SF scored 44 (yes I am aware some of that was ST and D). Tennessee scores 37 (albeit earlier in the season).
All NFL playoff games are being streamed for free on the Yahoo Mobile appSorry if this isn’t the right place, but does anyone here have experience streaming games on CBS while in the Boston market? My son and I are going on a group day trip from Maine to the Garden for Celts-Magic, and will be on the bus on our way back during most of the Pats game. I was considering getting a free 1-week trial of the CBS service so we can watch while on the road, but I’m worried that it’ll be blacked out in-market. Maybe a dumb question, but I’ve never been in this situation. Thanks in advance for any insights.
Great - thanksAll NFL playoff games are being streamed for free on the Yahoo Mobile app
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/01/09/oaths-tim-armstrong-yahoo-sports-to-stream-nfl-playoffs-this-weekend.html
Fair enough, but isn't it less "all you have to do" than a narrative of saying, your only hope....He has also absolutely carved up very similar teams. Seattle in 14 May be the best example of a team that got after the QB, played amazing coverage, and could run the ball.
I HATE this running “narrative” that “all” you have to do to beat Brady is sack him a bunch while rushing 4 and covering anyone on the back end and then you just have to sit on the ball and force a couple turnovers. Uhhhhhh ya think?! There’s not a QB in NFL history who wins w these circumstances.
I think the Jax D is getting a touch overrated. They are avg to poor vs the run. They don’t cover RBs well out of the backfield. They kind of “run what they run”, a recipe for disaster against Josh and Brady. They are a talented unit, but young and prone to mistakes. I mean they just gave up 42 to Pitt. SF scored 44 (yes I am aware some of that was ST and D). Tennessee scores 37 (albeit earlier in the season).
If that's the case the team that's played the past 6 of them and a QB who's played in 11 would have a distinct advantage.I read somewhere (sorry can’t remember where), that for most players, the pressure is more intense for the conference championship games than for the Super Bowl. Maybe there’s something of that in Brady’s numbers.
Saw a cool stat yesterday - Brady has a higher percentage of making the AFCCG than Bortles does of completing passes. It has been more likely that Brady will make the AFCCG in any given year than Bortles will complete a throw.If that's the case the team that's played the past 6 of them and a QB who's played in 11 would have a distinct advantage.
Saw a cool stat yesterday - Brady has a higher percentage of making the AFCCG than Bortles does of completing passes. It has been more likely that Brady will make the AFCCG in any given year than Bortles will complete a throw.
Pats are #1 in scoring defense since Week 5 I believe with an average of 14 ppg. They've been great the last few weeks in terms of getting pressure on the QB and in the 2 games since Harrison was signed they've set the edge much better against the run. Ricky Jean-Francois has also stepped up his game as of late making that D-line more formidable.There has been almost no discussion about the Pats' defense, which has looked pretty sneaky strong the last month.
I think we all agree that the Jag defense is at least a good test for Brady in the offense.
But what about the other side of the ball? The Jag (or JAG) offense has a good chance of getting completely shut down to the point that 14-17 points from Brady and the O wins this game.
There is more than one way to skin these cats.
Now a week later, the well of smack talk has dried up, as the Patriots are too experienced and too wise to be so foolish as to flap their gums and insult this week’s opponent.
But that’s not stopping the Jaguars from trying to generate a slight or two by really reading between the lines — and I do mean really reading between the lines — on this quote from Tom Brady: “This is the biggest challenge we’ve faced all year.”
Seems pretty straightforward, no? Well, maybe to the untrained eye it looks like Brady was complimenting the Jaguars. But to Jacksonville linebacker Telvin Smith? Ohhhhhh, buddy. This was a Grade A insult.
Telvin Smith
@TelvinSmith_22
Bruh this the oldest trick...pump us up in the media but in the buildin I kno what’s really bein said.Respecthttps://twitter.com/espnnfl/status/953346833996238851 …
2:11 PM - Jan 16, 2018
If you have Verizon Wireless, you can watch it on the NFL mobile appSorry if this isn’t the right place, but does anyone here have experience streaming games on CBS while in the Boston market? My son and I are going on a group day trip from Maine to the Garden for Celts-Magic, and will be on the bus on our way back during most of the Pats game. I was considering getting a free 1-week trial of the CBS service so we can watch while on the road, but I’m worried that it’ll be blacked out in-market. Maybe a dumb question, but I’ve never been in this situation. Thanks in advance for any insights.
In the first game against Houston Tom Savage got sacked 6 times in the 1st half with Watson getting sacked 4 times in the 2nd halfI think Jacksonville’s “Sacksonville” rep is a bit of a mirage, just like Vic Beasley’s rep last year (and for the same reason). 28 of their 55 sacks came against Indy and Houston, teams 1 and 2 in terms of getting their QB hit. And even if you took out those 14 sacks against each, those teams would still rank in or near the top 10 for sacks allowed, so they clearly sucked at QB protection, results against JAX aside. Throw in another 5 sacks against a nearly as terrible Jets team, and it looks to me like they’re living off a few huge games, and aside from those they’re generally a 1 or 2 sack a game defense.
What about Brady on a bye week vs Brady on regular rest, since we’re comparing Super Bowls to AFCCGs?Brady, career, cold weather (21 - 40 F): 95.7 rating
Brady, career, indoors: 107.3 rating
I realize not all their SBs have been played indoors, nor have all the AFCCGs been played in sub-40 degree weather. But, in aggregate, the playing conditions have been much better for the former than the latter. I'd say his 'bad performance' in AFCCGs (relative to SB) is 2 parts weather, 2 parts noise, 1 part Ravens defense.
Good question.What about Brady on a bye week vs Brady on regular rest, since we’re comparing Super Bowls to AFCCGs?
Local radio here can do one better.Via Michael Hurley... They are stretching a wee bit for the bulletin board material... lol
Reiss thinks Jones to IR. Also said Mitchell wouldn't be activated today. No surprise but I was still holding out a slight hope.Per Mike Reiss, Bernard Reedy was at practice today so there has to be a roster move coming.
So Reedy can replace Jones on Special Teams but not as 4th CB. What happens there?Reiss thinks Jones to IR. Also said Mitchell wouldn't be activated today. No surprise but I was still holding out a slight hope.
Bademosi?So Reedy can replace Jones on Special Teams but not as 4th CB. What happens there?
The Jags stop the power running game, get decent pressure on the QB without bringing more than one extra rusher, and might have the best pair of CBs in the past decade.I think Jacksonville’s “Sacksonville” rep is a bit of a mirage, just like Vic Beasley’s rep last year (and for the same reason). 28 of their 55 sacks came against Indy and Houston, teams 1 and 2 in terms of getting their QB hit. And even if you took out those 14 sacks against each, those teams would still rank in or near the top 10 for sacks allowed, so they clearly sucked at QB protection, results against JAX aside. Throw in another 5 sacks against a nearly as terrible Jets team, and it looks to me like they’re living off a few huge games, and aside from those they’re generally a 1 or 2 sack a game defense.
Think of it as an attempted reverse jinx by a very superstitious Boston sports fan.Great chart.
But you already have Brady at <75 QBR for Sunday?