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soxhop411

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Rasputin

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“@JonHeymanCBS: Andrew Miller obviously wouldn’t come cheap. Yanks would seek ace type or haul in return, someone like Stephen strasburg.”
Why the hell would the Yankees be trading him, and why would anyone trade Stephen Strasburg or someone like him, for Miller? None of this makes any sense at all?
 

soxhop411

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Robert Murray of BaseballEssential.com reports that the Reds are looking to trade Aroldis Chapman and Brandon Phillips.

Murray says that the club is also willing to listen to offers for Todd Frazier and Jay Bruce. The Reds received plenty of interest in Chapman at the trade deadline in July but wound up hanging onto him, with many reports saying that their asking price was exorbitant. However, they could be more motivated to swap him this winter as they look to rebuild their roster. The Astros, Yankees and Diamondbacks were among the clubs that had interest in Chapman at the deadline, but there would figure to be a host of teams to inquire on him this offseason. Phillips is 34 and is owed $27 million through 2017, so the Reds might have to eat some of his contract in order to trade him.
http://www.rotoworld.com/headlines/mlb/486502/Report--Reds-trying-to-deal-Chapman,-Phillips
 

geoduck no quahog

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Who the Fuck is Robert Fucking Murray?

Linked In

Murray is a 19-year-old sports reporter that is trying to make a name for himself in the industry by working hard and helping others he talks with around the game.
But then again, he is a sophomore journalism major at University of Sheboygan - Wisconsin. So he's got cReds.
 

JBJ_HOF

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Robert Murray has at least broken real news before, unlike that little turd who became twitter famous last winter for being good at tweetdeck and stealing stories / making up lies.
 

RedOctober3829

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BOCA RATON, Fla. — In the timeline of a baseball offseason that typically moves at a glacial pace, it is helpful to think of the early November general managers’ meetings as little more than a palate cleanser before the meatier winter meetings in December.

So, imagine Dave Dombrowski’s surprise yesterday when the Red Sox president of baseball operations spoke to officials from a rival team that seemed ready to complete a trade.

“I thought we already had the chance of making one deal, and somebody who I thought might make the deal came back and said no,” Dombrowski said as the meetings kicked off at the posh Boca Raton Resoert and Club. “It’s been a busier first day than normal.”

Dombrowski wouldn’t get into specifics about the fizzled trade or whether it could be revived later. One thing is for certain: The deal involved pitching. The Sox are devoting almost all of their attention to the dual pursuits of acquiring a proven No. 1 starter to place atop their rotation and one or two late-inning hard-throwers for a bullpen that is nearly bare.
http://www.bostonherald.com/sports/red_sox/2015/11/lauber_red_sox_trade_talks_already_heating_up
 

nvalvo

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Rob Bradford ‏@bradfo 8m8 minutes ago
Source familiar with situation on if Mets would entertain deal sending one of top starters to Red Sox: "If Bogaerts was included maybe"
This sounds right to me, and this is why I don't see our top starting pitcher coming by trade. Teams who have the kinds of starters we want will want Betts/Bogaerts or *at least* Swihart in return.

(I'd consider moving Swihart in the right deal.)

If you're Cleveland, say, and have that Kluber, Salazar, Carrasco rotation — you're not looking to trade Carrasco for JBJ. You're looking to contend in the AL Central. Same idea with New York.

Conceivably, Oakland or Chicago or Miami would take players farther away, like a deal built around Moncada and Benintendi. But generally, teams with pre-FA frontline pitching are trying to contend now, so any deal is at best a lateral move. I'd rather bank on the upside of our in-house starters (again) than deal Bogaerts for an ace.
 
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PrometheusWakefield

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Mets aren't really a match for Swihart though since D'Arnaud is a fairly similar and more established player.

I have no idea what Cleveland is thinking, to be honest. If I were them with the arms they have and Lindor looking like a stud I'd be looking at this as my window, add a big bat, 2 outfielders, and work on the bullpen. I guess they might be interested in Swihart, but they're already heavily invested in Gomes. JBJ makes more sense to me. But really, I don't get why they are trading Carrasco at all.
 

Red(s)HawksFan

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Mets aren't really a match for Swihart though since D'Arnaud is a fairly similar and more established player.

I have no idea what Cleveland is thinking, to be honest. If I were them with the arms they have and Lindor looking like a stud I'd be looking at this as my window, add a big bat, 2 outfielders, and work on the bullpen. I guess they might be interested in Swihart, but they're already heavily invested in Gomes. JBJ makes more sense to me. But really, I don't get why they are trading Carrasco at all.
I think they probably see their path to getting the bolded is via trade. With Brantley their only good outfielder of note and his chances of starting the season on the DL being fairly good (shoulder surgery yesterday), they're expected to be fairly aggressive in finding at least one more good outfielder this winter. They don't have the budget to grab someone like Heyward, Gordon, or Upton in free agency, so they will have to target someone else's good (young) outfield talent.

They seem to match up really well with Arizona, who are in the market for a starter or two this winter and have an abundance of good outfielders on the roster and/or on the cusp of the big leagues. JBJ might not be enough to top what the DBacks could offer for Carrasco or Salazar.
 

czar

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Robert Murray has at least broken real news before, unlike that little turd who became twitter famous last winter for being good at tweetdeck and stealing stories / making up lies.
Admittedly, some on SoSH (and communities like it) didn't help matters by continually posting his tweets as gospel because he got lucky/stole the Sandoval signing news.

I'm still mad I didn't buy www.iscolehamelsontheredsoxyet.com.
 

kazuneko

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After two straight dissapointing seasons you'd have to think Jay Bruce and his $12.5M AAV is almost a salary dump at this point. At the very least he isn't likely to yield that impressive of a return. If the Sox do trade an OF for a starter it might be interesting to follow up with a trade with the Reds for Bruce and Chapman. Bruce could be more useful if he was paired with a RH hitting platoon mate (Young?).
Boy, I'd be pretty torn on this.
Harvey hits free agency a year before Xander. You'd have to think that and Harvey's injury history would make it hard to justify a straight up trade of the two. Xander for DeGrom or even Syndergaard (not as established but the farthest from free agency) might be more tempting. It also seems possible that Carrasco might be available for a package that wouldn't have to include either Xander or Betts. If that's true a trade with Cleveland would seem the better direction..
 

soxhop411

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“@ScottLauber: DD: ”We’ve found out a lot of information about people that are not available.“ Rare, he said, that status of such players changes #RedSox”
 

DeJesus Built My Hotrod

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If the Sox want to obtain a top starting pitching prospect via trade, Xander Bogaerts is going to be the ask. Furthermore, Bradley Jr., at this point, won't even be considered by the other side except as a throw-in.

I know some consider Bogaerts untouchable but if the Mets were willing to move Syndergaard or Matz for him, I would be tempted. Either or both of those guys are aces-in-waiting. Obviously they are still unproven but their talent is undeniable. They are the sorts of arms you can build a contender around. Meanwhile, a stud-SS is always great to have but its clearly not as valuable as having a stud pitcher.
 

JBJ_HOF

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If the Sox want to obtain a top starting pitching prospect via trade, Xander Bogaerts is going to be the ask. Furthermore, Bradley Jr., at this point, won't even be considered by the other side except as a throw-in.
Yes he will be, and then the other team will get realistic. No top young SS is getting traded for any of the available SP, even Sale. Bradley Jr has much more value than a throw in.
 

MikeM

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After two straight dissapointing seasons you'd have to think Jay Bruce and his $12.5M AAV is almost a salary dump at this point. At the very least he isn't likely to yield that impressive of a return. If the Sox do trade an OF for a starter it might be interesting to follow up with a trade with the Reds for Bruce and Chapman. Bruce could be more useful if he was paired with a RH hitting platoon mate (Young?).
I felt Bruce was looking like a fairly solid sleeper type upgrade right around the deadline. Keeping in mind I'm also a guy who wasn't/isn't sold on the prospect of a full time BBC outfield. Bruce is only 28, could potentially fill the 5th spot in our lineup with a LH bat, and gun to my head still probably ends up looking like a better roster fit going forward then Castillo will.

Of course that was before both his season and split against LHP went to complete crap (he was really, really bad in August). Which obviously knocked him down a few pegs as far as my thoughts go on how best to improve this team as a whole. Well, at least once it becomes more clear that the picture perfect pitching staff fix isn't happening this winter.
 

StuckOnYouk

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Yes he will be, and then the other team will get realistic. No top young SS is getting traded for any of the available SP, even Sale. Bradley Jr has much more value than a throw in.
Boy, Syndergaard for Bogaerts, I wouldn't complain about that trade. 23 year old with nasty stuff who had a hell of a 1st season.......

Are SS more valuable now to a team than a potential top of the rotation starter? Kid put up a BB/9 under 2 and a K/9 of nearly 10 in his first stint in the majors.
 

Al Zarilla

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Old saw is that you don't trade an every day player for a pitcher who can only go every five days. It's not that cut and dried of course but any GM that trades Bogaerts for any pitcher you can name is going to be questioned for years about it (don't freaking do it).
 

geoduck no quahog

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Old saw is that you don't trade an every day player for a pitcher who can only go every five days. It's not that cut and dried of course but any GM that trades Bogaerts for any pitcher you can name is going to be questioned for years about it (don't freaking do it).
...and also a position that is much more subject to injury and aging. Wouldn't you say that great young pitchers come with a substantial element of risk? (some more than others)
 

Minneapolis Millers

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I agree with this. imo Betts is untouchable, Bogaerts is touchable. Maybe even a sell high candidate.
You think X is a "sell high" candidate?? Boy, that's gotta be a pretty distinct minority opinion, and not just on this site.

... No top young SS is getting traded for any of the available SP, even Sale.
No? Beane did. It wouldn't even be inconceivable for the Cubs also to trade Russell for a top SP (though Castro or Baez is more likely to be moved).
 

Bob Montgomerys Helmet Hat

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No? Beane did. It wouldn't even be inconceivable for the Cubs also to trade Russell for a top SP (though Castro or Baez is more likely to be moved).
He traded Russell when he was a prospect. Big difference between that and trading Bogaerts now as an All Star caliber shortstop. Regardless, my opinion continues to be that X is/should be the only true untouchable on the team.
 

DeJesus Built My Hotrod

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Yes he will be, and then the other team will get realistic. No top young SS is getting traded for any of the available SP, even Sale. Bradley Jr has much more value than a throw in.
I will put it differently so as not to offend your screen name - Bradley will likely not be the centerpiece of any trade that nets the Red Sox a top pitcher.

As for whether it is wise or not to trade an everyday player for a starter, I will simply point out the fact that the hallmark of WS winning teams have been either strong starting pitching and a good bullpen or good starting pitching and a lights-out bullpen. I get that position players are more valuable than pitchers, but if you could put together a trade that nets the Sox a stud pitcher in addition to some other pieces in exchange for Bogaerts, you have to consider it.

IMHO, they simply don't have enough pitching, even with a Price or Cueto on-board, to actually contend. Its possible a staff anchored by one of those guys can win it all but, frankly, I don't like the idea of the Sox paying for a clearly declining Cueto and for what may have been Price's peak season last year all that much.
 

FanSinceBoggs

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The Mets aren't going to want Bogaerts. They have Gavin Cecchini knocking on the door. They like his glove at SS and his plate discipline. He needs one more season in the minors, and so Bogaerts isn't a fit. The Mets could fast track Cecchini next year, but I think they will go with some combination of Tejeda, Flores, Matt Reynolds, and maybe someone else. Cecchini will likely be the Mets starting SS in 2017.

The Mets need a starting CF. And so they will want Betts for someone like Harvey or Syndergaard. Alternatively, maybe they would consider Bradley Jr. in a package for Zack Wheeler.

I like the idea of trading Bogaerts for a SP, and then giving the starting SS job to Marrero (the Red Sox lineup can carry a ninth hitter) but the Mets are not a fit.
 
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nvalvo

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Now that Xander has shown he can cover shortstop defensively, we're just waiting on the game power. If he can back to his .180 ISO days, he could credibly post a .290/.350/.470 type line out of shortstop. That's a franchise player.
 

Corsi

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We've been looking for a franchise shortstop since Nomar and the second we get one, we're going to trade him?
 
Aug 22, 2014
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You think X is a "sell high" candidate?? Boy, that's gotta be a pretty distinct minority opinion, and not just on this site.
certainly don't want to introduce myself by bashing Xander. i'm pessimistic on prospects/kids in general and think they are overvalued for the most part, and mostly flop, so it's not just about him.

so all i'll say is that if i removed his name from memory and looked just at his numbers, i would 100% be expecting regression. Now X is only 22, has great tools and milb history, so i look at that line more favorably.....but still i can't ignore the warning signs. especially when i compare him to Mookie, who has a flawless line and skillset with literally no specific reason to worry at all.

I'm not doubting that X is a good player, just whether he is the star that i'm sure many GMs value him as.
 

nvalvo

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certainly don't want to introduce myself by bashing Xander. i'm pessimistic on prospects/kids in general and think they are overvalued for the most part, and mostly flop, so it's not just about him.

so all i'll say is that if i removed his name from memory and looked just at his numbers, i would 100% be expecting regression. Now X is only 22, has great tools and milb history, so i look at that line more favorably.....but still i can't ignore the warning signs. especially when i compare him to Mookie, who has a flawless line and skillset with literally no specific reason to worry at all.

I'm not doubting that X is a good player, just whether he is the star that i'm sure many GMs value him as.
It seems to me that the considerable BABIP risk is tempered by both his age and the considerable chance he can tap into his power. How am I wrong?
 

Pilgrim

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We've been looking for a franchise shortstop since Nomar and the second we get one, we're going to trade him?
Seriously, there are like a dozen good pitchers on the market and people are Talking about Deven Marrero playing shortstop for some reason. Wtf. None of these trade proposals even seem like they would make next years team better, just shuffling problems around.
 

DeJesus Built My Hotrod

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We've been looking for a franchise shortstop since Nomar and the second we get one, we're going to trade him?
Seriously, there are like a dozen good pitchers on the market and people are Talking about Deven Marrero playing shortstop for some reason. Wtf. None of these trade proposals even seem like they would make next years team better, just shuffling problems around.
Thing is, the Sox have won not one but three World Series Championships since Nomar last played for them. Look at the teams that have won the World Series (or even made the playoffs) over, say, the past six seasons and very few had "franchise" players at SS. They have, by and large, each had very good pitching or at least one strong starter and a great bullpen.

Again, I am not pounding the table to trade Xander Bogaerts because he is a very good player. However, if the Sox have a chance to get a cost-controlled, top-of-the-rotation starter, they have to consider it. And I bet DD 2.0 will do so - he was brought in to build a contender. Not a $100mm player development machine.
 

Snoop Soxy Dogg

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Thing is, the Sox have won not one but three World Series Championships since Nomar last played for them. Look at the teams that have won the World Series (or even made the playoffs) over, say, the past six seasons and very few had "franchise" players at SS. They have, by and large, each had very good pitching or at least one strong starter and a great bullpen.

Again, I am not pounding the table to trade Xander Bogaerts because he is a very good player. However, if the Sox have a chance to get a cost-controlled, top-of-the-rotation starter, they have to consider it. And I bet DD 2.0 will do so - he was brought in to build a contender. Not a $100mm player development machine.
Lol, that is what scares me.

Edit: Don't mean to revisit this debate; these two things are not mutually exclusive. I just generally think you build a sustainable contender through the $100m machine.
 

Pilgrim

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Thing is, the Sox have won not one but three World Series Championships since Nomar last played for them. Look at the teams that have won the World Series (or even made the playoffs) over, say, the past six seasons and very few had "franchise" players at SS. They have, by and large, each had very good pitching or at least one strong starter and a great bullpen.
This isnt about team building philosophy, though. The Red Sox won 78 games last year. Even if there was some secret sauce for winning in the playoffs, thats got nothing to do with them. They need to worry about getting as many good players as they can.

Maybe if there was a huge crop of available shortstops out there, you could think about trading him. But the SS market is putrid and the pitching market is loaded.
 

HomeRunBaker

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You can win a WS without an elite SS.....it's unlikely you win a WS without an elite SP. if you feel Marrero can hit enough you make this deal for the right guy.....Thor is the right guy but not sure why the Mets would do this. If you do go with Marrero it almost certainly makes Vazquez the catcher to trade (which he may be anyway) as you don't want to commit to both of their bats in the lineup.
 

snowmanny

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X is going to be a star SS for the next 15 years. If his power expands, he will be a super-start SS, face of the franchise player. He should be considered untouchable straight-up 1-on-1 for any Met pitcher.
Great but 11 of those years might be elsewhere. The Red Sox control four years of Bogaerts and that's how long I expect him to be here and that's what they can offer in trade to get more than four years of cheap pitching. I don't see it as a no-brainier either way.

Edit: And his wasted season on the MLB roster in 2014 was a terrible mistake by Cherington.
 
Aug 31, 2006
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Assuming that the only stud pitcher the Mets are willing to deal is Harvey (also a Boras client, like Xander) the discussion really comes down to 4 more years of Xander vs. 3 for Harvey. Is that an even 1 for 1 swap? Maybe.

I'm not sure I would bank on Bogaerts not making huge improvements, but I think I can live with Marrero at shortstop if it means the Sox can afford Harvey and also a free agent like Cueto or Zimmermann. If Harvey is only making $4.7 million in 2016, loading up on the rotation like that is affordable if you move very tradable pieces in Buchholz and Miley.
 

MikeM

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Assuming that the only stud pitcher the Mets are willing to deal is Harvey (also a Boras client, like Xander) the discussion really comes down to 4 more years of Xander vs. 3 for Harvey. Is that an even 1 for 1 swap? Maybe.

Another time and with another set of surrounding circumstances i'd be all for sacrificing X in the name of getting a Harvey. Trading him for a starting pitcher right now though is essentially just robbing Peter to pay Paul. Like Pilgrim pointed out, this isn't a team that's realistically close enough to start thinking in those absolute'like terms.

Taken as a whole and outside a whole lot of fanboy optimism (imo), the lineup is already enough of an overall question mark without subbing one of it's main core pieces out with Marrero's bat full time. "Where is the offense?" already spent enough time trending in game threads last season outside our late run in garbage time.
 

Wingack

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You can win a WS without an elite SS.....it's unlikely you win a WS without an elite SP. if you feel Marrero can hit enough you make this deal for the right guy.....Thor is the right guy but not sure why the Mets would do this. If you do go with Marrero it almost certainly makes Vazquez the catcher to trade (which he may be anyway) as you don't want to commit to both of their bats in the lineup.
KC just did it.