The sixers and building a winner

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jon abbey

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Supposedly his work ethic is bad also, which makes it easier to understand Brown coming out publicly about hs situation like he did. I think the problem is that Philly wants too much in return for Noel or Okafor, which is why neither of them have gone anywhere yet.
 

HomeRunBaker

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My point is precisely that there isn't a big market for him. Either at the deadline or when he hits RFA.
I keep seeing this insistence that teams aren't dealing for Noel because he's "not cost controlled" without any ability to identify the teams that are going to throw a big offer his way this offseason.
I don't think we disagree much on this. I simply don't feel teams have a need to identify a "who" at this point if Noel shows that he can be productive in a winning environment. They only need to recognize that would have a pretty decent chance to occur in the new marketplace.
 

BigSoxFan

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Say Philly offers up Noel to the Celtics:

1) Would you take him?

2) What would you be willing to give up?
 

HomeRunBaker

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Say Philly offers up Noel to the Celtics:

1) Would you take him?

2) What would you be willing to give up?
If Colangelo massively overvalues Noel as I feel many Sixer fans do I would probably get the phone hung up on me fairly quickly.

Without working trade checker I'd move Olynyk, Zeller and a high 2nd.....or one of the two players and a couple 2nds.
 

LondonSox

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Personally if there's no trade market for Noel then there's a good chance you can keep him at a sensible price.
I'd trade Okafor for whatever I can get and play embiid and Noel at center.
Simmons, Saric at PF (trade ilyasova after a nice showcase of his abilities when Simmons is back healthy)
Get luwawu up and give him minutes with Covington at wing (Henderson mixed in too) also use sauce too (who look much better this year)
Point guard will be lacking without Bayless but a mix of tj and Sergio.

Thompson as needed and Holmes for 3rd center.

I literally don't care what Okafor brings. He makes the team better by leaving and make more sense.

Man if the sixers took porzingis...
 

Cellar-Door

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How would you deal with the Noel situation? He's injured, doesn't yet possess even Amir or Tyson's offensive component, and is a FA in 7 months who wants to get paid.

Nobody is trading for him and he's a bad fit with the current group. What other options are there for him? It reminds me of our own Rondo situation from years past in a lot of ways.
I would never have come into the season with the 3 centers all on the roster, it was always going to blow up because of Noel's impending FA.

Colangelo overplayed his hand hunting for max value (also my guess is he wanted to move Okafor more than Noel but the better offers were for Noel). He seems based on all the leaks at the time, to have had some decent if not mind-blowing offers around the draft. I just don't know why a GM would think coming into the season with all these guys was going to result in an INCREASE in anyone's value.

Say Philly offers up Noel to the Celtics:

1) Would you take him?

2) What would you be willing to give up?
I would.
However I wouldn't give up what I think it takes to get him (Non-BRK pick and Smart or Rozier).

I'd be willing to give up.... Jackson and a Non-BRK 1st, but I don't think that gets it done.

Also I do this without having done all the math on what his hold does to the cap space, which might be an issue for Ainge.
 

the moops

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However I wouldn't give up what I think it takes to get him (Non-BRK pick and Smart or Rozier).
.
I can't imagine PHI is that delusional. Smart straight up for Noel is a bad deal, regardless of how you feel about each player, simply because of the extra year of control. I can't even see a scenario where Rozier is made available for Noel, for similar reasons. And the more I think about it, I can't imagine the Celts giving up any first round pick for him.

The Celts with Noel, at best, are a couple games better over an 82 game season. They are still a middle of the pack seed playoff team that, can win one series, maybe two if everything goes right. If they want him, they can make an offer in the offseason.
 

Cellar-Door

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Bryan Colangelo was finally shamed into answering press questions.
It was gloriously pathetic.
He whined that the logjam was caused by decisions made before he got there (boo hoo)
claimed that last night was an example of how well Embiid and Okafor can work, and praised Okafor's defense (Hint, Okafor was terrible on D last night and everyone covering the team agrees that Embiid/Okafor is a disaster).
He looked like what he was, a weaselly little trust-fund baby whose daddy got him every job he's ever had.
 

jon abbey

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Bryan Colangelo was finally shamed into answering press questions.
It was gloriously pathetic.
He whined that the logjam was caused by decisions made before he got there (boo hoo)
claimed that last night was an example of how well Embiid and Okafor can work, and praised Okafor's defense (Hint, Okafor was terrible on D last night and everyone covering the team agrees that Embiid/Okafor is a disaster).
He looked like what he was, a weaselly little trust-fund baby whose daddy got him every job he's ever had.
This was the best quote I saw:

Colangelo on all bigs being on the roster to end the season. "If they all are, so be it. I will not make a bad deal for this organization."

http://www.cbssports.com/nba/news/bryan-colangelo-on-sixers-logjam-i-will-not-make-a-bad-deal-for-this-organization/
 

Cesar Crespo

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You'd figure with the Sixers keeping Embiid's minutes down, they would have time for them all anyway. I guess Saric and Ilyasova play into the mix as well. Being overlooked in all this, they've been winning a few games lately and play NO tomorrow. Ultimately, I'm not even sure it matters which of the two they play because I don't think either one is sticking around or worth bending over to keep.

I'd take Noel on the C's if it was basically for the equivalent of a 2nd round pick because I think he fits a role for this year. I'd consider resigning him if the deal was right but would be more than glad to let him walk too. So, I'd take him in a free rental scenario. I'd probably take Okafor in that same scenario in hopes he could provide offense off the bench. Him and Olynyk playing together would make for some good game thread material at least.

If given a choice, I take Noel because he would play a bigger role on the C's.
 

LondonSox

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Bryan Colangelo was finally shamed into answering press questions.
It was gloriously pathetic.
He whined that the logjam was caused by decisions made before he got there (boo hoo)
claimed that last night was an example of how well Embiid and Okafor can work, and praised Okafor's defense (Hint, Okafor was terrible on D last night and everyone covering the team agrees that Embiid/Okafor is a disaster).
He looked like what he was, a weaselly little trust-fund baby whose daddy got him every job he's ever had.
So much this. Fucking joke.

Let's be clear last night ilyasova got minutes at centre.
If anyone thinks this is better than Noel getting minutes... I don't know what to say.
Okafor I'm willing to cut bait on. I get he has two more years but I think that's why he might have some value.
But if you don't want to resign Noel I get it.

But okafor and embiid are centres. Embiid is a potential transcendent talent. If he is hurt okafor isn't a replacement. So wtf is the point of prioritising his minutes?

Either colangelo is a moron or he's trying to raise okafor trade value. But if they aren't signing Noel can they really trade/ lose both ?
 

Cesar Crespo

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He could be trying to raise Okafor's trade value while lowering Noel's future paycheck with the intentions of resigning him. I'm not sure why they can't get rid of both though. Especially with Ben Simmons in the fold as well. Long term, where do either play? I doubt Noel really wants a 20 minute role off the bench. I could see Okafor settling into a Kanter/Monroe type gig. Noel really is in a Rondo type situation, and even has the attitude/rep but without the "winner" label and established success.

Maybe a contender will fork up a 1st round pick or some type of protected pick for him around the trade deadline but I'm guessing right now any return would be the equivalent of nothing.
 

HomeRunBaker

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I'd take Noel on the C's if it was basically for the equivalent of a 2nd round pick because I think he fits a role for this year. I'd consider resigning him if the deal was right but would be more than glad to let him walk too. So, I'd take him in a free rental scenario. I'd probably take Okafor in that same scenario in hopes he could provide offense off the bench. Him and Olynyk playing together would make for some good game thread material at least.

If given a choice, I take Noel because he would play a bigger role on the C's.
Yet Colangelo is being mocked for not wanting to make a bad deal for the organization. I don't understand this. It isn't like they are competing for wins this year and still are in a personnel mess from last year.
 

Cesar Crespo

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Yet Colangelo is being mocked for not wanting to make a bad deal for the organization. I don't understand this. It isn't like they are competing for wins this year and still are in a personnel mess from last year.
Totally agree but if Noel continues to whine and mope about it, it's probably best just to take the best offer and rid the team of his shitty attitude anyway come trade deadline, especially with all the young players around. The best offer isn't going to be that great though since the position he plays is plush with talent like him. Bigs aren't what they used to be.

edit: I'd do the deal you offered too, and I don't mind Olynyk. He has a part to play and he plays it, but Noel would be playing a bigger part. The 2nd round picks don't even matter, offer 400 for all I care. This is like a $1 rental instead of a free rental.
 
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Swedgin

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I can't imagine PHI is that delusional. Smart straight up for Noel is a bad deal, regardless of how you feel about each player, simply because of the extra year of control. I can't even see a scenario where Rozier is made available for Noel, for similar reasons. And the more I think about it, I can't imagine the Celts giving up any first round pick for him.

The Celts with Noel, at best, are a couple games better over an 82 game season. They are still a middle of the pack seed playoff team that, can win one series, maybe two if everything goes right. If they want him, they can make an offer in the offseason.
I am higher on Noel than most. I think his ceiling is that of an elite defender and an adequate rim runner on offense. But setting that aside, the above understates the impact of restricted free agency. First, an RFA remains under a team's control because the incumbent has the right to match. Second, restricted free agency acts to depress the player's value. Seems like this will be less true based under the new CBA, as RFA's will be less subject to the NBA's equivalent of musical chairs where by the time the market is really available to them, most of the big money is gone. Finally, there is also the advantage of being able to sign the player without using cap space.

Back to Noel and potential trades. I think he fits a lot of team's needs (pairing him with a stretchy young big like Towns, Davis, Porzingis, or Turner could give you an top end defense) including the Celts. Rim protectors who can switch the pick and roll remain a relatively scare commodity. Under normal circumstances he should fetch either a first or a young prospect. But Colangelo has misplayed his hand horribly and Noel comments and injuries have further undermined Philly's bargaining position. But there are plenty of games left and if the 76er's abandon the ill conceived Okafor and Embid line up, they can find plenty of minutes to let Noel rebuild his value.

As to Smart, I would be curious if Philly has any interest. I think his stock continues to fall. He still cannot shoot from 3. He does not seem capable of running an offense. And most concerning, he struggles to finish at the rim. A guard who can't shoot is much bigger an issue than an offensively limited big. A guard who can't shoot and can't finish a drive is unplayable in a playoff series. I sincerely hope his struggles at the rim are the lingering effects of his continually sprained ankles, but it seems like he is not very explosive off of one foot. He can really get up when he launches off of two, but guard's don't get to do that very often in a NBA offense. His on ball defense is excellent. But if that is all he can offer than his ceiling is post-injury Tony Allen.
 

amfox1

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This makes no sense. Are you equating Marcus Smart with a MN 2nd round pick?
Equating? No. In the scheme of tradeable assets to make a deal, however, Smart is about the only player (plus filler) that works in a deal for Noel. Same with the MIN pick (plus additional filler). There is no transitive property of trading, only options that provide flexibility.

Smart has pros and cons. He would be an asset that I would consider giving up to get a Noel-type asset. Smart could have appeal to PHI. The high 2nd round pick isn't worth as much but provides for draft-and-stash possibilities for a team that already has two high draft picks next year and likely will try to make a splash in free agency.
 

Devizier

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No one really wanted to pay the freight for Noel last summer, either.

The fact of the matter is, Noel's skillset is rare in the league because it's the threshold for sticking in the league. Giving up that much offense from one of your positions puts a lot of strain on the other guys on the court to create opportunities for themselves. Even the best guys who fit that profile -- Ben Wallace and Bo Outlaw -- bounced around the league a bit before finding the right situation where they could contribute.

I am amused by the thought of seeing Smart and Noel on the floor together, though.
 

jon abbey

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The Ringer piece piece linked below helps explain why Okafor and Noel have close to no market, teams just don't need so many big men these days and there are increasingly few situations where you can get away with playing two of them simultaneously. More often, teams go with none, like Philly using Ilyasova at the 5 the other night or the OKC/HOU game I saw where OKC came back in the 4th with Jerami Grant at the 5 until HOU countered with Ryan Anderson at the 5 to just hold them off.

Anyway, the Sixers-relevant part is that Okafor hasn't been a genuine asset since the day he was (mistakenly) drafted, Colangelo will never get what he seems to consider a good deal for him. Noel could be an asset if he was healthier and had a better reputation, but neither of those things are in his favor currently.

https://theringer.com/the-nba-might-have-too-many-big-men-1a654d0b1dec#.3ahl88f2k
 
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wade boggs chicken dinner

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Straight out cut Okafor. Just fuck off.

I am now more annoyed by him than the missed opportunity of Embiid and porzingis together.
They may not have cut him but he's stapled to the bench these days.

76ers have won 3 out of 4, right? Embiid talking about the playoffs - they are 8 games out currently. They have a shot assuming Embiid stays healthy.
 

sox311

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That's what she said.
15/16 - 10 and 72 through 82
16/17 - 10 and 25 through 35

And to think, Ben Simmons soon.

And next year Fultz/Ball/Jackson/Smith at 1 - 5 and Monk/Tatum/Iassic/Ntilikina/Fox with the Lakers pick.

Trust the process indeed, just don't be obvious about to Hinke.
 

LondonSox

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Yeah colangelo has been much better at talking to the press and working with the players....

I'm fairly astonished at the speed they went from play Okafor at center at all costs. To DNP:CD
I have heard several people saying teams have enquired on Okafor SINCE he was nailed to the bench. As I've said I'd keep Noel and move Okafor, unless the goal is still to tank.
 

nighthob

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15/16 - 10 and 72 through 82
16/17 - 10 and 25 through 35

And to think, Ben Simmons soon.

And next year Fultz/Ball/Jackson/Smith at 1 - 5 and Monk/Tatum/Iassic/Ntilikina/Fox with the Lakers pick.
So long as Embiid keeps increasing playing time, and especially with Simmons joining them, their own pick is going to be closer to the end of the lottery.

And you know what? That's the best thing in the world for them as it means that Embiid put the team on his back and carried them there. That's infinitely more important than draft position. Right now the Philly Embiiders are at the top of my "Teams that surprise people by playing .600+ ball after the all star break".
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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So long as Embiid keeps increasing playing time, and especially with Simmons joining them, their own pick is going to be closer to the end of the lottery.

And you know what? That's the best thing in the world for them as it means that Embiid put the team on his back and carried them there. That's infinitely more important than draft position. Right now the Philly Embiiders are at the top of my "Teams that surprise people by playing .600+ ball after the all star break".
They have the added bonus of possible being able to get two lottery picks AND get to the playoffs thanks to the Kings and Lakers. TTP.
 

bowiac

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So long as Embiid keeps increasing playing time, and especially with Simmons joining them, their own pick is going to be closer to the end of the lottery.

And you know what? That's the best thing in the world for them as it means that Embiid put the team on his back and carried them there. That's infinitely more important than draft position. Right now the Philly Embiiders are at the top of my "Teams that surprise people by playing .600+ ball after the all star break".
I will eat any number of hats if the Sixers play .600 ball after the all star break, so that's a pretty good surprise pick.
 

LondonSox

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Once Simmons is back they will be running a lot through him and as a rookie you'd expect some stumbles. So playoffs... No
But if Simmons were to Embiid it, then.... I guess plausible.
Without Okafor they are good defensively.
 

bowiac

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Once Simmons is back they will be running a lot through him and as a rookie you'd expect some stumbles. So playoffs... No
But if Simmons were to Embiid it, then.... I guess plausible.
Without Okafor they are good defensively.
No doubt they're much better without Okafor, but a team moving from playing .286 ball for 35 games to playing .600 ball for their last ~35 games would be unprecedented I believe. When I have time, I'll go check to make sure.
 

nighthob

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I will eat any number of hats if the Sixers play .600 ball after the all star break, so that's a pretty good surprise pick.
I can see them closing that last 36 game stretch of the season with 20-22 wins, because Embiid just keeps getting better and they've finally stapled LaRue Okafor to the bench. Had Hinkie not butchered that pick so badly they'd be making a credible run at the playoffs this year.

(EDIT: I meant to mention that that last block of games is also the one where the good teams prefer to be on cruise control and scrappy effort teams can roll up wins against the cruft and surprise wins against the good teams that don't want to work that hard.)
 

nighthob

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They have the added bonus of possible being able to get two lottery picks AND get to the playoffs thanks to the Kings and Lakers. TTP.
That's true, it'll be interesting to see what moves the Kings make to play in the postseason this year in an attempt to shed the sad sack label.
 

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What is Okafor's value at this point? Colangelo is in a real tough spot here. Either he dumps a former top 3 pick for chump change or he risks further depreciation and chemistry issues. Quite frankly, I'd get what I could at this point, which I'd assume would be a future decently-protected #1.
 

bowiac

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I can see them closing that last 36 game stretch of the season with 20-22 wins, because Embiid just keeps getting better and they've finally stapled LaRue Okafor to the bench. Had Hinkie not butchered that pick so badly they'd be making a credible run at the playoffs this year.

(EDIT: I meant to mention that that last block of games is also the one where the good teams prefer to be on cruise control and scrappy effort teams can roll up wins against the cruft and surprise wins against the good teams that don't want to work that hard.)
I've been meaning to take a look at how big an effect this "cruise control" idea is. Never given it too much weight (some obviously, but a game or two at the high end really).

I'm not sure you could get a mid first-rounder for Okafor right now. Players depreciate rapidly upon flailing in the NBA. Thomas Robinson was the 5th overall pick, and was traded for flotsam before his rookie year was over. Dion Waiters (4th pick) fetched a late first rounder (OKC's) and Iman Shumpert, and I think Okafor is at a lower point right now than Waiters was.
 

nighthob

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What is Okafor's value at this point? Colangelo is in a real tough spot here. Either he dumps a former top 3 pick for chump change or he risks further depreciation and chemistry issues. Quite frankly, I'd get what I could at this point, which I'd assume would be a future decently-protected #1.
I expect that he will be Philly's Darko. He is a biblically bad defensive player that isn't a skilled enough offensive player to make up for it. I was openly puzzled by the pick given that they had Noel playing and Embiid (theoretically) in the wings. I think I expected them to grab Mudiay to be their PG of the future or that they'd make a deal with LA in order to land Russell. Okafor I thought he might pan out as a less crazy, poor man's version of DMC, assuming he applied himself. Clearly he hasn't.

In real terms no one's going to save Philly when the odds are that they'll just cut their losses in another year and then you can bring him in for a tryout. It's not like he's going to make a positive contribution to someone this year, so there's no urgency to trade for him. If Philly were cashing in picks on an impact vet, they'd probably insist on including Okafor as a face-saving measure. But as I said, Junior Colangelo is still too busy trying to get steals.

Admittedly I had Porzingis way too low on my 2015 draft board for all the normal caveats (I don't watch enough Euroleague play). If I were ambitious enough to look up the 2015 Draft Thread I'd wager you'd see him closer to 10 on my board. I'm pretty sure that I had Winslow third, and then the next five were in, some order, Myles Turner, Stanley Johnson, Willie Cauley-Stein, Emmanuel Mudiay, and Porzingis (and I remember confessing at the time that I was giving in to the hype), so he was probably somewhere in the 6-8 region on my board.
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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Interesting Ringer article suggesting that this PHI-POR trade: McCollum to the Sixers for Noel plus draft picks (article starts with the Sixers’ unprotected 2017 first, the Kings’ unprotected 2019 first, and multiple second-round picks). Sure it would never happen (NBA GMs are too risk adverse) but it does make a ton of sense on both sides.

Link: https://theringer.com/the-nbas-midseason-arms-race-is-upon-us-158ff3ee2b86#.in2pch62c
 
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nighthob

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That deal makes a lot of sense for both teams, especially if Portland went after a backcourt defensive stopper to pair with Lillard. McCollum would actually allow Philly to make a serious run at the postseason.
 

BigSoxFan

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An Embiid/Simmons/McCollum core would be among the best in the league (assuming Simmons is legit and healthy) and they'd still have the Lakers pick to add a nice prospect like a Smith or Tatum. You can't keep adding 19 year-olds and expect to win.
 

LondonSox

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I don't think they will bowiac. To be clear. They are still not good and multiple players may well struggle with the rookie Wall too.

What is Okafor's value at this point? Colangelo is in a real tough spot here. Either he dumps a former top 3 pick for chump change or he risks further depreciation and chemistry issues. Quite frankly, I'd get what I could at this point, which I'd assume would be a future decently-protected #1.
If he could get a first he should take it.
I think it's possible some teams think he's worth a shot. But time is not on their side.

It's a classic sunk cost. Don't compound the error.
 

Swedgin

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I don't think they will bowiac. To be clear. They are still not good and multiple players may well struggle with the rookie Wall too.



If he could get a first he should take it.
I think it's possible some teams think he's worth a shot. But time is not on their side.

It's a classic sunk cost. Don't compound the error.
Strikes me that his value is at its nadir right now. Assuming they are moving Noel, Philly has plenty of time to address Okafor. With Nerlens gone after the deadline, then you have the remainder of this season and two more years of team control during which Philly can rebuild some value for Okafor. Absent Noel and caution regarding Embid's usage, there should be adequate minutes as a backup center to showcase Okafor. Make him the focal point of the second unit's offense, so his counting stats will look better. Kanter fetched a protected first from a good team as an impending RFA. Maybe Okafor can get you a better pick with a year or more of team control.
 

wade boggs chicken dinner

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With Nerlens gone after the deadline,
I don't think they are going to move Noel. Both Brown and Embiid want to win some games, and Noel gives them the best chance of winning, and Brown on the radio today (yesterday?) saying that he's going to play Noel and Embiid more together. And I wonder how Embiid would react if the 76ers trade Noel when they have been playing well together.

BTW - apparently, 76ers have top defensive rating in the Eastern Conference since December 1.

http://philadelphia.cbslocal.com/2017/01/10/brown-noel-embiid-play-together/
 

LondonSox

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Yup I hope they keep Noel not just now, if there is a glut of bigs and limited interest with the rfa in place they might get him for not much.

I don't care what they get for Okafor.
 

Cellar-Door

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Strikes me that his value is at its nadir right now. Assuming they are moving Noel, Philly has plenty of time to address Okafor. With Nerlens gone after the deadline, then you have the remainder of this season and two more years of team control during which Philly can rebuild some value for Okafor. Absent Noel and caution regarding Embid's usage, there should be adequate minutes as a backup center to showcase Okafor. Make him the focal point of the second unit's offense, so his counting stats will look better. Kanter fetched a protected first from a good team as an impending RFA. Maybe Okafor can get you a better pick with a year or more of team control.
I don't know that his value is at it's nadir. He's still young, and they have lots of bigs and no guards, so maybe you can convince a team that it's a fit problem and he'll be better in a different lineup/system. The more he plays though the more other teams will realize he's just a shitty basketball player, there is a direct correlation between the perceived decrease in Okafor's value and him playing basketball.
 

LondonSox

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Okafor nailed to the bench and the sixers are 4-1 in 2017 and have a winning record and a positive net rating when Okafor is out.

Noel and Embiid means elite rim protection and center defense all game.

Dump Okafor for whatever, resign Noel take likely two top ten picks in a great draft.

Simmons, embiid, Saric, tlc, TJ, Covington two good picks this year and still have the kings unprotected pick to come. A wing and a point guard, both positions of strength in the draft.

Saric is improving, embiid is insane. Simmons I have high hopes for as a point forward and tlc is showing flashes, esp defensively which is what he needs, and korkmaz stashed too.

The process looks pretty legit right now
 

Remagellan

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Just think, if the owners had listened to Hinkie, they'd have Porzingis instead of Okafor to add to that group.

(Of course, they might not have Simmons in that case, because KP might have kept them from finishing last.)

It is not yet a great time to be a Sixers fan, but it is at least fun again.
 

Infield Infidel

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Okafor nailed to the bench and the sixers are 4-1 in 2017 and have a winning record and a positive net rating when Okafor is out.

Noel and Embiid means elite rim protection and center defense all game.

Dump Okafor for whatever, resign Noel take likely two top ten picks in a great draft.
Are there any interested teams with a vet 3rd point or combo guard that they don't play much? Or is Okafor not even able to bring that much back?
 

DannyDarwinism

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Jul 7, 2007
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Okafor nailed to the bench and the sixers are 4-1 in 2017 and have a winning record and a positive net rating when Okafor is out.

Noel and Embiid means elite rim protection and center defense all game.
Who would've thought that replacing a really, really bad defensive big with a really, really good defensive big would make the team significantly better on defense? Crazy.

Seriously though, Noel is an elite defender who should be a DPOY candidate sometime soon, and he's a good fit next to Embiid, which makes his treatment by Brown and Colangelo all the more perplexing, unless there's something going on with the kid off of the court.
 
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