He could if he were standing on second baseEllsbury wasn't much of a pitching prospect, given that he could barely throw it to the infield on the fly.
He could if he were standing on second baseEllsbury wasn't much of a pitching prospect, given that he could barely throw it to the infield on the fly.
Winckowski, Wacha, ?, Pivetta would be my guesses. The question mark will probably be Crawford, but only if he's not optioned to make room for Bello tomorrow.Any guesses as to the SP in the Yankees series?
I'd love to see us beat them up a bit with a such a compromised roster and put some fear into them, and at the very least we have to hope we don't lose too much playoff standing with so many games left against them, but overall I agree with the above - it's been a long time since midseason Yankee-Red Sox games have felt this unimportant.I guess I can talk myself into not really caring who starts against the Yankees. Sox are in second place even with a WWI-style hospital of a pitching staff, and the Yankees don't need to come back to Earth until later in the season.
They feel pretty important to me.I'd love to see us beat them up a bit with a such a compromised roster and put some fear into them, and at the very least we have to hope we don't lose too much playoff standing with so many games left against them, but overall I agree with the above - it's been a long time since midseason Yankee-Red Sox games have felt this unimportant.
From high a to Boston in 13 months, crazy.Meteoric ascension
Yeah I didn't state that well. They're important in a lot of ways, just not in the fighting-for-the-division way. That portion of the juice is not there this time.They feel pretty important to me.
Missed that, thanksPer above Seabold can only be recalled if someone goes on the IL. Which means Friday has to be either Wacha or he'll be IL'ed for Seabold, I think.
Crawford is then in line for Saturday.
The line is meaningless. It's spring training for him. It's about getting the work in, not the results.Doesn’t sound like he’s ready with that line, no?
I saw some of the game. He looked pretty good. FB clocked at 96 or so. Slider was moving well. Got squeezed a couple times, IMO. All in all, the inning or two I saw on tv was pretty encouraging. The hits he gave up were little dribblers.Doesn’t sound like he’s ready with that line, no?
wait until as late as possible to maintain flexibility?Any idea why Bello wasn’t optioned after the game?
Could be as simple as waiting to see how Sale feels today. If for any reason Sale has a setback after his latest rehab outing (maybe a paper cut from ripping down a poster?), they might want to keep Bello around to make another start next week. If they send down Bello last night or this morning, and then need a starter next Monday or Tuesday, they can't bring him back for 15 days unless they put someone else on the IL. With Seabold also on that 15 day clock for another 10 days or so, they're thin on starting options that can be called up. The only way around the 15 day minimum is to put someone else on the IL as the counter-move. They can't really afford to do that either unless it's legit because then they'd lose that guy for 15 days.Any idea why Bello wasn’t optioned after the game?
Ah, I see. So, probably happens today but they needed to maintain flexibility. Makes sense.Could be as simple as waiting to see how Sale feels today. If for any reason Sale has a setback after his latest rehab outing (maybe a paper cut from ripping down a poster?), they might want to keep Bello around to make another start next week. If they send down Bello last night or this morning, and then need a starter next Monday or Tuesday, they can't bring him back for 15 days unless they put someone else on the IL. With Seabold also on that 15 day clock for another 10 days or so, they're thin on starting options that can be called up. The only way around the 15 day minimum is to put someone else on the IL as the counter-move. They can't really afford to do that either unless it's legit because then they'd lose that guy for 15 days.
SSSWas just perusing MLB pitching stats and came across this guy: Martin Perez.
I'm laughing.
Last 5 seasons' of ERA:
2017 (Tex): 4.82
2018 (Tex): 6.22
2019 (Min): 5.12
2020 (Bos): 4.50
2021 (Bos): 4.74
And then this:
2022 (Tex): 2.34
LOL wut?
Not that small. Some of those previous seasons he pitched fewer innings than the 100 he’s thrown this year so far.
? Yes, but you seemed to be asking why he’s pitching so well this year. He’s capable of pitching well for a half dozen games. His numbers will reset. They actually already are, based on his last two starts.Not that small. Some of those previous seasons he pitched fewer innings than the 100 he’s thrown this year so far.
Over the years (especially in his first stint with Texas IIRC) Perez has shown limited flashes of brilliance. His start this season is undoubtedly the best of those stretches.? Yes, but you seemed to be asking why he’s pitching so well this year. He’s capable of pitching well for a half dozen games. His numbers will reset. They actually already are, based on his last two starts.
He isn't going to sustain the 4.4% HR/FB rate, but he has raised his GB% big time (from 43.6% to 52.6% this year, his highest mark since 2016). His 7.3 K/9 is still pretty subpar but it's still one of the higher marks in his career, and he's sporting a career best 2.3 BB/9. Even when you consider his home run luck, he has a career best 3.69 xFIP.If you look into his peripherals, he's walking a touch fewer guys and conceding basically no HR — just 4 in 100 IP, two of which came in his most recent start. Maybe he's figured something out to prevent guys from squaring up the ball and cut his HR rate by ~60%, or maybe he's gotten a bit lucky on fly balls.
If his HR/FB ratio normalizes, he'll be considerably closer to his previous numbers.
Hopefully they won't need to call on him again, at least to start. I can see a scenario where he takes his experience back to Worcester and focuses on fixing what didn't work, and maybe being a viable bullpen option late in the year. Maybe not playoff-bullpen ready but able to eat a few innings in September to let the vets get a breather and allow them to be rested and ready for post-season action.Pretty clear Brayan Bello isn't ready — not that he was likely to be, and he's only here because the rest of the rotation broke into pieces, but he's not someone who can be counted on again down the stretch, I would think. His command and control are both subpar right now, he needs time to learn how to throw strikes consistently. MLB hitters are too disciplined to swing at borderline pitches.
ETA: 31 fastballs on the night (four-seamers and sinkers), just seven total whiffs + called strikes. The sinker in particular got whacked around.
Final line wasn't great, but he could've really cratered after the first two innings. And covering 1st on the DP showed that he kept his head in the game, even when getting hit around. I think the experience will do him good.Hopefully they won't need to call on him again, at least to start. I can see a scenario where he takes his experience back to Worcester and focuses on fixing what didn't work, and maybe being a viable bullpen option late in the year. Maybe not playoff-bullpen ready but able to eat a few innings in September to let the vets get a breather and allow them to be rested and ready for post-season action.
With Sale back tomorrow and Eovaldi expected to start on Friday in New York, and then the All Star break, Bello's spot should be covered going forward.
I *think* MLB time is calculated by days, and 180 days is 1 year. Some other calculations are based on 40-man roster time, rather than MLB time.What does this do to Bello's "service time"? This sort of stuff always confused me. Does his MLB time start now, meaning he's a FA in 5-6 years?
If that was the case, I would rather have seen Murphy or any other mL starter not as highly regarded.
I get what you're saying, but any other opponent would have tape of Bello's first game and adopted the same strategy. Any other team knows enough about Bello specifically, through their minor league scouting, and through the knowledge that the Red Sox had to call him up earlier than planned to know that being patient at the plate would be the proper strategyI'd like to see him against a different opponent. Tampa clearly just had a plan of taking pitches until he walked himself into trouble and then take until he has to throw a meatball in a bad count and swing hard. Lowe had a great hit on a really well located change and that happens, good hitters hit good pitches sometimes, but without all of the free baserunners they sting less.
Service time is measured in days on the big league roster or big league IL (including 60-day IL). There are typically 187 service days in a season. Once a player has accrued 172 days he is considered to have a full year of service time, and a player must complete 6 full years to reach free agency. So yes his service time clock has started, but it will be paused when he's sent back down. If he's sent down today, he'll have accrued six days of service time. But also, there's no way he can earn a full year this year, so they'll still have him under team control for at least six more years anyway.What does this do to Bello's "service time"? This sort of stuff always confused me. Does his MLB time start now, meaning he's a FA in 5-6 years?
If that was the case, I would rather have seen Murphy or any other mL starter not as highly regarded.
They closed that loophole, right? I forget exactly how.How teams have manipulated service time (famously with Kris Bryant among others) is not calling up a player until there are fewer than 172 service days left in a season so the player can't earn a full year of service time even if he's up for 171 days.
They didn't really close it. They just offered incentives that sort of backdoor closes it for the very best of the best rookies. If a player finishes first or second for Rookie of the Year, they're awarded the full year of service regardless of when they were called up. If a rookie is on the Opening Day roster and finishes top 3 in Rookie of the Year or top 5 in MVP/Cy Young balloting, the team gets an extra first round draft pick.They closed that loophole, right? I forget exactly how.
What a difference 48 hours makes. Even putting the Trade Deadline moves aside -- back-to-back dominant performances by Eovaldi and Kutter Crawford at Houston completely changes how I look at this rotation. If the Sox can sneak into a wild card, all of a sudden a playoff rotation of Sale-Eolvaldi-Kutter-Pivetta might be pretty damn strong after all.Last 8 games for Kutter: 2.72 era, 43.0 ip, 34 hits, 13r/13er, 9bb/42k. .215/.260/.348 on a .266 BAbip.
He has to be the bright spot of the season so far. Hopefully it's not a mirage and his ceiling is something a bit more than high leverage swing man. He's looking like a legit starter. He's pitched against some solid teams too.
Less good in Toronto, where it's Eovaldi-Pivetta-??? for the Wild Card round.What a difference 48 hours makes. Even putting the Trade Deadline moves aside -- back-to-back dominant performances by Eovaldi and Kutter Crawford at Houston completely changes how I look at this rotation. If the Sox can sneak into a wild card, all of a sudden a playoff rotation of Sale-Eolvaldi-Kutter-Pivetta might be pretty damn strong after all.
Cora did say that something is going to change the next time they're in Toronto in September. After Duran got the jab, I'm a little more optimistic that Crawford will do the same, especially if the Sox are fighting for the playoffs.Less good in Toronto, where it's Eovaldi-Pivetta-??? for the Wild Card round.
LinkAccording to Cora, former Red Sox catcher Christian Vázquez flagged him from the Astros dugout to note that Bello looked uncomfortable during his fourth-inning appearance in the Red Sox’s 6-1 loss.
“There was a catcher on the other side paying a lot of attention too, pointing it out,” Cora told reporters. “I’m like ‘I got it.’ Hopefully it’s nothing serious and in X amount of days he can be okay.”
...
“Obviously he’s very important,” Cora told reporters. “He felt like ‘Give me one more pitch to get this thing over with.’ But if I let you throw and you get really hurt, I’ll be going to Caguas (Cora’s hometown).”
Not a direct answer but your post got me thinking about defense. The Sox defense this season has been shall we say lacking at times. I feel that Bloom is really big into defense. It would not surprise when Bloom gets to remake this team next off season if we see more players like Story or JBJ in his prime. Slightly below average hitters, but superlative defensively. Obviously he is not going to fill the entire lineup with below average hitters, but I feel he really values defense. That is why Marwin and Santana were signed last year and that is why he had no issue shipping Vaz out. It was also why he had no issue not backing the truck up and giving Devers whatever he wanted last off season. Now that Dever's defense has improved I think it is likely he will sign a monster extension with the Sox. Defense is also why Bogey is not going to be finishing his career with the Sox. Even though a lot of fans just look at how far a player hits the ball, Bloom is interested in the entire package and getting elite defense can trickle down and make the pitching better which can trickle down and take some stress off the offense.Once again, Bello appeared to have been "snake-bitten" by medium ground balls through the infield during his brief appearance. The first hit was a "seeing-eye" double just inside the third base bag, but the second hit looked to be a sure 6-3 out, but the infield was shifted and the ball just hovered in no-man's land long enough for Altuve to reach. That's not the first time that Bello (who has about a 2-1 GB/FB ratio) appears to have been burned by the infielders being shifted out of position. I think this is a bigger problem than teams seem to realize, especially with pitchers who throw harder two-seamers at the bottom of the strike zone (as opposed to batters turning over low breaking balls with lots of horizontal movement). Any thoughts on this? We really only have a sample size of five short starts in the Bigs with him appearing to be improving with each start.