Offseason rumors

Status
Not open for further replies.

SouthernBoSox

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 23, 2005
12,121
I think these were the three original reports about the Red Sox needing to move salary before signing a free agent. The follow-up reports by McCaffrey and Speier hedge more than Cotillo about whether they “need” to shed salary first vs prefer to do so, etc.

As far as I’m aware, I haven’t seen any actual reporting about the Sox setting a payroll target this year that’s lower than last year’s. Although some have surmised that based on the below and other reports about being unlikely to pursue certain FAs.

Chris Cotillo:

“To do so, however, more subtraction may come first. According to a baseball source, the Red Sox have told at least one free agent target that they need to shed more payroll before pursuing him as aggressively as they want to.”

“The Red Sox still have holes but in their messaging to agents, appear to be looking to move some money before aggressively plugging them.”

Jen McCaffrey/Ken Rosenthal:

“Hernández, who would address the Red Sox’s need for power, remains a point of focus. But according to one person with knowledge of the talks, the Red Sox prefer to tackle other areas of the roster and reduce payroll before committing to the free agent.”

Alex Speier:

“I should mention that this story was written as a follow-up to the excellent reporting of @jcmccaffrey and @Ken_Rosenthal today, as well as more broadly the reporting by @ChrisCotillo and @Sean_McAdam in recent weeks.”

“It’s unclear whether the Sox will look to sign anyone aside from a starting pitcher for more than two years. (The Sox’ deal for Giolito was a one-year deal with a player option for a second season.)”

“Major league sources confirmed the Sox have indeed been willing to listen on Yoshida while also entertaining offers on closer Kenley Jansen (who has one year and $16 million left on his deal). Moves to part with either player wouldn’t occur in a vacuum or as an exercise of cutting payroll for its own sake, but would instead be used to free money for other additions.
Thank you for this. Every single thread this is mentioned and every single time someone says “well what reports?” and then they attack the reporters.

At this point, you’d have to disprove the notion the Red Sox are trimming payroll rather than prove it.

Every local reporter, every national reporter, hell the CBO is even hinting this isn’t the time to spend.

I just think people don’t want to believe it so they attack it.
 

NickEsasky

Please Hammer, Don't Hurt 'Em
Silver Supporter
SoSH Member
Jul 24, 2001
9,211
See, this is where I have issues with you. You take the $240 million Snell thing as fact but then you have 4 questions or theories as to why the Red Sox shedding payroll reporting is wrong or not sourced well enough.
Amen to this. Can we get a little more consistency and a little less hypocrisy here?

All I seem to see is:

Report that says good things about Red Sox: checks out
Report that questions Red Sox front office/ownership: QAnon.
 

CR67dream

blue devils forevah!
Dope
SoSH Member
Oct 4, 2001
7,590
I'm going home
I think just about everyone is susceptible to confirmation bias regarding these unconfirmed reports. I know I am.

Generally, and it's just one guy's take, but the only way I stay sane is not taking any of it too seriously. I enjoy looking at what's happening, but I start at the supposition that every one of these things is as likely to be bullshit as not. Looking for confirmation of anything in unconfirmed reports doesn't seem to offer much of a payoff.
 

BaseballJones

ivanvamp
SoSH Member
Oct 1, 2015
24,812
Huh. Duvall to LF, Yoshida to DH isn’t a terrible plan.
Yeah I got no problems at all bringing Duvall back. He was really solid for them last year. RH power. Not elite power but good enough. A homer every 16.8 plate appearances. That's good.
 

KillerBs

New Member
Nov 16, 2006
944
On the question are the Red Sox intending to reduce payroll? won't we know in a few weeks? I mean if they start the season with a 200M payroll, will it be OK to infer then that they intended to (and did) reduce payroll?
 

HfxBob

New Member
Nov 13, 2005
634
On the question are the Red Sox intending to reduce payroll? won't we know in a few weeks? I mean if they start the season with a 200M payroll, will it be OK to infer then that they intended to (and did) reduce payroll?
Yes. The payroll numbers are one piece of information that can be relied on.
 

HangingW/ScottCooper

Member
SoSH Member
Nov 10, 2006
2,505
Scituate, MA
"That's the right type of player we should be targeting" is not very reassuring, considering a) how rare a Yamamoto is, and b) the fact that the Red Sox realistically had very little chance of signing him. Even if you took the Dodgers out of the picture the Sox would have had to outbid both Cohen and Steinbrenner.
I took that to mean that they're willing to a premium for premium talent. The preference is to not over pay for mediocrity.
 

Rovin Romine

Johnny Rico
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Jul 14, 2005
24,626
Miami (oh, Miami!)
On the question are the Red Sox intending to reduce payroll? won't we know in a few weeks? I mean if they start the season with a 200M payroll, will it be OK to infer then that they intended to (and did) reduce payroll?
Strictly speaking, no, it would not be a solid inference given their goals of developing younger players and targeting FAs who will be productive for a long time. (In fact, it's classic affirming the consequent reasoning.)

That said, they've repeatedly said they want to compete in 2024. So if they're fielding a non-competetive team, and they have a CBT margin, and they passed on an obvious piece that would help the team without hamstringing them. . .that would be a far better indicator that reducing payroll was the intent/actual priority.
 

Sandy Leon Trotsky

Member
SoSH Member
Mar 11, 2007
6,491
Aren't the Rangers in Diamond Sports bankruptcy trouble? Don't see how Montgomery back to them is "expected".
Yes.
I see two remaining major FA pitchers- Snell and Montgomery- with honestly two teams still in play, Boston and SF. I think neither team is offering what Boras wants and the teams that both players respectively would like to play for- Seattle and Dallas- aren't coming even close to their asking prices. I believe it's just playing chicken at this point and that one of them will end up with the Sox but not at the ridiculous price tags they're looking for. Snell was supposedly seeking a $350M 10 year deal from the MFY's- as I'm sure he doesn't want to play there and that's his price to play THERE and probably other places like Boston. NY said hell no and moved to Stroman. I think Breslow is waiting it out rather than jump on the less desired (think passing on Eovaldi to go with Kluber) pitcher just to get the roster stabilized and to satisfy SoSH crazed fans that argue over every word, glance and gesture of anyone in the FO.
Texas is out. I think the Mets are out. Phillies are out. MFY's are out. Dodgers are now out. San Diego has destroyed it's budget, they're out. Cubs are now out. I think the Blue Jays are also out now too. Boras doesn't have any mystery teams remaining. Snell will likely end up with SF and Montgomery in Boston.... I just hope it's for more than a one year deal/opt outs
 

Cassvt2023

Member
SoSH Member
Jan 17, 2023
573
Yeah I got no problems at all bringing Duvall back. He was really solid for them last year. RH power. Not elite power but good enough. A homer every 16.8 plate appearances. That's good.
Same here @moondog80 he was very productive when healthy. 21 HR in 92 games is solid. I wish the OBP was a little higher, but the fact he can play all three OF positions is a plus. Also, he seemed to like it here. I'm on board, then Refsnyder is definitely expendable.
 

KillerBs

New Member
Nov 16, 2006
944
The Imanaga deal is the telling one to me. We were at least sniffing around but seemingly chose not to exceed the relatively modest deal he did with the Cubs. Again, time will tell. If Imanaga turns into something like Senga, we can file it with the Gausman and Bassitt misses.
 

HangingW/ScottCooper

Member
SoSH Member
Nov 10, 2006
2,505
Scituate, MA
I go back to that interview with Marc Cuban I heard about falling sports revenues resulting from people cutting the cord. I do wonder if that is a thing for some of the middle-tier franchises.
How many deals longer than 2 years have there been outside of Ohtani/YY?
It absolutely is a thing. Bally Sports declared bankruptcy and just got a nice lifeline from Amazon. The Padres traded Soto because they lost their TV deal.
 

Cassvt2023

Member
SoSH Member
Jan 17, 2023
573
The Imanaga deal is the telling one to me. We were at least sniffing around but seemingly chose not to exceed the relatively modest deal he did with the Cubs. Again, time will tell. If Imanaga turns into something like Senga, we can file it with the Gausman and Bassitt misses.
This right here. I can live with it if Breslow and Bailey did not think that his stuff was going to translate to MLB and he would end up as fringe SP depth or in the bullpen. But if they believed that he was a mid rotation SP with upside and he was handcuffed by ownership because they wouldn't go beyond 2 yrs for a guy who is 30 yrs old, led his league in K's, and was really good in the WBC, that would make me furious and depressed. We will likely never know.
 

Sausage in Section 17

Poker Champ
SoSH Member
Mar 17, 2004
2,096
Really? We’ve done the super-late FA signing several times, notably with JD Martinez (Feb 26) and Trevor Story (March 19!).
I was thinking specifically of Martinez when I wrote:
I don't think this current ownership group has ever wanted to play this game, but with a few players they were forced to.
And even in that scenario, Boras and Martinez were holding out, but I think it was one of those times when there really wasn't a "mystery team" out there anywhere. Martinez had few other real suitors, and the Sox knew it. They had more confidence to get into a staring match with Boras, and in the end they won.
 

chrisfont9

Member
SoSH Member
Yes.
I see two remaining major FA pitchers- Snell and Montgomery- with honestly two teams still in play, Boston and SF. I think neither team is offering what Boras wants and the teams that both players respectively would like to play for- Seattle and Dallas- aren't coming even close to their asking prices. I believe it's just playing chicken at this point and that one of them will end up with the Sox but not at the ridiculous price tags they're looking for. Snell was supposedly seeking a $350M 10 year deal from the MFY's- as I'm sure he doesn't want to play there and that's his price to play THERE and probably other places like Boston. NY said hell no and moved to Stroman. I think Breslow is waiting it out rather than jump on the less desired (think passing on Eovaldi to go with Kluber) pitcher just to get the roster stabilized and to satisfy SoSH crazed fans that argue over every word, glance and gesture of anyone in the FO.
Texas is out. I think the Mets are out. Phillies are out. MFY's are out. Dodgers are now out. San Diego has destroyed it's budget, they're out. Cubs are now out. I think the Blue Jays are also out now too. Boras doesn't have any mystery teams remaining. Snell will likely end up with SF and Montgomery in Boston.... I just hope it's for more than a one year deal/opt outs
Texas hasn’t been reported as out but the rest of this thread re Diamond Sports certainly suggests they may be. I’ll continue to assume there are 3 teams left for Monty and Snell, but it might just be agents keeping Texas rumors afloat.
 

bosockboy

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 15, 2005
20,048
St. Louis, MO
Yes.
I see two remaining major FA pitchers- Snell and Montgomery- with honestly two teams still in play, Boston and SF. I think neither team is offering what Boras wants and the teams that both players respectively would like to play for- Seattle and Dallas- aren't coming even close to their asking prices. I believe it's just playing chicken at this point and that one of them will end up with the Sox but not at the ridiculous price tags they're looking for. Snell was supposedly seeking a $350M 10 year deal from the MFY's- as I'm sure he doesn't want to play there and that's his price to play THERE and probably other places like Boston. NY said hell no and moved to Stroman. I think Breslow is waiting it out rather than jump on the less desired (think passing on Eovaldi to go with Kluber) pitcher just to get the roster stabilized and to satisfy SoSH crazed fans that argue over every word, glance and gesture of anyone in the FO.
Texas is out. I think the Mets are out. Phillies are out. MFY's are out. Dodgers are now out. San Diego has destroyed it's budget, they're out. Cubs are now out. I think the Blue Jays are also out now too. Boras doesn't have any mystery teams remaining. Snell will likely end up with SF and Montgomery in Boston.... I just hope it's for more than a one year deal/opt outs
I wouldn’t think the Mets are out. He can afford any contract and could swoop in at any time.
 

Yaz4Ever

MemBer
Lifetime Member
SoSH Member
Jul 10, 2004
11,292
MA-CA-RI-AZ-NC
Texas hasn’t been reported as out but the rest of this thread re Diamond Sports certainly suggests they may be. I’ll continue to assume there are 3 teams left for Monty and Snell, but it might just be agents keeping Texas rumors afloat.
I don't think @Sandy Leon Trotsky was wrong, but I lean more toward your thoughts on this. I'm not ready to rule Texas out just yet, just hope they can't swing it do the Diamond Sports stuff. Craig should just call SF and flip a coin, heads gets one of them, tails gets the other LOL
 

RS2004foreever

Member
SoSH Member
Dec 15, 2022
671
MLB with a run down of the cable TV deals by franchise.
With respect to Texas, which made $20 million more on cable TV than the Red Sox in '22:
"RSN deal with Diamond Sports Group being renegotiated at a lower price. Deal has paid $111MM annually to this point (reported by Evan Grant of the Dallas Morning News in January ’24). "

By my count 8 teams made more in '22 off of cable TV than the Red Sox. LA makes $196 million. The next closest are the Yankees at $143. The Phillies are third at $125.
If the Rangers are out on both Snell and Montgomery, the number of bidders for each may be surprisingly small.
I really do think this year is showing the effect of streaming on revenue.
 

Sandy Leon Trotsky

Member
SoSH Member
Mar 11, 2007
6,491
David Stearns is there now as a voice of rationality though.
I think the Mets were YY or bust and will be looking to reboot their entire team, as probably the Sox should have done after '21, but ah well. I think they're out. More than just the Sox budget, there's reasons why Montgomery and Snell aren't getting YY's or Gerrit Cole money. Once you pay guys that don't have that track record of consistent high level excellence or youth (in YY's case) then guys like Pivetta end up looking like $25M for 5 year deals. It's not really collusion (although Boras would claim it is) as much as market correction. Neither of these guys are even close to what Snell was demanding from the Yankees. And it is good for the Yankees to not pay that even though they could (it's NOT MY MONEY!!11!!).
 

6-5 Sadler

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 18, 2005
218
Two other teams that I think could be in the bidding for Snell and Monty are the Jays and the Cubs. The Jays currently have Manoah pencilled in as their fifth starter and he wasn’t good last year even after coming back from the minors. They were also in on Ohtani so presumably they have some payroll dollars available. The Cubs have Jordan Wicks as their #5 right now who only has 67 innings above AA and was just ok in the majors last year. They should also have some money available as their payroll is currently around $200M according to Spotrac…about $30M less than they were at last year.
 

jon abbey

Shanghai Warrior
Moderator
SoSH Member
Jul 15, 2005
71,224
The Jays currently have Manoah pencilled in as their fifth starter and he wasn’t good last year even after coming back from the minors.
They signed Yariel Rodriguez (terms not announced yet) and the rumor was that they got him because they were going to give him a chance to start in that 5th spot.
 

chawson

Member
SoSH Member
Aug 1, 2006
4,679
See, this is where I have issues with you. You take the $240 million Snell thing as fact but then you have 4 questions or theories as to why the Red Sox shedding payroll reporting is wrong or not sourced well enough.
I mean, it’s Bob Nightengale, so I don’t take the Snell wants $240 million story as gospel. But why conflate the two? One is a small item in the footer of a much larger feature story, and (imo) totally consistent with what Snell, a two-time CYA-winning pitcher and Scott Boras client — who has not yet signed by Jan 19th — would ask for. Maybe it’s not exactly $240 million. Who cares.

The Masslive reporting is different. What they’re asserting is the presence of a massive and secretive policy shift in team operations, along with the corollary implication that all executives are lying to everyone’s faces — based on the strength of one piece of second-hand anecdata given to them off the record, and then summarized by their reporters through the very obvious filter of pessimism designed to bait engagement. Their source stands to benefit greatly from public outcry convincing the Red Sox to spend.

It's January 19th, and Masslive are still putting "full throttle" in every story lede. The strongest factual statement they can make is "throughout the game, questions remain about whether the Red Sox have a self-imposed budget somewhere below the first CBT threshold of $237 million." Werner was asked directly and said that's not true, there is no set payroll, which is consistent with previous reporting, but it's not enough. Werner must be lying! Every single story Masslive writes has the angle that the Red Sox still haven't done anything to meaningfully change the club (debatable), with no context about how painfully and abnormally slow the offseason has been.

I gotta hand it to Masslive. These speculations they're bandying about are impossible to disprove. If we sign say, Jordan Montgomery, then they can frame it like the team caved to public pressure. We currently have the 10th highest payroll in MLB. If we start the season with something like the 7th, it'll be seen as proof of concept (or affirming the consequent, per @Rovin Romine above). They win either way.

So yeah, this is totally Red Sox QAnon. It's unsourced content that feels true even though it's unsubstantiated. And it's entertaining, right!? In a way, all of this reporting is still about Mookie Betts. Just like how QAnon was about something else entirely too.

Here's another reason:

Amen to this. Can we get a little more consistency and a little less hypocrisy here?

All I seem to see is:

Report that says good things about Red Sox: checks out
Report that questions Red Sox front office/ownership: QAnon.
In the minds of these payroll truthers, it's not possible to have problems with one media outlet's handling of the story and find any other reporting outlet credible. That's evidence of hypocrisy or bias. (It's the lame stream media!) Doesn't matter how many times I say I want them to spend, I'm "carrying water for FSG" if I find the payroll truther story less than credible, if I question whether we should spend indiscriminately for the sake of spending, whether we should give a blank check to a good-not-great pitcher who's said he'd rather live elsewhere.
 

nvalvo

Member
SoSH Member
Jul 16, 2005
21,706
Rogers Park
I was thinking specifically of Martinez when I wrote:

And even in that scenario, Boras and Martinez were holding out, but I think it was one of those times when there really wasn't a "mystery team" out there anywhere. Martinez had few other real suitors, and the Sox knew it. They had more confidence to get into a staring match with Boras, and in the end they won.
Oh, word. I didn't connect the dots on that. So yeah, the question of that analogy is whether Montgomery and Snell really have more than the two obvious suitors, Boston and San Francisco.

Or, in other words, can Texas *really* afford another nine-figure contract while carrying Scherzer, DeGrom, Seager, and Semien? That's ~$130m in AAV right there. Probably the other dark horse would be Arizona; they don't generally spend like that, but now would be a great time to add another horse to that rotation even after Eduardo Rodriguez. If I were Mike Hazen, I'd probably be trying to add Montgomery and JD Martinez and go win a title. Maybe Baltimore? Same situation as Arizona, really.

If I had to guess, I'd say my expectation is that Montgomery ends up in Boston and Snell in San Francisco, and that Snell gets the bigger contract.
 

NickEsasky

Please Hammer, Don't Hurt 'Em
Silver Supporter
SoSH Member
Jul 24, 2001
9,211
Here's another reason:



In the minds of these payroll truthers, it's not possible to have problems with one media outlet's handling of the story and find any other reporting outlet credible. That's evidence of hypocrisy or bias. (It's the lame stream media!) Doesn't matter how many times I say I want them to spend, I'm "carrying water for FSG" if I find the payroll truther story less than credible, if I question whether we should spend indiscriminately for the sake of spending, whether we should give a blank check to a good-not-great pitcher who's said he'd rather live elsewhere.
No. I read all your posts here bashing anything that goes against your worldview while blindly nodding along to any report that does. It's very interesting what you choose to belittle versus what you choose to believe. Then you come here telling us our perceptions are wrong, you're totally misunderstood and the sky is actually red.


Edit: And for the record I am not a truther of anything. I think there are lots of grey area in a lot of these discussions and I am willing to listen to both sides and kind of straddle the fence until anything is proven conclusively. What I am trying to do here with my posts (generally not always relating to you) is call out what I feel is hypocrisy, faulty logic, and blindly following along to either side of this fence.
 

circus catch

New Member
Nov 6, 2009
291
With Hader now signed, is Kenley more likely to be moved? Hader's contract is huge, so maybe we can ask more?
I don't know if we get more, but maybe someone comes to hit our current price, whatever that is? But yeah, I immediately thought Hader signing might impact the Sox recent stalemate with everyone.
 

chawson

Member
SoSH Member
Aug 1, 2006
4,679
Oh, word. I didn't connect the dots on that. So yeah, the question of that analogy is whether Montgomery and Snell really have more than the two obvious suitors, Boston and San Francisco.

Or, in other words, can Texas *really* afford another nine-figure contract while carrying Scherzer, DeGrom, Seager, and Semien? That's ~$130m in AAV right there. Probably the other dark horse would be Arizona; they don't generally spend like that, but now would be a great time to add another horse to that rotation even after Eduardo Rodriguez. If I were Mike Hazen, I'd probably be trying to add Montgomery and JD Martinez and go win a title. Maybe Baltimore? Same situation as Arizona, really.

If I had to guess, I'd say my expectation is that Montgomery ends up in Boston and Snell in San Francisco, and that Snell gets the bigger contract.
The weird thing with San Francisco is that they're also in on Chapman and Bellinger, who they arguably need more than pitching.

The waiting really is excruciating though. It's possible that Breslow has a solid knack for trades. The first few suggest he does! But everything is just bottlenecked while we wait for these guys to decide.

I do wonder if a good amount of the offseason planning was related to the Bally Sports bankruptcy. It makes some sense for the Sox to stalk around like vultures and pick off some of the higher payroll guys from teams looking to shed. Certainly not the only strategy but if Shane Bieber, Jorge Polanco or Jon Gray (for example) become available at a discount, we should be there.
 

MikeM

Member
SoSH Member
May 27, 2010
3,133
Florida
I finally got a chance to set aside the 33 minutes to listen to this in it's entirely. Which predictably and for the most part just amounted to the latest reboot of the same vague "guidelines to success" corporate answers speech we've already heard more then a couple times before over the last 20 some odd years. The same 20+ years btw that has:

A. Never actually seen this ownership come away with one of these "keep the powder dry for the unicorn" type free agent signings we are supposedly expected to be "competitive" in.
B. Never actually been able to develop that consistent pipeline of good and cost controlled pitching you don't even need Breslow in the conversation to rationalize out it's potential importance.

The last 3 minutes were the only thing of any real added speculative value imo. In which we got about as close to an openly stated "NO" as one could rationally expect when asked if we planned to be seriously in on either Snell or Montgomery.

Which to that last point - major bummer.
 
Last edited:

Big Papi's Mango Salsa

Member
SoSH Member
Dec 7, 2022
1,202
I finally got a chance to set aside the 33 minutes to listen to this in it's entirely. Which predictably and for the most part just amounted to the latest reboot of the same vague "guidelines to success" corporate answers speech we've already heard more then a couple times before over the last 20 some odd years. The same 20+ years btw that has:

A. Never actually seen this ownership come away with one of these "keep the powder dry for the unicorn" type free agent signings we have supposedly been "competitive" in.
B. Never actually been able to develop that consistent pipeline of good and cost controlled pitching you don't even need Breslow in the conversation to rationalize out it's potential importance.

The last 3 minutes were the only thing of any real added speculative value imo. In which we got about as close to an openly stated "NO" as one could rationally expect when asked if we planned to be seriously in on either Snell or Montgomery.

Which to that last point - major bummer.
To be fair (and I would put this as point A, personally, but that's just me)
The same ownership group that has had easily the most successful generation of Red Sox baseball in franchise history and has won more titles in that time than any franchise in the game.

Truth be told, I don't care what Breslow says (or Henry, or Bloom, or anyone). I care what they do.

Theo gave more generic, corporate, Ivy league, analytic answers than anyone, then went out and in many times did the opposite.

"Closer by committee, blah, blah, blah." (Paid for Keith Foulke, moved Pap there, kept him there and paid him well.)

"Positional flexibility, blah, blah, blah." (Found and just as importantly retained at high market prices the most important player in franchise history as basically a DH only player).

"Playoffs are a crap shoot, blah, blah, blah." (Yet goes out and acquires proven playoff winners that won in the playoffs, like Schilling, Beckett and Lackey).

He said many of those same things in Chicago (and then did what he did in Boston, right down to Lester and Lackey again).

I'll continue to hope Breslow is more Theo than Bloom, but what he says (like what any head of any entity) is totally irrelevant. We'll see what he does.
 

Big Papi's Mango Salsa

Member
SoSH Member
Dec 7, 2022
1,202
San Diego now needs a closer
No, they don't. They signed Yuki Matsui to a 5 year deal. https://www.mlb.com/news/yuki-matsui-padres-free-agent-deal#:~:text=The Padres signed Japanese reliever,joins that list of acquisitions. They may still need bullpen help (ie Martin) but they signed a closer.

But contending teams that could probably use relief help (Jansen and / or Martin) still include Minnesota (since someone has to come out of the AL Central), Texas, I believe Philly, Miami, LAD and Chicago.
 

simplicio

Member
SoSH Member
Apr 11, 2012
5,320
No, they don't. They signed Yuki Matsui to a 5 year deal. https://www.mlb.com/news/yuki-matsui-padres-free-agent-deal#:~:text=The Padres signed Japanese reliever,joins that list of acquisitions. They may still need bullpen help (ie Martin) but they signed a closer.

But contending teams that could probably use relief help (Jansen and / or Martin) still include Minnesota (since someone has to come out of the AL Central), Texas, I believe Philly, Miami, LAD and Chicago.
Wonder if we could instigate a little bidding war around the AL Central. Seems like everyone but Chicago is making some semblance of trying this year.
 

Cassvt2023

Member
SoSH Member
Jan 17, 2023
573
BTW. Moving Jansen only works if they add a starter cementing Whitlock/Houck to the pen.
I'd be shocked if they didn't grab Ryu, Paxton, or Lorenzen (Clevinger a PR nightmare). There is still plenty of time. Houck should be the closer. Whitlock is a good reliever in high leverage spots. Pivetta and Crawford are in the rotation by the way the B's have spoken.
 

Big Papi's Mango Salsa

Member
SoSH Member
Dec 7, 2022
1,202
Wonder if we could instigate a little bidding war around the AL Central. Seems like everyone but Chicago is making some semblance of trying this year.
Probably not, because Cleveland is ostensibly listening on Clase. So that may need to shake out first. That said, if Breslow is willing to give literally every dollar on both Jansen and Martin to increase return (which I think he will and should) then that does mean every team that is "trying" should be in play. Which I think is your bigger point - though I'm not trying to put words in your mouth - but if so, I'd certainly agree with that if you make J/M "free" in terms of dollars.

BTW. Moving Jansen only works if they add a starter cementing Whitlock/Houck to the pen.
Disagree here, respectfully. If you can get something pretty good for 2025+ for a fully paid Jansen (and I think you can) you make that move regardless. You can always then go sign someone like Chapman, Robertson, Fulmer whatever and put them in the bullpen.

I think a clear closer actually is pretty important for a contending team (and yes, I know Bailey said otherwise, I'm saying my belief) but for a team that is mostly just looking for someone to sell at the deadline, it's less important.
 

Fishy1

Head Mason
SoSH Member
Nov 10, 2006
6,161
Same here @moondog80 he was very productive when healthy. 21 HR in 92 games is solid. I wish the OBP was a little higher, but the fact he can play all three OF positions is a plus. Also, he seemed to like it here. I'm on board, then Refsnyder is definitely expendable.
I really do not get the eagerness to bring back Duvall. I think it's all recency bias. He was great at Fenway and got very pull-happy here, which was good for his numbers, but I suspect pitchers will exploit that next year.

The guy has "right-handed power," but every couple years that power disappears or he gets injured. His career OBP, for christ's sake, is .291. The .303 OBP he posted last year is his best mark since 2019. I'm not kidding. And he hits left-handers only marginally better than right-handers. (.760 vs .770 for his career). A career 99 OPS+ and what's likely to be a declining defensive presence and probably 10 million+ in cost makes him, to my mind, a last resort.

I would much rather they just let the kids play and see what they've got in O'Neill, who is a better defender than Duvall and comparably up and down with much better upside. Even if Rafaela starts the year in AAA, they've still got Yoshida-O'Neill-Abreu-Refsnyder, which is more than enough outfielders.

I still kind of wish we'd find a way to pursue Matt Chapman and move Devers off 3B, even if it means just parking him at DH. It would improve the defense, and I'm guessing he would make mince-meat of Fenway. He'd probably cost 20 million over 5 or 6 years, but I'd pay for his middle 30's. The guy has one of the best HH%'s in baseball and he's not a contact maven, but I think he'll continue to give us good defense at 3B into his middle 30's. If Yoshida and Duran get moved it would make it more plausible, of course.
 

Big Papi's Mango Salsa

Member
SoSH Member
Dec 7, 2022
1,202
Apologies if I missed it earlier in the offseason, but this is the first I’m seeing that the team has discussed trading Story?

https://www.masslive.com/redsox/2024/01/red-soxs-sam-kennedy-2024-payroll-expected-to-be-lower-than-it-was-in-2023.html
FWIW, if I were Breslow I’d be more than willing to engage in conversations if anyone wanted to take eitherof those deals off my hands. The way Bloom should have with Sale, and Breslow thankfully did. Not that the players stink, but that I’d rather have the money to spend on my vision vs someone else’s.

I mean, let’s not pretend we’re talking about inheriting contracts of talents like Manny Ramirez there.
 

GlucoDoc

New Member
Dec 19, 2005
77
I am enjoying reading all of these rumors and speculations, but my approach is that I don't believe ANYTHING until it happens (like many have said). The messages coming from organizations (Breslow and others) have an audience of...not me, you, or the reporter. The player and his agent. "Our payroll in 2024 will be reduced." "Sox are out on Snell and Montgomery." If, in fact, the only teams left truly interested in them are, in fact, the Sox and SF (and Breslow likely knows better than we do), there are two pitchers circling two chairs in musical chairs. And the Sox are making it look like they are taking one chair away. Breslow: "Tell me what you will accept to get me interested enough to put that chair back." This is an enjoyable game to watch but it is, in fact, a game...high stakes, but a negotiating game...not news...yet.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.