Honestly, this is part of the reason why I think a rule change that makes regulation wins worth 3 points and OT wins worth 2 makes sense.behindthepen said:Wasn't sure where to put this, but given the Claude had Spooner/Lucic/Pasta on the ice with a minute to go in a tie game, I thought it was worth sharing:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/to-make-the-playoffs-hockey-teams-play-not-to-win/
Probably not surprising, but in the "shootout era", the number of games late in the season that go to OT has skyrockted, as teams play for the single point.
Not Claude though, he's a gunslinger!
LogansDad said:Honestly, this is part of the reason why I think a rule change that makes regulation wins worth 3 points and OT wins worth 2 makes sense.
No.Lose Remerswaal said:
Or just go back to Win = 2, Tie = 1, like the old days.
He completely changes the complexion of the lineup. He really is that important.Smiling Joe Hesketh said:Did I hear this right? The Bruins are 24-12-7 with Krejci in the lineup, only 16-13-6 without him. Is it really that easy to explain this season?
wilked said:I still think Ottawa is out...they lose the tiebreakers so they need to be ahead in points.
Let's just look at Ottawa vs Detroit...they each have 5 games left, Detroit has a 3 point lead and will win the tiebreaker in ROW. That means Ottawa needs to get 4 more points than Detroit within 5 games.
There are 10 possible points for each team... If Detroit gets just 4 points in these 5 games Ottawa can only lose once or they are out. Detroit has two games against Carolina left who are awful.
If Ottawa is catching anyone it will be the Bruins, and I don't think that is going to happen.
What is the record since spooner started playing? If you project his current stats over a full season he would be leading the team in scoring.Smiling Joe Hesketh said:Did I hear this right? The Bruins are 24-12-7 with Krejci in the lineup, only 16-13-6 without him. Is it really that easy to explain this season?
j44thor said:What is the record since spooner started playing? If you project his current stats over a full season he would be leading the team in scoring.
Thanks on mobile so hard to look up, given that a good chunk of those games were without Krejci I don't think it is as easy as saying Krejci is the difference. You could make a case that his injury was a blessing in disguise because without that spooner is probably still in providence.TheShynessClinic said:
11-4-4 since his most recent recall.
They around normal. Their PDO (shooting % + save %) is at 100.3 in all situations. That's pretty much normal, PDO should trend towards 100 over time. They were 102.7 last year, which is high. It's rare for teams to have multiple consecutive seasons with a PDO over 100.DrewDawg said:I also read somewhere that the Bruins shooting percentage is down rather substantially this season. Is this number looked upon like BABIP? If that trends back towards normal over the next few weeks that's a nice sign.
EDIT:
14/15: 8.5%
13/14: 9.9%
12/13: 8.2%
11/12: 9.8%
10/11: 9.1%
If we were at 9.9% this season, that's about 30 more goals.
Yup, you could. I just put the teams on there that were actually in the WCs or behind them.Ferm Sheller said:Should toss WASH in the WC hunt, too.
Greg29fan said:The Bruins and the Senators are both going to make it with the Penguins heading out.
Looking at the top of the division. Tampa Bay has moved into a tie with Montréal and have clinched the ROW tiebreaker. The Canadiens have a game in hand.RedOctober3829 said:From a Bruins perspective, today's Wings/Caps game is huge. Personally, I'll be rooting for Washington as I really want the Bruins to finish 3rd and hopefully pair up with Tampa.
wilked said:Ottawa fans gotta be tearing their hair out... Looking like it will be too little too late for them
If the Bruins get 3 points, Ottawa would need 7 of their last 8 to pass them.Ed Hillel said:
There's still plenty of opportunity for them. The Bruins have a tough schedule, and Pitt is flailing and Ottawa plays them Tuesday. I wouldn't expect the Bruins to get more than 3 points in their last 3 and Ottawa has the tiebreak.
FL4WL3SS said:If the Bruins get 3 points, Ottawa would need 7 of their last 8 to pass them.
Ottawa also doesn't have the tie break. Bruins have pretty much clinched that.
RedOctober3829 said:Detroit loses to Washington and there goes their game in hand. Bruins and Wings have identical records with 3 games left.
BoSoxFink said:Pittsburgh also lost today, and are tied with the Bruins and lost their game in hand.
wilked said:Washington's matchup is pretty much set, they get the islanders rd 1. It still remains to be seen which team is 4 and which is 5 but they don't have too much motivation to push it, which could be good for the upcoming game with the Bruins
this is dumb, if a team hasn't clinched yet then you will see their best no matter what. This is like saying if a team is up 3-0 in a series they should start a different goalie because it is basically over. It's a very stupid argument.wilked said:yes, it is possible was drops below 5 but those scenarios are more of the 'you flip heads twice in a row while I flip tails three times in a row'. This site has them at less than 10% chances to drop below 5th seed
http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL.html
My guess is they don't come at the Bruins 100% wed
Lose Remerswaal said:So I guess we're rooting for Ottawa over the Penguins tomorrow?
yea as much as I hate Pitt, I am rooting for them to win in regulation tomorrow. That would mean the Bruins would only need to win one of their final 3 and they're in.Lose Remerswaal said:So I guess we're rooting for Ottawa over the Penguins tomorrow?
And to do that, they may have to go without Z. He's day-to-day, and Joe Morrow is back on an emergency basis:BoSoxFink said:yea as much as I hate Pitt, I am rooting for them to win in regulation tomorrow. That would mean the Bruins would only need to win one of their final 3 and they're in.
Tuukka certainly won't be playing. Hell if the Bruins win Wednesday night and someone else important loses, they might sit Tuukka on Thursday night too.FL4WL3SS said:It'll be interesting to see how both teams (Bos and TB) play the game on Saturday if the Bruins have clinched the 3rd seed by then.