BOS bullpen 2018

mauidano

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From mlb.com:
"Kimbrel is a bad matchup for just about every team, but even moreso for the Rays. Since the start of last season, Kimbrel is 7-for-7 in saves against the Rays while allowing no hits and one walk. He has struck out 26 of the 31 Tampa Bay hitters he's faced in that span."

Fucking insane.
 

joe dokes

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So is Matt Barnes the setup guy now?
Barnes pitched 2 in a row, so it's unlikely he goes today.
Maybe there won't be A set up guy.

Maybe Cora really is going to be a bit more out of the box, like he said he would be, despite the fact that on OD, people seemed convinced that he was just another shitty manager who didn't get it.
 

Merkle's Boner

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IDK. Maybe, we could just chill 1.23% of the way through the season?...? Maybe....
Not sure how that question represents anything but chill.

I actually don't think he is, and I thought Cora's explanation was interesting on why he went with Barnes. He spoke of matchups and the fact that Barnes's curve played better against the left handlers he was facing than a slider, referring to Smith I assume.
 

lexrageorge

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I recall a saying that the first quarter to third of the season is figuring out the strengths and weaknesses of your team. As such, I would expect bullpen roles ex-Kimbrel to be a bit fluid early on. I don't recall Cora saying he will have one guy be the "setup guy" all season, and the idea that you must have one guy designed to pitch the 8th inning is archaic anyway. For the near term, I would expect to see Barnes, Smith, and Kelly all take turns in that key "secondary relief ace" role until performance dictates otherwise.
 

joe dokes

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That's TMI to the press. How about talking to the player before you tell the media.?
Sounds like he already did. Browne's use of the word "advance" was accurate.


Time for a talk
When Cora was introduced as manager in October, he said at the time he wanted to explore the idea of using closer Craig Kimbrel in high-leverage situations before the ninth.
That could involve getting four-plus outs or pitching the eighth inning and leaving the ninth inning for someone else.
It was an idea Cora planned to explore during spring training but it was tabled when Kimbrel returned to Boston for three weeks when his infant daughter had heart surgery.
When Joe Kelly and Carson Smith allowed six runs Thursday in the eighth inning of a 6-4 loss, Cora was immediately questioned about why he didn’t go to Kimbrel. The answer was that Kimbrel had pitched only two innings in spring training and wasn’t physically prepared to get more than three outs.
But that will change in time.

“That conversation started early in spring and we haven’t revisited the topic because of what he went through,” Cora said. “That’s a topic we’re going to catch up probably in the upcoming days and show some information, show some data and we go from there.

“This is a guy, we feel, he can get anybody out.”

As Cora noted, high-leverage situations can develop quickly once a runner or two gets on base. It may seem opportune to use Kimbrel in the eighth inning, then wish you had him in the ninth.

And as good as Kimbrel is, some matchups could favor Kelly, Smith, or Matt Barnes.

“We’ll talk about it, obviously. But as of now, we know where we’re at with him,” Cora said. “The good thing is that we understand why. Not only for him, but for the group, we need this guy to be healthy. When he’s ready, he’s ready.”

Kimbrel was called on for his familiar ninth-inning role Friday and responded by striking out all three batters to preserve the 1-0 win.
 

simplicio

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Cora's been really quick to have Poyner warming both nights so far. Once he's been broken in I wouldn't be at all surprised to see him grab the setup role.
 

Byrdbrain

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I would, I expect to see him be almost exclusively a LOOGY.
The Sox don't have an "8th inning guy" which I assume is what most here are calling the setup role. It will be mix and match based on the situation.
 

YTF

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I would, I expect to see him be almost exclusively a LOOGY.
The Sox don't have an "8th inning guy" which I assume is what most here are calling the setup role. It will be mix and match based on the situation.
I'm hoping at some point Carson Smith and Tyler Thornburg work themselves back to where they were before their injuries. If that happens we could be looking at a very strong back end of the bullpen.
 

chawson

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Cora's been really quick to have Poyner warming both nights so far. Once he's been broken in I wouldn't be at all surprised to see him grab the setup role.
Poyner tops out at maybe 90 and has never faced a hitter in the majors. We should be thrilled if he was as good as Abad was last year, and Abad was the second to last guy out of the pen.
 

joe dokes

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Poyner tops out at maybe 90 and has never faced a hitter in the majors. We should be thrilled if he was as good as Abad was last year, and Abad was the second to last guy out of the pen.
Cora strikes me as the kind of manager who may not think a LOOGY is a good use of a roster spot (I'm kind of torn myself), if he has good RHPs. (Big "if," I know). Poyner and Walden may just be keeping roster spots warm for the DL crowd.
 

Red(s)HawksFan

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Cora strikes me as the kind of manager who may not think a LOOGY is a good use of a roster spot (I'm kind of torn myself), if he has good RHPs. (Big "if," I know). Poyner and Walden may just be keeping roster spots warm for the DL crowd.
May just be? They absolutely are just seat warmers. Their spring performances vaulted them ahead of Robby Scott and Brandon Workman, not Kelly and Smith and Hembree and Barnes. They are Ben Taylor redux.
 

chawson

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Cora strikes me as the kind of manager who may not think a LOOGY is a good use of a roster spot (I'm kind of torn myself), if he has good RHPs. (Big "if," I know). Poyner and Walden may just be keeping roster spots warm for the DL crowd.
Is Robby Scott still working his way back from elbow surgery or has he been lapped? He was a top 20 reliever in baseball last year against LHH by wOBA (though not necessarily great overall). If that skillset no longer fits on the team, than that's interesting.

Groome for Brad Hand seems about right.
Something more like Ty Buttrey for Jake Diekman could do the trick just as well.
 

BaseballJones

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Cora strikes me as the kind of manager who may not think a LOOGY is a good use of a roster spot (I'm kind of torn myself), if he has good RHPs. (Big "if," I know). Poyner and Walden may just be keeping roster spots warm for the DL crowd.
Which side of the equation is more important?

Let's say you have a LHP who is decent against lefties, but the LHB doesn't hit lefties real well.

And then you have a RHP who is great against lefties but the LHB is really rakes against righties.

Do you go with the lesser pitcher (LHP) because the hitter struggles against lefties? Or do you go with the better pitcher (RHP) even though the hitter kills righties?
 

Red(s)HawksFan

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Is Robby Scott still working his way back from elbow surgery or has he been lapped? He was a top 20 reliever in baseball last year against LHH by wOBA (though not necessarily great overall). If that skillset no longer fits on the team, than that's interesting.
Elbow surgery? When did he have elbow surgery?

I don't know about "lapped" but Scott has very limited skills. Yes, he's good against LHH, but he's not good against RHH. It's not as though there are a great deal of scary LHH in opposing lineups during the next few weeks. I think the need for a LOOGY right now is small, but that doesn't mean there won't be a need later on.
 

Merkle's Boner

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I don't love the term LOOGY either, but I think it's paramount to have a LH reliever you can trust. I'm not sure Poyner is the guy but I hope we start finding out soon.
 

joe dokes

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Which side of the equation is more important?
Let's say you have a LHP who is decent against lefties, but the LHB doesn't hit lefties real well.
And then you have a RHP who is great against lefties but the LHB is really rakes against righties.
Do you go with the lesser pitcher (LHP) because the hitter struggles against lefties? Or do you go with the better pitcher (RHP) even though the hitter kills righties?
Those are all the right questions. (And as long as the manager is asking them, instead of acting by reflex -- "gotta have that lefty" -- I'm good with it). I think I lean towards not having a 60 appearance 30IP pitcher. Another factor might be using the roster spot on another bench player instead of a limited-use reliever, but how much use is *that* guy going to get, so round and round we go.
 

Savin Hillbilly

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The wrong side of the bridge....
I don't love the term LOOGY either, but I think it's paramount to have a LH reliever you can trust.
I would almost reverse this. The term LOOGY describes a kind of pitcher who really exists, and if you have one, they can be useful. But if you don't have one -- if the lefthanded pitchers available to you have mild to nonexistent platoon splits, or even a reverse split like Poyner -- then it may not matter much whether you have a LH reliever or not. If all your relief options get LHH and RHH out at about the same clip, then you should just choose your best guys and not worry about whether any of them are LH or not.
 

tims4wins

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Is there any research into whether pitcher split vs batter split matters more? For instance of a LH reliever is the same vs righties and lefties - call it a 725 OPS - and the LH hitter sucks against lefties but rakes against righties - would it be better to use that mediocre reliever than a dominant righty who is amazing vs righties but less awesome against lefties?
 

Harry Hooper

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I'm hoping at some point Carson Smith and Tyler Thornburg work themselves back to where they were before their injuries. If that happens we could be looking at a very strong back end of the bullpen.
Smith and Thornburg working out may be too much to ask, but or at least would help the cause. I am curious to see what Maddox can do when his DL stint is over.
 

BaseballJones

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Is there any research into whether pitcher split vs batter split matters more? For instance of a LH reliever is the same vs righties and lefties - call it a 725 OPS - and the LH hitter sucks against lefties but rakes against righties - would it be better to use that mediocre reliever than a dominant righty who is amazing vs righties but less awesome against lefties?
Great question - one I asked seven posts above yours! ;-)
 

YTF

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Smith and Thornburg working out may be too much to ask, but or at least would help the cause. I am curious to see what Maddox can do when his DL stint is over.
I'm still like a kid at Christmas, asking for everything in the catalog and hoping for the best. Having that lock down 7th and 8th inning pitcher might be a lot to ask for, but can you imagine Sale out there every five days doing his thing and Price throwing like he's looking for a huge pay off (which he is)? Follow that with Porcello, Pomeranz and Rodriguez only needing to get you through five or six innings. Yeah I'm dreaming big, aiming high, but IF we can get something close to that out of Smith and Thornburg the rest of that pen gets a lot more manageable and the staff as a whole becomes less taxed.
 

Adrian's Dome

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I'm still like a kid at Christmas, asking for everything in the catalog and hoping for the best. Having that lock down 7th and 8th inning pitcher might be a lot to ask for, but can you imagine Sale out there every five days doing his thing and Price throwing like he's looking for a huge pay off (which he is)? Follow that with Porcello, Pomeranz and Rodriguez only needing to get you through five or six innings. Yeah I'm dreaming big, aiming high, but IF we can get something close to that out of Smith and Thornburg the rest of that pen gets a lot more manageable and the staff as a whole becomes less taxed.
Welcome to the Master Plan.

Glad you're on board.
 

Adrian's Dome

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Wait, this isn't an original idea? My point was that hopefully the answers or at least some of the key pieces are already in house. And yes it would be great if Maddox can replicate what we saw from him last season.
I wasn't being sarcastic. You nailed it.
 

chawson

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Well, when Alan Embree is unavailable, what should one do?
It’s true that Perez is nearly toast, if that is your point here. But he was better at getting lefties out last year than anyone in our bullpen besides Kimbrel. He was also more or less free. Not sure there’s anyone else available who fits that description.
 

Sox Puppet

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Is it just me, or does Marcus Walden look just like Joe Kelly? I instinctively panicked when I saw him on the mound.


 

Buzzkill Pauley

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Poyner -> Wright
Walden -> Kelly
Barnes -> Price

Looks like DDski found the next new market inefficiency: phrenology!
 

BaseballJones

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Through four games, here's the bullpen performance...

G1: 2.0 ip, 3 h, 6 r, 6 er, 4 bb, 2 k
G2: 2.0 ip, 0 h, 0 r, 0 er, 1 bb, 4 k
G3: 3.0 ip, 2 h, 1 r, 1 er, 1 bb, 1 k
G4: 3.1 ip, 2 h, 0 r, 0 er, 1 bb, 4 k
TOT: 10.1 ip, 7 h, 7 r, 7 er, 7 bb, 11 k, 6.10 era, 1.35 whip, 9.6 k/9

Of the 7 runs the Sox' bullpen has given up, 6 of them were in that one disastrous inning.

Meanwhile, MFY bullpen performance so far...

G1: 3.1 ip, 1 h, 1 r, 1 er, 0 bb, 2 k
G2: 3.0 ip, 2 h, 1 r, 1 er, 0 bb, 3 k
G3: 3.0 ip, 4 h, 3 r, 3 er, 2 bb, 5 k
G4: 4.0 ip, 5 h, 6 r, 6 er, 2 bb, 4 k
TOT: 13.1 ip, 12 h, 11 r, 11 er, 4 bb, 14 k, 7.43 era, 1.20 whip, 9.5 k/9

NY's pen has given up runs in every single game so far, and they've blown two leads in four games.