So citing the -9.5 spread by the industry that sets the spread and has gotten really good at it is silly? And you base this, in part, on one game...Dallas winning last week? Hey Luckiest, what would you put the spread at? Care to make a charitable bet on it based on what you think the spread should be? I'm your huckleberry.Analyzing this game and thinking the Pats will win for a host of reasons is perfectly valid.
Citing Vegas is silly. Dallas was -7
FWIW (not much) FO's has the spread at also exactly 9.5. Point there is that it is a somewhat reasonable spread which is an indication of what the game should be decided by.
My point is more that Vegas is playing the public and most of the public looks at Jets at 1-4 and sees a team that is shit. It is not the same team with Sam and CJ (if he plays, I haven’t heard yet). Jets were slamming Buff until Mosley got hurt and even with that only lost because they had a kicker that retired the next day.
The Pats should still win. The Pats will make the AFC Championship game unless something weird happens and probably win that.
I admit I am probably going to be wrong on Darnold. He's looked in his limited time a lot better than I anticipated this year. His mechanics are much better and you don't see the awkward footing as much. That being said I don't think your corners, edge rushers, or LBs (pending health) are that great which is 3/5ths of the defense.
Let's make this fun? I don't have a huge stack to toss around but if you're feeling it let's wager $25-50 to charity.