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2019 NFL Playoff Game Thread - Divisional Round

Discussion in 'Blinded by the Lombardis: Patriots Forum' started by ifmanis5, Jan 10, 2019.

  1. ifmanis5

    ifmanis5 Member SoSH Member

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    32,931
    Arguably the best football weekend of the year is here.

    Saturday:
    [​IMG]

    Sunday:
    [​IMG]


    Betting lines: https://www.oddsshark.com/nfl/odds

    Injury reports: http://www.nfl.com/injuries

    Ref assignments: http://www.footballzebras.com/2019/...and-cheffers-are-divisional-playoff-referees/


    FWIW, the betting has been at record levels on all four road underdogs:

    Sports Insights‏Verified account @SportsInsights
    According to our Bet Labs database, never have all 4 underdogs during Divisional Round weekend received over 50% of spread bets. Currently, all 4 this weekend are getting the majority of tickets: 61% on #Chargers +4 57% on #Colts +5.5 57% on #Cowboys +7 55% on #Eagles +8
     
  2. Al Zarilla

    Al Zarilla Member SoSH Member

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    48,032
    When have the Patriots had the lowest point spread of the four divisional games favorites? Snow Bowl game, when they might have been dogs? Can't find any odds for that game.
     
  3. TFisNEXT

    TFisNEXT Well-Known Member Lifetime Member SoSH Member

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    The oddsshark NFL database says the Patriots were 3 point favorites in the snow game against Oakland. I'm kind of surprised as I expected it to be near pick 'em.

    The Patriots were actually underdogs in the 2004 divisional game against IND....the line was NE +1.0. Also played in the snow.
     
  4. Al Zarilla

    Al Zarilla Member SoSH Member

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    48,032
    Thanks for looking those up. The Raiders were faders late in the 2001 season, losing 3 of 4, while the Patriots won their last 6. Maybe that was it. In 2004, I guess people liked the Colts high flying offense over the Pats stingy defense. Also Peyton was on his way to his second MVP season; Tom had none yet. Still, Pats were 14-2 regular season vs. 12-4 for the Colts. Little did they know which QB was to become the GOAT.
     
  5. norm from cheers

    norm from cheers Joe wants Trump to speak SoSH Member

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    1,471
  6. brandonchristensen

    brandonchristensen mad photochops SoSH Member

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    22,434
    Wait that’s not a parody account?
     
  7. djbayko

    djbayko Member SoSH Member

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    I feel like I need one of those shirts. I’m sure the idea is that they keep updating it until they reach “4-0”, but if they lose this weekend it will become one of the all time greatest franchise jokes.

    The other stupid thing about it is that, from a nerd perspective, they’re dividing the logo by 1 which which simply = horseshoe.
     
  8. SirPsychoSquints

    SirPsychoSquints Member SoSH Member

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    3,909
    Then if they lose in KC, will it become infinite horseshoes?
     
  9. Commander Shears

    Commander Shears Member SoSH Member

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    Reich has been telling the team that they just need to go 1-0 each week. This is kind of their playoff mantra and isn't a celebration of winning one game.
     
  10. DrewDawg

    DrewDawg Dorito Dink SoSH Member

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    Well, it kind of is.
     
  11. Kliq

    Kliq Member SoSH Member

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    8,923
    This is my favorite weekend in sports, should be a great slate of games.
     
  12. Silverdude2167

    Silverdude2167 Well-Known Member Gold Supporter SoSH Member

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    I understand it, but it is stupid from a marketing standpoint.

    For a football team sure, and one that was in a big hole it makes sense just focus on today and don't worry about next week. Great, in the playoffs it makes less sense since every game is do or die.

    But from a marketing standpoint for a team that raised a "we lost a game banner", and in the playoffs in general, not the smartest message. I sure hope the 6 seed is not looking past their next game.
     
  13. Captaincoop

    Captaincoop Member SoSH Member

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    8,217
    Just for fun, possible Super Bowl matchups, from most interesting to least interesting:

    1. Patriots-Cowboys

    2. Chiefs-Cowboys

    3. Chiefs-Rams

    4. Chargers-Cowboys

    5. Colts-Cowboys

    6. Patriots-Saints

    7. Chiefs-Saints

    8. Patriots-Eagles

    9. Chiefs-Eagles

    10. Patriots-Rams

    11. Chargers-Rams

    12. Colts-Rams

    13. Colts-Eagles

    14. Chargers-Eagles

    15. Colts-Saints
     
  14. Dick Pole Upside

    Dick Pole Upside Member SoSH Member

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    4,208
    I agree, but it's perfectly in keeping with the local fanbase... all professional sports marketing there (Pacers, Colts, Indianapolis Indians, Indy Eleven) is infused with a very high-schoolish "rah! rah!" naivete. I think it's a cultural homage to the state's high school basketball heritage and is a stark contrast to more gristled, cynical pro sports cities like we see in the Northeast and in certain other markets.
     
  15. E5 Yaz

    E5 Yaz Transcends message boarding Lifetime Member SoSH Member

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    58,001
    So, his mantra is that "we just have to win this week"? Isn't that every coach's mantra before every game of the season?
     
  16. SMU_Sox

    SMU_Sox loves his fluffykins SoSH Member

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    I completely disagree with your taste, @Captaincoop. That's the great thing about taste though, different strokes...

    4/5 of your top match-ups have the Cowboys for example. I am not sure what makes them a good match-up aside from that they are a nationally popular team. They have a good defense and running game.

    Any of the 4 AFC teams would make for a good match-up to me. For the NFC I would prefer to see, as a fan of football, the Rams or the Saints. 6/8 teams though would make, to me, for a great game. That's a bit rare.
     
  17. Captaincoop

    Captaincoop Member SoSH Member

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    I approached it from a storyline/general casual fan interest point of view.

    Anything involving the Colts or Chargers is going to be a dud from that angle. Cowboys back in the Super Bowl is a winner.

    I probably underestimated the Eagles going for a repeat storyline. That's a big deal.
     
  18. BigSoxFan

    BigSoxFan Member SoSH Member

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    30,250
    America would absolutely melt down if it were a Pats/Cowboys SB. Would be interesting to see who the casual fan would prefer to see lose, especially since they already got their fill of a Pats loss last year.
     
  19. Mystic Merlin

    Mystic Merlin Member SoSH Member

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    29,486
    Pats, not even close.
     
  20. McBride11

    McBride11 Well-Known Member Gold Supporter SoSH Member

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    Pats - Saints : Brady - Brees would make some good stories.There would be 0 casual Pats fans
     
  21. Commander Shears

    Commander Shears Member SoSH Member

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    As opposed to "Do your job"? It's a motto for a football team - of course it's obvious and stupid.
     
  22. BobGenghisKhan

    BobGenghisKhan lurker

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    In that case the number of horseshoes would be undefined.
     
  23. ifmanis5

    ifmanis5 Member SoSH Member

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    32,931
  24. staz

    staz Intangible Lifetime Member SoSH Member

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    11,908
    Pretty understated design for the
    2018 AFC WILD CARD WEEKEND CO-CHAMPIONS
     
  25. Prodigal Sox

    Prodigal Sox lurker

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    219
  26. AB in DC

    AB in DC OG Football Writing Silver Supporter SoSH Member

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    No love for Chargers-Saints? (Drew Brees revenge game)
     
  27. Red Averages

    Red Averages owes you $50 SoSH Member

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    I would think most non-biased fans would want to see Chiefs vs Saints/Rams (shootout potential) with second choice being Pats vs saints/Rams (root for NFC).

    The potential outcome of Colts @ LA and Phi @ Dal next weekend is horrible. Talk about worst case scenario...
     
  28. johnmd20

    johnmd20 literally like ebola Lifetime Member Gold Supporter SoSH Member

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    36,869
    Chargers/Cowboys being ranked fourth is really the only glaring problem on this list. Patriots/Rams is also a little too low. And it has been addressed, but this list is insanely Cowboys heavy.
     
  29. DrewDawg

    DrewDawg Dorito Dink SoSH Member

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    I would say Drew Brees is pretty ecstatic about how things turned out and likely doesn't care at this point.
     
  30. Red Averages

    Red Averages owes you $50 SoSH Member

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    Ha! Very true. Not sure I would ever associate Brees with the Chargers. Looking at it, he actually spent almost 1/3 of his career there (5/18 seasons). I would have definitely taken the under on that.
     
  31. Mugsy's Jock

    Mugsy's Jock Longtime Member Lifetime Member Gold Supporter SoSH Member

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    I'm going to Rams/Cowboys in case any SoSHers are there and want to grab a beer.
     
  32. gtmtnbiker

    gtmtnbiker Member SoSH Member

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    Indeed. I'm rooting for Pats, Colts, Cowboys & Saints.
     
  33. Captaincoop

    Captaincoop Member SoSH Member

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    Fair points. I just see the Cowboys as the Yankees or Celtics or Lakers - they're the brand name of the NFL and them being in the game makes it a bigger deal.

    Does anyone disagree that the worst case game is Colts-Saints? That would be buzzkill city.
     
  34. tims4wins

    tims4wins PN23's replacement SoSH Member

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    I completely disagree. Colts Saints would probably be a pretty good game. Two possible HoF QBs. Rematch of 2009. Personally I would hate to see the Cowboys in the Super Bowl, I think they are easily the most boring team of the 8 left. I’d rank their matchups the bottom 4 slots. If you are talking ratings different stories but in terms of quality of matchup I find the Cowboys very boring.
     
  35. Super Nomario

    Super Nomario Member SoSH Member

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    11,781
    From the league eyeballs perspective, I think they have 7 good options out of 8 remaining teams, with the Chargers coming out of the AFC being by far the worst outcome. All the NFC teams will draw, and Chiefs / Patriots / Colts all have appeal.
     
  36. Captaincoop

    Captaincoop Member SoSH Member

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    8,217
    Colts and Chargers are both pretty bad.

    If I'm the NFL I'm rooting hard for the Pats and Chiefs this weekend.
     
  37. tims4wins

    tims4wins PN23's replacement SoSH Member

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    20,264
    Here’s a fun stat: the Colts has many playoff wins at Arrowhead as the Chiefs do. 2-2.
     
  38. DaveRoberts'Shoes

    DaveRoberts'Shoes Aaron Burr Lifetime Member SoSH Member

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    Brees vs Brady would be epic from a pure football and hype/buildup standpoint
     
  39. bunchabums

    bunchabums lurker

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    Last three should feature the Chargers. No one cares about them outside of fans in San Diego who aren't bitter for them leaving. I live in LA and even the idea of an all LA game isn't very interesting to folks here.
     
  40. Captaincoop

    Captaincoop Member SoSH Member

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    Can you imagine the nightmare scenario it would be for the NFL to have Rams-Chargers?
     
  41. bunchabums

    bunchabums lurker

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    271
    A Lakers / Golden State regular season game might get more eyeballs here.
     
  42. DeadlySplitter

    DeadlySplitter Member SoSH Member

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    15,610
    Last NBC game of the year in 6 hours.

    Collinsworth gets one last Mahomesgasm. Or will it be Luck?
     
  43. Super Nomario

    Super Nomario Member SoSH Member

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    11,781
    Indy's a small market, but the Colts have history, and Luck playing in a Super Bowl would be pretty appealing for the future of the league.
     
  44. RedOctober3829

    RedOctober3829 Member SoSH Member

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    Patriots centric matchups I’d like in order
    Pats-Rams
    Pats-Saints
    Pats-Eagles
    Pats-Cowboys

    4 Non Pats matchups I’d like
    Chiefs-Saints
    Chiefs-Rams
    Chargers-Saints
    Chiefs-Eagles
     
  45. DrewDawg

    DrewDawg Dorito Dink SoSH Member

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    Entertainment-wise maybe, but if I have a choice I want to play the Cowboys every time.
     
  46. Oil Can Dan

    Oil Can Dan Well-Known Member Lifetime Member SoSH Member

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    Chiefs - Eagles would have some great storylines.
     
  47. Red Averages

    Red Averages owes you $50 SoSH Member

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    Today is a great day for football. If only it wasn't for the missed kick, we'd have Bears @ Rams tonight in a fantastic rematch game.

    That said, it is 20 degrees in Boston (feels like 12), which means we can build a fire in the afternoon and strap in for 7 hours of football in front of a fire as it should be done. The cold also means we can plan ahead and start the slow cooker for the Pats game and Eagles elimination party tomorrow.
     
  48. BigSoxFan

    BigSoxFan Member SoSH Member

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    30,250
    Does anyone really even care about Andrew Luck? He’s about as boring as it gets.
     
  49. eustis22

    eustis22 lurker

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    the worst neckbeard EVER

    also, he spits a lot
     
  50. TFisNEXT

    TFisNEXT Well-Known Member Lifetime Member SoSH Member

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    10,755
    The league def doesn't want the Colts in terms of ratings. Agree on the Chargers too. The NFC teams will all draw pretty well though the Saints might be the lowest...however, they are also the most explosive team.
     

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