Patriots Roster Projection 2.0

Van Everyman

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Cunningham seems like exactly the type of guy who has some fun late-game moments in the pre-season, but you aren't all that worried about cutting and putting on the practice squad. He didn't show enough to someone else is going to use a roster spot on him likely. Especially since what he did show was at QB, where most teams aren't looking for a project to take up a 53 spot. Someone like Boutte though, someone in the league will be looking for a WR sooner rather than later.
Agreed, though I would say one consideration with Cunningham is whether Bill is adjusting his approach to complement Mac at quarterback. Obviously, this wasn’t a concern when you had the GOAT at the position, but it may be one now.

I still think your read on the situation is more likely than not. But I do think there is aI still think you’re read on the situation is more likely than not. But I do think there is a window for Bill to be changing his approach here.
 

Cellar-Door

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Agreed, though I would say one consideration with Cunningham is whether Bill is adjusting his approach to complement Mac at quarterback. Obviously, this wasn’t a concern when you had the GOAT at the position, but it may be one now.

I still think your read on the situation is more likely than not. But I do think there is aI still think you’re read on the situation is more likely than not. But I do think there is a window for Bill to be changing his approach here.
I also think somebody will got to IR after the 53, probably before the first game even happens, so a lot of the fringe choices will likely be about "who can we sneak through and then bring back after we make our injury moves" so Cunningham could end up on the roster for much of the year, just not making the initial one. Where say Boutte or Douglas, I think you cut that guy he ends up on someone else's roster right away.
 

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Cunningham seems like exactly the type of guy who has some fun late-game moments in the pre-season, but you aren't all that worried about cutting and putting on the practice squad. He didn't show enough to someone else is going to use a roster spot on him likely. Especially since what he did show was at QB, where most teams aren't looking for a project to take up a 53 spot. Someone like Boutte though, someone in the league will be looking for a WR sooner rather than later.
I agree. Cunningham has basically shown one drive that is probably not too dissimilar to what he showed at Louisville. That college tape wasn't worth enough to get him drafted, I doubt teams will be lining up to grab him now.
 

Saints Rest

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I also think somebody will got to IR after the 53, probably before the first game even happens, so a lot of the fringe choices will likely be about "who can we sneak through and then bring back after we make our injury moves" so Cunningham could end up on the roster for much of the year, just not making the initial one. Where say Boutte or Douglas, I think you cut that guy he ends up on someone else's roster right away.
This is very true. Probably multiple somebody's.

Among the bubble guys, you also have the two tiers: the youngsters who need to be subject to waivers, and the vets who can be "persuaded" to wait around for the Pats to call a couple day after cutdown day.
 

OldeBeanTowne

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To be honest, I'm a bit surprised by some of the opinions on Cunningham because at this point I expect him to make the team out of camp. His usage in multiple roles including multiple special teams positions really suggests to me that he has a real shot at making the roster.

Also, while he obviously has a lot of work to do as a receiver, the fact that he is already running different routes from different positions on the field seems somewhat notable. Admittedly, I wasn't watching closely, but it seemed to me that he was able to get open/separation on at least a few routes in last week's game.

When he was in at QB I thought he showed some intriguing athleticism and a potential plus arm. I also don't remember any cringe inducing plays/bad decisions.

Lastly, the reports I've read indicate that he is hard working, dedicated to his craft/learning, and is helping the other rookies learn the offense. Given all that, again, I'd be surprised if he's cut.
 

Eddie Jurak

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To be honest, I'm a bit surprised by some of the opinions on Cunningham because at this point I expect him to make the team out of camp. His usage in multiple roles including multiple special teams positions really suggests to me that he has a real shot at making the roster.
I don't think he's shown enough as a WR to suggest that he is playable there outside of an emergency, whatever his ultimate potential at the position may be.

People think of Julian Edelman as a late bloomer, but as a rookie he had 37 regular season catches in 11 games and then had a 6 catch, 2 TD playoff game. Even though his usage plummeted in later seasons (only 32 catches combined over the next 3 years before his 2013 breakout), he was playable right away.

Jakobi Meyers, as a rookie, played 39% of the offensive snaps and had 26 catches.

Cunningham has thus far failed to catch a ball in 2 preseason games.

I think he has one road to making the team: BB decides he can bring immediate value as a gagdet QB. Trace McSorley is a nonfactor - he'll slide right through to the practice squad if BB wants him there, so no need to roster him, even if the Pats like him as a backup QB if they lose Jones or Zappe for multiple games.

Maybe he has a longer term future as a WR/QB, but for him to make the team now you have to believe in the QB part of it.

So here's what I am wondering: how much playing time does he get tomorrow night and at what positions? If he gets a long look at QB, he's being given a chance to make the team as QB3.

I also wonder if he might fall in that zone of player where he makes the initial 53 but is then cut to make room for someone else, on the theory that it would be easier to slide him through to the practice squad in Week 2.
 

Van Everyman

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So here's what I am wondering: how much playing time does he get tomorrow night and at what positions? If he gets a long look at QB, he's being given a chance to make the team as QB3.
My sense was Cunningham was going to play QB for at least 1 or maybe 2 drives last week until Bolden got hurt and they called the game. He def. got a lot of run (and targets) at WR.
 

Eddie Jurak

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My sense was Cunningham was going to play QB for at least 1 or maybe 2 drives last week until Bolden got hurt and they called the game. He def. got a lot of run (and targets) at WR.
If all he's getting is a series or two tomorrow night, I'd expect him to be cut. If he gets a half or more, than I would call that a serious look.
 

k-factory

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To be honest, I'm a bit surprised by some of the opinions on Cunningham because at this point I expect him to make the team out of camp. His usage in multiple roles including multiple special teams positions really suggests to me that he has a real shot at making the roster.

Also, while he obviously has a lot of work to do as a receiver, the fact that he is already running different routes from different positions on the field seems somewhat notable. Admittedly, I wasn't watching closely, but it seemed to me that he was able to get open/separation on at least a few routes in last week's game.

When he was in at QB I thought he showed some intriguing athleticism and a potential plus arm. I also don't remember any cringe inducing plays/bad decisions.

Lastly, the reports I've read indicate that he is hard working, dedicated to his craft/learning, and is helping the other rookies learn the offense. Given all that, again, I'd be surprised if he's cut.
Yeah agreed. Earlier I was on fence about rostering Thornton but after some great insights in this thread I think the reality of this year is they are not a contender, intriguing but not a contender. So the best thing Bill can do is stockpile as much potential special talent as he can as opposed to a classic well balanced roster.
If this team is going to be a future contender it will be because some of that talent breaks through - be it Thornton or Boutte or Cunningham. So you protect them.
Kevin Harris/Pierre Strong/Ty Montgomery or Firkser/Sokol are not the ones you prioritize right now.
 

Super Nomario

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To be honest, I'm a bit surprised by some of the opinions on Cunningham because at this point I expect him to make the team out of camp. His usage in multiple roles including multiple special teams positions really suggests to me that he has a real shot at making the roster.
The bolded is a big part of why I'm bearish on his chances of making the team. Cunningham played zero special teams snaps against Houston and just one against Green Bay. He's not a factor on special teams, he's about seventh or eighth on the depth chart at WR, and it's not clear that they take his chances of playing QB seriously at all. It's hard to see how he could make the 48-man active roster and there are only a handful of spots for redshirt guys to make the 53 and not play on game day.
 

EL Jeffe

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Cunningham is basically unplayable at WR right now, outside of a Marcus Jones type schemed-touched package. And based on his practice snaps, they don't really seem to be investing much in his QB development, either...which I think is the biggest red flag at this point. He's a nice scout team QB. I can't see him getting claimed to anyone's 53 man roster if he were to get cut.
 

Cellar-Door

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The bolded is a big part of why I'm bearish on his chances of making the team. Cunningham played zero special teams snaps against Houston and just one against Green Bay. He's not a factor on special teams, he's about seventh or eighth on the depth chart at WR, and it's not clear that they take his chances of playing QB seriously at all. It's hard to see how he could make the 48-man active roster and there are only a handful of spots for redshirt guys to make the 53 and not play on game day.
Yeah, Boutte hasn't played much on ST either, but he's played more, and Boutte was a good ST player in college where Cunningham (obviously since he was the QB) didn't play it.

Cunningham is an athlete with no current NFL postion, those guys usually get talked up in camp, then end up kicking around the league on PS until they either wash out or learn a position.
 

brendan f

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Cunningham is an athlete with no current NFL postion, those guys usually get talked up in camp, then end up kicking around the league on PS until they either wash out or learn a position
I think your thought that he misses the first 53 and comes back is likely correct. With the new QB 3 rules, most teams are going to want to roster a 3rd QB in some capacity. The problem is, if the Pats employ him in that way he's not going to be able to be used for the gadget stuff he's good at.

However, there is some value in him coming back to the team as a scout. It's no secret how badly they struggled against mobile QBs last year. I think that's some of the reason why they got McSorley. At the very least, Cunningham has shown he's more valuable than him.
 

BigJimEd

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I think that's some of the reason why they got McSorley. At the very least, Cunningham has shown he's more valuable than him.
I'm not convinced of that. Cunningham probably has more upside at this point. But not sure he's actually shown much at this point.
 

DJnVa

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If all he's getting is a series or two tomorrow night, I'd expect him to be cut. If he gets a half or more, than I would call that a serious look.
Or, if they know what they have, and he's gonna be a short yardage or goal line option thing, why put all that on game tape for others?
 

Arroyoyo

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Seems to me given tonight’s playing time Boutte made the roster.

The question now seems to be is Cunningham gone and/or is Thornton indeed headed to IR?
 

Garshaparra

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Seems to me given tonight’s playing time Boutte made the roster.

The question now seems to be is Cunningham gone and/or is Thornton indeed headed to IR?
Both, I expect. Cunningham has shown he can't run routes at all right now, and his hands are deeply suspect, but as an RPO prospect, I bet he'll make it through cutdown and on to the PS. TT has shown very little, and with a roster crunch at his position, he's lucky to be injured and able to be stashed on IR for the first month minimum.
 

Eddie Jurak

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In order to return midseason, Thornton needs to make the opening 53, then be moved to IR. And I expect that he will, unless his injury really is a season ender. Here's my guess at the roster:

QB (2): Mac Jones, Bailey Zappe (Practice squad: Trace McSorley, Malik Cunningham)

Cunningham's inability to do anything at receiver combined with the limited look he got at QB tells me that even if the Pats still like him, he's not ready yet and the Pats will try to slide him through to the PS. Based on Zappe's awful preseason, if you are the Pats you might be looking to add another QB though. If not, McSorley hangs around as injury insurance.

RB (4): Rhamondre Stevenson, Zeke Elliott, JJ Taylor, Kevin Harris (Practice squad: Pierre Strong)

Harris and Strong have done little to nothing, but with Elliott and Stevenson able to do some 3rd down back stuff, Harris gets the nod as the 4th guy. Taylor flashed, and may get 3rd down back snaps. Montgomery is too brittle. CJ Marable never got to play, even in the last preseason game.

TE (3): Hunter Henry, Mike Gesicki, Matt Sokol (Practice squad: Anthony Firkser)

Gesicki is really a big WR, so there needs to be a 3rd TE who can block, and that is Sokol. Firkser showed well in camp, and the Pats are thin in real TEs, so he may stick around. Maybe Scotty Washington also sticks on the PS? Lumpkin will be cut.

WR (6): Davante Parker, Juju Smith-Schuster, Kendrick Bourne, Demario Douglas, Tyquan Thornton, Kayshon Boutte (Practice squad: Thyrick Pitts)

Thornton likely makes the team in Week 1 and then immediately goes on IR.

OL (9): David Andrews, Cole Strange, Mike Onwenu, Trent Brown, Riley Reiff, Jake Andrews, Antonio Mafi, Sidy Sow, Conor McDermott (Practice squad: one of Ferentz, Hines, Murray, but I think they will want to look outside the organization for a practice squad OL or two) NFI (1): Calvin Anderson

NFI is one of those deals where, once the player is ready to return, a clock starts and the team has X weeks to active or IR him, right? One of the original 9, probably Reiff or McDermott, will go when/if he gets back.

Edge (5): Judon, Wise, White, Uche, Jennings (Practice squad: Perkins)

Not much to say about this group. Perkins flashed a little yesterday, but it was his first action of the preseason. Not enough.

DT (5): Lawrence Guy, Christian Barmore, Davon Godchaux, Carl Davis, Sam Roberts (Practice squad: Jeremiah Pharms)

I have Roberts making it over Ekuale. The Pats would welcome whichever one of them is cut to the practice squad... but I think either one will be claimed by someone.

LB (5): Ja'Whaun Bentley, Jahlani Tavai, Marte Mapu, Chris Board, Calvin Munson (Practice squad: Diego Fagot)

Mack Wilson gets beat out by Munson.

CB (5): Christian Gonzalez, Jonathan Jones, Jack Jones, Marcus Jones, Myles Bryant (season ending IR: Isaish Bolden) (Practice squad: Ameer Speed)

S (4): Adrian Phillips, Kyle Dugger, Jabrill Peppers, Jalen Mills (Practice squad: Joshua Bledsoe)

ST (5): Chad Ryland, Bryce Baringer, Joe Cardona, Matthew Slater, Brendan Schooler (PUP: Cody Davis)
 

brendan f

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In order to return midseason, Thornton needs to make the opening 53, then be moved to IR. And I expect that he will, unless his injury really is a season ender. Here's my guess at the roster:
I imagine RedOctober will start a new thread for a final 53, but in the meantime...

--Why Harris?
I don't see what he offers them at RB over Zeke or Stevenson. If he's injury insurance, there is little chance of anyone claiming him so he could just go the the PS.

--I'm not sure why Hines isn't on anyone's 53. He's been one of their few competent linemen this summer.

--Hard to know with Guy. Did they not play him because his spot is secure or because his end is near? I suspect the latter and Ekuale makes the team but it's guesswork.

--Agree with you on Wilson. I think he's gone and Munson seems likes he's all but locked up a spot.

--Hate to say it but I see them carrying two kickers for now unless Folk is traded. Not sure they fully trust Ryland yet.
 

rodderick

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I imagine RedOctober will start a new thread for a final 53, but in the meantime...

--Why Harris?
I don't see what he offers them at RB over Zeke or Stevenson. If he's injury insurance, there is little chance of anyone claiming him so he could just go the the PS.

--I'm not sure why Hines isn't on anyone's 53. He's been one of their few competent linemen this summer.

--Hard to know with Guy. Did they not play him because his spot is secure or because his end is near? I suspect the latter and Ekuale makes the team but it's guesswork.

--Agree with you on Wilson. I think he's gone and Munson seems likes he's all but locked up a spot.

--Hate to say it but I see them carrying two kickers for now unless Folk is traded. Not sure they fully trust Ryland yet.
The spent a fourth round pick on a kicker who's had a solid camp by all accounts and they are going to waste a spot with Folk? I mean, if that's indeed the case what's the scenario in which a rookie would make them comfortable at the position? And if one doesn't exist, why draft a kicker in the first place? That would be a monumentally stupid decision, just move on with Ryland.
 

brendan f

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The spent a fourth round pick on a kicker who's had a solid camp by all accounts and they are going to waste a spot with Folk? I mean, if that's indeed the case what's the scenario in which a rookie would make them comfortable at the position? And if one doesn't exist why draft a kicker in the first place? That would be a monumentally stupid decision, just move on with Roland.
I'm not saying I agree, it's just a prediction. The prediction is based on reports that Ryland has struggled recently after a strong start. Folk has been very stable for them over the years, and he's continued to get reps. Now maybe the reps are just out of deference for a guy they've really appreciated over time but maybe not. Also, there are a few teams who are in dire need of a kicker (the Titans being one of them), so there may be some value in holding onto him as an asset.
 

rodderick

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I'm not saying I agree, it's just a prediction. The prediction is based on reports that Ryland has struggled recently after a strong start. Folk has been very stable for them over the years, and he's continued to get reps. Now maybe the reps are just out of deference for a guy they've really appreciated over time but maybe not. Also, there are a few teams who are in dire need of a kicker (the Titans being one of them), so there may be some value in holding onto him as an asset.
Oh, I understand it's a prediction and I wouldn't be surprised if it happened, it sounds like something they'd do. Guess it's my fault for getting pre-mad at something they haven't done yet.
 

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My sense is that we tend to overrate our bubble guys in general, and probably more so this year, when that bubble is pretty weak. Every team's fan base is probably saying the same sorts of things.

Last year's final cuts (per ESPN):
Released TE Devin Asiasi, DB Justin Bethel, OL Drew Desjarlais, OL Yasir Durant, OL James Ferentz, OL Arlington Hambright, WR Josh Hammond, RB Kevin Harris, DB Brad Hawkins, WR Lil'Jordan Humphrey, LB Harvey Langi, LB Cameron McGrone, CB Terrance Mitchell, OL Bill Murray, WR Tre Nixon, DL Jeremiah Pharms Jr., DL LaBryan Ray, OL Kody Russey, OL Will Sherman, TE Matt Sokol, RB J.J. Taylor, K Tristan Vizcaino, LB Nate Wieland and TE Jalen Wydermyer.
One day later, the PS signings went like this (again per ESPN):
Re-signed WR Lil'Jordan Humphrey to the practice squad. Signed OL James Ferentz, RB Kevin Harris, DB Brad Hawkins, WR Lil'Jordan Humphrey, LB Harvey Langi, LB Cameron McGrone, CB Terrance Mitchell, OL Bill Murray, WR Tre Nixon, DL Jeremiah Pharms Jr., DL LaBryan Ray, OL Kody Russey, TE Matt Sokol, RB J.J. Taylor and TE Jalen Wydermyer to the practice squad.
So what happened to those who they cut?
  • Bethel -- Signed by the Fish a week later (so they could have resigned him)
  • Asiasi -- Claimed by Bengals a week later (so they could have resigned him)
  • Desjarlais
  • Durant
  • Hambright
  • Hammond
  • Sherman
  • Vizcaino
  • Wieland
Does anyone care what happened to any of those final 7??
 

Eddie Jurak

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--Why Harris?
I don't see what he offers them at RB over Zeke or Stevenson. If he's injury insurance, there is little chance of anyone claiming him so he could just go the the PS.

--I'm not sure why Hines isn't on anyone's 53. He's been one of their few competent linemen this summer.
I don't think Harris offers anything over Zeke or Stevenson. Maybe they should cut him and keep 3 RB and a 10th OL (Hines).
 

nattysez

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I'm not saying I agree, it's just a prediction. The prediction is based on reports that Ryland has struggled recently after a strong start. Folk has been very stable for them over the years, and he's continued to get reps. Now maybe the reps are just out of deference for a guy they've really appreciated over time but maybe not. Also, there are a few teams who are in dire need of a kicker (the Titans being one of them), so there may be some value in holding onto him as an asset.
I was just thinking about this today. The Niners would sign Folk in a millisecond if given the chance. They are seriously considering bringing back Robbie Gould because their rookie kicker is hurt.

Meanwhile, I wonder what kind of useful OL help might be available off the scrap heap. For example, the Eagles just waived four o-linemen.
 

Shelterdog

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I wouldn’t be shocked if the pats pick up waiver guys at DT OT TE or RB. Our end of roster isn’t great at those positions
 

ShaneTrot

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My sense is that we tend to overrate our bubble guys in general, and probably more so this year, when that bubble is pretty weak. Every team's fan base is probably saying the same sorts
We always get worked up this time of the year about the bottom 10 guys on the roster. Can anyone remember a guy cut by the Pats at roster cut down that really became a decent NFL player? Guard Ted Larsen was cut in 2010 and went on to have a 10 year career. Berrios has 107 career receptions but he is nothing special.
 

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We always get worked up this time of the year about the bottom 10 guys on the roster. Can anyone remember a guy cut by the Pats at roster cut down that really became a decent NFL player? Guard Ted Larsen was cut in 2010 and went on to have a 10 year career. Berrios has 107 career receptions but he is nothing special.
And the flip side: how many guys, either that started as Pats or got pickup by the Pats, because key guys from the practice squad.
Troy Brown is probably the pinnacle and that was 30 years ago. Kurt Warner is another but not a Patriot.
 

Eddie Jurak

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We always get worked up this time of the year about the bottom 10 guys on the roster. Can anyone remember a guy cut by the Pats at roster cut down that really became a decent NFL player? Guard Ted Larsen was cut in 2010 and went on to have a 10 year career. Berrios has 107 career receptions but he is nothing special.
TE Lee Smith (2010) played 149 games, but only caught 73 passes.

LB/S Kamu Grugier Hill played 96 games.
 

BaseballJones

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All this stuff is so fascinating to me - how they choose which players they do. I coach HS volleyball and we just had tryouts and had to cut about 30 kids. It's terrible. One parent already contacted us (not waiting 24 hours like we'd asked) saying the kid is "distraught" and can't understand getting cut. And this is "just" high school sports. These guys are fighting for their careers and for some, this may represent their last chance to make it in the NFL.

On that note, if you all are interested, on Sept 6 at 8:00pm, we're having a zoom call with Andrew Callahan, Patriots beat reporter with the Boston Herald. It'll go for an hour and you can ask him all kinds of questions about camp, the start of the season, his take on the Pats' outlook, etc. Kind of a rare chance to talk personally to one of the inside guys in Pats' camp.

Just CLICK HERE to register and we'll get you the zoom link.
 

Super Nomario

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And the flip side: how many guys, either that started as Pats or got pickup by the Pats, because key guys from the practice squad.
Troy Brown is probably the pinnacle and that was 30 years ago. Kurt Warner is another but not a Patriot.
Stephen Neal, Ryan Wendell, Dan Connolly, BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Kyle Arrington. Ted Karras was on the practice squad for a few days one year.

Around the league, James Harrison was a PS guy for a couple years.
 

Devizier

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Stephen Neal, Ryan Wendell, Dan Connolly, BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Kyle Arrington. Ted Karras was on the practice squad for a few days one year.

Around the league, James Harrison was a PS guy for a couple years.
Danny, both Amendola and Woodward, were PS guys but not for the Patriots obviously.