Recent content by Tuff Ghost

  1. Tuff Ghost

    Arsenal 21-22: Brexit FC

    I think in a vacuum, I would go with Maddison, but in reality Odegaard. The thought of having a legit goal-scoring threat who can generate a high volume of quality shots jumping right into the midfield is exciting. He's great at progressive passing and also would be nice to have on free kicks...
  2. Tuff Ghost

    Manchester City 2021/2022 - the Harry Kane Team?

    Regarding Grealish, I read some speculation that Pep's plan would be to start him as a No 8, in a more Gundogan like role: - The Athletic Grealish's touch map as a No 8 and Gundogan's are similar, but Grealish still advanced past the 18-yard box more frequently than Gundogan, so that may be an...
  3. Tuff Ghost

    Arsenal 21-22: Brexit FC

    I also would like to see Odegaard back. Arsenal seem to have a clear plan this off-season, in addition to getting younger players, they recognized their weakness in progressive passing. Last season, they had the 5th highest passing total distance, but the 13th highest progressive passing total...
  4. Tuff Ghost

    Arsenal 21-22: Brexit FC

    After Odegaard's written statement thanking Arsenal, I had assumed he was definitely not returning, but it appears the rumors are going to start back up again. This seems like something that could drag on until the end of the window. Real Madrid could use the money and Odegaard seems to be a top...
  5. Tuff Ghost

    Arsenal 21-22: Brexit FC

    Well put. I was going to post a similar response, but I then saw that you had already covered it better than I would have.
  6. Tuff Ghost

    Manchester United 2021-2022: Any trophy will do

    I think part of the difference in total points is also what the model thinks of Fred / McTominay. The article's author did answer some questions in the comments asking why such a young player was predicted to make such a difference: He also isolated the Varane effect in the comments: And if...
  7. Tuff Ghost

    Manchester United 2021-2022: Any trophy will do

    Last week, the Athletic had an interesting article on expectations for United next season based on data forecasting by Real Analytics. Without Sancho or Varane, they projected them at 66 points (about 4th in table). Sancho alone boosts that to about 70 points, and then Sancho, Varane, and...
  8. Tuff Ghost

    Arsenal 21-22: Brexit FC

    Was Ramsdale that bad, in total, last year? I honestly don't know, but for an age 22 season on a terrible team, he seemed alright to me. He was the Blades' player of the season (he had signed with them at £18.5 million after being Bournemouth's player of the year the prior season). It seems like...
  9. Tuff Ghost

    Arsenal 21-22: Brexit FC

    It was nice to get confirmation yesterday that Smith Rowe is sticking around for a while. He signed a 5-year extension and also will now wear number 10. It's a fun time if you like dreaming on potential with two talented Hale End graduates wearing the 7 (Saka) and 10 shirts. I just got around...
  10. Tuff Ghost

    Arsenal 21-22: Brexit FC

    I am happy with Arsenal targeting young players to act, essentially, as understudies with their acquisitions of Tavares and Lokonga (Albert Sambi Lokonga deal is official). Tavares has some similarity to Tierney, and Lokonga definitely seems like a Partey-style mid-fielder. Scott Willis at...
  11. Tuff Ghost

    Arsenal 21-22: Brexit FC

    When I first heard the Ben White rumors, I was a little surprised. I had not anticipated Arsenal spending big on a CB this summer, but I've slowly come around to the idea. A quick rundown on what I like: He's an excellent dribbler and ball-carrier. He is very cool under pressure and can get...
  12. Tuff Ghost

    June Game Thread

    Nola struck out Conforto to tie Seaver's record (10 straight Ks) and then gave up a double to Alonso.
  13. Tuff Ghost

    June Game Thread

    Aaron Nola heading into the bottom of the 4th with 9 straight Ks against the Mets. The MLB record is 10 straight Ks by Tom Seaver. View: https://twitter.com/PitchingNinja/status/1408531442708193283?s=20
  14. Tuff Ghost

    Euro 2020 Day 12 Game Thread: How Will Scotland Narrowly Fail to Qualify This Time?

    I am happy to see Bukayo Saka getting a start. He absolutely outclassed Slavia Prague in an Arsenal 4-0 victory in April. Saka played right-wing that day and the left-back for Slavia Prague was Jan Bořil, who got subbed-off at halftime. Today, looks like Saka is lining up on the right wing and...
  15. Tuff Ghost

    Three True Outcomes, The Bobby Dalbec Thread.

    While I don't think Santana is likely to end up here, I do think he'd be okay at Fenway. His xHR at Fenway over the last 3 years is +2: Year Actual HR xHR for Fenway 2019 34 32 (-2) 2020 8 11 (+3) 2021 11 12 (+1) Out of ballparks where he has at least 100 PAs, his tOPS+ is 4th highest...