Oh damn. @Fishercat when you get the Julio redemption in a decade you have to post it in here. What a hit.
It's my pleasure! As for the bolded, I know of several smaller operations that opened during COVID or more recently that survive doing breaks only, so without a doubt there's opportunity there. I, myself, would of course love to be able to do live breaks as a side-gig (I mean as a living, too, but let's be real), and I do have a friend who's a HUGE collector, with money, and wants to do something more concrete, so there actually may be a bit of an opportunity for that to happen. Well see, and obviously for now I'm just gonna do what I can to host SoSH breaks. Speaking of...A really great case based on the top hits alone. Thanks for putting this together, Joe.
This is probably in the top 5% of cases they put out there in terms of return. And even then, if you were to sell the hits individually you would end up losing money. On this one you'd just come closer to breaking even. Many of these boxes are great at turning 2k into $250.
The economics of all of this suggest the only way anyone can possibly make money is to sell breaks. Which explains a lot of the state of the market, distribution, and why Fanatics is looking to get into breaking.
It is a little sobering to think about. Just looking at Joe’s case image, the six clearly visible cards in the holder could very easily be the best card in another case if we did it again. Two top rookie parallel auto redemptions, three top flight vet autos, and a 1/1 of a great retired vet and it's a break even point.A really great case based on the top hits alone. Thanks for putting this together, Joe.
This is probably in the top 5% of cases they put out there in terms of return. And even then, if you were to sell the hits individually you would end up losing money. On this one you'd just come closer to breaking even. Many of these boxes are great at turning 2k into $250.
The economics of all of this suggest the only way anyone can possibly make money is to sell breaks. Which explains a lot of the state of the market, distribution, and why Fanatics is looking to get into breaking.
Just in case you had any un-pissed in Cheerios, PE did that for everybody.Been there. I got the D’Backs last time we did stadium club. Best card I got was a red foil Daulton Varsho and then about 25 Varsho base. PE threw in some random stuff and homemade card displays because he felt bad for how terrible it was.
To give an idea of values for the big hits, see below. It was a really good case, congrats folks, and great job Joe P.It is a little sobering to think about. Just looking at Joe’s case image, the six clearly visible cards in the holder could very easily be the best card in another case if we did it again. Two top rookie parallel auto redemptions, three top flight vet autos, and a 1/1 of a great retired vet and it's a break even point.
Watching the stream there are some other really nice cards in there. The gold minted Scherzer, instavision Ohtani were both very cool
This was the cocktail napkin math I did about coming close to breaking even. Those hits total less than the case before eBayTo give an idea of values for the big hits, see below. It was a really good case, congrats folks, and great job Joe P.
That Julio black foil redemption recently sold for $635.00
The Mo Rivera just sold for $230.50
The most recent Machado was $139.00
The Trout is going for $350-$400
O'Neil Cruz red foil just got $158.50
The Abreu would probably get around $250 (comparable guys like Andre Dawson, Fisk, Ozzie, Will Clark, Cecil Fielder have all gone around $300)
Honestly, I feel like this may have even better a better than Top 5% case. Following this one I peeked at some other SC Case Breaks and they probably had half the high end hits and the players didn't really get where this one ended (one had a Wander RC Auto Redemption, a Maddux Lone Star, a Bo Bichette Chrome Auto, and a Zito Red Auto at their biggies). Another one was "ten times better than their other case" they opened and was probably comparable with the case we had based on taste levels - a little more even but less super high end (Freeman Beam Team Auto, Torkelson and Witt RC Auto Redemption, Votto, Stott, Alonso (red), Doc Gooden). Like if we got that second case I think we should still be pretty dang happy with it. This was an absurd case.This was the cocktail napkin math I did about coming close to breaking even. Those hits total less than the case before eBay
I don’t do any breaks aside from here. Sometimes I see breaker videos and hits posted online. And sometimes I will buy a hobby box like I did for Stadium club when it came out. Generally, I buy retail at target and rip with my son when they have it. Otherwise I just buy singles of Pedro or Ortiz or some vintage.
Am I right that if we bought a 100 cases that this is likely better than say 95 of them? It seems that way based on what I’ve seen.
This doesn’t even take into account people who buy a case, rip until they find the case hit, and then hawk the other hobby boxes.
A break like this is probably the most economically efficient way for someone to turn a profit on an $85 buy in as 6 people did. With the Jrod pulling a significant return.
No judgement on any of this stuff. Just interesting. Basically the only way you can come out ahead is if you hold , Julio becomes the next Trout (highly unlikely, an this /25 card becomes highly sought after in a sea of limited print, parallels, and rookie autos of Julio Rodriguez).
You can donate my commons to @tmracht@bostonbeerbelly brought up a good point in the new break thread...let me know if do NOT want your commons. I will ship only the hits/one copy of each or whatever.
Thanks! Yeah I will take one of each, but I don't need 2+ of any common please provide to anyone that asks for them.@bostonbeerbelly brought up a good point in the new break thread...let me know if do NOT want your commons. I will ship only the hits/one copy of each or whatever.
Roger that, your son is gonna get a box with a ton of cards that he can go bonkers with and enjoy to the fullest!I'm happy to take some excess commons, my son is starting his own binders and he tends to damage cards as he's learning to collect, so unwanted commons would definitely work for that. He's currently learning with bulk series boxes.
Same here. If it is easier just to give him all of my commons (instead of separating out 1 of each),Thanks! Yeah I will take one of each, but I don't need 2+ of any common please provide to anyone that asks for them.
No worries - thank youYay! All but two breakers have been sent out!
PLEASE let me know if there are any issues with shipping, and I promise I'll get them corrected ASAP. I don't anticipate any, but I'm a one-man team currently and a father of two young kids and just finished my fifth week of a new job (which rules and I couldn't be happier, thankfully). And am in grad school. What is sleep??? I also think I have my packing game down to a science as these 26 shipments allowed me to see how to properly ship out a break.
@NJ_Sox_Fan and @Seabass you both have multiple shipments coming because I did indeed forget to include some of your cards in the original shipments.
@tmracht my apologies but your box had to be last, and I will get that finished off and shipped out tomorrow. It's gonna weigh like 6 lbs so y'all gonna have all kinds of fun sorting!
Absolutely no rush. Thank you for everything.Yay! All but two breakers have been sent out!
PLEASE let me know if there are any issues with shipping, and I promise I'll get them corrected ASAP. I don't anticipate any, but I'm a one-man team currently and a father of two young kids and just finished my fifth week of a new job (which rules and I couldn't be happier, thankfully). And am in grad school. What is sleep??? I also think I have my packing game down to a science as these 26 shipments allowed me to see how to properly ship out a break.
@NJ_Sox_Fan and @Seabass you both have multiple shipments coming because I did indeed forget to include some of your cards in the original shipments.
@tmracht my apologies but your box had to be last, and I will get that finished off and shipped out tomorrow. It's gonna weigh like 6 lbs so y'all gonna have all kinds of fun sorting!
I feel like we're summoning folks with the answer "NEVER" on this. But I saw that others reported their Stadium Clubs were going out so I entered the code Sunday afternoo nand got an email Monday evening they were prepping it to ship by the end of this week.Is there an ETA? Never personally submitted a redemption so this is all new to me.
The "Never" brigade, which I'm the leader of, would like to remind folks that Topps/Bowman is typically fine for redemptions.I feel like we're summoning folks with the answer "NEVER" on this. But I saw that others reported their Stadium Clubs were going out so I entered the code Sunday afternoo nand got an email Monday evening they were prepping it to ship by the end of this week.
I have a couple others in there in pending so I feel like it's an indefinite amount of time til the cards/stickers are signed and then it moves reasonably quick after that.
I'm happy to take some excess commons, my son is starting his own binders and he tends to damage cards as he's learning to collect, so unwanted commons would definitely work for that. He's currently learning with bulk series boxes.
Same. Send me your address and I’ll happily send some cards his way.PM me your address. I'll send him a box.
Been meaning to get back to this! It's my son's Ibanez miKro:I have questions about what appeared to be your 90's Ibanez, but that can wait.